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Like a turtle to his balcony...
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Like a turtle to his balcony...

  #971 (permalink)
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And this is the same report as "Fill to Fill"

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Sierra's daily format

What was Tuesday?

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GaryD View Post
If oil comes up to the 94.50 area, that is a possible LSP in a possible larger C leg down and would provide a nice entry (without confirmation) for shorts. If it breaks, that could be saying something too.


GaryD View Post

Looking at the ES move, and CL's reluctance to follow, I am watching for a delayed reaction this morning that may "repair" that area where price moved through so fast, which would bring price into that LSP area.


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Crude has a local DT at around 93.85. That may also become a point for stop building.


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I would imagine there are a lot of eyes on ES this morning to see how it opens, and that brings the possibility that CL may wait to see.


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Goldman speaks.


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My TUT email of the day;

"And the day will come when all of the gold in the world will not appeal to you as much, Gary, as just one more day of being who and where you already are, with what you already have.

If it hasn't already.

Thank you,
The Universe"


GaryD View Post
Y-Vwap / Y POC / Intermediate trendline in 93 area



GaryD View Post
Now, a real long distance trade, without confirmation, would be 94.50 area down to 88.50.

Or imagine this. Price returns to balance today (neutral at 1xIB), then tomorrow ahead of EIA opens in today's excess area...


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short 94.40 with HVS bars confirmation


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Now what I want is ES range extension to fail at or below 1565

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TUESDAY - Oil looked tired but ES was out of control. That is most likely why I was so late to go short today also. More reasons to dislike ES! lol!

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Really it had nothing to do with ES and everything to do with psychology.


What an embarrassing chart to post.

Not that it is not normal, in fact it is very "normal", and that is possibly the biggest flaw. I traded scared, I thought about money.


Last edited by GaryD; April 11th, 2013 at 09:38 PM.
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I lost the moment just by having to wake up the computer, connect to the wireless, open IE, go the the Journal link, and hit "Post Reply".

What an impatient society we are becoming.

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Pirate Trading Workshop is open for business!

Lmmfaofmf

That would be fun.

Lesson One; "Relax."
Lesson Two...


Last edited by GaryD; April 11th, 2013 at 11:36 PM. Reason: I had a hard time with the letters. Much better
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"Never make a post without thinking about it. " That is a quote someone should make.

Not that it is true.



For those who agree that the formula is similar to a top down analysis;

Trading is an accumulation of experiences. They are fun experiences, or angry experiences, or frustrated, or bored, or nervous, or exhilirating, addictive, challenging. And sounds like a lot of experience. But then the next level of courses begin. And the best conceot of those that I have had is similar to the food pyramids I have seen in school or in healthy-living literature.

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So all of those experiences come together to form a methodology. And at the base of the trading version of the food pyramid seems to be psychology.


If I am to understand myself deeper, I have to be comfortable with my self in more environments. Stressful environments, like maybe making a post like this. And I don't know why exactly a trader who is good at what they do can have such an interest in also spreading the word. Other than, the fact it is so fucking intense at times that there is empathy. And not referring to myself in that sentence. No, I wish.

I am a year 6 trader. This is as good as it is for me. Maybe you are better, or faster, smarter. Not that I suffer, really, well occassionally...

but more often I struggle. It is a tough fucking world to maintain confidence in .

I am not complaining, just venting.


Last edited by GaryD; April 12th, 2013 at 12:26 AM. Reason: I was so happy to be able to use the taped mouth
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DECISIONS

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“Any healthy demand for oil will have to come from Asia or the Middle East,” said Michael
Poulsen, an analyst at Global Risk Management in Middelfart, Denmark."


What a great city in Denmark.


So where was I... Oh yes, oil hit that 94.50 area in a minor H&S top and dropped likw a brick. Now, is has passed the neckline, but nothing is guaranteed. And oil will many times deny it's fate by consolidating. Or, a break above the now RSP is a failed H&S and is a clear signal to go long. I kind of wish price had held overnight, because now we are at MOB point #2, which could bring chop.

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