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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal
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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal

  #71 (permalink)
Elite Member
Germany
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: FlatTrader
Broker/Data: GFT and Interactive Brokers
Favorite Futures: ES, DAX
 
Posts: 531 since Aug 2010
Thanks: 2,121 given, 719 received


GFIs1 View Post
Today we had after a nice up gap in the morning a turning point with a straight downleg in the Dax.

There was one red turning signal in the morning and many long signal on its way down.
But only one was valid in the end.

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Looking forward:
Expecting to have a retracement of around >1% on that leg and a new down from wednesday then.

GFIs1

Hi @GFIs1,

I can not comprehend why you marked the second and third signals as not valid. They where both more than 1% from the entry of the first valid signal and the cloud was also blue. Could you please point out your thougts why you consider these as not valid and also the reason for the validity of the last signal compared to the prior two? Maybe I missed something.

Thanks for all what you are doing here at futures.io (formerly BMT).

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  #72 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 4,130 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,791 given, 7,660 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary

Hi @Abde

Thanks for compliments and following my thoughts thoroughly - yes you are missing some details.
Look at the chart posted:
1) the very first signal ("not valid") took place when price was in RED kumo...
2) the second ("not valid") signals had the manko that the VWAP was in the blue kumo - so not on the "right side"
(which means nearer / not farther) from price to kumo.
3) the third signal had ALL factors on the right side.

I know - there are are exceptions - but in a very FAST move the above conditions MUST be fulfilled.

Hope this is revealing something ;-)

Good Trades
GFIs1
who is still on the LONG leg - til' 1% is killed - and then again: SHORT (tomorrow)

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  #73 (permalink)
Elite Member
Germany
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: FlatTrader
Broker/Data: GFT and Interactive Brokers
Favorite Futures: ES, DAX
 
Posts: 531 since Aug 2010
Thanks: 2,121 given, 719 received



GFIs1 View Post
Hi @Abde

Thanks for compliments and following my thoughts thoroughly - yes you are missing some details.
Look at the chart posted:
1) the very first signal ("not valid") took place when price was in RED kumo...
2) the second ("not valid") signals had the manko that the VWAP was in the blue kumo - so not on the "right side"
(which means nearer / not farther) from price to kumo.
3) the third signal had ALL factors on the right side.

I know - there are are exceptions - but in a very FAST move the above conditions MUST be fulfilled.

Hope this is revealing something ;-)

Good Trades
GFIs1
who is still on the LONG leg - til' 1% is killed - and then again: SHORT (tomorrow)

Hi @GFIs1,

So the VWAP must also be out of the kumo cloud for a valid signal - that was the missing piece in my puzzle.

Thanks for clarification.

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The following user says Thank You to Abde for this post:
 
  #74 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 4,130 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,791 given, 7,660 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary


Abde View Post
Hi @GFIs1,

So the VWAP must also be out of the kumo cloud for a valid signal - that was the missing piece in my puzzle.

Thanks for clarification.

..only in fast movements or bigger moves during the day..
if there is a non-trending day - after 12:00 german time - the VWAP-setting is no longer important as
in a low movement day the VWAP can not head out of Kumo on the opposite...
Just to be clear!
Yesterday we had 184 points from Hi to Low.. which is a strong moving day

GFIs1

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  #75 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 4,130 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,791 given, 7,660 received
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Why a long here...


GFIs1 View Post
Bonjour Anas

Pour le Dax je prévois aujourd'hui un rebond (evt. à l'après-midi) sur 7947
le VWAP de hier.
Dax a fait hier un mouvement de 184 points pendant la session normale.
Pour ça une direction n'est pas très lisible.
Mercredi je vois une grande vente - pour ça on peut entrer tôt et finir le
trade tard. Jeudi je prévois plus grande chose.
Demain est mon dernier jour avant les jours fériés.

GFIs1

This was my early morning outlook on the Dax today. (on the french thread)
It is saying that the price should bounce back on the VWAP from yesterday (min. 7947)
in the afternoon before going VERY south tomorrow wednesday.
Thursday will not be important (no GFIs1 trade then) because of low volume and
like always after a strong downmove (..hopefully..) ;-) no trade is necessary.
So looking forward on the next turning point south pretty soon...

GFIs1

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  #76 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
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GFIs1 View Post
This was my early morning outlook on the Dax today. (on the french thread)
It is saying that the price should bounce back on the VWAP from yesterday (min. 7947)
in the afternoon before going VERY south tomorrow wednesday.
Thursday will not be important (no GFIs1 trade then) because of low volume and
like always after a strong downmove (..hopefully..) ;-) no trade is necessary.
So looking forward on the next turning point south pretty soon...

GFIs1

Hi,

Thanks for posting charts and helping us..I would like to start applying this method to SPY would you please let me know the indicators you are using and I am mainly trying to enter or exit swing SPY options using this methods. Please help me

futures.io (formerly BMT)rader

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  #77 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
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Thanks: 3,791 given, 7,660 received
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bmtrading9 View Post
Hi,

Thanks for posting charts and helping us..I would like to start applying this method to SPY would you please let me know the indicators you are using and I am mainly trying to enter or exit swing SPY options using this methods. Please help me

futures.io (formerly BMT)rader

Hi futures.io (formerly BMT)rader
The chart is optimized for the Dax - if it works on other instruments? I have no idea as I haven't tested it yet.
My chart is a 3 minute chart containing a) Ichimoku cloud and b) a VWAP with band of 3.2 bandwidth. This
band has to restart on every session! c) a ZigZag which turns only after a >1% move.
With these 3 indies the chart is done. The signals (and interpretation) you can get out of the explanations
in this thread.

Hope this helps - please report here on futures.io (formerly BMT) if it works on your main instrument - we are looking forward :-)

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #78 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,789 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,909 given, 2,011 received
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GFIs1 View Post
Hi futures.io (formerly BMT)rader
The chart is optimized for the Dax - if it works on other instruments? I have no idea as I haven't tested it yet.
My chart is a 3 minute chart containing a) Ichimoku cloud and b) a VWAP with band of 3.2 bandwidth. This
band has to restart on every session! c) a ZigZag which turns only after a >1% move.
With these 3 indies the chart is done. The signals (and interpretation) you can get out of the explanations
in this thread.

Hope this helps - please report here on futures.io (formerly BMT) if it works on your main instrument - we are looking forward :-)

Good trades
GFIs1

Thanks for your quick reply, I see you are using NT but I am using TOS let me see If I get all the three indicators lined up. I will keep posting in this thread.

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The following user says Thank You to bmtrading9 for this post:
 
  #79 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,789 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,909 given, 2,011 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary


GFIs1 View Post
Hi futures.io (formerly BMT)rader
The chart is optimized for the Dax - if it works on other instruments? I have no idea as I haven't tested it yet.
My chart is a 3 minute chart containing a) Ichimoku cloud and b) a VWAP with band of 3.2 bandwidth. This
band has to restart on every session! c) a ZigZag which turns only after a >1% move.
With these 3 indies the chart is done. The signals (and interpretation) you can get out of the explanations
in this thread.

Hope this helps - please report here on futures.io (formerly BMT) if it works on your main instrument - we are looking forward :-)

Good trades
GFIs1

Is there any reason for VWAP band width of 3.2? If I use Standard Deviation of 3.2 I am not seeing any signals so I was thinking what might be next alternative? may be 3 or 2.8?

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  #80 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Dallas, TX, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS
Broker/Data: IB
Favorite Futures: ES, YM, TF, CL, GC and ETF's
 
Posts: 1,789 since Mar 2013
Thanks: 2,909 given, 2,011 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary



GFIs1 View Post
Hi futures.io (formerly BMT)rader
The chart is optimized for the Dax - if it works on other instruments? I have no idea as I haven't tested it yet.
My chart is a 3 minute chart containing a) Ichimoku cloud and b) a VWAP with band of 3.2 bandwidth. This
band has to restart on every session! c) a ZigZag which turns only after a >1% move.
With these 3 indies the chart is done. The signals (and interpretation) you can get out of the explanations
in this thread.

Hope this helps - please report here on futures.io (formerly BMT) if it works on your main instrument - we are looking forward :-)

Good trades
GFIs1

Please take a look at following chart of SPY and verify the visual accuracy of indicators and do you think are there enough signals to take trades?

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

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