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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more
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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more

  #261 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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cunparis View Post
here's the cycle chart so you can see the cycles at those levels. I have MP levels on market delta and the cycles on tradestation.

I'm seriously considering reprogramming everything on market delta the only problem is I can't get the better sinewave for market delta which is the dealbreaker.

ask barry I think he will do it.

 
  #262 (permalink)
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I would think they are accumulating since they are not going to chase the market.


cunparis View Post
A quiz for you:

Which side are the professionals trading? How do you know?


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  #263 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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Doesn't always work. This is a long at the VAL & POC.

Got cycle turns and pro buying.

Didn't work out but I held my loss at 3 ticks.

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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more-cl-failed-long-poc.png  
 
  #264 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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Wait for POT

note how I got stopped out again on that last trade! darn it.

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  #265 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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cory View Post
ask barry I think he will do it.

The problem is Market Delta's RTL is just expressions, it's not a programming language. So no loops for example. To do that one needs to use C++ which is a real pain in the butt.

 
  #266 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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WestBeach View Post
I would think they are accumulating since they are not going to chase the market.

That's my read too but for some reason the market isn't responding. I'm puzzled. I'm puzzled.

 
  #267 (permalink)
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I still have difficulty with the concept of the professional activity indicators. Without knowing the strategy of the players involved then how can we use the information to our advantage? The professional activity could quite easily be the result of a fund hedging or a long term trend algo taking a position on an hourly time frame in an opposing direction.


WestBeach View Post
I would think they are accumulating since they are not going to chase the market.


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  #268 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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WestBeach View Post
Do you find that your cycle levels/professional activity indicators coincide with major support and resistance market profile areas?

I paid attention to this today and I think it's a double-edged sword.

Let's say price is going low and comes up on a MP level and stalls. The sine wave will, if the market is near the end of a down move, it will detect the stalling as an end of the move and the sine waves cross and you get a new up cycle. However price wasn't finished moving down, it was only stalling it. That's how you get sine crosses "early". This is what happened on the last failed long.

Really I'd like to wean myself off this sine wave indicator but when it works it works really well.

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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more-cl-early-sine-cross-poc.png  
 
  #269 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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Volume dropped off after pro's bought the lows (see last chart the circled area). I missed that bottom, wasn't interested really. So it's a good time to wrap it up.

Today I acheived my goals of being selective, getting big trades and keeping losses small. Thanks for reading and if you have any questions please let me know.

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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more-cl-pl.png   cunparis journal, thoughts, and more-cl-trades.png   cunparis journal, thoughts, and more-cl-volume-dropped-lunch.png  
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  #270 (permalink)
Trade with the flow
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WestBeach View Post
I still have difficulty with the concept of the professional activity indicators. Without knowing the strategy of the players involved then how can we use the information to our advantage? The professional activity could quite easily be the result of a fund hedging or a long term trend algo taking a position on an hourly time frame in an opposing direction.

Excellent point. I'm sure that is happening, but it'd probably be happening throughout the day. When these indicators detect higher professional activity than usual, then I have to assume price is more attractive to them than usual and they're taking advantage of it.

For higher timeframes.. professionals don't trade off charts, that was in an earlier post and since no one disagreed I assume everyone agrees. So they're not entering on an hourly bar or whatever. They're entering at a specific price level. That price level can be determined in any number of ways, I gave an example in my post about this.

For hedgers.. I think if they were going short as a hedge they'd do it before a 50 tick slide. These guys are professionals after all.

Even if the theory may be difficult to accept, we then have to look at empirical evidence. I'm convinced that when these indicators signal blue bars it's often at turning points. I'm hoping my theory will hold up to the challenges of everyone here. Professionals aren't always right, sometimes they're early (as in my failed long) but overall I think the odds are much better if one takes these signals into account.


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