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T For Trading

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  #321 (permalink)
Al,India
 
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Any thing that fits in this situation with higher odd is a gap opening ( up or down both seems have same odds ) on monday. And that need observation how NF going to react at gap opening near/above zone 1 or near/below zone 2.
Both might come with continuation or failure so let the market decide which way it wants to go. From daily chart, i feel continuation from zone 2 to lower side , setting pullback to larger MA on daily chart cant be ruled out. This might also happen from failure from higher opening of zone 1, if underlying bais is really going to change that way.






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  #322 (permalink)
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Study extended back upto 1-May-2010 ( 579 Trading days ). Percentages are more or less taking shape as same.
I am interested in drop between 2 to 3.



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  #323 (permalink)
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This is what we understand by common sense , just mimicked by simple studies. This is made on ( and must be on time frame one use to trade ) approx 19,700 bars of 3-Min period from last year till recent. It shows what are the most common ranges of 3 min bar on NF, and associated bar overlaps. Bar Overlap in my indicator is common intercept between two consecutive bars, made by current bar on previous one. So, by this definition bar ranges of 5, can never have overlap value greater than 5, it will be always between 0 and 5. So Bar Ranges and Overlaps indirectly serves many purposes,

1) Having an idea of Volatility.
2) Having an idea of trend/chop.
3) Measure of Risk -> Stop.
4) Measure of probable target.








Below charts represent overlap associated with most common occurring bar ranges and a trend line approximation for common value. So as It goes on increasing Bar ranges , Overlap % decreases - Pretty much common behavior - Targets would be easily achieved in relatively fast and volatile condition. It is obvious from these, my most liking condition are bar ranges in between 4 to 6.



























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  #324 (permalink)
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Running a long since some time @ 5391.
In hindsight it is definitely a poor trade but i had to set in risk limit...and hence was not defined stop level as per smaller structure.

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  #325 (permalink)
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Got stopped near 5381.

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  #326 (permalink)
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Nett result of day = -12 Pts after comm.



devdas View Post
........
Both might come with continuation or failure so let the market decide which way it wants to go. From daily chart, i feel continuation from zone 2 to lower side , setting pullback to larger MA on daily chart cant be ruled out....


It was a big mistake and big setback. Despite right assessment i didnt acted right. Though point loss was just single trade stop loss...but it is multiple times psychologically and mentally. Need some time to subsidize.






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  #327 (permalink)
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Just observing to remain in touch with developments.
Recent discussed four step that taken b shape, is near its destination level 5340.

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  #328 (permalink)
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Completion of old four step....not necessarily mean price will reverse....but probable action forced me to took a long @ 5346.

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  #329 (permalink)
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Placed a stop at entry price.

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  #330 (permalink)
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Exited @ 5356.

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