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GFIs1 HighVola Dax Journal
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GFIs1 HighVola Dax Journal

  #201 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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The Walzer is thought to "set and forget". There is no trade management - nor stop
moving during all the trade. The SL is meant as disaster stop in a optimal distance.
If all the rules are like this - the system can work fully automated.

The motto is: Let the market play it out and cash in what the market wants to give!

GFIs1

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  #202 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Friday Walzer

I was asked why I did not take the Walzer on friday afternoon.

Facts: First candle had open-close of 92 points and second candle of 86,5 points
while both candles had very high Hi-Lo values.
This smelled as a overreaction of Momentum which will not be consistent for the
next coming bars.
That is why I did not take that one - even we can see the signals in the chart:
first candle turned to pink and second candle got the signal (red diamond) on top.

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GFIs1

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  #203 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
I was asked why I did not take the Walzer on friday afternoon.

Facts: First candle had open-close of 92 points and second candle of 86,5 points
while both candles had very high Hi-Lo values.
This smelled as a overreaction of Momentum which will not be consistent for the
next coming bars.
That is why I did not take that one - even we can see the signals in the chart:
first candle turned to pink and second candle got the signal (red diamond) on top.

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GFIs1

Wasn't it also to avoid Walzer if the body is bigger than 75 pts or so?

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  #204 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Opstar View Post
Wasn't it also to avoid Walzer if the body is bigger than 75 pts or so?

yes! normally <100 points on the first.
But second was over 75 which is too much.

Just for illustration about where price is moving on the third and fourth candle.

GFIs1

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  #205 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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No Walzer on Martin Luther King day

But some interesting erractic moves here - with a Diamond for the afternoon:

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Looking forward for new lower prices.
GFIs1

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  #206 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Wednesday Walzer

Dax short 16:30 to 17:30

entry @ 9387
exit @ 9364
result 23 points

Patter broken - no long.

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; January 20th, 2016 at 11:31 AM.
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  #207 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Important Walzer questions

There are 3 main questions about the Walzer - when a signal occurs.

1) Is there a "overnight Walzer"?
If a signal comes on the last candle of the future and on next day it triggers a
Walzer signal - then:
NO there is no overnight Walzer

2) Is there a Walzer on ECB days?
On days when the ECB president is talking about ECB decision and explaining the
results - normally price might move erratically:
NO there is no Walzer because it can be triggered and lands in stop loss. Such
pattern is not given under normal circumstances.

3) Is there a Walzer on triple witch days?
On triple witch days some bigger market players might come in to bring prices to
their foreseen levels with quite some effect - normally price might move erratically:
NO there is no Walzer because it can be triggered and lands in stop loss. Such
pattern is not given under normal circumstances.

Those 3 special rules are here to omit negative results.

GFIs1

PS: will update initial post 1 of this thread with that addendum.

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  #208 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
athens, greece
 
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Good morning,

yesterday at 14:00 first candle 52 pts, 14:30 second candle 20 pts and you didn't take the walzer (correct as afterwards proved).

Do you have a minimum percentage for the second candle in relation to the first in order to take (or reject) the walzer, or your decision is based on other criteria too (overreaction, move possible exhausted, shape of the candle etc..)?

thanks,
alex

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  #209 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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alexk1968 View Post
Good morning,

yesterday at 14:00 first candle 52 pts, 14:30 second candle 20 pts and you didn't take the walzer (correct as afterwards proved).

Do you have a minimum percentage for the second candle in relation to the first in order to take (or reject) the walzer, or your decision is based on other criteria too (overreaction, move possible exhausted, shape of the candle etc..)?

thanks,
alex

Good morning Alex

The signal came in as you state. But I decided this time to not take the trade as price touched the upper cloud of 30min.
Right there the cloud is very thick - we have seen that this support was only overgaped during the night.
A rare occasion for that Walzer - but decision was good.

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #210 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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The Fed Walzer


Got the signal triggered for 21:00 short after the Fed Slip in the Dax since 20:00

entry short 21:00 @ 9772
exit 22:00 @ 9757
result 15 measly points - momentum was down as well the volumes.

volumes low

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; January 28th, 2016 at 03:20 AM.
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