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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #3331 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
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Thanks Received: 15,587

Dow 2.5% down in 1 day... others to follow.

Thinking of the next moves here a high probable scenario in a short time:



GFIs1

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  #3332 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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If you like to watch the Walzer result(s) please read in my other thread:



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  #3333 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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No trade today - Friday hi/lo was 170pts.

This morning a down gap (cash hours) - some volatility programmed.

GFIs1

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  #3334 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
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Trading: forget about it
Posts: 6,933 since Feb 2012
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Dow dived down -5%
Asia followed with Nikkei 225: -7%

Read my previous posts - especially with Dax goal of 11996 - up on this page...

The Dax might open lower than 12000.

Heavy volatility - means to stay safe: stay at the sidelines

GFIs1

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  #3335 (permalink)
 Evdl 
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Watch out for margin calls. The intraday margin is removed during the day (at Interactive Brokers). Never saw this happening during the day. One Dax contract is now nearly 30k.

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  #3336 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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...depending on the Dax leverage:



GFIs1

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  #3337 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
who cares
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Dax needs stll a second down leg...

As the overnight price of the Dax future went down with the flash crash
to 11600 - the cash price lo during the day was 12196.
Awaiting still a price lower than 12k.

Lets see what will be on the plate.
Good trades

GFIs1

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  #3338 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Evdl View Post
Watch out for margin calls. The intraday margin is removed during the day (at Interactive Brokers). Never saw this happening during the day. One Dax contract is now nearly 30k.

Yes - margins are going up with the index. Means much higher now than 10 years back. US and EU.
The intraday margins are provided under normal circumstances. When prices are playing games up
and down - then the margins may go up again and intraday they disappear to get some volumes
out of the market.
Such behavior on the DAX can be found 2008 and 2011 as well...

Just beware when a Index pushes over 1.x% per day - then the broker will block from its side.
(...coins even worse!)

GFIs1

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  #3339 (permalink)
 Evdl 
Netherlands
 
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For example when you have 25k on your account. And you are in the market with 1 fdax. The normal intraday margin would be around 14k. Which leaves you with 11k of headroom.

In others years when the dax did 1% or more on a daily basis. The margins were adjusted on daily basis, but never during the day. If you go smooth every night, that is no problem.

If they change this during the day, you could have a margin call. Even if you are in a winning position, they will liquidate your position. Because the margin will go to 30k and that is above your 25k you have on your account.

I was surprised to see the margin removed during the day. Maybe others experienced this before but I never saw that in the last 8 years.

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  #3340 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Evdl View Post
For example when you have 25k on your account. And you are in the market with 1 fdax. The normal intraday margin would be around 14k. Which leaves you with 11k of headroom.

In others years when the dax did 1% or more on a daily basis. The margins were adjusted on daily basis, but never during the day. If you go smooth every night, that is no problem.

If they change this during the day, you could have a margin call. Even if you are in a winning position, they will liquidate your position. Because the margin will go to 30k and that is above your 25k you have on your account.

I was surprised to see the margin removed during the day. Maybe others experienced this before but I never saw that in the last 8 years.

You are right - IB is more restrictive concerning margins in the last 2 years - maybe governance protection needed that.
On the other hand - if you are willing to trade with 14k on a 25k account then you are already on the risky side - why
not trade the FXDM (5x leverage) instead of the FDAX (25x leverage) to adjust to your liquidity?
Of course I know about the costs and slippage...
Was only a hint for rough times as we can see them right now.

GFIs1

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