I am on the road, missed EIA entirely yesterday, and having to trade when time allows. It makes it tough, and many trades I simply have to pass on as it is very difficult to make a trade work on my schedule.
I saw the open out of balance above the recent days MP, but had been watching that base of support form for about a week now, and by the time I was ready for the RTH session, was not about to short what might have been a runaway market. You have all day to make it up, I didn't, and I have seen crude impulse right through everyone at a gap open like that.
Today the short worked, and maybe some day with more MP-based trades I might be there with you, but I was long only until proven wrong (which might still have resulted in a losing day) but one I would feel ok about. In contrast, had I gone short at the open and been stopped out, that would seem like I still needed to learn that lesson.
I entered a bit early, and let it run about 30 ticks in my favor, then come back on me. I was ready to close, but was pretty sure the market would catch it. I went in again at the ETH VWAP also.
Last edited by GaryD; March 7th, 2013 at 04:31 PM.
Other responsibilities with jobs in NJ, MD and TX left me little time for trading this week. Trying to trade around another schedule is tough to do, but I have done it long enough now that I realize better when I can and can't. Many times I must pass on a trade that I might otherwise take, or get out of a trade that I might otherwise stay in. That bothered me before, but not now for some reason. Maybe as another trader, @mokodo, mentioned recently, we progress through another range of maturity as traders, one that does not have much initially apparent relationship to our maturity on any other level. But, also as was mentioned, that distinction between the two starts to blur eventually, and out of it, as our trading maturity is forced to progress, we realize benefits outside of trading.
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I have been studying POC, did some web searches, played with the indicator to see what all variables do. I read that 80% of the time the prior day's POC is hit, and the yellow highlights above show the times that it did not occur. Out of 21 days, the prior day's POC was only missed 4 of them.
Last edited by GaryD; March 8th, 2013 at 12:59 AM.
Sure it does, it just doesn't have to be the same as value. When the two get very out of line, often this is when the best opportunities exist. Price is the mechanism the market uses to advertise to attract buyers and sellers, but value is what has been agreed upon as fair.
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Performance numbers dropped some from last week. I had to fly to Austin Wednesday morning, so missed a day, and then traded in a hotel room when I had time. Not the best situation, and so reading the numbers from that perspective I should allow myself some slack.
Still having issues with allowing trades to run, though this week somewhat induced by the fact that I had to leave the computer for meetings. On the positive side, my willingness to hold has gone up. Cannot prove it by numbers but I feel it. Maybe next week will be calm and I can focus on that issue with some real determination.
Made it a week without the fin-algo. The gom profile does everything I need, I think, but there was something cool about seeing the letters... Especially from a summary view. Still on the fence. Looked at Sierra Charts but did not download. Still concerened about my computer's resources, never did determine the cause of the recent blue screen. But Sierra I believe has MP built in.
Sitting here watching the afternoon shuffle push price up. I thought about another long trade this afternoon, but just was not into it. I have somewhat lost the desire to sit and stare at a market once I am ready to stop for the day. Possibly that is of greater value than I give it credit.
Last edited by GaryD; March 8th, 2013 at 09:15 PM.