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DTs Pre Market Prep
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DTs Pre Market Prep

  #1241 (permalink)
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14th June

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A bit of a move down off the FOMC, volume normal. Not sure we should read too much into this - still expecting a test of 2810, but this could be the top.

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Profile is indicating a range , so looking for longs pretty much from where we are now.

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The usual wild swings off FOMC.

So plan for today is to see if we get any volatility now FOMC is out of the way and if the market can carry on up to the top of the range.

Plan
- Early trade is on as it might be dull later on
- Eyes on the day trader levels (below) and 2810
- A day for letting the developing action dictate more than the current prices

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2772.25 -> 2796
Value - 2782.75 -> 2794.25

Daily Numbers
Range - 2778.75 -> 2796
Value - 2786.50 -> 2795.50
Globex - 2772.25 -> 2783.50

Settlement – 2779

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1242 (permalink)
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15th June

Friday feeling!

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This week has been a bit of a wash. No movement and it's Friday, so not much expected...

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One big, fat distribution - close to the lows now but certainly fade-able at either extreme. We just could be in the middle again come the daytime.

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A spike down overnight but still in range - so it's a non-move.

Plan
- early trade on
- watch out for a break of the weeks range - it's unlikely but possible
- play from one end of the range to the other, which right now (3:30am EST) - means long. Obviously that will change if we run the range over night.
- will be considering doing something else by 11am EST if nothings happened

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2772.25 -> 2796
Value - 2783 -> 2794

Daily Numbers

Range - 2772.25 / 2781 -> 2794
Value - 2785 -> 2790
Globex - 2773.50 -> 2789.25

Settlement – 2777.75

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1243 (permalink)
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18th June

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More sideways action - hard to say if we are going to extend the range we just broke out of - if we can push down to the top of that range - around 2745, we should have a better idea of what's going on by how it reacts there.

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A push down overnight but within last weeks range, so not really significant. Expecting chop to the upside if we don't test 2745 first.

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Overnight we've traversed Fridays range, so watching the extremes as we open.

Plan
- Early trade on as we may chop later on
- Looking for a test of 2745 long term.
- watching day trader levels and will expect a little acceleration on a break down
- expecting moves up to be choppy as it's back into last weeks range, will focus on NQ if we move up.

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2765.50 -> 2796
Value - 2780.50 -> 2794

Daily Numbers
Range - 2765.50 -> 2787.50 / 2789.25
Value - 2770.50 -> 2781
Globex - 2768 -> 2786.75

Settlement – 2784.50

Today only - 2745

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1244 (permalink)
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19th June

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Trade war is in the news and we've now tested the high of the old range.

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Not much to see here other than the move down.

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Big drop. Basically a news driven move that's taken us to a technical level. Pretty much anything can happen today.

Off the open we may well see an initial "rebalance" up - as the stocks and futures line themselves up. Be wary if you jump on that move as it may be short lived.

So today - I think it's just a matter of jumping on any move, scaling in to stay on the safe side.

Plan
- No early trade, good chance of volatility
- Try to scale into any volatile moves - don't worry too much about technical levels

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2765.50 -> 2796
Value - 2780.50 -> 2794

Daily Numbers
Range - 2761.25 -> 2779 / 2786.75
Value - 2771.25 -> 2778.25
Globex - 2735.75-> 2780.25

Settlement – 2779.75

Today only - 2745

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1245 (permalink)
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20th June

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We shrugged off the 'trade war' drop - so we've now tested the high of the old range - so TECHNICALLY - we should move up from here.

Yesterday was a tough trade though. In hindsight it looks fine - but it was tough on the right edge.

Still, I feel any repositioning is probably done now and am hoping for a day trader day again today. Trouble is that might mean low June volatility.

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Profile doesn't tell us much this week.

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Today I'd keep an eye on the day trader levels. Of course an ear on the news as there could be more trade war stuff looming.

Plan
- Early trade is on
- Bias long
- watching the day trader levels for a reaction, especially yesterdays high
- Happy to trade either way if volume comes in off a bounce

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2735.75-> 2786.75
Value - 2755.50 -> 2778.75

Daily Numbers
Range - 2737.75/ 2746.25 -> 2769 / 2780.25
Value - 2755-> 2766.50
Globex - 2757.25 -> 2776.25

Settlement – 2766.25

Today only - 2745

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1246 (permalink)
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DionysusToast View Post
Hi All

I decided to move my pre-market prep over here.

I tend to push this out on a forum, the Topstep indices room and a Skype group I'm a member of.

I'd prefer this thread to be a place for anyone to post pre-market prep for any market.

Not much to say other than you'll pick it up as you go along..

DT

Great work Bro !!

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  #1247 (permalink)
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21st

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Still no real movement - I'm still looking for completion of the range upwards but it's quite directionless at the moment.

News risk is still there.

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We seem to be getting pulled back to the value area - so eyes on weekly value today.

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Pretty lousy day yesterday, we settled down very quickly after that news drop earlier this week.

Plan
- Low expectation
- If market ranges, revert to scalping more volatile indices
- Otherwise eyes on day trader levels, 2045 and 2810

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2735.75-> 2786.75
Value - 2761.50 -> 2783.50

Daily Numbers
Range - 2757.25 / 2767 -> 2769 / 2778.25
Value - 2770.25 -> 2778.25
Globex - 2762 -> 2785

Settlement – 2772

Today only - 2745, 2810

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1248 (permalink)
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25th June

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Back to the old range high - so once again - looking to see if buyers jump in at these levels. Volume is still quite low, not much interest in the markets right now. Just the blips on the news.

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Very even distribution last week - so eyes on the value area and expect chop once we get into it.

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We can see not much action on Friday and overnight we've moved down then moved sideways 42-50.

Plan
- Early trade on as it might be a narrow day
- Look for a lift off the open as we have pushed down overnight
- Will play breaks in either direction if we see a move from a developing level
- If it chops - revert to short term NQ bounce trades

Weekly Numbers

Range - 2735.75-> 2786.75
Value - 2756.25 -> 2776.50

Daily Numbers
Range - 2749.25 / 2756.25 -> 2768.50
Value - 2761 -> 2766.50
Globex - 2741.25 -> 2758

Settlement – 2759.50

Today only - 2745

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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  #1249 (permalink)
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26th

I think the comment "blips from the news" from yesterdays prep... is a good candidate for understatement of the week....

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We reached the low of the old range - 2698.25 before bouncing back up. Interesting but doesn't help us much today.

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Profile doesn't usually help with an elongated move. So lets come back to this later in the week.

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As we go into today, we have to consider what's been happening after these "trade war" price moves. The last one we had was a big move down but the next day - totally sideways, low volume and not much opportunity.

Plan
- Observe, observe, observer - try to figure out the volatility profile of the day first and foremost
- Scale in if it looks like the market is running again - I do prefer upside but I'm going in with no bias
- If there is no interest - look to scalp NQ ranges

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2735.75-> 2786.75
Value - 2756.25 -> 2776.50

Daily Numbers
Range - 2700.50 / 2746.50 -> 2758
Value - n/a today - yesterday too elongated for this to be meaningful
Globex - 2716.75 -> 2728.40

Settlement – 2722.25

Today only - 2745,2698.75

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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Last edited by DionysusToast; June 26th, 2018 at 06:44 AM.
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  #1250 (permalink)
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27th June

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No real movement yesterday, just back in the old range.

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Eyes on 35 - as we may rotate around this lower distribution.

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Overnight traders having all the fun again. A fairly tight day yesterday. We held yesterdays Value high, so watching the day trader lebvels.

Plan
- no bias
- look for an early trade as it might be slow.
- watch the day trader levels but really it's wait & see to figure out what this market wants to do - at the moment it's not going anywhere.
- a breakdown below 2700 would be nice

Weekly Numbers
Range - 2700.50-> 2758
Value - 2708.50 -> 2732.50

Daily Numbers
Range - 2714.75 / 2717.25 -> 2735.25
Value - 2724 -> 2732.50
Globex - 2705.50 -> 2732.50

Settlement – 2722.25

Today only - 2728.50

Long Term Levels - 2556.50, 2590, 2687.75, 2810, 2887

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