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TST Combine Journal
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Created: by indextrader7 Attachments:50

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TST Combine Journal

  #431 (permalink)
Elite Member
Portland, OR, US
 
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indextrader7 View Post
Thanks.

Yep, got stopped out to the tick up there. I don't understand the concept of poor high/low (or even a strong high/low?). Could you tell me a little about what defines one of these and how you apply it to your trading?

A poor low/poor high (synonymous with a weak or unsecured high or low) is simply an auction that was ended because of, in this case, buying exhaustion (as opposed to a quick counter reaction brought in by responsive selling). The idea is, because of the lack of counter reaction at the high, it is much more likely that buyers will test that area in the near future. Sellers likely won't have the conviction to drive price much lower after a poor high as well (because they don't know if there is any business to be done above that high).

A strong/secured high is the exact opposite. It is a high that is formed because of a strong counter-reaction (we can witness the counter reaction in the forms of excess.. buying/selling tails).

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  #432 (permalink)
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Now that we've rotated back into the daily bracket area, my initial game plan for the day is out the window.

I COULD have seen the pullback to the bracket low at 43.50 and buyers step in as a great reason to get long. Alas, I did not see it well enough at the hard right edge.

Will be watching for long entries now.

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  #433 (permalink)
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I'm very interested in taking a long on a pullback to 45/46 area

It'll be a pullback to ON high, IB high, and dev VAH.

I'll take it if we get there and get a TLB/candle pattern/momentum shift whatever you prefer to call it.

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  #434 (permalink)
stonecutter
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indextrader7 View Post
I'm very interested in taking a long on a pullback to 45/46 area

It'll be a pullback to ON high, IB high, and dev VAH.

I'll take it if we get there and get a TLB/candle pattern/momentum shift whatever you prefer to call it.

Throw an RTH VWAP on today's chart and see what you think. My trading improved greatly when I recognized it's
importance as far as a point of initiative buying or selling...just my .02

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  #435 (permalink)
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catdriver View Post
Throw an RTH VWAP on today's chart and see what you think. My trading improved greatly when I recognized it's
importance as far as a point of initiative buying or selling...just my .02

Yes, it can be great, and today is one of those days. I've gone back and forth between having it or not lately. Def something to keep in mind, thanks!

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  #436 (permalink)
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Took half off for my discretionary exit near the highs. We'll see what the rest can do.

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  #437 (permalink)
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OK, so today was a sim trading day to get my feet wet with ironing out this trading plan.

It felt really nice to have the plan there.

There were no problems, or things I found I needed to add, to the plan in today's session. I thought something would come up. I'm kind of worried that nothing did... surely the plan is not totally ironed out yet?

Edit: I did find 2 potential things to add to the trading plan. They're listed in the writeup for trades 5 and 6.

The market did not meet my expectations for how it behaved today with my pre-market plan, every first attempt at a trade location was a loser, and none of my runners actually ran. Yet, I ended up down less than what i'm willing to risk on a single trade for the day.

THAT IS A WINNING DAY MY FRIENDS.



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Trades 1 and 2 as well as 3 and 4 were short attempts off the levels i mentioned pre-market. Initial entries were too early, but re-entries were perfectly timed. Discretionary partial exits turned out to be scary good, and the runner portions did not run. This is ok, there will be days where my "feel" exits look way early, and the runners really run.

Trades 5 and 6 were attempts to get long in what appeared to be a real opportunity for this market to trend. Actually, there was a thing I considered adding to my trading plan here... two things actually. 1) These trades were small pullbacks in "open space" with no levels to lean off of. 2) They were longs right in the face of a large confluence of things at a level (could be serious resistance) and it was. The reason I took the trade anyways, is because I am now having this mental shift in how I see things based on these "poor highs" Taking a long at 10AM on this chart is something I never would have done before because we are "at the highs" and an area that sellers have defended several times. Evidently my thinking on that has been wrong. So, now go forward to the longs I'm taking for trades 5 and 6, I decided to ignore my better judgement that there was "resistance" at the highs there, and go for the continuation move higher. I guess in hindsight there was actually no PRIOR day resistance at the first area, but there was PRIOR DAY resistance (and several confluent things) at the second area. Ok, long winded, but I'm saying maybe I can add points 1 and 2 in this paragraph to the trading plan for entry criteria? Not sure yet.

Trades 6 and 7 were much more PLANNED out trades. I announced the trade idea and location here on futures.io (formerly BMT) well before we traded down to the area as an expectation. For these pullback trades, there were actually levels I was leaning off of, not just taking trades in open space. On par with the rest of the day, the first trade was early and stopped out, and the second trade was much better timing. Also, the "feel" exit was superior to the more manual exit that was trailed behind mini swing lows until taken out.

Trade #, "feel exit", more "manual" exit

1) -1.75 both parts
2) +3.75, BE
3) -0.75 both parts
4) +2.5, -2.0
5) BE both parts
6) -1.5 both parts
7) -2.0 both parts
8) +3.25, +2.25


Last edited by indextrader7; April 19th, 2013 at 05:14 PM.
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  #438 (permalink)
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New combine starts Monday.

Have a good weekend everyone.

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  #439 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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indextrader7 View Post
New combine starts Monday.

Have a good weekend everyone.

Good Luck! Knock 'em dead!

If you have any questions please send me a Private Message or use the futures.io "Ask Me Anything" thread
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  #440 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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kevinkdog View Post
Good Luck! Knock 'em dead!

Ditto that!

I know you'll do great.

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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