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T For Trading

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  #631 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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Limited activity so far....im not seeing this as good opportunity for sell rather i think to go long on test of little demand zone from previous day
near range of 30....that will be a pullback completion on 15 min MA...let it show that way...otherwise i will just observe.


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  #632 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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Some thing is different ...otherwise i would have clearly see this as MIRZ failure...and hv jumped to short


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  #633 (permalink)
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If i think , i lost a good shorting opportunity due to 2nd order thinking then perhaps it would be outcome biased.
But now its leaving me in indecision where to go and which factor to overweight than others.


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  #634 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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Took a short with stop as 35


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  #635 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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covered...no 2nd order thinking of delta divergene


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  #636 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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my stat show...it most probably break high or low of day....and i m seeing this day as neutral now that can set new high....but no 2nd order thinking...


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  #637 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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09-Jan-2013

Took one trade just before leaving. I was of view of rotating in value due to last day upmove that has placed price in 5 day value...and that was the reason of little biasing for Long. But i took short , somewhat forcing myself to do that, for the test of low. I was quick to cover as i had already in mind that it might just test the low. It happened so and prices got reversed with small + div on delta. After noon sell of is surprising on my thought of rotation but i can drew conclusions from new development. Thats if i am not wrong then it will trade lower -- Is'nt it every Tom, Dick and harry thinks ? So NF has nasty habit of surprising every way keeping its card till end.







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  #638 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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10-Jan-2013 :
Didnt took any trade , was busy in some maintenance work in home.


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  #639 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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Its very easy to see at EOD..... ...and fun too.
But i wonder why our eyes catch conter trend better than trending


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  #640 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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11-Jan-2013 Took only one trade, toughest on decision due to every contradictory thoughts.

I have arranged my runtime and prework thought in some points, of which some describe context, some trending and some counter-trending virtues.


1) First attempt to throw out of acquired higher value zone is negated by bulls and price replaced in higher value. [C]

2) They should not have wasted this chance, rather going up they produced MIRZ failure. [C]

3) Despite sell-off , Excess like zone appeared. [C,CT]

4) Opening selling prints and throwing out of value again. [C,T]


above are prework ( homework ) thoughts, where C-> Context, CT -> Counter Trending ( Bullish in this case ) and T-> Trending ( Bearish ).

Its simple to understand that we have to go with "Trend" ...but is it really easy also when doing this ?

5) Price looked like developing a nascent uptrend from prior day low. [CT]

6) It behaved like gap fill exercise in opening downmove. [CT]


Following overrides finally for me,

a) Opening Bias in Opening Range is down.
b) Its below day VWAP and 5Day VWAP and seems rebounding down.
c) There is Creek down bar on 15-min Chart.


....see how i think like fader and act like mometum follower. If i had such clear cut context happening then why not i took short just near VWAPs ? ( i had login just at that time. )









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