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daddy's CL trading w. volume profile


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daddy's CL trading w. volume profile

  #21 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones review for 2014.09.30.


daddy View Post
Bias for the day: neutral / slightly bearish

Overnight the crude mainly moved in the 94.4-94.76 area. Itís just above the levels of the monthly resistance, but I think it will go back below 93 this week.
I donít think the bulls can push through the ONH, or not much Ė its the end of the VolProf (all) there. If they do, it can go a long wayÖ
Otherwise, if the bears can move the crude below the ONL, the next support is the 93.9-94.03 area.


Well, the bulls didn't push through the ONH, but I didn't think there's gonna be this huge selling action. I said it'll go back below 93, but I gave this action 2-3 days.
So, after the selling frenzy broke out, the areas didn't work anymore, the crude just cut through them like hot knife in the butter.
I expected the 91.3-91.76 zone to hold, well, it didn't, but most of the overnight trading happened here.


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  #22 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.01.

Bias for the day: neutral

Overnight the crude managed to get back to the 91.18-91.75 area. I think thereís gonna be a correction after yesterdayís dropping, but Iím cautious on the long side. Middle term Iím still bearish.

The areas for today:

90.75-90.91
91.18-91.75
92.29-92.46
92.75-93.3
93.5-93.65
94.11-94.21
94.42-94.6


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  #23 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

Trades for 2014.10.01


No trades today, I couldnít find a really good setup, so I just stood aside and watched.

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  #24 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones review for 2014.10.01.


daddy View Post
Bias for the day: neutral

Overnight the crude managed to get back to the 91.18-91.75 area. I think thereís gonna be a correction after yesterdayís dropping, but Iím cautious on the long side. Middle term Iím still bearish.


After the open, the crude was weak, at 10.20 it came back to the ONH-open, which served as a strong support. However, with the inventories report at 10.30, the bulls came in. As I wrote, I was cautious on the long side, which was a good decision: after 12:15 the bears pushed through every support, to the 90.75 close.


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  #25 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.02.

Bias for the day: slightly bearish

Iíd be strongly bearish, if the crude was around 90, but overnight, after moving in yesterdayís last support area, it broke down to 88.18.
Iím still bearish, looking for bearish setups, but the last 3 dayís drop was significant, and the crude is way below the VolProf (all). Not exactly waiting for a correction, but cautious because the possibility of it.

The areas for today:
94.43-94.59
94.04-94.20
93.45-93.65
92.71-93.26
91.90-92.10
91.20-91.75
90.71-90.91

..and these three is pretty unstable, Iíd say 88.6-89.75 was a great big acceptance area overnight:
89.60-89.75
89.10-89.30
88.62-88.90


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  #26 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

Trades for 2014.10.02

As I wrote before, I looked for setups on the short side. The results:

Trade 1:
Time: 10:29
Sell 5 @ 90.44
Buy 5 @ 90.34
P&L w. commissions: 476.8
After a good strech there was a stop in the movement, right at the lower line of a channel. I counted ont he bears, they came

Trade 2:
Time: 10:43
Sell 5 @ 90.57
Buy 5 @ 90.58
P&L w. commissions: -73.2
A strech again, with decreasing power from the bulls. It bounced back from 90.5.


P&L for the day: 403.6
P&L for the month: 403.6
P&L from 09.24: 668.8


If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a íThanksí on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
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  #27 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones review for 2014.10.02.

Today the predefined areas served pretty well.
The crude started from the 89.10-89.30 area, then bouncing below 89.60-89.75, then, after it broke through the 89.8 pivot, it started to bounce between 89.60-89.75 and 90.71-90.91. At the end of the day, it went through 90.71-90.91, prev. close and ONH as well, and closed at the ONH.
Definitely it was a correction day
Canít wait till the overnight session!


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  #28 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

S/R zones for 2014.10.03

Bias for the day: bearish below 90, but I expect a silent day, since itís Friday.

The areas for today:

94.43-94.60
93.98-94.20
93.45-93.66
92.71-93.25
91.90-92.11
91.18-91.76
90.62-90.91
90.20-90.35
89.88-89.96
89.60-89.75
88.84-88.95


If you like my journal, please help me win the journal contest. All you have to do is push a íThanksí on the #14 post (daddy) on this link:
Thank you!

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  #29 (permalink)
Budapest+Hungary
 
 
Posts: 151 since Aug 2014
Thanks: 139 given, 204 received

Trades for 2014.10.03

I looked for setups on the short side, but the pull of the bears was slow and steady. Not my favourite environment, so Iím done for today. No trades this time.

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  #30 (permalink)
Phoenix + AZ/USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES, NQ, YM, CL and GC
 
Posts: 505 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 2,471 given, 822 received


I like trading CL also. Good journal.

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