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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #871 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Week 26 result

Mid year :-)

This week had three short trades:

103 -30(SL) + 78 points
Total weekly points: 151

Points since week 2 2013: 601

GFIs1

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  #872 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monday trade

Dax long 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7904

exit @ 7985

result 81 points

risk - medium

outlook - second wave trading here - thereafter a short on this downleg is expected

GFIs1

1) It is about time to say good bye to 8'000 here
2) rotating back at least to POC @ 7942 expected


Last edited by GFIs1; July 1st, 2013 at 07:07 AM.
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  #873 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax long 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7904

exit @ 7985

result 81 points

risk - medium

outlook - second wave trading here - thereafter a short on this downleg is expected

GFIs1

1) It is about time to say good bye to 8'000 here
2) rotating back at least to POC @ 7942 expected

@GFIs1

Congrats,

excellent work, where did your first wave start ?

Thanks and good trades.

rw48gmx

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  #874 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Hi @rw48gmx

THe first wave started with that long last friday afternoon,
In fact I was only looking at the first 30 minutes of the opening. There price
went rapidly up and a "second wave" was foreseen. It came out as planned.
Hope this helps

GFIs1

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  #875 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Dax 60min update

Now - at a calm (?) day we will have a look @ the Dax and movements.
As the price in the 1h is in the Kumo - there is some erratic up and down
as what we do have to expect. Fortunately there was no GFIs1 trade on
the schedule though
What we can see is that the price is really testing ups and down of the Kumo.
I am expecting to see a nice down movement tomorrow Wednesday (as always).
Look @ the black arrow here:

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GFIs1

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  #876 (permalink)
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Hi @GFIs1, I am still open to upside from here as the rise from 7650 to 8050 looked like a pretty clean 5 wave impulse move and I struggle to see the fit for now.

We may have just completed an abc correction today or are still in a more complex correction with lower needed first. Pushing above 7960 and 8060 may confirm significant further upside - maybe even new year highs as the drop from 8500 was not a convincing impulse (imho) and there are lots of open gaps up there. That said, losing 7800 and 7650 could be terminal for this summer's market and violent drops could follow soon. Who knows? Maybe the Kumo!

Travel Well
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  #877 (permalink)
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Hi @ratfink

Thanks for your input - the correction is surely not over.
As you have read my post https://futures.io/trading-journals/25262-gfis1-hilo-dax-signal-16.html
I assume that you see the further needed downtrend here and now
As I am pointing out in my 1h chart in previous post is that the price HAS to get out of the Kumo on the
lower line - and from there it is still a long way to 7430.
We have seen that the levels of 8K are definitely over and that some picking for lower accepted levels
are obvious.
I am sure to see lower prices soon.

GFIs1

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  #878 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Wednesday trade

NO trade today - conflicting rules

outlook
1) a day befor US Independence (US closed)
2) Friday open again and many US numbers
3) today a short expected
4) a upcoming downgap visible
Looks like we get two interesting days today and Friday

GFIs1

...glad to have not taken a trade today


Last edited by GFIs1; July 3rd, 2013 at 06:40 AM.
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Thursday

US closed...

Dax gapped up to Tuesday low levels.
Looks like that gap of Wednesday now could close today.
This would help for further downmoves on this leg!

Good trades
GFIs1


... very low volume 13:20 ~30K contracts

..after Draghi/ECB - upmove to 8K again - to touch Kumo resistance.
Kijun Sen has come down to 8043.. so not much margin left.


Last edited by GFIs1; July 4th, 2013 at 09:58 AM.
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Market Wizard
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Friday


In the bigger picture of the Dax we see a final upmove yesterday and today.
KijunSen (blue line) came down today to 8035 - exact this price has been
reached in the last half hour.
Kumo is still getting stronger - the long scenarion discussed in the thread
is still valid.

GFIs1

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