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DTs Pre Market Prep


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DTs Pre Market Prep

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  #151 (permalink)
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I'd like to link to this thread in my bookmarks, but always have it go to the newest post, so all I have to do is click it and I see DT's prep for that day. Anyone know the way to fashion the URL link so it does that?

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  #152 (permalink)
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Eric B View Post
I'd like to link to this thread in my bookmarks, but always have it go to the newest post, so all I have to do is click it and I see DT's prep for that day. Anyone know the way to fashion the URL link so it does that?

I think if you use this form it should work:

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  #153 (permalink)
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Eric B View Post
I'd like to link to this thread in my bookmarks, but always have it go to the newest post, so all I have to do is click it and I see DT's prep for that day. Anyone know the way to fashion the URL link so it does that?

Why dont you just click 'Follow Thread' at the top and then select instant email notification. Then every time a new post is made you'll get an email. Click on the link in the email and you'll be taken directly to the newest post.

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Eric B View Post
I'd like to link to this thread in my bookmarks, but always have it go to the newest post, so all I have to do is click it and I see DT's prep for that day. Anyone know the way to fashion the URL link so it does that?

Click "New Posts" top of navbar.

Find the thread. On the left of thread text will say "NEW", that is the URL to bookmark to always go to the new (unread) post.

For the technical guys, it is the name of the thread with -new-post.html at the end like so:



But as @DarkPoolTrading mentioned, you should just Follow the thread and then it will also show up in your UserCP for easier access.

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  #155 (permalink)
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thanks for the help, Mike

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  #156 (permalink)
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9th December



Last Wednesday, we were looking at the market to hit 74.50 before turning up and it turned before we go to the level. Today, people are watching 1812 and it may be that a turn before the level is on the cards again, in which case it'll be straight down today. If not, I'll be looking to fade a move above 1812. Those are my 2 most likely scenarios and the ones that I'll be looking for confirmation of. If we do turn, I'll again be looking for 74.50.



We are above last weeks value and pretty much within last weeks range so far (well, 1 tick poke through). If we do moved down, I'll be looking at last weeks VAH of 1800 and 1796.50 as potential hurdles.



Overnight inventory is almost exclusively long, volume is average but at least not low. That bodes well for a move down off the open but it is only 6:20 EST here as at writing. Fridays pit session low was a tick below our 74.50 level. So another reason to watch that level. Fridays value high at 1804.75 is holding so far and that is also a hurdle for the downside.

Not much else to say. All eyes on 1812.

Weekly Numbers
Range - 1777.75 -> 1809.00
Value - 1784.00 -> 1800
S1 - 1785.50, R1 - 1816.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 1783.25 (globex)/1796.25 (pit) -> 1806
Value - 1799.75 -> 1804.75
Globex - 1804.75 -> 1809.25

Other - 1809.25, 1800, 1796, 1792.50, 1788, 1784, 1774.50, 1764, 1761, 1750, 1742.75, 1734.50, 1725.75, 1712.75

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10th December

Coming in to the holiday period and also we should be rolling into the March '14 contract on Thursday and the volume should be in that contract by Friday.

Volume yesterday was poor with just over 1 million contracts traded. The liquidity was low, so whilst the overall range was low, getting shaken out was pretty easy, especially if you tried to risk less for the lower rewards on the table.

No major news today, so this might be the end of the year in terms of any decent level of participation.



My overall premise remains the same, we either go straight down or down after a pop up through 1812.



so far this week we are above last weeks VAH at 1800, so that along with our level at 1796 are hurdles to the downside.



Yesterday had just over a 5 point range and it didn't respect any of the regular levels, in fact it didn't have enough range to breach anything other than the overnight high. The way I trade, there were no real second entry trades.

Globex is within yesterdays range at at 7:00AM EST has a 3.5 point range.

So today, a sit back and I'm going to see if I can spot some scalps with this lower liquidity - but I've no real urge to trade at all. Scalping low liquidity isn't something I do and so tonight is more of a learning experience for me to see if I can find an edge in this. My thoughts are that with the lower liquidity, you need to open up your stop but the lower volatility (caused by the very low volume) means the targets have to come in. The idea will be to see if I can find something to lean on so I can get away without widening the stops.

Weekly Numbers
Range - 1777.75 -> 1809.00
Value - 1784.00 -> 1800
S1 - 1785.50, R1 - 1816.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 1804.75 (globex)/1806.25 (pit) -> 1811.50
Value - 1807.50 -> 1810.50
Globex - 1808.00 -> 1811.50

Other - 1809.25, 1800, 1796, 1792.50, 1788, 1784, 1774.50, 1764, 1761, 1750, 1742.75, 1734.50, 1725.75, 1712.75

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  #158 (permalink)
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11th December



It looks like the "white option" from yesterdays prep might be playing out which has a move to 74.50 before turning up back to 1812 again.

We need to get through 1796 first and so far we made it to 1799. If 1796 breaks we could have a nice range today.



1800 is last weeks value high. We've dipped into it 4 ticks but our down to 74 premise needs this to break convincingly, or we'll go back to 1812 area which will most likely be more sluggish action.



We have a 9 point range overnight with decent volume in Globex so far (6:30am EST) but the action is neutral relative to yesterdays range. There's no real news today either.

Yesterdays low is 1801 and value low is 1802. If these hold off the open, we may end up rotating around yesterdays range, we need them to break and then for 1796 to break for a decent run down.

Whilst I'm hoping for the downside break as it will be faster, I will take longs if yesterdays low/value low holds. Like yesterday though, I am in no hurry to make a trade and wary that we could have another low volume, low liquidity morning.

Weekly Numbers
Range - 1799.00 -> 1811.50
Value - 1804.50 -> 1811
S1 - 1785.50, R1 - 1816.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 1801 -> 1808.25 (pit)/1811.50(globex)
Value - 1802.00 -> 1805.50
Globex - 1799.00 -> 1808

Other - 1809.25, 1800, 1796, 1792.50, 1788, 1784, 1774.50, 1764, 1761, 1750, 1742.75, 1734.50, 1725.75, 1712.75

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December 12th

It's Rollover day today (and possibly tomorrow), so no trading for me today but we can look at the big picture because whilst I don't trade rollver. It does not mean the market can't move.

Here are the scenarios we were looking at on the 9th Dec:



And this is where we currently stand:



So far the 1774.50 level is holding on the 12-13 contract (the above is continuous & showing 03-04 already). If 1774.50 doesn't hold then I see us looking at 1750 and then 1734.50 before a return back up to 1812. I do not see yesterdays move down as a big bearish move because the bigger picture is that we are still exhibiting rangebound behavior.



This is taken at 4:00am EST. I favor a move back up today, even if it's just a small correction after yesterday. If we go back beloe 74.50, then I see the 1750 as a target. For upside we need to stay above 74.50 and yesterdals low and get back to thru yesterdays value low at which point I'd have yesterdays value high as a target.

Overnight inventory is short so far, which also could help for a snap back up off the open.

The spanner in the works is the rollover. The news at 8:30 might help though - if we have good unemployment numbers, I may well kick myself for standing to one side.


Weekly Numbers
Range - 1775.50 -> 1811.50
Value - 1797 -> 1811.50
S1 - 1785.50, R1 - 1816.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 1779.25 -> 1808
Value - 1790 -> 1808
Globex - 1775.50 -> 1784 (4:20 AM EST)

Other - 1809.25, 1800, 1796, 1792.50, 1788, 1784, 1774.50, 1764, 1761, 1750, 1742.75, 1734.50, 1725.75, 1712.75

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December 13th



The March contract has now overtaken the December contract in terms of volume so now we roll over. It doesn't feel like 5 minutes since we last rolled...



Here is the new continuous contract and the new 'big picture'. Our premise on Dec 9th was for a push thru 96 to 74.50 and if that didn't hold to 50 and then 34.50.

The new numbers are 94, 67.50, 48.25, 30.25 - all based on an 'eyeball' of the new continuous chart. 30.25 is last months low, on the Dec contract.



So now we are looking at either a move up to the highs or if the 67.50 can't hold then a trip to 49.25.



Globex session is within yesterdays range but mostly above the settlement, so that is neutral to bearish in terms of an adjustment at the open.

It's the first day for me in the March contract and not everyone will have moved yet so more of a 'back seat' day looking for a very firm opportunity based on 67.50 holding (or not) and not too worried about any minor opportunities.

Weekly Numbers
Range - 1765.50 -> 1805.25
Value - 1797 -> 1811.50
S1 - 1785.50, R1 - 1816.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 1765.50 -> 1776.75
Value - 1769.75 -> 1775.25
Globex - 1766.75 -> 1776.75

Other - 1812.50, 1806.25, 1794, 1749.25. 1730.25, 1720.75, 1700, 1697.75

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