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BigKahunaDogs Journal

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  #1 (permalink)
 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Hello from Honolulu, Hawaii.
This is my journal.
I have several reasons for my journal on the forum, personal growth through public accountability, positive feedback/questions, stimulate thought, like interest.

Logistically, I am a work in progress. I will attempt to use SNAGIT and SNAGIT video at this point. I will review other journals on the lookout aor take suggestions for a more efficient method.

At this point I plan on doing at minimum weekly analysis, with video aor pics of S/R, potential price action, potential identification of bull and bear locations, potential locations for further study and following.
I may post Daily and Intraday charts.


I have not decided if I'd like to do a journal with charts, as of yet. Part of the reason is some of my methodology is momentum scalping. I also do follow pullback trend trades and will attempt to identify where I am projecting possible bull/bear biases.

EDIT-
As of this time I take two types of trades
Pullback value type trades
Momentum breakouts

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  #3 (permalink)
 KahunaDog 
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CL - Monday and possibly part of Tuesday I am expecting a possible pullback or sideways market. If it pullsback I am looking for bears to push it down to 104.20-103.80. On Tuesday I am looking for the daily trend to resume up for bulls to buy it in that area targeting 108.20. If 108.20 is bought with momentum and volume I am entertaining a push(after small pullback) to 110.50,
weekly r2 at 110.55
weekly ATR(14) is 486(4.86)... with 7/15/13 open at 106.05, that puts it at 110.91 which is with in the ball park of my current projection.

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 KahunaDog 
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uh terrible.
wrote out a ton of journal stuff and I hit something and the internet ate my post.
Note I'm demo trading for this week minimum, due to damaging discipline and psyche by blowing up an account.


7/14/2013
CL-My initial bias was down for mon, maybe tues.

trade1
4hr LH was forming in ASIA.
Shorted using bracket order, the 2nd touch of 4hr break was shorted. Other side of my bracket was a fib which failed to trigger first.
SHORT 105.73, 2013CST
exited at 105.70, 2201CST
trade initially went my way, hit support of psyche number 51(50), then bounced and I had moved my exit to break even.
+3 lame, missed my target by 3 ticks which was 105.48, and reversed at 105.51

trade2
failure of my 4hr LH in ASIA, and time of day when more money would begin to be injected as well as PA, prompted me to look for session long to attempt to continue Daily trend up.
Long 105.68, 2206CST
exited 105.93 2304CST
trade went my way, hit 106.05 then reversed and failed to make HH, I had moved my exit up as I had a feeling if this failed price would move sideways.
+15 lame, stopped out, again my target was actually 3 ticks away at 106.08-106.12 depending on the volume and momentum. Initial push of trade would have potential of 37 from entry at 105.68 to 106.05. I was looking for a LH, but not by much from 106.17...feeling 106.08 - 106.12 would give me enough margin of error to exit with a decent profit.

trade3
tried a fib entry as I felt this was direction market wanted to push it due to failed counter trend earlier, and Daily trend up.
Long at 105.94, 2315CST
exited 106.00, 2354CST
price failed and imo stalled as well as volume and momentum so moved my stop exit up.
+7 lame again.

Price edged up eventually with much sideways action. It was untradeable for me as for R:R due to time of day, week and light volume.
Price did make a higher swing high to 106.38 during Frankfurt OPEN(0200EST).
Then proceeded to drop through London OPEN(0300EST)
I see Londons target of 105.25-105.35 to hit the WPP and between 50-61.8% fib of current 4hr swing

ASIA
+3
+15
+7
=25 x 2 contracts(demo).

The way I seem to be losing ticks to reversals and pullbacks makes me reconsider T1 be set in stone at 25ticks. I should consider T1 20-25ticks and watch short term PA and volume. Then let T2 break even or hit T2 which is often set using fib projection, pa and s/r. EDIT- 25ticks for T1 is not set in "stone," it is just the number I found to be appropriate for these types of trades...I got to consider market conditions, I am wary of using 25 for countertrend trades, but for trend trades I expect 25 to be hit.

No London OPEN trades for me. My brain, eyes and energy is fried.
My London OPEN CL trade would have hit if I took it. +15 for initial burst hitting both T1 and T2.
My 30min CL OPEN trade would have hit as well with T1 +25 and T2 +50.


I am going to wait till NY OPEN trade for CL

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 KahunaDog 
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I rested through NY OPEN, I needed it.
in retrospect-
NY OPEN looked like an awesome setup. Opening on prior support at 0845CST, entering using short term price action would have been difficult if one didn't account for the market about to OPEN on support. One would have to have put trade on based on time of day, even minute and had faith that short term support and opening on this support for a Monday would have been enough. The SL would have been the tricky part, possibly requiring an SL
of 22 ticks which would have been below some recent historical 30min swings. After initial response of first thrust, trade may have been scaled to allow one to maintain SL but be breakeven even if trade went slightly against one.

NY lunch
trade1 momentum trade 2 contracts
+5immediate fill and price hit in 31sec
-2 T1price hit then I moved my second contract to -2 where stop loss was immediately hit

trade2 2 contracts double header
-14 classic entry price would have brought me T1 for +5 for first contract but moved entry lower due to short term support that I felt needed to break...upon being entered price immediately went +2, but then sideways and eventually stopping me out of both contracts. In retrospect and further investigation, I missed my entry due to not blowing up my signal chart, and had a line visually blocking another level of support that could have been seen if I had enlarged chart. This would have given me +4/5 for 1 contract and a break even/-2 for other contract. Due to the counter trend nature of the double header I should have considered moving my stop earlier.

todays total for ASIA and NY is 2 contracts at
25ticks in ASIA
+5, -2 = +1.5 ticks for 2 contracts, then -14 = -12.5 for NY
+25 then -12.5 = +12.5

I'm done trading for the day. Next session will be ASIA where I'll do some homework checking Mondays price action.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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CL ASIA
7/17/13(7/16/13 for me. demo)
Bias was long for ASIA due to Hammer on Daily and yesterdays pa.
longed 106.40 due to time of day and short term(1min) HL
-9 immediately.

PA and momentum had me then think down due to hammer on 4hr.
SHORT 106.29
scaled half 106.17 due to wicks and o/c of prior(4hr) bars immediately.
exited other half 106.08 manually.
I had order at 105.95, due to 38% fib of 4hr at 105.93. 106.00 broke, but PA had me watching the chart to diligently. sigh. PA and Time of Day could make it go either way. 106.04-105.98 would have been better target. 106.04 if momentum wasn't with us and it just wicked. 105.98 to get broken SL by bears.
+12
+21

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 KahunaDog 
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CL LONDON (demo)
7/16/13
We were coming on LONDON open, about to open on psyche number, 1hr was creating a hammer, DPP was at 105.90. Basically imo opening on support in a Daily uptrend.
Long from 106.03
Exit @106.08
+ 5
EXIT @ 106.37
+34

done for the night...going relax play some video games and sleep. Might take NY Open off, I think the bulk of the move occurred, we could go higher to 110 as my earlier projection for the week, but I am leery of contuining to buy without a better pullback.

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 KahunaDog 
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I need to start posting charts...going to play with pics, video and snagit these next few weeks.

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 KahunaDog 
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Weds
7/17/2013 DEMO
-10 failed HigherLow on short time frame of visual support. good trade.
-11 same^ good trade.
+17 GC... immediately went my way, within 2min. I was too slow to move my target in a fast moving market. Must work on better target projection...I was using an ATM strategy to keep my SL within reason, but failed to get good projection. This spiked a little over 60ticks in a fast market... 50 ticks would've been my exit point for this type of trade.

NQ missed spike by seconds(0935cst on NT)... easy open off support(30min), missed a 8point trade by 1 tick. I had my limit 1 tick lower than what triggered(my limit was 3076.50, when it went from 3076.75)

Thurs
7/18/2013 DEMO
-16CL good trade mechanically bad time of day
-10CL ^ same
+1 eur/usd in London open, looking for a 4hr to daily up(spot to swing) trade... went +30, held on in hopes of it hitting a double top +- 100pips. I recognized the LH coming on London lunch, but held to +1. I accept this trade overall as a good entry and ok/good exit. An alternative could be recognizing the potential for lower high (in this long)as I did, to just scale out at known resistance, then to scale back in on further HH and HL. Good time of day, but trade went sideways, indicating mixed interest which gave me caution.

+105CL momentum trade from range breakout. I exited on LL, toward London close/NY lunch. Trade went 200ticks, to my visual support(a little past) of 108.25(weekly zone). I had drawn this long zone on sun/mon. I'm a little annoyed I didn't use a trailing stop. For Friday I'm not sure at this point if we can go to 110 or going to get covering due to 108.25 being the weekly target. As in target is hit, we may need a deeper pullback or news for spike thru 108.25 to 110.

The psyche is progressing ok to good...
It's the acceptance that profits are rarely milked for top tick, when they do it's more a matter of a rarity than something to strive for. I still strive for the zen like mentality of not a lot of exuberance or despair. It is not that I don't quelch the notion that I feel pleasure or pain, but to limit the amount thatI feel these by self talk-thought, and most of all limit to eliminate their ability to affect my actions by using a more mechanical system than intuitive one. I watched a video another poster sent me of some trader psychology this week, I found it intriguing but not in tune with my own personal view of life and the markets.
Now one would ask what credentials or credibility would a unknown single trader have vs a well known trader with a unique approach even Sigmund like to the trader psyche? My quest is not to be zen like in that I feel zero emotion, it is an acceptance of these emotions and factors, but mentally limiting the extremes these can create by, acceptance of risk and reward, breath control which may limit adrenal response either way, and greater mechanical than intuitive system.
I could see how an intuitive trader could use a different psychological strategy. For some one that digs to the root of their initial responses to life's stressors and parenting triggers.
Why my own feelings and approach to trader and life psyche? Research and case studies by Laurence Gonzales, Gavin Debecker, Gary Klein, Amanda Ripley, even Ericssons deliberate practice. All these studies imo point to similar findings. These studies often relate to life or death survival situations, but I liken death to avoidance and denial.
With a traders psychological failings relating to E Kubler-Ross's DABDA.
What I did rekindle from watching the video is to monitor my own feelings and to document them. I plan to do this for each trade and even market actions. I plan on using 1-10 and a face for various metrics - mechanical entry, psyche of entry, mechanical exit, psyche of exit. The scale I liken to the pictures in doctors office used for pain for non English/speaking persons.

In retrospect I think a large part of my recent failing was bad money management which became the catalyst to create a break in my psyche at the time. Part of this was allowing myself to be over sensitive to dollar value by having the dollar amount visible in NT chart trader. My policy now is to turn chart trader off after the trade has triggered, aor keep it on +- tick value.
EDIT- even though I blew up my account initially, I had many trades(5-10) after that blow up that could have helped me get to break even, but I chose to try to milk more ticks out of these (base hit+20-30ticks) trades that ended up turning them to +1 and even negative in some.

I'm sticking with my breathing and meditation of 100 each day...I feel there's many benefits including getting into various brain wave patterns easier. I missed my meditation yesterday, but will continue the exercise, at this point indefinitely.
On a side note, 2 kids at my sons practice yesterday hyperventilated due to being overstressed. In my day job I see a lot of these panic attack cases. I think this can/has become habitual for some. Living a life of being high strung, substance abuse and overly medicated.

Some may find this book intriguing and useful, it is not in direct regard to traders, but military, police and fire personnel.
Warrior Mindset.
Warrior Mindset: Dr. Michael Asken, Loren W. Christensen, Dave Grossman, Human Factor Research Group: 9780964920552: Amazon.com: Books

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 KahunaDog 
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On a related note I am attempting to purge... books, material, techniques and knowledge. (not to say, I am totally disregarding or throwing out, but stowing them away for now).
This is another attempt at
Depth vs Breadth.

I see my collection of books and information as a natural progression of the thought that the more information one has as the better...often the trap of living in the age of limitless knowledge.
In jiujitsu, the white(1st) belt, blue(2nd) belt even some purple(3rd) belt even higher get trapped imo of trying to learn too many techniques. This makes them jack of all trades but master of none. Often giving them mixed results, or good results against weak skilled people. This is not to say learning new things is bad, but it is more a matter of simplicity and efficiency. Being able to do an arm-bar from the top is one technique. While conceptually being able to do that same arm-bar on all people from the top, bottom, side, standing and a variety of other physical positions could be analogous to a trader performing the same technique in a variety of markets aor even market conditions. This may not be an ideal or exact translation, but I am in search of optimizing what I have.
This would be Ericsons deliberate practice.

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 GaryD 
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From an email I received today.


The ReThink Group presents Psychological Capital Tricks & Tips


"In almost 10 years of coaching traders, I have yet to hear a pro say "I need to do more trades". I have heard a few say "I would like to get a bit more aggressive in size" but I don't think I have ever heard, "I need to do more trades" outside of some context such as being on a bank desk and being too busy with other duties to get the trades in. In fact, I consistently hear, "The less I trade, the more I make".

On the other hand, something I hear all the time - from the pros to the amateurs is "I made good money but then for some reason, I went back in and gave it all back". The reasons for this run the gamut -

Basic decision fatigue - the brain gets tired and its risk decision prowess deteriorates as a trading day wears on. (This is just a neurological fact and should be worked into every market and trading plan).

The "That tasted good, I think I will have another" syndrome - this is where the joy of making money (or eating a hot fudge sundae) gets acted out in the ordering of a second sundae or trade or ... .

Some kind of unconscious discomfort with the money itself or the process of making it. This is where our brain's unconscious operation in perception and feeling patterns that appear to be fractal - repetitions of earlier experiences - comes into play.

Clearly, the habit of trading less and the pattern of giving back money have a relationship. Regardless of how self-aware you have become, if either appear to damaging your P&L, you can work with the first two reasons rather easily.

#1 requires getting comfortable with the idea that the brain tires just as muscles do and then accepting that trading is like training and NOT like running a marathon. Breaks are key to muscle development.

#2 can be solved by constantly putting into words whatever feelings are popping up. Research shows that when we put feelings into words, we are MUCH LESS likely to act those feelings out.

#3 is admittedly tough to figure out on your own but there is a guide in MARKET MIND GAMES and in our courses "Access" and "Fractal". In short, you ask yourself when in your earlier life did you feel like you are feeling now? That opens the door to dis-empowering seemingly overwhelming needs to repeat.

Trading is not a 9-5, hourly paid job. Given that, how can you reconcile its nature with yours? "


- The ReThink Group

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
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Broker: S5
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Gary is there something you read daily or frequently to help optimize your performances? Some people use creeds and the like. Something to help remind and to establish deeply convictions, parameters and no go's.


GaryD View Post
From an email I received today.


The ReThink Group presents Psychological Capital Tricks & Tips


"In almost 10 years of coaching traders, I have yet to hear a pro say "I need to do more trades". I have heard a few say "I would like to get a bit more aggressive in size" but I don't think I have ever heard, "I need to do more trades" outside of some context such as being on a bank desk and being too busy with other duties to get the trades in. In fact, I consistently hear, "The less I trade, the more I make".

On the other hand, something I hear all the time - from the pros to the amateurs is "I made good money but then for some reason, I went back in and gave it all back". The reasons for this run the gamut -

Basic decision fatigue - the brain gets tired and its risk decision prowess deteriorates as a trading day wears on. (This is just a neurological fact and should be worked into every market and trading plan).

The "That tasted good, I think I will have another" syndrome - this is where the joy of making money (or eating a hot fudge sundae) gets acted out in the ordering of a second sundae or trade or ... .

Some kind of unconscious discomfort with the money itself or the process of making it. This is where our brain's unconscious operation in perception and feeling patterns that appear to be fractal - repetitions of earlier experiences - comes into play.

Clearly, the habit of trading less and the pattern of giving back money have a relationship. Regardless of how self-aware you have become, if either appear to damaging your P&L, you can work with the first two reasons rather easily.

#1 requires getting comfortable with the idea that the brain tires just as muscles do and then accepting that trading is like training and NOT like running a marathon. Breaks are key to muscle development.

#2 can be solved by constantly putting into words whatever feelings are popping up. Research shows that when we put feelings into words, we are MUCH LESS likely to act those feelings out.

#3 is admittedly tough to figure out on your own but there is a guide in MARKET MIND GAMES and in our courses "Access" and "Fractal". In short, you ask yourself when in your earlier life did you feel like you are feeling now? That opens the door to dis-empowering seemingly overwhelming needs to repeat.

Trading is not a 9-5, hourly paid job. Given that, how can you reconcile its nature with yours? "


- The ReThink Group

Good read. Thanks for this.
Relating and introspect of self
#1 accepting some days are trend days and others Z days. 60-90% are z days... this leads me be biased to base hits(20-30ticks for some of my markets, 30-40ticks in other markets, 4hr ATR in other markets) I use 4hr ATR for reference to look at an optimal SPOT(partial session trade).
also recognizing the need to take days and sessions off from aor fatigue, non tradeable conditions projected(relative)

#2 "that taste good, i'll take another" Great analogy... In life I will leave part of my deserts to exhibit self control. In trading I will continue to use my pre marked zones to trade from, banning all trades outside of zones. I will use a daily MAX. This is contrary to play while there is sun, but too many times we give ticks/pips back. I will go SIM if I feel this urge aor even turn the CPU off and force myself to do something else not related to trading...like read, exercise, clean.

#3... hm.

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 GaryD 
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KahunaDog View Post
Gary is there something you read daily or frequently to help optimize your performances? Some people use creeds and the like. Something to help remind and to establish deeply convictions, parameters and no go's.

No, not really. I receive several emails like the one from ReThink, usually read those before the open. All of my trading books are packed away or loaned out, except for one. I am currently re-reading Mind Over Markets. The first time through it was too much detail for my knowledge at the time.

I look at charts a few hours before the open usually, think them through from weekly to 1m volume, read the news and the calendar, then try to walk outside for awhile, stretch, Yerba Mate.

I do check my thoughts, think about what my environment is like for the day. If there is something not right in my world I will often not trade, or trade one QM.

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 GaryD 
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"Fill your bowl to the brim
and it will spill.
Keep sharpening your knife
and it will blunt.
Chase after money and security
and your heart will never unclench.
Care about people's approval
and you will be their prisoner.

Do your work, then step back.
The only path to serenity."

Tao Te Ching

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 GaryD 
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KahunaDog View Post

#3... hm.

Yes, it's that damned #3 that requires some digging.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
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GaryD View Post
"Fill your bowl to the brim
and it will spill.
Keep sharpening your knife
and it will blunt.
Chase after money and security
and your heart will never unclench.
Care about people's approval
and you will be their prisoner.

Do your work, then step back.
The only path to serenity."

Tao Te Ching

Nice quote.
I like parts of the I-Ching, but haven't explored it in it's entirety.

Stoicism appeals as my personal philosophy. Though some stoics abhorred wealth, as a trader and person, I feel it is the coveting of wealth above virtue is what bothered them. Marcus Aurelius and Epictetus are some of my favorites. One a ruling emperor the other a crippled slave.

I am not an avid StarWars fan but I appreciate this Jedi code as an aspiration for stoics, the acceptance of the primal emotions present in all of us, yet for those who are strive to
Emotion, yet peace
Ignorance, yet knowledge
Passion, yet serenity
Chaos, yet harmony
Death, yet the force

I feel this code is befitting for myself as a trader.

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 KahunaDog 
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7/22/2013 Monday
Didn't get a lot of screen time so was nimble, monday and timeofday.
CL Trend day
Trend trade (in direction of intrady price) After London close/ny lunch...price broke double bottom, Edit took the retrace using former support and 00 as resistance, 38-50fib on 5min of last 'swing fib'
Took the reshort after double bottom break a little into fractal retracement and 00 psyche number.
+25 5/10/25

Getting late, time of day took afternoon trade baSed on time of day and monday ... Took a scalp looking for movment of traders lightening or zeroing out their positions of day.
Counter trend of intraday
+5
Minimal indicators today. Just price, volume & Fibs.
+30 on day

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 KahunaDog 
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Tuesday
imo tues are usually the best days of the week for trend...so far it has moved a lot
CL
+5 scalp

-10 this trade was actually a TL touch of the next trade as well near NY open, but I got whipped due to my tight SL, got to move my SL where SL has to go. Used ATM on this one and stuck with -10 SL, when it needed -12 which it moved then went my way

BE. First TL touch on 5min, with intraday(4hr trend) this went +19 from TL touch and +12 from my entry, I was looking for 50% fib retracement, but it hit 00 then failed to make LL

+21 got the NY move(London pushed her down then BLSH). Immediately after this the 10am move pulled back and would've got me Breakeven, then would've went my way for 105 ticks or so. I got to stick around for the 10am move. I noted it worked as retouch of opening range trade as well for those players.


overall
+11 on day...not great considering moves and Tuesday, but positive. I don't have a lot of screen time today as well, just a little in NY Open.

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 GaryD 
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What is your typical target and stop loss in CL?

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 KahunaDog 
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GaryD View Post
What is your typical target and stop loss in CL?

generally
breakout1
5/10/25
t1/t2/t3
initial SL 10-15, SL then moved immediately w discretion closer to BE when in profit. targets are also moved +- a few ticks.

breakout2
25/50
t1/t2
initial SL 10-25

swing1
25/50
t1/t2
initial SL 10-25

e/u and g/u
25/40
t1/t2
initial SL 10-25

What is yours?

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 GaryD 
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What is yours?

I decide based on what type of market I think it is and what the RR is. After the initial entry I drag them around based on structure. Minimum is 1.5x1, but I may scalp inside a trade at 1x1. Just curious after reading your post. Biggest this week is 53 ticks. Largest loser per contract was 14 ticks. I close a lot of trades too, without hitting either end.

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 KahunaDog 
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tues 7/23/13
CL
-4
-10 long NY open
-14 short NY open - reversed my prior trade, but the prior move seconds before had already hit bear targets, to the TICK, I had it drawn out, but expected another push lower. CL didn't and rose.
*made a mistake imo. Was NY market open...sentiment pushed price down for a fake(to targets) and I bought after targets were hit, then price rose. I was disappointed in self, but immediately identified what occurred and will stick to my buy low sell high, or sell high to buy low. BLSH, SHBL

Thurs
CL
-10
+21, decent trade, no scales. Trade would have worked well with scales.

fri 7/25/13
CL
no trades, weekly bears targets imo were met, so didn't even look at the chart


CL for the week I am looking at it going down for mon... the longs off 104.50-103.70 then rise to 105.90-106.50 or so.

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 KahunaDog 
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Continuing with a focus on my mental work this week(again).
Trading only off bull or bear zones. Buy Low - Sell High(blsh), or Sell High - Buy Low(shbl).

Working the mental edge through multiple facets, mostly process goals.
Meditation. (breathing focus to control biorhythm and autonomic nervous system)
Doing things promptly and timely outside of trading(avoiding procrastination)
Guided meditation (using trading parameters)
Exercise.

Adywans Empire Strikes Back - Raising the X-Wing - YouTube
I like how Yoda in this scene says
"do or do not"
For myself as a trader what I gain from what he is referring to is the process and continued use of mental self discipline. To expect to be disciplined within trading I must continually be disciplined in my personal life outside of trading. As in not being excessive or compulsive - this will enhance my self control, curb overtrading, compulsive trades, improper leverage.

So I take each day with a focus on being in self control, equating to self discipline. If I say I will do x, y, and z I will do x, y, and z. This may seem antithesis, but I mean I will make every efforts to make x, y, z as in many things are out of control, but those things that I can control I will do. process goals.

In the above clip he also says
"unlearn what you have learned"
This one is deep and has many levels, the obvious and the subtle aor even relative.
Essentially not all things that one believes to hold merit may hold merit.


Introspective observation for the prior week.
Last Tuesday I felt some internal compulsiveness when price hit my target drawn from sunday. I reconnected with that feeling and observed it. Through the week I continued to work my system and mental workouts.

This week I will add to my personal written logged journal my own market perceptions and observations. As in "they head faked down, to go long." "Z day" "projected targets hit" "targets failed to be hit by London close, no follow up buying" etc


News -
No Friday for me. NFP and Unemployment

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 KahunaDog 
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Sun/Mon
CL
ASIA short.
lots of confluence, it ended running +50 in Asia, but I exited.

104.69 short(with swing high of 104.72)
+25

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 KahunaDog 
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MON
CL
London
-3
-7
+1(was +16 then turned)
BE(breakeven)
BE
had a limit short at 104.45, it turned at .43, dropped to 02.

Next target for bears is 103.80 imo.
I need to wait for a better pullback for another short.
I'm waiting till NY OPEN.

For me to take a long it will have to be right around market open with a very minimal SL and scale immediately to let the rest BE. I think the long is going to be Tuesday, the way PA generally plays out it may take a few more 4hr bars.

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 KahunaDog 
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Mon
CL (DEMO)
+10 (5/10/4) moved SL up below short term candles
+20 (5/10/20) failed top, into a ma, desc TL, short term EDIT-this was move of session. short from top tick 105.23 dropped to 104.05

I need multiple demos for NT. 1 for trades in my current system and another for tinkering.
My quota for the day is +20 to +25
At that time, in this point of my trading experience and way I trade I am done Live.

NQ(DEMO2)
-4 ticks
+12

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 GaryD 
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There are times that you just know you have an edge. Trade those live if you feel right. But never assume one is any better than another, treat every trade that truly feels correct the same for longevity. There are other times you want to experiment, and that is necessary to keep moving forward. But keep that action out of your wallet.

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 KahunaDog 
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Took most of last week off due to news.

1 trade...
-12. Was a continuation of the days move, but it had touched already touched that support, respected it for a few ticks earlier, then on the next time blew through it. Must've been where more than a few people had their SL. Later price achieved my targets. LoL.
This was a finesse trade, and usually I go light on size.

Monday 8/4/13
CL
5/10/20
4/8/20
-12/-12/-12 continuation trade after lunch, visual SL was too far, should have went lower in size and kept SL where price dictates it as the trade actually worked out.
5/-2/20 continuation trade after Lunch, attempt for prior aor new highs.
5/10/0 double top, with 3/5min lower high

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 GaryD 
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KahunaDog View Post
Took most of last week off due to news.

1 trade...
-12. Was a continuation of the days move, but it had touched already touched that support, respected it for a few ticks earlier, then on the next time blew through it. Must've been where more than a few people had their SL. Later price achieved my targets. LoL.
This was a finesse trade, and usually I go light on size.

Monday 8/4/13
CL
5/10/20
4/8/20
-12/-12/-12 continuation trade after lunch, visual SL was too far, should have went lower in size and kept SL where price dictates it as the trade actually worked out.
5/-2/20 continuation trade after Lunch, attempt for prior aor new highs.
5/10/0 double top, with 3/5min lower high


After lunch was too late today. The trade was at the break of IB, anywhere between 9:20-10:30am EST

And double top is good, but not there and then if you are looking for much continuation. I hit that myself for a few ticks, but not really for that. I test myself. You want to catch that type of pattern early. What about the double bottom between 9-9:15?

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 KahunaDog 
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GaryD View Post
After lunch was too late today. The trade was at the break of IB, anywhere between 9:20-10:30am EST

And double top is good, but not there and then if you are looking for much continuation. I hit that myself for a few ticks, but not really for that. I test myself. You want to catch that type of pattern early. What about the double bottom between 9-9:15?

^noted.
What is IB? inside bar ? on what time frame? 30min?
I took the 9am move down and exited for scalp, but missed the o912 trade.
I also took the 1007 bar.

*can you point me in the easiest direction to post pics or screenshots?

8/7/13 still DEMOing
+1 sigh, LONG. price spiked 20 ticks or so for me, but then pulled back and got BreakEven(BE), overestimating target due to being Tuesday and trying to get a larger move
-13 went in small as it was not ideal time. price actually went my way, missed my target by a few ticks. walked from cpu and had atm set. This one went +15 or so. Both of these trades would have been scaled if size and time of day were in effect. But I went small and time was not good.
8/16/1 London Open 3am
5/10/5 London attempted continuation for LL. It hit my 20 tick atm t3, but I was trying for a target around 105.95
5/10/18
-12/-12/-12
-5 tried s/r long at 106.50
-5 tried s/r long, minimal confirmation at 106.30
GC -5/-5/-4 tried short on 5min lower high and time, but on 4hr support, got wicked, quickly and 5min LH.
CL -5/-10/-10
CL -10/-10/-12 106.30 again.
*CL -12/-12/-12 after lunch inside bar break- got stopped out trade went for me, in a few more minutes. need to back test this one. Not a trade in my LIVE arsenal.
CL 5/-5/20
CL 5/10/20 covering

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KahunaDog View Post
^noted.
What is IB? inside bar ? on what time frame? 30min?


*can you point me in the easiest direction to post pics or screenshots?

The first 30m after the pit open is the initial balance / IB. Price is feeliing around to see who is interested and at what price. Trying to sell that double top after lunch on trend day can cause you to focus on the trees and not the forest, in my opinion. It may work some days, but it causes you to put your energy into going countertrend, and therefore possibly miss the trend trade. Many times it will just gather enough stops to take them out and go higher.

The easiest on NT was vvScreenshot. You can set it up with a button right on your charts that automatically will post, with our without comments.

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 KahunaDog 
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8/7/2013
CL
5/0/0
5/10/0
5/10/20 sigh I had a 50 tick trigger, move happened so fast wasn't able to move the 10 tick to 50.

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 KahunaDog 
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8/8/2013
5/0/0 was plus 1 on the other legs, but filled at breakeven
5/10/45 last leg was moving SL up(down), price was out of the Bollinger band too long and moved too fast for amount of volume and time of day, I doubted there were enough 'new sellers' as marked by volume, price stalled and then popped back up. I had stop loss so took the +45

Was too fatigued to wake for o900 to trade effectively. I had multiple triggers that would have given me a 5/10/0, 50, and a 8/16/28. Glad the volatility is back in CL, seems summer is over. must compare volume later.

Calling it an early day.
EDIT - Took another trade.
4/10 this was the cover trade imo, actually went a lot more, but I don't like trying to get too much out of the cover trade as trend can sometimes continue. Good time of day for it, decent volume. Trade did what it should, after the first target of 5ticks, I slid my SL to -5 to protect myself.

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 KahunaDog 
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8/9/2013
CL
-12/-12/-12 following the system. sigh. this was ugly.
5/0/0
5/0/24 got whipped out on second leg
5/0/69 this was a long trade, I raised my target ahead of time due to appearance of trend day and s/r as well as pivot target. a confluence of ideas.
5/10/20 I thought targets for day were hit when I took this trade, but this continuation actually worked out and went to my target of 106.25. I had ATM target per my system and was unable to manage trade at time due to other happenings, if I was around and able to manage I may have tried for 106.18(106.25 was common target I saw for some traders give or take, 106.15-106.18 close enough for me if I had stayed in).

Still demoing, part of me wants to go live again now, but I am patient and I'm giving it more time. Planning and stalking my prey like a cheetah. Also, waiting on my psychology group a few more weeks to get my mental strengthening sessions going with them at their clinic. I am continuing with my daily mental rehearsals and self talk. "I'm a disciplined trader, I like that about myself, I plan my trades and trade my plans, If my system says to take a profit I take profits, If my system says to take a loss I take a loss..."

Mental discipline.- Specifically working delayed gratification in the personal life. and following thru.

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 KahunaDog 
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few trades last week. was fairly busy away from trading
-34
-17

aug20,2013 tues
the descending trendline on daily looked ominous, this was my weekly expectation
5/10/20
25/50

aug21, 2013 weds
5/10/25
I had another 25tick trigger trade, but didn't want to take it due to countertrend, thinking this had a good chance of dead cat bounce and work its way lower on top of the news risk.
Then had a with trend confirmation on lower timeframe, yet I just watched. Nice confirmation though.

still demoing.

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 KahunaDog 
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Working on tweaking a few systems lately.

System1 more slow steady, income type. If I draw on it would only be for trading related like new CPU.
Scalps - usually 2 CL trades per day may occur.
This is the one I want to run in the combine. I'm thinking the 50k combine. Not looking to trade Opm just prove a point and to take advantage of the coaching and growth from it.


System2 intraday swings, build equity. Still paper trading this one.
This is some of my current parameters
Homework
Highlight Weekly/daily/4hr/1hr swing points
Pivots
Trend lines
Fibonacci points

I want to add
Volume profile
Hvn
Lvn
Vpoc

Draw those in with the others for confluence zones. I have several triggers. Still working the bugs out and demoing those.

Looking to do the combine in January. When volume resumes post holidays.

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 KahunaDog 
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Off topic...
Can't believe with the sub $60 CL

Diesel is $4.85G
Petrol is $3.65G

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 KahunaDog 
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System1
Trade1 +5, +10, BE
CL not a lot as far as this market, but it's consistent.
I expected a Z day. Balance.

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 KahunaDog 
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This is what I'm looking at for the next 24-72hrs
CL3-15
on a 4hr with a 5ema and a 60min using volume composite

"Fibbing" the last 4hr swing the 38% comes in near 46.50, the 50% comes in near 46. Shorts should take it there, then bulls may try to enter in those zones.
If those zones hold then shorts may resume around 47.60

I got some charts drawn out, but need to figure out how to attach image again from my snagit. Going to sunday lunch with the family so will try to resume it later.

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 KahunaDog 
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Yard work today. blah.
Nice luncheon with the family.



First image is of my general idea of price action to occur(unfolding now).
I did this before lunch as mentioned above. Currently price has dropped from this image to a low 46.67 CL3-15

BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-1-2015-2-59-21-pm.pdf
.


The second image is of a volume composite with LVNs and HVNs drawn. Looking for confluence of fibonacci, time, and price action to develop with in those frames.

BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-1-2015-3-09-17-pm.pdf

Attached Thumbnails
BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-2-2015-12-14-49-am.pdf  
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 KahunaDog 
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BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-1-2015-2-59-21-pm.pdf

BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-1-2015-3-09-17-pm.pdf

BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-2-2015-12-14-49-am.pdf

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 KahunaDog 
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Looking for buys on CL around 47.70-47.90 if we pull back from this swing high, that'll be the 38% fib, near the half way point between ds1 and ds2, it's past the HVN of 48.23 in some LVNs. As well as some lower high swing points on 2/1.


If not we could range in a 'balanced' or consolidation mode from 49.50-50.50

I was also looking at the daily, with some forecasts of CL to 37, retracing back to 54.50 or so, gives a 161 fib of 37.

Attached Thumbnails
BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-3-2015-2-52-51-am.pdf  
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 KahunaDog 
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A range or balance had set up from 49.50 to 50.50
Price initially opened higher(@o900) ran to 51.20, failed then began dropping to the bottom of the range, in doing so created a Lower High on a 16range tick chart at 51.01 and a Lower High on a 5min chart at 50.92

Short term value per the Volume Composite was coming in at 49.87 or so at the time looking at the closest HVN.
The next LVN was at the bottom of the 40.50 range, 50.34. This LVN was quite low in comparison to others.

Chart Price on 1min respected to the tick the LVN, and a 1min higher low was created off it at 50.42, with 50.43 being a good BUYSTOP.
Using footprint the BID side was in an inverse.

For me this is a good combination of Price Action and Volume Profile/Composite, a good chart to revisit
HVN, LVN, break of a range, return to range as support, higher low and volume on footprint.

Attached Thumbnails
BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-3-2015-9-31-04-am.pdf   BigKahunaDogs Journal-2-3-2015-9-55-08-am.pdf  
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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
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Sweet I was fortunate enough to win the book autographed by FT71 on Peak Performance

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 KahunaDog 
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Find this hilarious yet awesome

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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KahunaDog View Post

I was also looking at the daily, with some forecasts of CL to 37, retracing back to 54.50 or so, gives a 161 fib of 37.


Funny, we reached 54.22
Everyone else must've thought that was the obvious target, now see if we tag 37.
I had this one drawn on feb1/2, a combination of
price action
candles
fibbonacci retracements and extentions
volume composite

I uninstalled completely and reinstalled my NT, runs 10x smoother and faster... though now I need to rebuild all my workspaces, templates and charts. No trading today. Did a bunch of trading related cpu stuff, listened to some videos/podcasts. Rebuilding some charts. Narrowing down some set ups and reading of the footprint as well.


This chart was made on freebie/mt4...2days ago(meaning- fibs and horizontal lines already drawn before unfolded)
I did not change a thing, aside from enlarging, I might replay the day if I get time, I'd like to see how the action on the footprint acted.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
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GaryD View Post
The first 30m after the pit open is the initial balance / IB. Price is feeliing around to see who is interested and at what price. Trying to sell that double top after lunch on trend day can cause you to focus on the trees and not the forest, in my opinion. It may work some days, but it causes you to put your energy into going countertrend, and therefore possibly miss the trend trade. Many times it will just gather enough stops to take them out and go higher.

The easiest on NT was vvScreenshot. You can set it up with a button right on your charts that automatically will post, with our without comments.

Are you still using IB? and what markets?
Volume profile - composite and footprint have made seeing the trap of the double top vs trend a bit easier.

Now I'm working on day/session types determining if we are likely to stay in current market position, or change. Balance and imbalance.
Who is pushing in charge of price?
Where is value?
What is likely outcomes considering first 2?

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 KahunaDog 
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Looking at a set up that just unfolded on CL I thought of the funny saying
"picking up nickels in front of a steam roller"

Albeit, this was a cheap trade 2-4tick risk for a 20tick return. No HEAT at all on that trade either. Volume is too light to be liquid.

So twist the saying to
"picking up nickels in front of tricycles"
Still could get a small bump, but cheap trades are often worth the risk.

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 KahunaDog 
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I am flat till next week. I need to set up my charts and templates. Do some replays of the week.

I also want to look at TOS volume/market profile stuff. Not to trade from, but for levels to identify. My NT profile stuff is a memory hog. Will look at upgrading my RAM in the next week or two to see if that will help.

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 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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KahunaDog View Post
Are you still using IB? and what markets?
Volume profile - composite and footprint have made seeing the trap of the double top vs trend a bit easier.

Now I'm working on day/session types determining if we are likely to stay in current market position, or change. Balance and imbalance.
Who is pushing in charge of price?
Where is value?
What is likely outcomes considering first 2?



I don't care about Initial Balance anymore, or footprint, or volume profile. I made a huge switch in direction, got my head in opposite directions so many times... barely survived the purge. What I thought I was learning was misguided by interpretation, and both views conflicted with what I thought I knew... Hope that clears things up

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Charts on NT back up. Hoping to do some market replay of this past weeks cL this sunday.

Trying to get ready for a combine soon. I haven't set the date but I want to do it before summer doldrums. Looking at the 30k and 50k.
Leaning to the 30k.

Going to order more RAM tonight for my cpu. I want to have 16gb for my Ram hogging stuff.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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I am going to sign up for the 30k TST combine this month.
Looking to start the TST next monday(2/16/15).

I will trade

CL and ES
Primary focus will be CL.
Hours of trading will be o900-1600 on NT, using chart trader. Looking to see if I can do the TST starting at o800 as there are some set ups I like that can happen then.
In general entries will occur between o800/o900 up to 1100 for CL.
If I trade ES entries and EXITS will likely be after lunch. These are in general and at my discretion.
I will usually not be able to watch or trade the afternoons, aside from post action aor replay.

I will use a combination of Market Structure, Price action, Fibonacci and Volume.

I will use Chart trader on NT thus I will have a Hard SL of 12 ticks. After my trade is inputted I will manually move the SL closer, often 4-7ticks. Accounting for slippage of +3 ticks against me.
The 30k Combine has a max of 3 lots.
In CL I will often move the first lot to take profit at approximately +15 to 20ticks. Then move my SL to BE or near BE.
T2/T3 will initially be 25-30ticks or so, until a decent buffer of equity is built. At that point I will use contract 3 for runners if it appears market structure will support it. In general trades will be exited before lunch.

I may post charts occasionally, but in general will not post a play by play, as it may detract from focus. I will be doing my own private journaling and logging. Hoping to work with the coaches and have a professional 3rd party perspective post Combine.
If I past the Combine I will consider my options then. I am considering moving an account with S5 for further growth after that to use their Trade Analyzer. One step at a time.
I need this to get out of a job everyone else wants to do and to help support my child's future.



RISK mangement will be my primary focus.


"Although the cheetah is the fastest animal in the world and can catch any animal on the plains, it will wait until it is absolutely sure it can catch its prey. It may hide in the bush for a week, waiting for just the right moment. It will wait for a baby antelope, and not just any baby antelope, but preferably one that is also sick or lame." Mark Weinstein, Market Wizards.

May the ticks be with me.

Let the next leg of this journey begin.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
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After reading some other Combine journals I have reconsidered and will stick to trading one product for this first Combine(as opposed to CL and ES).
I am awaiting contact from TST for this first combine.

Some parameters I will be self imposing are

1 product = CL
2 Losses in a row, = 30min minimum time out away from CPU, whether that's a walk, nap, read, game, other. Reset. When I get back a minimum 10minutes before taking another trade. Likely with my schedule, call it a day or just sim.
3 trades per day, Max. Streaks don't matter to me. Consistency and self management do.
$400 Daily loss limit (TST has $500 for 30k Combine)

Here's a chart of CL3-15 some areas I will consider doing business within the next few days.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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For the week

55.00-55.75 look intriguing and the main spot where BEARS will make a stand. I will dial the composite in for further detail, but Price action, former S/R seem that zone to be the next logical magnet.
I have a 55ma pulling down for a quick visual reference on the Daily.
Looking further back the monthly shows former S/R in 2005 and 2007 between 56 and 58.
57.50 looks very interesting and the round number psychologically appealing for a lot of traders.
I expect a slight overshoot of 57.50, maybe up to 57.70-57.85 as big players will try to blow some stops.

Pivots
52.63 = Daily M3 yearly M2

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 KahunaDog 
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CL early NY session
market was in balance ranging...

Took an early short back to daily balance.
Had a market sellstop at 52.45, got filled at 52.43, bah bad fill.
Felt some heat on this trade, it took longer than I preferred. This ended up being near the top of the session for the am. What I didn't like was the 12tick SL it necessitated, after it moved my way I moved SL to a 4tick SL, then +1. But that initial SL was larger than I prefer. Which is why I used 2contracts vs 3.

Scaled
+22 a little after daily vpoc
+38 at the bottom of the range.
Met my quota for the day. So was happy.

Market continued to drop atleast another 150+ ticks, from my entry. I haven't had a chance to dissect and look at the rest of the day. These days are why I like 3 legs on a contract. To let a runner do it's work. Having a runner is market dependant though (imo), a lot to do with daily atr and harmonics.

Unrelated to the markets my Snagit was acting up. It crashed 3x trying to screenshot. It might be the RAM as I mentioned in the other posts. I got some screen shots I will post tomorrow.

Listened to Ft71s HolyGrail interview by BigMike. Good stuff. Took notes and will make some adjustments.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Here's the shot of yesterdays trade. Was unable to trade today(2/11/2015). These are not my execution charts.
This is why I like to run 3 legs on a trade, it ran 150ticks(+).

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
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KahunaDog View Post
CL early NY session
market was in balance ranging...

Took an early short back to daily balance.
Had a market sellstop at 52.45, got filled at 52.43, bah bad fill.
Felt some heat on this trade, it took longer than I preferred. This ended up being near the top of the session for the am. What I didn't like was the 12tick SL it necessitated, after it moved my way I moved SL to a 4tick SL, then +1. But that initial SL was larger than I prefer. Which is why I used 2contracts vs 3.

Scaled
+22 a little after daily vpoc
+38 at the bottom of the range.
Met my quota for the day. So was happy.

Market continued to drop atleast another 150+ ticks, from my entry. I haven't had a chance to dissect and look at the rest of the day. These days are why I like 3 legs on a contract. To let a runner do it's work. Having a runner is market dependant though (imo), a lot to do with daily atr and harmonics.

Unrelated to the markets my Snagit was acting up. It crashed 3x trying to screenshot. It might be the RAM as I mentioned in the other posts. I got some screen shots I will post tomorrow.

Listened to Ft71s HolyGrail interview by BigMike. Good stuff. Took notes and will make some adjustments.

Did this on my phone later in the day, was-
+17
+38

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Starting TST 30k Combine monday 2/16.(next week) Wish me good fortune.
Writing a few more notes and comments in my personal journal and SOPs for my upcoming combine.
Process Goals.
*meditation
*things to do routinely every x minutes
*accepted behaviors in each part of the trading environment - spotting, stalking, engaging
*post day - trade review:location of zones, price action, actual entry location, exit(S)
*market analysis
*engagement zones
Trade Journals.
Hours of Business(meditation/premkt zones refinement from ont o815-o859, execution o900-1200, market analysis/potential price action/zones set ups 2100-2200)
Max contracts per capital.(on top of TST) Contract scaling. Thinking of only using 3rd contract after + $900
Daily Max loss.(on top of TST)
Weekly Max Loss.
Max trades per day.3trades. Max4 total trades if I trade afternoon.
Errors.(Defining errors, good decisions vs bad decisions)
Defining trading rules of engagement
Defining spotting, stalking and engaging
Meditation - breath counting, price action visualization, self visualization stalking, execution,
Locking in profits. BE point.
Pre market rituals.
Post day actions.
Time Out rules. 2 losses in a row. 30min timeout. On top of adhering to loss limit.
Maxims, NLP, etc for specific situations. stalking- "patiently wait in the bush", execution "one shot, one kill", profitable trade "professionalism", hesitation "good decisions, bad decisions", low fruit "cheap trades", good trade turns to loss "good decisions, bad decisions", mental mistake "focus, breathe, bring it in"
Quota(daily profit target) 35ticks +$350, exceptional daily target 50ticks +$500

I'm still juggling a quota to make per week to meet the standards. With the Profit target of $1500 and Daily Max limit of $500.
With my targets(t1,t2) and market(CL). For my primary set up Three trades "up" will put me at $1500. T1 is often 15-25, and t2 is often 20-30 depending on market rotation, time of day and several other factors. Hard Stop Loss is set at 12ticks, meaning -24ticks if my hard SL is hit. Essentially that means I can BreakEven with 1winning trade(t1+t2) and 2Losses.

Part of a matrix I've worked out for my Primary set up using 2 Contracts trading CL. 1win=+50ticks 1loss=-24ticks
W=wins, L=losses. (note I am not an ALL IN, ALL OUT trader, but this is for a generic outlook and mental fortitude)

0W-7L = BLOW UP(forfeit Combine)
0W -6L = -144
0W-5L = -120
0W-4L = -96
0W-3L = -72
0W-2L = -48

**1W-2L = BE**

2W-2L = +52
3W-2L = +100
3W-3L= +78
4W-2L = +150
4W-3L= +128


I am also debating on when to use the 3rd contract as it is a double edged sword. I am leaning to profit of + $900-1000. A third contract as a runner often produces outlier results. I am looking to show consistency, not the streaky nature of a gambler. I am also looking to show consistent risk management that every professional demands of them self.


If I don't make it succesfully this Combine I'd like to figure out some specific actions to take to improve. I want to get some solid advice no matter what from TopStep.
I have 2 primary purposes for this Combine

1. Prove I can do it, to possibly get funded by rolling over to the 50k and possibly 100k combine
2. Improve and Enhance my trading in a competitive and supervised environment by professionals who've seen hundreds of traders across the spectrum. Then to receive feedback from them which I will implement.

When doing my TST trial I had trouble setting up demo on top of my multi broker NT account. Hopefully I can be up and running ASAP and be ready if Monday(2/16) provides opportunities.

Off topic post combine I'm looking at other platforms. Sierra Charts and Market Delta are the primary ones. My NT keeps crashing and seems unstable.
Stability in a platform is of utmost importance to me.
I've run other products over the years, Qcharts, Esignal, Fibonacci Trader. NT has some great features, but it hogs so much memory and seems unstable as how many times it has crashed, especially minutes from a trade. I have literally been in positions where I was in my position for entry orders to have NT crash.

Sierra and MD are the ones I am looking at because of the profile stuff, but the price of SC and number of people using SC seems higher.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Changed Combine start day to Tuesday 2/17 due to President's day.

2/13/15 Missed the Lunch sell off in CL, I was waiting for a final push of 5-10more ticks just under 53.50 vs the 53.44 then drop on CL3-15(buyer weakness). The Valentine day weekend and Friday has sent traders home early, creating some lower volume. It turned into a 100tick drop, unmanagable for me to enter safely(R:R)
I usually like to flow with the volume, thus trades on Friday I am looking for the weekend cover if the week ran a trend. A lot of my trades, I try to use peoples tendencies against them. I'm a clock watcher. People like to trade, eat, leave early, go home.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Got my log in for TST NT. Inputted some of it. Waiting on the Rithmic trader. I think it needs to be the date of my Combine start to allow me to go on.
Using NT multibroker.
This weekend I updated and cleaned several dozen drivers on my cpu. This should've been done at the beginning of last week in case there are a few bugs. It took a lot of time to update my drivers. CPU seems to be working smoothly at the moment. For NT I deleted old marketdelta data that my charts needed. It only needs to store a few days of data for the footprint. I think this should free a lot of the CPU ability up.

Ready to ROCK.
Started some pre market analysis on CL. Need a bit more for the rest of the week.
News- inventories on thursday this week at 1100.
Going to try to sleep early for an early rise. Schedule like clockwork.

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 KahunaDog 
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2/17/15
trade1
-12
let it work to my HSL as I was in the zone, after getting HardStoplossed out next few bars offered a signal long and missed +30ticks(t1 and t2). Should've took the -8 it required then re-entered when signal bar showed
0825-0840 on Ninjatrader chart for CL315

off topic
I Had plotted the swing high in the Euro session prior to it printing, at 53.55, would've been hard to get in for me the way I to enter if I was watching it though. Nice to know the levels I'm watching are respected. I was looking for the short starting at 53.55 to 53.63


2/18/15
trade2
got retail flushed,
-5
Attachment1

Then tried to work an order, missed entry (+20 and BE if it entered) on the next few bars. SNAGIT still giving issues, wondering if it does that cause it there is a new version. When out of market going to download JING. Jeesh that it's another techsmith product as Snagit. wtf.
I also don't know why my screenshots are CUT OFF on the right side, will try to figure that out later.

will try post image later, I am trying to work my snagit

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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2/18/15
trade3 of TST trade 2 of day
-5


Talk to self says -
Look at my exact entries and levels, this one Stops me to the TICK.

(sarcastically)Of course my t1 and t2 would've hit and if I had enough size t3 would've been a 100tick runner.

My next long level is 51.25-51.50. HVN I'm looking at is 51.34

I'm done for the day.

EDIT- the ARROWs BLUE entry, PINK exit show orders filled

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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No trades today and likely tomorrow. My kid is sick like a dog and gf bday tomorrow. Friday will likely be the next day I can trade, if CL keeps dumping today and tomorrow we may see some covering friday.
Going to still do my homework and some journaling. I listened to ft71sJodie spotlight trader interview. I like to listen to these things as I commute.
I just read MichaelPataks response in his AMA saying 46 traders have been funded so far this year. That's awesome. I wonder how many are on futures.io (formerly BMT). ? And noted the 1.5week turnaround time from trader prep to being funded. Great.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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I have Fxsmarttools Trader Log, but am going to try out the free demo of Tradervue.
I almost exclusively trade Futures and Fxsmarttools log only covers forex. It is less automated is a con, but in Fxsmarttools I can input my own parameters even options.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
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Good morning.
Woke to find a trade I made in Asia became the high of Asia and London, pulled only +15, +25 out of her due to size.
sigh. This one was live. Not in my TST. 5ticks risk.

And bah screenshotting then accidently closed a chart trying to minimize screenshot software this I missed my 30+ entry.
sigh. I saw it, watched the clock but missed it literally by 2-4seconds due to distracted.
Squeezed into the same trade with 1lot, 4ticks risk, up +15-20now on my 1lot. Due to the rotation, it seems to going to make me +1....arghhh when my t1 and t2 would've been filled if my chart didn't accidently close. Lesson noted. Look at hot key screenshots later today

EDIT
here's the screenshot of the trades.
Ended up with +14, price had to pullback for the rotation and considering I had 3losers in a row, needed for the TST to get on the board. Still disappointed I missed my other entry. That's the thing about trading, strive for perfection, but to accept it'll never occur and to be satisfied with what one can pull from the market.

So my first TST winner
+14, 6ticks risk.

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 KahunaDog 
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Here's my Hypo1 and Hypo2 for London/NY to lunch
dark blue more likely
turquoise(cyan) less likely

51.25-51.50 looks like a primary short zone for bears
the price action isn't bullish for me, we'd require a longer consolidation period with more lows that edge up

The swings down likely cooinciding around NY open when money comes/leaves into the market
Any signals near the open around 51.25-51.50 I'm looking to short

We're in balance and going to want to go back up before we can proceed further down.

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 KahunaDog 
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using cheapo mt4 and pivots with s/r


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 KahunaDog 
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Changing my account from NT who I defaulted to when Mirus went down and switching to S5. A few cents difference per side doesn't really matter to me vs the full service of a broker, the analyzer, the chat room, weekly educational webinars and other things.

I could see NT making a difference if I was doing several thousand turns a month, but for my stage and style rapid scalping doesn't make sense.

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 KahunaDog 
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The swing highs in NY were hard to grab for the short, I had no technical set up that I use, minimal to lean on if it kept going long.

The news also made the am tough for me. Tried some covering longs, but the shorts were too strong and got stopped out 2x.

London
sim
+17, +3(raised from BE)
+15, +1(raised from BE) got slipped, the rotation was good, but the slippage had me miss t2(will consider taking two t1's vs a t2 if slipped 3ticks to get in again).

NY
tst
took some small loses again. bah. tried to catch a cover-reversal into the close.


I now plan to bat for singles till I can add a contract to build the cushion.
Trading with 1 lot is a lot harder as you must decide if you're going to take profit on the first swing, or the chance of break even.

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 KahunaDog 
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Waited patiently all day thru the oil inventories for a set up. Had a low risk decent set up near lunch, risk to reward 1:2

Took a counter trend trade coming into lunch, immediate ticks my way. As it rose I was about to moved both contracts to the same profit due needing to make singles for the TST and the type of trade I thought it was. Too late. I didn't get my fill though price printed t1 exactly and reversed. It immediately then turned back to the current short term trend long. Too slow to move it anymore than SL +1(that might make me rethink my break even tactics).

I made a trading error today, and had it on "sim" vs "TST" as I watched my live order and figured out it was a demo.
Had to move my StopLoss to +1 and it got hit. Thus sadly 2 contracts and +15each, turned to 2 contracts + 1 each.

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 KahunaDog 
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2/25/15
No trades, I was operating on low sleep so needed 2more hours of sleep.
My homework lines were respected, there was a near perfect set up 2min before London open. Opening just under resistance(one of my homework lines) in a downtrending(weekly/daily) market, forming a lower high on the short term, risk was 5ticks for a 48tick leg down. Nice move I missed.

Sometimes I try to get a swing trade as I sleep(thru London am) if London Open has a set up.

For my normal trading hours, NY am today I missed 4 legitimate trades(+15/+25, -6/-6, -5/-5, +15/+25) as I slept thru purposefully today. Systems going good. Just need the time at cpu and discipline to implement correctly.

Still not positive in TST. But am confidant with the methodology I am using. Need a bit of work on the discipline of order entry as I've had errors(2) on entries using sim vs tst vs my live acct. Considering bringing up stop loss to Break even at +12ticks from the signal. This way I respect the normal rotation even if I have a slipped entry I can go break even.

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 KahunaDog 
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Took this sim and small live.
Small due to volume and time of day.

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 KahunaDog 
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^
-6
volumes too light this time of day

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 KahunaDog 
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Adjusting my Break even (BE) point several ticks from t1 with Ninjatrader ATM. I used to go BE for t2 after t1 was hit(manually), but markets been changing and CL can move against one fast.

This hasn't been a good first Combine. But I am confidant with my methodology. Might have to back-test and sim more before I can pass the Combine. I've signed with S5 this past week and will begin using their perks like the trade analyzer on top of using Tradervue.

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 KahunaDog 
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This is what I'm looking at, the next supports I'm seeing this drop to is

49.15
48.90

While the 4hr and weekly I'm concerned about a higher low being created, by the bulls...thus slowing or tripping up the bears




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 KahunaDog 
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I've been laying low looking for set ups and waiting out some of the news. I was close to my max drawdown so trying to cherry pick days and set ups.

TST - failed


I surpassed the MAX drawdown on my TST Combine.

I am reviewing my trades this weekend.


I have begun using Tradervue and finding it especially useful with some of my errors. I need to clean up my errors. I have been missing trades. As in there are trades and I am there and not take them, or I am physically not there.
There are also errors unrelated to trading. A few times I took trades on my Sim and not on the TST account.

I have also begun using S5 trade analyzer. My funds transfer should be finished by next week, then I will have full access to their perks. There is another trade analyzer I have access to as well, will consider using it later, it's similar to TST in documentation for prop trading.

TST
Bad news
Failed Max drawdown
I need more structure while waiting for my levels - missed some trades(some by mere nano secs, some AFK)



Good news

My Stop Losses never exceeded my parameters(15ticks)
Kept Daily Max Losses within parameters
Always ran a Hard Stop Loss "except for an entry error" which I had to manually exit.
Kept total daily trades under 4 a day
Had enough discipline to keep trade type to 2 trade types

Plan of Action
*Keep working on my Process goals during the day, refining it...keep some of the good, expunge the negligible
*More back testing - I need to see if playing more with my Stop Loss by 1to3ticks will matter, as multiple trades stopped to the tick. Literally picked the top/bottom of the day.
*Going to run more sims - watching Naked Price Action(rustier than I thought), basic patterns, 1 or 2 mas for direction and moving s/r
*Tweak entry parameters - looser, tighter, see if it matters


Ultimately there are several things I need to work on, for me to move forward and progress.

*Discipline while waiting for the trade to set up. Part of this I am addressing with a level alarm and homework notes
*Make and utilize a better checklist when deciding to Fire off a trade. ie- acct#, lot total, atm type, More than 1 error from here
*re-Make Actions to take During Trades. When to keep SL loose vs Moving Stops tighter, pattern failure recognition -signalling to dos,
*TST specific I think I may need to restrategize my scaling, possibly even a (EDIT- ) different market or sized account to keep % of capital with in confines of being able to stay in the game after a series of losses.


I also have some statistics I want to investigate on CL. With regards to various including time, length of runs, time in trades, regression trades, etc.

I will also consider trading another market. CL moves so fast at times it is a double edged sword.
I've had success in ES over the long term(not recently since not tracking it) and may consider watching it more closely and going back. ES moves slower, so I can check the chart every couple of minutes...vs CL develops faster and can breakout or be at and pass my entries before I can move.
It is a conundrum...CL movement, ES trade range. Possibly different types of traders and styles from entry, SL and management.

Also a 'want' is I'd like to get a better cpu designed for trading. NT crashes atleast 1x a week and I want to run Sierra or similar for volume profiling.

OT
Kewl that the trader - PACTRADER, is a TST newly funded trader, trades only CL and from the same island I am. I would like to hook up with him, another kewl factor, he bumped futures.io (formerly BMT) in his TST interview(I've yet to listen to it, but said in email or his profile on TST).

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 KahunaDog 
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Some Jesse Livermore quotes for the mental capitol

"Tape reading was an important part of the game, so was beginning at the right time, so was sticking to your position. But my greatest discovery was that a man must study general conditions, to size them so as to be able to anticipate probabilities"

"Emotional control is the most essential factor in playing the market. Never lose control of your emotions when the market moves against you. Don't get too confidant over your wins or too despondent over your losses."


A lot of 'experts' and professionals mention Psychology. I was thinking about this recent Combine as I was at the gym.
Psychology hasn't been a Huge issue at this time. For me this was due to I know my signal and parameters of entry. SL is a clear line in the sand. It either profits or takes a "cost of doing business"(loss). The cost of doing business is capped per trade. Profits are capped per trade. Daily Max loss and Daily Max trades cap losses.
These things help prevent the dreaded TILT.


I will work on my paper trading
Specifically
Expectancy - starting with 30trades using Tradervue and s5 analyser.
figure my K-ratio


Maintaining
KISS
same homework strategy
same entry signal
same business hours


To consider altering
due to cL volatility and thin market giving a certain buffer for my s/r lines for both entries and targets
will consider 1-2+ ticks more than my former exit signal, if SL parameters are within and will be in guidelines
daily checklists during day
entry checklists
minimizing execution chart till within 15 or so ticks of entry
will look at using a t3 as average win to loss ratio will be significantly higher and statistically my t3 is a statistical number that occurs regularly


Clean up my non trade related errors.
Figure my expectancy and K ratio
Finally, Risk Management is my number one priority.

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 KahunaDog 
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I am always amazed and entertained at the plethora of Yoda type articles and traders pointing at psychology as their issues.
(how much of this is marketing? how much geared to retail traders? how many punters just parroting?)


I feel this is cliche.
If 90% of the market participants loose...
then why are so many 'experts' saying it's psychological?



If you have a method. With clear near mechanical like parameters, psychology shouldn't be an issue. Signal to enter. Parameters or signal to exit.

Scientific method. Come up with hypothesis, set parameters, get a small sample size, analyze-refine, execute larger sample size, analyze, repeat.

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 KahunaDog 
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A bit miffed. I keep picking the trades right before a big move then get stopped out. Not 1x, not 2x but multiple times like 25+. Half I am not letting the trade work by dialing down the StopLoss and hiding behind a big buyer or seller, the other half I get wicked.

ie-
short CL at 43.80, it then in the next few bars drops to 42.60...100plus ticks. I had moved my SL to 43.81 cause price didn't move right away.
short GC 1151.80, it drops 10.00 (or 100ticks) but at 1150.00 it wicks me out(-10) on a retail flush and possibly on sitting on orders there. I did make an error here in not moving stop to break even after + my BE point.
Others as well.

I'm having 3 other people study my trades on Tradervue journal for next week, so hopefully we can dial it in a bit more. I don't want to be loose on my Stops as Risk is my primary concern.

The Tradervue is going well, I like it, just need to learn it and practice a few more things on it. I also want to have a more consistent template on my input.

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 Silver Dragon 
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KahunaDog View Post
I am always amazed and entertained at the plethora of Yoda type articles and traders pointing at psychology as their issues.
(how much of this is marketing? how much geared to retail traders? how many punters just parroting?)


I feel this is cliche.
If 90% of the market participants loose...
then why are so many 'experts' saying it's psychological?



If you have a method. With clear near mechanical like parameters, psychology shouldn't be an issue. Signal to enter. Parameters or signal to exit.

Scientific method. Come up with hypothesis, set parameters, get a small sample size, analyze-refine, execute larger sample size, analyze, repeat.

I think it depends on your personality and how you deal with the day to day. If you have the personality who can focus and follow through with a plan then what you said applies. However, in my case I suffer from distraction and always wanting to make it better and general lack of focus when executing a plan. Several years ago if you were to give me a plan I would have not been able to follow it. However, using mindfulness I have been able to identify what gets me off track and keep it under control. As such my trading has improved.

There is a test out there called HBDI. You can Google it. It identifies your brain dominance. I am dominant Yellow / Blue with some Green and Red. Which means, I am able to see the big picture (Yellow), I am able to anlayze the problem and come up with t a better solution (Blue), however I am unable to consistently execute the solution/plan because of my lack Green. As a side note this is improving. On the plus side I dont get very upset about problems because I lack red. This would explain why I am still trading. Edit: I think people who are Blue/Green dominant would have a distinct advantage in trading.

Curious as to where you think you fit.

Robert



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 KahunaDog 
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Silver Dragon View Post
I think it depends on your personality and how you deal with the day to day. If you have the personality who can focus and follow through with a plan then what you said applies. However, in my case I suffer from distraction and always wanting to make it better and general lack of focus when executing a plan. Several years ago if you were to give me a plan I would have not been able to follow it. However, using mindfulness I have been able to identify what gets me off track and keep it under control. As such my trading has improved.

There is a test out there called HBDI. You can Google it. It identifies your brain dominance. I am dominant Yellow / Blue with some Green and Red. Which means, I am able to see the big picture (Yellow), I am able to anlayze the problem and come up with t a better solution (Blue), however I am unable to consistently execute the solution/plan because of my lack Green. As a side note this is improving. On the plus side I dont get very upset about problems because I lack red. This would explain why I am still trading. Edit: I think people who are Blue/Green dominant would have a distinct advantage in trading.

Curious as to where you think you fit.

Robert



I've been trying to locate a FREE HBDI test.
I found a test that was similar noting I was left hemisphere dominant. But I'd like to take the actual test free.

I have taken the BriggsMeyers on several occasions in the past and if I recall correctly I seem to be
INTJ
though I do exhibit some
INTP

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 KahunaDog 
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The gf of 15+ yrs says I am
INTJ...

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 KahunaDog 
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Had some decent trades this week in sim on CL.
(BUT,) I am going to go back to trading ES. CL and ES are different animals, and making daily bread on ES fits my style better. Homeruns are for suckers and those with enough size to leave a few runners. The ES market moves a little slower, set ups take longer and small players and institutions can't manipulate the markets as easy. Retail flushes happen less, are slower to materialize and it's easier to see if the breaks are a flush or real buyers/sellers. CL is more like a Sexy but Crazy girlfriend. Sometimes you get the ride of your life, others she'll try to gouge and stab you. Example, yesterday was up +23 in CL, walked over to the kitchen to grab a cup of water, got my SL hit for +4. Yes, it's also management, but wow, turned for 45sec and sucker punched.

My transition with S5 finally finished. Hoping to get some feedback using their analyzer after 20-25 sim trades or so. I got another analyzer from a prop firm, but am going to hold off on it for now. Did a little chart viewing and set up on TOS as a back up chart package. I've actually minimized the charts I needed to monitor so I want to see how that goes this week on NT to free it up and reduce freezing.
I never liked the idea of OPM, but minimum personal risk and good splits makes more sense now. Working to get funded by years end. Lots of leg work for now in back testing, screen time and journaling.

EDIT-
More base hits for daily bread in ES for my style

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 KahunaDog 
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Sunday plan
25 ES trades backtesting - notes, train eye and reaction
set up ES ATM on Ninjatrader for my daily bread trades
watch more TRADERVUE trade journal videos on uploading and tips

other things for this week
figure how to quickly share a screenshot on skype using snagit, i prefer not to use another software like gyazoo
get my friend to help me set up my tos charts and other nuances on tos

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 KahunaDog 
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Lots of back testing done reading the tape this weekend. A potential issue I forsee is I am doing back testing at speed on replay. 1-8x speed. As the numbers fly by I can read them, but they will actually be slower, which even though I am back testing at times I can feel some boredom watching just the numbers. I will have to build my focus up on this. I am going to figure out how I can read the tape and take a minute or two off the tape. I think it is achievable as my homework levels will give context.

I have worked back to a scalping method on the ES. It is not price action based, but number based on tape reading. In the past I've scalped the ES for a year straight profitably. I dropped it due to relationship issues and trading... my trading day begins at 145am Hawaii time. Conflicts.

My conflicts are now resolved, and I am back to trading NY.

Scalping is not my end goal, but a daily bread type trade to get ticks and experience.
Good news on the back testing, my eye is getting better, my minimum scalp was achievable even with a tick on each side for slippage(unlikely). Many of the trades had more ticks in them for a scale when trading size. The scalping will work on range days and trend days. Balance and Imbalance.
Back tested on pure tape reading, no levels seriously drawn.

Planning to scalp this entire week
. Trying to get a baseline for my trade analyzer.
My hours of business are o800-1200NY. From o800-o920 watch market, take a break from o920-o950NY, then 1000-1200. I let the market fight it out ffrom o920-1000. Then I resume at 1000-1200NY. There are a few end of day trades I have an edge on, but I will have trouble getting to cpu then.
I have to figure out how to get back to my charts by 1300NY on 1or2 days of the week. My plan is to hopefully meet my daily tick goals by 1115NY. I usually have to take my kid to school by 1200NY.

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 KahunaDog 
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Silver Dragon View Post
I think it depends on your personality and how you deal with the day to day. If you have the personality who can focus and follow through with a plan then what you said applies. However, in my case I suffer from distraction and always wanting to make it better and general lack of focus when executing a plan. Several years ago if you were to give me a plan I would have not been able to follow it. However, using mindfulness I have been able to identify what gets me off track and keep it under control. As such my trading has improved.

There is a test out there called HBDI. You can Google it. It identifies your brain dominance. I am dominant Yellow / Blue with some Green and Red. Which means, I am able to see the big picture (Yellow), I am able to anlayze the problem and come up with t a better solution (Blue), however I am unable to consistently execute the solution/plan because of my lack Green. As a side note this is improving. On the plus side I dont get very upset about problems because I lack red. This would explain why I am still trading. Edit: I think people who are Blue/Green dominant would have a distinct advantage in trading.

Curious as to where you think you fit.

Robert



Have you done the Briggs Meyers test Silver Dragon?

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 Silver Dragon 
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Have you done the Briggs Meyers test Silver Dragon?


I did many years ago, I am a INTP; The Architect. Havent changed much, although, the "I" might be a "E" now. I have come out of my shell from those days. I love to fix things and come up with solutions to unsolvable problems. Understanding why things happen is important to me although most other people dont care.. they just want it fixed. The job I have now is pretty much my dream job which is sitting around and thinking up solutions, implementing them and solving problems. I love my independence and freedom which is probably why I am drawn to trading. That and the market is the the most complex problem out there!

Robert

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Scalping this week to build momentum in ES.
It is going reasonably well.
Finding the ES pulse again.
5 trades today, all scalps.
4of5 winners
1of5 scratched it. Good timing as market went against my position and I pulled BE before rest of market followed.

Of the 4winners, 3 were 4+ point swings(16+ticks). I scalped, but my scalp was to enter in general into multi point swings.
I am scalping to build my timing again. Not to pull money out. (Yet).


CL ran today, I did some mental trades, but I've moved markets and will now specialize in the ES.
Imo scalping ES and CL differ, as a few market makers can at times move CL to create a retail flush, while ES requires many more orders to sway it. This makes it more consistent in keeping risks low and calculable. It also means a scalper in cL if playing the noise will have difficulty at times with fills and gaining size. While an ES scalper has a better chance of scaling small to big because of the larger liquidity.

Started reading
The Hour Between Dog and Wolf:How risk taking transforms us, body and mind

This week will continue to be about Scalping and reading order flow at critical points (homework levels) and points of oppurtunity. Finding trapped traders - recognizing and acting efficiently. I call this in part a scalp as I should feel minimal heat (in my system).
Brushing it up with market replays of prior days at critical points, to visually build a mental library of how bulls and bears fight, recognizing the turn and pouncing. Minimal Heat.
Considering building another week or three scalping and continuing market replays. I need the practice. Got 5days off from the regular career.

Feeling optimistic, but staying grounded.
Some parameters helping me are operating between o800to1200NY, walking if bored, tea to stay hydrated and awake (o200am here). I will try to get more sleep. Operating on 3hrs right now.

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  #89 (permalink)
 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

I am at the point of cutting away most indicators,

But I am always on the lookout for things to enhance accountability and trackability


I like Tradervue. The downside of Tradervue is it takes time away from the screen, if I am inputting while my trade is live and if I wait little things may be missed. If I try to wait till days end, I miss much of what I was thinking from what I was seeing and my decision process at the time.

So on top of Tradervue, I purchased JournalLync from Indicatorwarehouse which automatically syncs/inputs my trades into Tradervue. I could do it at the end of the day, or during the live trade but those detract from my performance and attention on where it should be...the trade itself and the market.

I am going to continue to use Snagit. Take a screenshot after entry and save. Take a screenshot after exit(and save). After days end or in a lull I will paste screenshots with the Tradervue journal that was automatically synchronized. There are also several thought processes that go through my head when filtering and entering trades. I may use a handwritten journal with Shorthand or a word document with a list of various thought processes and sentences on a document which I could copy/paste into the journal, doing so would reduce time away from charts.

Here is the link to the Tradervue (third party) ADD-ON product
https://indicatorwarehouse.com/ninjatrader-indicator/ninjatrader-journal-lync-for-tradervue/


A video on Journaling...some of you may like it

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
KahunaDog's Avatar
 
Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Week went fairly well
Lots done.

Got my online journal (semi)automated(Tradervue). Took a few bumps on thursday demoing some trades to make sure the journal worked and synchronized to my NT account. Got a stupid parking meter ticket while I ate at a cafe trying to fiddle online with synchronizing my journal(next time set my cell alarm on timer for parking meter, $15lunch turned into $50...aka 1point/1car in ES). Today I found how to seperate the trades taken in the same market instead of them being inputted as a group.

My account with Stage5 finally went through completely(transfers, waivers, etc.etc.). Took a few emails with those helpful people.


Finding the market pulse of the ES going well.
Ended friday decent
5 trades
4winners: 3true scalps, 1scalp(I treated as scalp but was homework level so had more tick, but I scalped)
1costofbusiness: (-3ticks) trader(input) error

Minimal Heat today as planned. Will be looking to scale out then In this week after in positive(mental drill only this coming week).

I did make 2 errors today, one was the -3ticks, I inputted entry on the wrong chart, which didn't have an atm and had to manually exit. I should have closed immediately, but trade was in profit with 1tick short of my scalp before it turned. I would likely have moved sL to break even if I had an atm on it, thus would've been +1 or at worse -2. The other error I entered earlier than necessary by 2 ticks, the trade worked out, but the trade required a 7tick sL when the better entry had a 4tick sL.
Overall many less Errors this week. Getting comfortable with my recent set up and programs.

Felt a bit disappointed on the CL run of 200ticks short at lunch Friday. AFK, happened at a planned level, had minimal risk.
But, I am ok with trades I miss at this point but most of all CL is on the backburner as far as trading. Will focus on my ES trades.

This weekend. Watch/listen to some things for psychological capitol. Take some notes, reexamine my self and system. Build some mental capitol. Read more of that book The hour between Dog and Wolf. Chill with the family. Be ready for monday.

Next week
Read and feel the ES pulse.
Keep Stops tight, try not to take the full SL if market goes against my position.
Scalp ES. Looking for 15-25trades. My criteria will be 70% winners. I want a sample base of 25 for this system. Next week I am starting the sample at 0.

Goals for the week

Do my Homework
Plan my Levels : set alarms
Trade my Levels
Practice stoicism: Control what I can control, Accept what I can't control
Write in my Log: market and personal observations
Keep accurate and review my online Trade journal
Slow to Enter. Quick to Exit. Hide behind the big boys. Look where to Add on winners(look only this week).

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Trading is going reasonably well. Small profits, small losses and trying to recognize the scratch when needed.

What I am really liking is integrating my automated journal using Tradervue. Not to sound like a shell, but it is pretty awesome for tracking as I am using that 3rd party auto input. Basically I take my entry, if it seems there is time get an entry screenshot, and then when I exit I take a exit screenshot. Then I go to my images, decide if I want to draw or mark them. At that point I input my wording into my journal where it automatically inputted it then I talk about my entry, exit, logic, etc. Then I just simply drag my images onto the journal and am done.

I am using the Silver membership, but note there is a FREE version that you get 100 trades per month.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

This week
timing is getting better
anticipating is getting better

Next week
Set my ALERTs more frequently.
Recognize what market Stage the market I am in is currently in and trying to get to
Using multiple legs on sim trades if market looks to trend
Look at cL again but use ALERTS and only trade using homework levels and read market with 30min framework
Preplan levels and note any patterns draw them on larger time charts
Anticipate Tape better

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Fought the trend in the ES today, but I survived and switched my bias. Picked the direction in cL looking for longs but got stopped out break even.

cL
-10 sim
+25 turned to a scratch, bah sim

ES
+5 long sim Low of day...dang
-1 short scratched them as tide changed against me Live
-1 short Live
-6 short Live error in entry, and slow to acknowledge trend resumption Live
+17 long Live, bah it ran a lot more but end of rotation

Getting the pulse back. Working on my fibs more and flow. I'm ok with performance today, except entry error...somehow it didn't set my ATM, thus lost 1to2ticks more than I wanted to. I was somewhat pleased I didn't try to short the whole day and be unwilling to change bias, as days like today would set me back a week or so of profits in the past. Pleased on killing dead trades with finesse.

I squeezed out a 8to9 tick profit. With 4contracts and scales it would've been enough to live on.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Trading is more consistent these past few months.
Trading both retail fx and futures.
Averaging about 150-220 futures ticks a week.
Fx retail varies. 30 to 350 pips.
This week was a good, win:cost ratio was good. 8:10.
+540gross total pips/ticks to -22(-16,-3/-3).

Skills I'm working on improving
Let certain winners run to the next session.
Recogqqnize and act to exit if in on the tide change of other side gaining(reducing loss size).

I may try for the Topstep combine again, but I am already trying out for another prop firm. Working to stay consistent. Week after week. Sometimes its 3weeks up consistently then a bad day/week. I will account part of the bad/day week to overtrading. Possibly trading the trees vs the forest. Too micro.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

ES trading is going well this week. Nice equity curve. I am decently consistent week after week with the ES if I cherry pick. I will continue to cherry pick and be vigilant to scratch trades when needed.


My cL trades still have to be kept on demo ONLY. It's a wild bucking bronco. Up a bunch, down a bunch. It often overshoots and undershoots. A couple of big spoofers can screw the market a certain amount as well. My exits on CL are better than my entries.
Scratching trades has to be in split seconds due to a number of things which I think algos play a part.


Someone online was telling me politely to use a laser focus on trading one way one vehicle. It's funny they may have been thinking they were guiding me to their style of trading, but in actuality it may have clarified that I trade my way which is profitable. I was also trading this other market small for swing trading. With the ES I trade a more liquid market that is easy to fill and slippage is small. My news awareness can be less and not 24/7, I don't have to worry about all 3 markets sessions (news)ASIA, LONDON, NY. I can trade 1 lot to 50 lots in the ES market without worrying about the float. Imo the same cannot necessarily be said about certain other markets. An example of don't fix what's not broke. In respect to that person they have a very high win/loss ratio over a documented near 1000 trades. So I'm going to stick with trading the ES. I've been profitable with it in the past over medium term periods. The CL I will dabble with the demo, as 1 winner can wipe out 3-12 scratches in it. I will likely only trade the most obvious of trades in it.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

I've been running NT8beta which is very stable. I have tried to crash it multiple times. It seems very solid in comparison to my older profile stuff that was jammed into nt7.

Trading has been going reasonably well. A mix of consistent pre planning and hypos, NT8, bookmap and willingness to exit a bad trade.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

I noted GaryD has voluntarily banned himself.
Weird. Like or dislike I find it weird. Maybe he found himself spending too much time in here. Vs trading or living life. I did appreciate his posts at times and attempts to help. I wish him well.


Anyways, I found his post 55 similar to conclusions I have found.

"There is a reason for every move. When the reason is over get out. Sometimes it will be wrong to get out. Sometimes it will be right. But once you hit your reason for getting in get out. What happens after does not matter, no matter how good it might have been. "Next" mentality. "


The primary difference in my thinking is sometimes it will be "wrong" to get out.
My use of words and framing switch out wrong to not ideal.
When a trade is done, a perfect trade has a signal to enter that I recognized and took in an efficient manner and has a signal to exit that I took ideally as well. After that walk. Be ok with it.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
KahunaDog's Avatar
 
Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Getting better over time. More and more consistent on decent trade plans, execution there of and recognizing a change.
About +300ticks last 6 trading days, one losing day -4ticks, initially read it wrong, took some losses, but climbed back to small loss or BE to some. Just chipping away at it.
Thank God nt8 is so stable, it's made my trading so much easier.

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 KahunaDog 
Hawaii at the beach
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Nt8, MotiveWave, TOS
Broker: S5
Trading: ES, ZB fine alcohol and muscle cars
 
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Posts: 537 since Apr 2013
Thanks: 1,136 given, 397 received

Looking to do a 100k or 150k combine soon. Likely middle or the end of march.
I will be put of town for a week, then need a week or so of getting in tune again. Another issue is I just downloaded the recent nt7 and nt8beta updayes. Hopefully they don't make my charts screwy. I will be trading es. The new contract is another issue.

If doing the 150k I plan to start small to build a sizeable cushion of profit. In my other combines (2) I blew my account up by taking too much size early. I will likely start 2to3 contracts till I have some cushion. Atleast $750 to $1k in cushion. Then I will try to keep a runner. I think I will go a max size of 7 lots. Which is way under the 15 lot max.

I'm hopeful.

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 bobwest 
Site Moderator
Sarasota FL
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: ES, YM
 
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KahunaDog View Post
Looking to do a 100k or 150k combine soon. Likely middle or the end of march.
I will be put of town for a week, then need a week or so of getting in tune again. Another issue is I just downloaded the recent nt7 and nt8beta updayes. Hopefully they don't make my charts screwy. I will be trading es. The new contract is another issue.

If doing the 150k I plan to start small to build a sizeable cushion of profit. In my other combines (2) I blew my account up by taking too much size early. I will likely start 2to3 contracts till I have some cushion. Atleast $750 to $1k in cushion. Then I will try to keep a runner. I think I will go a max size of 7 lots. Which is way under the 15 lot max.

I'm hopeful.


KahunaDog View Post
Thank God nt8 is so stable, it's made my trading so much easier.

Good luck with the new Combine.

About NT8, do you like it better than 7, and can you say what it is that you like more about it?

I am wondering if it's worth learning it yet....

Bob.

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