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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal
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GFIs1 HiLo DAX Signal

  #151 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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DEAD Cat BOUNCE

Would like to have a look into the daily Dax to explain WHY a reversal is visible BEFORE
it occurs.
First have a look @ the daily DAX chart - as from today here:

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You can see in the picture - prices/movements etc. - THESE are NOT of interest right now.
We are only looking at the SPIRAL as well as the green line (Chikou Span) of the Ichimoku.
This line is showing the closing of the daily prices moved 26 days behind/back to the actual.
1) We can see on the lower side in the yellow circle that price was going down TO the circle
and was rejected to higher.
2) On the upper yellow circle we see the price piercing THROUGH the spiral - making like a
new triangle which is looking OUT of the circle - JUST to get back with force INTO the spiral.
This price movement (far away from accepted price levels) is called: Dead cat bouncing
Normally with a Dead cat bouncing scheme - the price makes a bigger reversal...
To list some more futures.io (formerly BMT) posts on that special theme I might open a special thread.

Profit from the cat!!
GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; May 23rd, 2013 at 08:53 AM.
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  #152 (permalink)
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Cristal ball of the daily DAX chart..

.. I am coming to the conlusion that the Dax should drop to:

around 8066 by around end of May - then a slight pullback up might follow right after.

GFIs1
leaning again out of the window

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  #153 (permalink)
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Hello!


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My chart analysis here:


https://futures.io/french-traders/25554-analyse-cac40-par-anas-115.html

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  #154 (permalink)
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Dead Cat Bounce Update


GFIs1 View Post
Would like to have a look into the daily Dax to explain WHY a reversal is visible BEFORE
it occurs.
First have a look @ the daily DAX chart - as from today here:

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Still on the downmove we see the price is now catched in a chop chop zone.
If price can push through the red Kumo some faster downmove is highly probable.
So watching carefully the coming weeks when the daily candle bodies get out
of the chop chop rectangle - could be lower as described or higher to not pass
the Kumo.
Chart:

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GFIs1

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  #155 (permalink)
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Dax price now in Kumo


GFIs1 View Post
Still on the downmove we see the price is now catched in a chop chop zone.
If price can push through the red Kumo some faster downmove is highly probable.
So watching carefully the coming weeks when the daily candle bodies get out
of the chop chop rectangle - could be lower as described or higher to not pass
the Kumo...

GFIs1

Now we could see today that price went INTO Kumo today - so some movements within
are highly possible - it looks like the price is getting out of Kumo further south as shown
in last post. 8K is really killed now.
Staying tuned for rollover tomorrow then: Scenario is still valid!
GFIs1

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  #156 (permalink)
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Calculating next low

We have now seen in the daily chart that Dax has passed Kumo. From the last high
to the mid Kumo and from there the next low might be seen:

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So the area 7300/7400 should be in reasonable distance.
If we take the time from high to mid Kumo we have roughly 1 month.
Looking forward to the next down point - we will be there in July.
Very symmetric

GFIs1

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  #157 (permalink)
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On the down leg

we started with the last short signal @ 8320
and this weeks closing @ 7840
we get a intermediate result of 380 points
so far on this trade (not closed)
Time we took the short was May 14th see post 140

GFIs1

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  #158 (permalink)
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Bigger picture

Dax daily now in a short overview here:

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GFIs1

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  #159 (permalink)
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Hello GFIs1 and all,

DAX daily chart.

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Nice weekend

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Dax short signs with Ichimoku


Coming back to my last chart (post 158) I would like to discuss the main points of where
price will head in the next few weeks.

First the updated daily Dax chart:

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Longer term - focusing on the 3 Ichimoku lines right now - look @ ends in the black circles
1) Red TenkanSen: has crossed now the red Kumo and IS underneath Kumo
2) Blue KijunSen: has entered finally in the middle of red Kumo and turned shortly horizontal (SL guidance)
3) Green ChikouSpan: has passed now the "ancient TenkanSen and KijunSen and rests now underneath that pair.

Conclusions: as for the Dax - the price will be short in the next few weeks. Normally from
the last high to the middle of the Kumo is the distance that price has to make from the middle
of the Kumo south to make the next low. So we are prepared to see some more down days (even hefty ones).

Short term - the last day shown in the chart is the last day of half year - which normally represents a level
of high acceptance and normally is a important point for companies for their half year numbers.
We can see in the chart that the daily bar is a short one (!) and closing was lower than previous day's VWAP.
That is another sign for lower prices coming.

GFIs1

Special remark @AnasParis: the price entered red Kumo slightly - but resistance above is high and even getting higher

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