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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal
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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal

  #161 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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GFIs1 View Post
..

Conclusions: as for the Dax - the price will be short in the next few weeks. Normally from
the last high to the middle of the Kumo is the distance that price has to make from the middle
of the Kumo south to make the next low. So we are prepared to see some more down days (even hefty ones).

Yesterday was one of these hefty down days - with more than 226 Dax points in the daily range this was
a bold day.
As we may follow this trend we could see the discussed lower levels earlier than expected.

GFIs1

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  #162 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Some more Ichimoku detail to Friday's move:

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The blue line KijunSen in the red Kumo lowered to 8035. This is the main SL indicator for longer term trades.
Price went up to 8038 high of the day before cash hours and kissed Kijun once to dive in a fast pace on that
long down move of 226 points in one session.
The downmovement is expected to follow that trend - with one more rebounding - before coming to discussed
lower levels.

GFIs1

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  #163 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
Some more Ichimoku detail to Friday's move:

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The blue line KijunSen in the red Kumo lowered to 8035. This is the main SL indicator for longer term trades.
Price went up to 8038 high of the day before cash hours and kissed Kijun once to dive in a fast pace on that
long down move of 226 points in one session.
The downmovement is expected to follow that trend - with one more rebounding - before coming to discussed
lower levels.

GFIs1

Hi @GFIs1,

Hope all is going well.

I'm trying to puzzle out what time frame do you use for market profile on the daily chart. Do you consider only RTH or also the ETH?

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  #164 (permalink)
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Abde View Post
Hi @GFIs1,

Hope all is going well.

I'm trying to puzzle out what time frame do you use for market profile on the daily chart. Do you consider only RTH or also the ETH?

For my intraday trades I am only considering RTH - looking at IB 30 minutes and jumping in

GFIs1

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  #165 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
For my intraday trades I am only considering RTH - looking at IB 30 minutes and jumping in

GFIs1

And what time span for MP?

Thanks for all your great analysis!

Abde

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  #166 (permalink)
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Abde View Post
And what time span for MP?

Thanks for all your great analysis!

Abde

I am using cumulating profiles for the last 8 days - there I can see the POC etc.
Actual POC on Dax is @ 7992 which was hit this morning just to take
the opposite route
Anyway - waiting for Friday

GFIs1

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  #167 (permalink)
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Dax update 15th July

A little update on the Dax here to see the bigger picture.
Today I am pointing out a special trendline from the last low in April to today.
It is visible as a blue line passing several prices.
The most interesting develpment is to be seen within the yellow circles.
Price and ChikouSpan (green lagging line) were always touching the trendline from ABOVE.
Chikou price was rejected higher then...
Til' the price went INTO the KUMO. From there the trend line has to be seen
as a resistance line.
Just TODAY's price touched the same line from underneath - and price was sent lower!

The second and very important thing is seen in the blue circle around TenkanSen and KijunSen
(red and blue lines): They still did not cross within the Kumo - so some really lower prices
are needed right now to let this not happen. Otherwise that would read as a highly bullish sign
as long as these lines cross within the Kumo or above.

Some interesting days are ahead - and with this low volume since 10 days - everything may happen.
Stay alerted though with any trade.

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GFIs1

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  #168 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Now the turning point is here

Looking back to the last post which was made nearly 3 months back - we
can see that the bullish move had taken place.
With the FED's announcement and the hype over during low volume summer period we
are coming to an end of that upmove scenario.
To get some insight - using Ichimoku 1h for september - we can clearly see a major
change of price behaviour right at this point.
This means:
1) getting out of the longs...
2) going short for the next several weeks

RIGHT HERE and NOW!

Look at the chart - it speaks for itself (with my annotations of course):

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The flesh lines are not timely - so the downmove may go in steps over next few weeks.
Any comment welcome.

GFIs1

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  #169 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
Looking back to the last post which was made nearly 3 months back - we
can see that the bullish move had taken place.
With the FED's announcement and the hype over during low volume summer period we
are coming to an end of that upmove scenario.
To get some insight - using Ichimoku 1h for september - we can clearly see a major
change of price behaviour right at this point.
This means:
1) getting out of the longs...
2) going short for the next several weeks

RIGHT HERE and NOW!

Look at the chart - it speaks for itself (with my annotations of course):

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


The flesh lines are not timely - so the downmove may go in steps over next few weeks.
Any comment welcome.

GFIs1

Agree with your analysis in general GFIs1. But my gut feeling is telling me that we will not leave the 8800 + figure untouched before an major decline kicks in.

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  #170 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Abde View Post
Agree with your analysis in general GFIs1. But my gut feeling is telling me that we will not leave the 8800 + figure untouched before an major decline kicks in.

Hi Abde

I see that possibility too:
If we take a look into the chart mentioned - some upmove over the red Kumo is quite possible!
The flesh down does not mean "right now"... but the direction to cross Kumo now or in a second
move is foreseen (time gap here to be considered).
Anyway - a top is near and for a swinging trade the moment to cash in and to stay alert for
a longer downmove is given by this actual scenario.
Thanks for your reflections!

GFIs1

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