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History of the Peloponnesian War
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History of the Peloponnesian War

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History of the Peloponnesian War

B BBRY 9.00
B EWM 15.15
B ES12-14 1925.00

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Quick Summary
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Quick Summary is created and edited by users like you... Add FAQ's, Links and other Relevant Information by clicking the edit button in the lower right hand corner of this message.

 
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Well, I had to look to see what was in this thread -- I still remember Thucydides fondly, which I read so long ago now.... I wonder who else gets it?



Bob.

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Bob

B 18,000 BBRY 9.00
B 5,000 EWM 15.15
B 10,000 ES12-14 1925.00
B 19,208 IWM 106.63
Cash 47,792

Refs:

ES12-14 1921.00
NQ12-14 3925.00
TF12-14 1067.0
ZN12-14 126'16.5
QM10-14 92.450
VIX 19.19
USDJPY 107.863
XAUUSD 1222.36

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Weekend Notes

Stanley Fischer (Fed VC): "If foreign growth is weaker than anticipated, the consequences for the US economy could lead the Fed to remove accommodation more slowly than otherwise."

Had tightening "(US) data dependent" broadened to USD and foreign last week. Now: "more slowly than otherwise."

Mohamed El-Erian: "Prices-values are above fundamentals."

Values ratios for revenue, earnings, cash generation and leverage are now actually below long run averages.

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B C 18,000 Q 2,000 P -200.00 BBRY 8.90 V 9.00
B C 5,000 Q 330 P -125.40 EWM 14.77 V 15.15
B C 19,208 Q 180 P -338.40 IWM 104.75 V 106.63
B C 7,770 Q 1 P -4,450 ES12-14 1836.00 V 1925.00 SL 1771.00 @ -8%

Total P/L -5,113.80
Cash 47,792.00
Net Liquidity 42,678.20

ES Initial margin 5,060
ES Maintenance margin 4,600

Excess equity 37,618.20
Notional value of ES 96,250
Max loss 53,571.80

Refs:

ES12-14 1829.00
NQ12-14 3727.00
TF12-14 1051.1
ZN12-14 129'09.5
QM11-14 81.525
VIX 28.20
USDJPY 105.719 (back down from 109.963 levels)
EURUSD 1.27992 (strengthening back up from 1.25047 level while DAX at new lows)
XAUUSD 1244.83

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Janet Yellen (today): US on track for 3% GDP growth and unemployment has more room to fall.

Jeffrey Gundlach (yesterday): 2.2-2.8% 10 Year. Sub 2.2% can imply Fed push back rate hike from 2Q14.
__

Steven Schork: 80.00 oil now lower than OPEC need to keep books balanced.

Jim Cramer: NYMEX Crude 77.00.

Jeff Kilburg: NYMEX 75.00.

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Plosser no change. Market tanks AM. Bullard channels Fischer. Market recovers PM. Proactive communication?

China Central Bank. Action: monetary expansion 200 bn Yuan.

Haldane echos Fischer talk.

ECB still needing coordination / better communication.

Ukraine - Russia winter gas deal agreed.

Greek bond yield spike.

Very unusual lack of liquidity in futures book Monday causing huge swings. Precedent only in times of distress. Reports also of data dissemination problems at brokers. VIX spike above 30. Now back down.

Idea: monitor market liquidity and volatility for distress. Use as leading indicator. Cf. Greenspan OIS usage.

Trading: use liquidity as indication of bottom cf. 1987 / when to remove hedges.

SARS vs Ebola

SARS

Air borne vector
High mutation virus hard to vaccinate against
1 November 2002 – 31 July 2003: Cases 8,273. Deaths 775. Mortality 9.6%.
Primary region affected Asia.
29 cases in US and Europe. Zero deaths. Zero Re-transmission.

Ebola

Bodily fluids vector
Active vaccine development
Origin 28 December 2013 - date. Headline capture September / October 2014.
14 October 2014: 9,216 suspected cases and 4,555 deaths reported. Mortality 49.4%. Potential under reporting.
Primary region affected Africa.
17 cases in US and Europe. 4 deaths. Re-transmission in Spain and US.

Vision: US and Asia macro and company fundamentals solid. Ebola contained. Watch ECB and Europe on exit of Ukraine situation.

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B C 18,000 Q 2,000 P 2,600.00 BBRY 10.30 V 9.00 SL 9.50. Lenovo unlikely to get approval to acquire.

November 7 date confirms US Ebola contained.

China 3Q GDP marginal beat of revised lower estimate. US and Asia macro data confirming view.

US earnings mostly beats on bottom line. Employment tailwind. Indices need to catch up.

IBM missing. Too slow to Cloud.

Apple very ambitious 4Q sales outlook. Apple Pay not fully valued? Needs further research.

Schork (+1)
Cramer (-1)
Kilburg (-1)

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Importing NinjaScript

1. Copy or save .cs file to: My Documents\NinjaTrader [version_number]\bin\Custom\Indicator
2. From the Control Center: Tools > Edit > NinjaScript > Indicator
3. Click on file name in the list that is displayed
4. Press F5 to compile. F5 compile actually recompiles entire folder of .cs scripts.

Same procedure for Strategy.

Removing

https://futures.io/ninjatrader/22877-remove-indicators-computer.html

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