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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #5951 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Tuesday trade

DAX long 9:00 to 16:30
entry @ 16817
exit @ 16787 (SL)
result -30 points

the gap is not closed @ 8:57 but was closed @ 8:59

edit 10:10 - DAX with indecision: Germany Economic expectations 11:00 will give support
edit 11:55 - Expectations of Economic Development in Germany did not come. So the Dax is diving since...

GFIs1

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  #5952 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Wednesday

Asia 3:3 - Top AUS + 0.3 %, Flop Shanghai -0.94% (watch vola)

Gold down @ 1975
btc$ down @ 41016

Numbers: US Production Price Index 14:30
US FOMC & FED Interest Decision 20:00, FOMC Press Conference 20:30
Speeches: none

DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 16796 - within yesterday's range

Today a thin green bias - not much volatility expected

GFIs1

Tomorrow GB Interest Decision 13:40, ECB Interest Decision 14:15 and Friday Triple Witch

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  #5953 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623


Wednesday trade


DAX long 9:00 to 16:30
entry @ 16807
exit @ 16790
result - 17 points

GFIs1

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  #5954 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Thursday - BOOM!

US FED Interest Decision from yesterday: Keeping interest without rising now. 3 interest cuts in 2024 ahead!

Result:
US: The Dow rose 1.4%, closing at 37,090.24 and blazing past its previous record high of 36,799.65, reached nearly two years ago.

The S&P 500 was up 1.4% and the Nasdaq also gained 1.4% as Wall Street celebrated the US central bank’s announcement that it would keep interest rates steady after almost two years of aggressive rate hikes — and that it expects three rate cuts in 2024.

Germany: DAX rose after cash to 16903 - a new ATH! Which will be rising more in today's trading.

Asia: 4:2 green. Top AUS +1.74%, Flop NIKK - 0.84

Gold UP UP @ 2034!
btc$ up @ 42807

Numbers: GB BoE Interest Decision 13:00
EU Interest Decision 14:15, Press Conference 14:45
US Controlling of Retail Sails (after Retail Sails numbers) 14:30

Speeches: none

DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 16944 - another gap up to after hour trading yesterday - this one might not close today or tomorrow!
Today a green bias

The Year End Rally is unfolding: the goal to kill the 17k line is highly probable now

GFIs1

edit 8:08 - DAX reached pre cash 16962! Just 38 points to go...

Edit 19:18 - DAX KILLED THE 17K-Line some Minutes ago! high was 17003 - not finished here
edit 10:09 - the gap to after cash hour prices from yesterday is closed now (the gap to cash hour is still far...)
edit 15:27 - the gap to yesterday is now closed :-o


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  #5955 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Thursday trade


DAX long 9:00 to 17:30
entry @ 16947
exit @ 16847 (SL)
result -100 points

GFIs1

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  #5956 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Bull Markets versus Risk

Dear colleague @Symple. Coming back to your post from Dec 4th where you sent some very interesting charts. Thanks.
My bias is normally not bullish in the markets. As you know from my trading the biggest gains I am (and was) making is mostly on shorts. Means strong pullbacks after a lengthy and slowly up move. Fact.

This time I am just concentrating on the development of the DAX by:
• interests - how are they doing over the last 3 months and what will come next year
• inflation dito
• outlooks in the different economies
• money printing in USA, Europe and Asia
• year end rally
• triple witch
Result of this is my basis of reading the markets every trading day. Reading the statements of the FED, ECB and others.
Given all this - we notice some hype (by new traders joining?) in indexes, Gold and Coins.

I think that we have to consider some pull back soon. So I am prepared. The good thing about trading is the possibility to make gains with long and short trades. Such said we must be happy to see markets with good volume.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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  #5957 (permalink)
Symple
Zuerich / Switzerland
 
Posts: 1,056 since Sep 2021
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Thanks Received: 2,329

@GFIs1

Thanks for your kind words. Not sure if you also did read my last post in my "Trading Journal", where I also mentioned the may coming "End of year rally". What happen yesterday after the "FED" decision, was not expected in such a way. For many "Hedge Funds" it was a painful day. Some readers here may are interested in some more info's about what was going on (Artikel at the end of this post)

By the way: Thanks to speak openly about your way of "Trading decision making". It is more complex many may think it is, as charts are only part of some trading plans. But this is each ones personal choice.

Any way: I wish a nice Advents time so far. For Christmas and New Years wishes it is a bit to early.

Symple

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-signals-mission-accomplished-sparks-market-boom-election-year-rate-cut-bonanza

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  #5958 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Friday - last Triple Witch of the Year

Asia 5:1 green - Top Hang Seng + 2.03 % Flop Shanghai -0.52 %

Gold up @ 2035
btc$ down @ 42617

Numbers: div. S&P purchasing managers indexes:
TRIPLE WITCH DAX 13:00 (for future traders: January contract from today
Speeches: none

DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 16771

Today a green bias

GFIs1

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  #5959 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: nobody interested
Broker: none
Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,946 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 6,196
Thanks Received: 15,623

Friday trade


DAX long 10:30 to 14:30
entry @ 16849
exit @ 16819 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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  #5960 (permalink)
 ragic 
N. Yorks, UK
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NT8
Trading: ES
Frequency: Never
Duration: Seconds
Posts: 58 since Jun 2011
Thanks Given: 35
Thanks Received: 59


The Flash PMI's were out this morning, slightly worse than expected.

(for the scalpers).. The French and German numbers can be movers (not always tho...)

The French number comes out first and is often the bigger mover. Then the German 15 min later. Then the EU number 30 min after that...

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