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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more

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  #821 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
Manitoba, Canada
 
 
Posts: 19 since Sep 2010
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it's better when hv is like 25000 or higher and delta is very high as well

can you see a setup or 2 on this chart for the 830 - 1000 am morning session

it's really not that hard at all



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  #822 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
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what if you use fibs with it...or vah and val???? trade for targets. or 80 / 20 trade setup

or fib extension based on the first half hour range...for the ym market.. for targets


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  #823 (permalink)
Chouca
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cunparis View Post
Your ideas work great when the market is balanced. Essentially you're selling the highs & buying the lows.

Agree, the good thing is that the market is more often balanced than not!

I have been into the same ideas, combining delta & volume, but never on a such short timeframe as 1 minute , I think the concept makes sense and I will have a deeper look into it.

 
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  #824 (permalink)
 paolfili 
italy
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Thanks BunnyDumb for sharing.
Can you comment the European Morning FESX 1min chart?
I see upon the 1st red diamond an true_positive of the event you are highlighting.(The buy/sell bars are visible from CumDelta).
The one above the 2nd red diamond seems a false positive.Is it correct?

Thanks

Paolo

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  #825 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Market Delta & Ninjatrader
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pfx111 View Post
Thanks BunnyDumb for sharing.
Can you comment the European Morning FESX 1min chart?
I see upon the 1st red diamond an true_positive of the event you are highlighting.(The buy/sell bars are visible from CumDelta).
The one above the 2nd red diamond seems a false positive.Is it correct?

Be careful with "true" "positive" and "false". The high volume is telling you something. If price reversed every time on high volume we'd be millionaires already.

I think this has to be taken into context. Once the lows were made the market reverses towards the highs. What could be a target up there? Also after 11am the markets can drift, especially during lunch time. I find the best trades are in the morning.

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  #826 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
Manitoba, Canada
 
 
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Chouca View Post
Agree, the good thing is that the market is more often balanced than not!

I have been into the same ideas, combining delta & volume, but never on a such short timeframe as 1 minute , I think the concept makes sense and I will have a deeper look into it.

I actually went looking to see if this theory was correct on bid ask delta in the es market...problem was when I first researched it I was using 5 and 10 minute charts...adn it did work sometimes.. but really...you can a one minute bar with 40000 contracts in it..and nothing all around that..bar comparatively. so when I relooked on 1 minute...I found my theory was correct.



5 minute spells out easily ask hits at the highs.....perfectly in the am... but it's not perfect to see when it all took place.. the one minute shows exactly where more finite.

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  #827 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
Manitoba, Canada
 
 
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I think one or 2 markets is good enuf for me.. es and ym.

the reall trading takes place in the ES and ym is more a follower...adn they will make the market follow even if traders are not there to do it.

I am looking for when hv and delta stop a market....draw lines at support resistance that gets created...
you'll to practice on your own....but I have to say there was an easy long setup that would have allowed you to buy ...very close to the lows .....so that means...low risk ....with opportunity for great reward...

the bias given by this method is very good....who and what you track ....to trade along with...you know that the market has to go up from here....or down.

you know where to enter....

your risk is limited when you can get in near a low or a high

you know the market will go many times more than you risk... many times you pick the bottom or top for the day... meaning profit potential is huge.

we all have market knowledge that is useful. to add to this way of looking at the market. and for targets etc.

really though trading is simple but you need a bias...why not have a good one......trade along with those that run the markets.....let them tell you when and where and why to enter.

A


pfx111 View Post
Thanks BunnyDumb for sharing.
Can you comment the European Morning FESX 1min chart?
I see upon the 1st red diamond an true_positive of the event you are highlighting.(The buy/sell bars are visible from CumDelta).
The one above the 2nd red diamond seems a false positive.Is it correct?

Thanks

Paolo


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  #828 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
Manitoba, Canada
 
 
Posts: 19 since Sep 2010
Thanks: 3 given, 45 received

it's not all about reversals...it's about tracking what is going on....don't be surprised to find a one minute bar that is 3 times or more the average of the previous 4 or 5 bars (volume here) that this is a simple ...when or around this price range the market will reverse....don't take my word for it...do some research......sometimes for the day......now if we look into smaller time frames a low on a 1 minute charts is a double bottom on tick chart or range bar chart......or we wait for a test of that low that the volume created...maybe this happensat 10am ...so we know market will be kicked into chop for a few hours........maybe in the sidewasy there will be a couple or so ..ridiculous volume and delta ..to change direction of what stopped the market....it's all there just let it unfold....

A


cunparis View Post
Be careful with "true" "positive" and "false". The high volume is telling you something. If price reversed every time on high volume we'd be millionaires already.

I think this has to be taken into context. Once the lows were made the market reverses towards the highs. What could be a target up there? Also after 11am the markets can drift, especially during lunch time. I find the best trades are in the morning.


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  #829 (permalink)
BunnyDumb
Manitoba, Canada
 
 
Posts: 19 since Sep 2010
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there's lots of ways to pet a frog......not every one wants to pet a frog.
and no where along the way do I say it is perfect....
what if you draw lines at highs and lows after hv and hdelta...or after many delta on bid or ask....
and you watch the markets in a way of acc of positions and profit taking.....
how much do they need for an up move....for a down move....
looks price can't seem to go higher ..and look at the delta....what if I short the highs...is there much risk shorting the highs....or if you use a scalp method to get in....it is giving you a bias..........a posible edge...
how you quanitfy the edge.....I don't know?

I use the ym market for targets..I also use this as bias as well.. I don't know why it works but use fib extension on first half hour range
you can see the extension up and down in one of my previous posts

A






cunparis View Post
Be careful with "true" "positive" and "false". The high volume is telling you something. If price reversed every time on high volume we'd be millionaires already.

I think this has to be taken into context. Once the lows were made the market reverses towards the highs. What could be a target up there? Also after 11am the markets can drift, especially during lunch time. I find the best trades are in the morning.


 
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  #830 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
Experience: Advanced
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Trading: ES
 
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cunparis View Post
Took a few real money trades today, it's been weeks. My practice on SIM was well worth it as I got 10 pts today (5 real & 5 sim). I haven't had 10 pts on ES since the end of September.
Things are starting to click.

Today's goal was to see if I could match the performance of yesterday. Was it a fluke? Or did something really click for me. Well today it clicked again, big time.



One comment on the ES trades... I'm still getting used to X-Trader and several times I went to cancel a target and ended up entering on market. I must not have been paying much attention cause I did it several times in a row, wondering why I couldn't cancel my order. I managed to get out of the extra contracts breakeven but it did result in me having a bigger position than I intended, so if you see that in the list you know why. I think the Ninja DOM is more intuitive.

I did go long at 69.50 for a potential swing trade. I saw potential because if it continues up I'll hold it, if not I'll cut it. Looks to me the low is in at 68.25 but sellers could return any time.. Here's the MP chart I'm using for this trade, I also look at 1min to pinpoint the entry, based on Bunny's suggestion (I was using renko but I like seeing "inside the bar" to quote a market delta phrase, which is sarcasm because one doesn't need MD to look at a 1 min bar hehe).



Here's the 1 min:



I have to say the blue pro bars also help to see the professionals active at these levels.

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