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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #931 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Which time is important intraday?

Got a new video from Chad Payne (linnsoft.com) where he makes a analysis of the ES to
see data of the last 8 years by WHEN the ES intraday is breaking the overnight high or the
overnight low - and that on how much days?

Video: Investor/RT - Homework, Research, Statistics

He has put the results of several time charts on the same page.
Interestingly the most important moves (taking 10min intervals) are the first 10 minutes of cash
hour session. The second best result is the fourth 10min. bar - meaning 30 to 40 minutes after
session has started. From there the importance of bigger movements is getting very low.

Why am I writing about this ES statistical stuff in this Dax thread?
Because the development of a future has some important time frames within a day session.
This circumstance I was using to develop my Dax intraday system - and it shows a significant similarity:
09:00 and 10:00 and 10:30 are some important milestones intraday where the direction of
a day is getting visible.

The goal here might be the calculation of results Chad found in the ES on the Dax (if I am
capable to change to the Dax future incl. right timeframes which are very different) and to present
the results here...

I am near 100% sure that both statistical graphs (of ES and Dax) are NOT very different.

stay tuned - GFIs1

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  #932 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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Intraday

The thinner a intraday move is - the more potential for a breakout is expected.

Today we got only 60 points intraday.. - lets have some change here

GFIs1
who is expecting lower levels in the Dax for the coming days

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  #933 (permalink)
Elite Member
Germany
 
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GFIs1 View Post
GFIs1
who is expecting lower levels in the Dax for the coming days

Hi GFIs1,

I would like to yes, but being really unsure if it will happen without an blow off move prior to take out the year high.
The DAX was at no time so heavily rigged like this year until now. Have never ever seen this behavior before.

Let's see what will happen.

Abde

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  #934 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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Week 32 result

There was no trade taken due to the low volume rule.
Have seen that the morning hours this week were very low - more volume came in
after US opening. On our normal trading days the total volume was between 70K
and 91K - all of them with low early volume.
Was ok to stay at the sideline - the virtual three short trades this week would have
given a slightly positive result.
Looking to get in next week.

GFIs1

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  #935 (permalink)
Elite Member
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GFIs1 View Post
There was no trade taken due to the low volume rule.
Have seen that the morning hours this week were very low - more volume came in
after US opening. On our normal trading days the total volume was between 70K
and 91K - all of them with low early volume.
Was ok to stay at the sideline - the virtual three short trades this week would have
given a slightly positive result.
Looking to get in next week.

GFIs1

Hi GFIs1,

found an interesting page this week http://www.derivate.bnpparibas.com/DEU/Service/Daily_Newsletter
Daily video comes every weekday around 09.00, has nearly confirmed your 3 virtual short trades...

Good trades

rw48gmx

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  #936 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monday

Looks like volumes are back to near normal -
could start again trading
((today short 09:30 to 12:00))

GFIs1

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  #937 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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..unfortunately stopped out

but the movements according to the rules are coming back

GFIs1
..will try on Wednesday again

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  #938 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 4,109 since Feb 2012
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Week 34 result

This week had 3 trades

two negative: -33SL - 6 points
one positive: +44 points

total weekly result +8 points

Total points since week 2: 694

GFIs1

Volume at the end of this week is nearly back to normal.
This will help to see more positive results by this system.

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  #939 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 4,109 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,774 given, 7,604 received
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Monday

Today the Dax started 09:00 normally

but: the Future traded @ DTB can not be traded due technical problems

09:23h still not working

GFIs1

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  #940 (permalink)
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Trading at Eurex will start at 09:20 CET.

At 09:20 CET all Eurex products will be set to
Pre-Trading. Afterwards order entries are possible.

At 09:22 CET Pre-Opening will start.

Netting of each product starts immediately after
the Pre-Opening earliest at 09:30 CET.

Please check Your non-persistent orders.


I have zen-fire and it still does not work.

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