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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more

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  #671 (permalink)
 aviat72 
San Francisco Bay Area
 
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Another reversal play off my favorite ES level of 1060. Once you know the area to do business then watching the price action as it approaches it can give good signals.

Notice how tickSpeed caught the final selling burst at 14:57, the first breakout burst at 15:04, the volume stop burst at 15:08 and the final churning end of the move at 15:15. It does not give the definite signals like POT but gives a heads-up.

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  #672 (permalink)
 aviat72 
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Resistance is hard to take out if big boyz are not interested.

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  #673 (permalink)
 cunparis 
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aviat72 View Post
Resistance is hard to take out if big boyz are not interested.

I'm curious what you think about splitting the volume into different trade sizes, regarding the fact that smart traders can split up their orders. The < 5 group can include pro traders splitting their 200 lot orders into 200 1 lot orders.

Up until now I haven't done any filtering except on the time & sales, because of this issue.

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  #674 (permalink)
 aviat72 
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cunparis View Post
I'm curious what you think about splitting the volume into different trade sizes, regarding the fact that smart traders can split up their orders. The < 5 group can include pro traders splitting their 200 lot orders into 200 1 lot orders.

Up until now I haven't done any filtering except on the time & sales, because of this issue.

It work both ways. IMHO ice-bergs are more relevant in individual stocks.

Sometimes you do WANT to advertise your presence especially near important price zones.

Also given the nature of ES, the ice-bergs are less relevant. It is a very liquid market and often used to hedge a whole bunch of stuff; people are focused on getting their books in order and not hiding their intent. The traditional silent accumulation/distribution typically happens by offerings bids/ask instead of hitting them. If trades are being executed at the market then it shows some degree of urgency.

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  #675 (permalink)
 cunparis 
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Did a lot of simming today. Awesome results. Account "S" is sim, U & 7 are real.



Hope you did well. good weekend everyone!

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  #676 (permalink)
 rassi 
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great job CP

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  #677 (permalink)
 cunparis 
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ES dropped today as expected. The amateur bars making news don't lie.

I got a few pts but was focusing on crude today.





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  #678 (permalink)
 cunparis 
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EuroStoxx & Dax trading this morning (European morning):


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 gabga100 
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Sup CP, Welcome back to the ES-only brotherhood ....


In your Chart above , I see many "sois-disant" professional activity ( blue bars) .... in the trends ( actually more often than on tops)...... Unfortunately I cannot use this chart when I trade daily ( I am limited to IB workstation) so could you please tell how do you check that it is a counter trend stop activity instead of continuation activity ....coupling this with Pot or cycles ??? or Bid-ask ? Or even volume ?

Thanks

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  #680 (permalink)
 cunparis 
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gabga100 View Post
Sup CP, Welcome back to the ES-only brotherhood ....


In your Chart above , I see many "sois-disant" professional activity ( blue bars) .... in the trends ( actually more often than on tops)...... Unfortunately I cannot use this chart when I trade daily ( I am limited to IB workstation) so could you please tell how do you check that it is a counter trend stop activity instead of continuation activity ....coupling this with Pot or cycles ??? or Bid-ask ? Or even volume ?

Thanks

All of the above.

Those blue/magenta bars show where professionals are active. Whether they're buying or selling depends on context. So I look at a variety of data including the cycles, pace of tape, the volume ladder, & Better Momentum.

I also use the paintbar to determine price levels where pros are active. They can serve as S/R areas.

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