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daddy's CL trading w. volume profile


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Updated December 4th 2014 by daddy
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daddy's CL trading w. volume profile

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  #41 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.08

Bias: bearish

Overnight the crude went lower, to 87.39. It looks like the bulls are weak, but to be bearish, I’d like to see the price breaking the ONL.
All eyes on the crude inventories (10:30) today.

The zones for today:

94.42-94.6
93.48-93.65
92.67-93.26
91.9-92.11
91.1-91.5
90.6-90.8
89.93-90.21
89.4-89.77
89-89.14
88.82-88.9
87.65-88.02

If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a ’Thanks’ on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
Thank you!

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  #42 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

I couldn't set the zones on screen before open, now here it is:


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  #43 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

Trades for 2014.10.08


Until today, I felt really good, but this was a really bad day, I managed to wipe out all of the gains I collected - and more.
I wanted to trade, which was the first mistake. After first two losses I remembered my new rule, that I have to spend 10 minutes off-screen, to rule my emotions.
As soon as I get back – good mood, ready to trade – I saw a missed setup reaches the would-be target. This unleashed something, I just couldn’t sit on my hands – mistake after mistake, overtrading, then tried to win back the losers.
Seriously, I have no idea, how could I do this! I’ve been there before, and thought that I learned the lesson. Seems like I didn’t.
Enough of whining, from here it will be really beautiful to make that 3.000

Trade 1:
Time: 10:47
Sell 5 @ 87.33
Buy 5 @ 87.39
P&L w. commissions: -323,1
It was streched a little, and the delta was decreasing, and the price at the ONL. The idea was that the ONL will hold as a resistance. It was a losing trade, but I’d pull the trigger again, the trade idea was good. After I stopped out, it did broke down.

Trade 2:
Time: 11:04
Sell 5 @ 87.17
Buy 5 @ 87.20
P&L w. commissions: -173.1
Decreasing delta – that’s all of the reasons. If I were sane, I wouldn’t take this.

Trade 3:
Time: 11:31
Sell 5 @ 87.54
Buy 5 @ 87.59
P&L w. commissions: -273.1
It wasn’t streched at all, no tension here – normally I demand my setup to be streched. Bad decision after seeing a good trade I didn’t take.

Trade 4:
Time: 11:32
Sell 5 @ 87.75
Buy 5 @ 87.8
P&L w. commissions: -273.1
Absolutely I just wanted to win back losers – desperately. Very bad decision, I even chased the price. Normally my rule is: If I miss a trade, I wait for the next one.

Trade 5:
Time: 11:45
Buy 5 @ 87.45
Sell 5 @ 87.48
P&L w. commissions: 126.9
My only long. After a little tension ont he ONL, I waited to break out. It did, but there was a sudden turn what stopped me out. I’d take the trade again.

Trade 6:
Time: 11:57
Sell 5 @ 87.77
Buy 5 @ 87.82
P&L w. commissions: -273.1
Plain stupid, nothing validated the trade. There wasn’t even a setup, delta increasing, etc.

P&L for the day: -1188.6
P&L for the month: -437.4
P&L from 09.24: -172.2



If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a ’Thanks’ on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
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  #44 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

..and the 6th one.

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  #45 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones review for 2014.10.08

I counted ont he bears, they came
By 9:50, the ONL was broken, then the price went sideways between the ONL and a pivot. The bulls tried to break above the open many times, but apparently the bears pulled back the price below the ONL. In the last half hour the bulls had another try, but the price closed below tne ONL.
Overnight is gonna set the direction I think: above today’s open a correction can come, below the pivot the bears are still in control.



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  #46 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.09

Bias: slightly bearish

As I wrote at yesterday’s close, I was curious about overnight’s action. Well, the bulls tried to break yesterday’s open, but eventually the bears won, they broke the ONL, and even yesterday’s low.
So I’m bearish, but watching the bulls’ action, I think a correction may come.

The zones for today:

94.42-94.6
93.48-93.65
92.67-93.26
91.9-92.11
91.1-91.5
90.6-90.8
89.93-90.21
89.4-89.77
89-89.14
88.82-88.9
87.65-87.82
87.15-87.42
86.7-86.95



If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a ’Thanks’ on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
Thank you!

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  #47 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

Trades for 2014.10.09

No trades today. It was a slow pull by the bears, I couldn’t see the tension I really like. (Except one time, but I considered it too risky.)

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  #48 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones review for 2014.10.09

The bears won, however I thought today will be a doji or hammer-like formation – I didn’t expect a point pull by the bears after the last two day’s action.
Below the 86.7-86.95 I had no more zones, so I didn’t how should I handle certain movements. Now I’m waiting for a correction – at least upwards I know (or think I know ) what to expect.



If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a ’Thanks’ on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
Thank you!

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  #49 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.10

Bias: neutral

Wow! Overnight the bears continued their hard work, the crude was down more than 2 points!
Now I wouldn’t take a short, at least not for longer than 3-4 minutes.
This looks so streched to me, I’m waiting for the correction.
Since it’s Friday, it could be a silent day with low volume – or not

The zones for today: (lots of narrow zones, so I’d be careful)

94.42-94.6
93.48-93.65
93.21-93.3
92.66-92.86
91.9-92.11
91.1-91.5
90.6-90.8
89.93-90.21
89.4-89.77
88.86-89.1
87.66-87.82
87.15-87.4
86.58-86.72
85.66-85.9
85.1-85.26
84.51-84.8
84.14-84.31

I’m off to the next 2-3 hours, going to a trader conference, but I wanted to post the zones, just in case someone follows my thread. I’m curious, does anybody tests/uses my zones? If you do, could you push a thanks here? Thanks!

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  #50 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.13.


After Friday’s correction attempt, the crude opens lower than Friday’s close. Probably that was all the bulls could do, but I’m still cautious..
I’m on the bear side, but a correction still possible.

The zones for today:

94.42-94.6
93.48-93.65
93.21-93.3
92.66-92.86
91.9-92.11
91.1-91.5
90.6-90.8
89.93-90.21
89.4-89.77
88.86-89.1
87.66-87.82
87.15-87.4
86.58-86.72
85.69-85.9
85.13-85.24
84.36-84.75
84.14-84.31



If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a ’Thanks’ on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
Thank you!

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