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cunparis journal, thoughts, and more

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  #201 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
Experience: Advanced
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Dax is too dead to trade, I lost a few trades because I entered and then the market didn't move.

I include commissions on the P/L from now on. I think that's really important. Also I am thinking about slippage. I'm not sure how simulator fills compare to real fills. I think it should be accurate but who knows.

I had one big trade that really helped make up for the smaller losses. I had a good setup and so I used the larger target DOM.

I had one trade stop out at 5 ticks and that hurt. I have to keep an eye on that.

Overall I think I did ok considering how unvolatile the dax is today.

I'm not trading crude this afternoon, there is an L2ST webinar for room members. I've been in their room for 2 weeks now. It's a very educational room, they don't call trades which is a good thing, the goal is for everyone to learn to trade on their own. They do read the market and explain what's going on from a Market Profile / order flow point of view. So far I really like it and I'm learning a lot. They have 3 free webinars on their website if you're like to take a look.


EDIT: I just realized there is a problem with the P/L. The P/L in Ninja is currency independent, so the wins was 275 euros. However I entered the commissions in dollars. It's too late to fix that today, so you take the commissions and convert to euros and you get 57 euros for a net profit of 218 euros = $292 USD. Commissions eat up 21% of the profits. I want to focus on better setups with bigger targets to minimize the effect of commissions.

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  #202 (permalink)
 rassi 
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cunparis View Post
I want to focus on better setups with bigger targets to minimize the effect of commissions.

Thats what i have been getting at in my last few posts.

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  #203 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
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rassi View Post
Thats what i have been getting at in my last few posts.

You're totally right. I'm taking baby steps. First step is to be able to scalp to learn to control risk. That will give me the confidence to take several shots at a major turning point. I'm usually early so I need to be able to take shots risking 3 ticks each time and then be in for the big move.

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  #204 (permalink)
 cory 
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cunparis View Post
Too strange. I've never seen the dax that slow. I'm going to stop for a while..

waiting for EU meeting news.

 
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  #205 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
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cory View Post
waiting for EU meeting news.

Tomorrow is day 2 so I hope it'll be more volatile and tradeable.

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  #206 (permalink)
 ZTR 
 
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When these large orders happen quickly I call those micro bursts - computer driven orders.

Not sure if that is what you meant?

But if it is: No one can enter trades by hand that fast. They appear and dissapear in the blink of an eye. When you watch the ladder in delta mode and this happens all of a sudden, that row will populate quickly as holders are shaken out fearing a large number of orders against them. Then the large order is gone but hardly ever even 50% filled.

These seem to happen before the market actually moves the other direction, but not always. See this in ES all the time. But just starting to watch the DOM of 6e. It happens there also but the numbers are much, much smaller.

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  #207 (permalink)
 cory 
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ZTrade101 View Post
When these large orders happen quickly I call those micro bursts - computer driven orders.

Not sure if that is what you meant?

But if it is: No one can enter trades by hand that fast. They appear and dissapear in the blink of an eye. When you watch the ladder in delta mode and this happens all of a sudden, that row will populate quickly as holders are shaken out fearing a large number of orders against them. Then the large order is gone but hardly ever even 50% filled.

These seem to happen before the market actually moves the other direction, but not always. See this in ES all the time. But just starting to watch the DOM of 6e. It happens there also but the numbers are much, much smaller.

I speculate that the big number flash on one side of the DOM is the signal to tell his friends that is the direction they should go.

 
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  #208 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
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Here's a reversal pattern I observed, I'm not sure if this is a common occurrence but it's interesting.

blue = professional activity
yellow = amateur

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  #209 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
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Short Cycle setup #1 on 2 levels: 500 & 4500 and 4500 & 40500 (anticipating the sine cross). This is a pretty powerful signal. Bearish divergences, professional selling, nice footprint setup. Basically this trade has all the criteria for a good short.

Short at 1174.50. Might get some retesting of the highs before going down.

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  #210 (permalink)
 cunparis 
Paris, France
 
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Interesting footprint pattern on the ES. Buyers trapped, then sellers trapped. Double top trapped more buyers.

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