GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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Itchymoku

How many contracts do you put on during a given trade these days?

This thread is a one contract per trade scenario to see a fill at one price and to compare weekdays
over the year.
Hope this helps.

GFIs1

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GFIs1

Dax short from 11:00 to 16:00

entry @ 7255

exit @

result

risk - medium

outlook - IFO numbers after 6 negative months now positive - expecting some cash-in today - price still in daily Kumo

GFIs1

I agree. I think you have good instincts. Some indicators begin to be negative - money flow, balance of power. Entered a little after you. If it holds maybe I'll consider staying in over the weekend.

Cheers,
Eyal

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This week had four trades:

two positive trades (22+6)
two negative trades (-11-33)

Total points this week minus 16
Total points since week one plus 1011

GFIs1

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Dax long from 10:00 to 12:30

entry @ 7297

exit @ 7296

result minus 1 point

risk - medium

outlook - signal not strong - price still in daily Kumo - some downmove expected in the bigger picture (for next days)

GFIs1

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Dax short from 10:00 to 13:30

entry @ 7341

exit @ 7337

result plus 4 points

risk - medium

outlook - price finally above daily Kumo - today some cash-in expected - Bernanke speech in the afternoon..

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7307

exit @ 7315

result minus 8 points

risk - medium

outlook - price is back in daily Kumo - some downmove expected now - vola still to watch

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:00 to 13:30

entry @ 7406

exit @ 7395

result plus 11 points

risk - medium

outlook - some consolidation now after the rally

GFIs1

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Last of the month:
Dax short from 09:30 to 14:30

entry @ 7414

exit @ 7430

result minus 16 points

risk - high

outlook - support in 1h and daily is weaking - strong Resistance @ 7454 - US numbers in the afternoon - Draghi speech this morning
quite chop chop to end the month ;-)

GFIs1

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Choppy week ended with five trades

three negative trades (-1, -8, -16points)
two positive trades (4, 11points)

Total weekly result minus 10 points
Totals since week one plus 1001 points.

GFIs1

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Dax long 09:30 to 14:00

entry @ 7443

exit @ 7477

result plus 34 points

risk - medium

outlook - bullish based

GFIs1

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Dax long 11:00 to 12:30

entry @ 7449

exit @ 7453

result plus 4 points

risk - medium

outlook - support still here this morning - so some bullish movement expected. For tomorrow a consolidation has to be foreseen

GFIs1

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Tomorrow some downmove to max. 7366 possible...

GFIs1

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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 7455 (left some points on the table)

exit @ 7445

result plus 10 points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation on high level

GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7481

exit @ SL (a very short trade) ;-)

result minus 33 points

risk - medium

outlook - ECB decision day

GFIs1

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Dax long 09:30 to 13:30

entry @ 7527

exit @ 7517

result minus 10 points

risk - medium

outlook - another bullish move to make a new high...

GFIs1

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This week had five trades.

Two negative results (-33 SL -7 points)
Three positive trades (34 + 4 + 10 points)

Weekly result plus 8 points.
Points since week one 1'009

GFIs1

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Dax short from 09:30 to 14:00

entry @ 7487

exit @ 7483

result plus 4 points

risk - medium - attention: very weak signal

outlook - another consolidation day in a bullish scenario

GFIs1

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Dax long 11:00 to 12:30

entry @ 7569

exit @ 7568

result minus 1 point

risk - medium

outlook - further bullish

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7612

exit @ 7607

result plus 5 points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation on this high level

GFIs1

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Dax short 11:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7567

exit @ 7589

result minus 22 points -> entry was way too late today..

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation down to 7530 area highly probable

GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7614

exit @ 7607

result plus 7 points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation

GFIs1

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This week had five trades.

Two negative results (-1 -22 points)
Three positive trades (4 + 5 + 7 points)

Weekly result minus 7 points.
Points since week one 1'002

GFIs1

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Dax long 09:30 to 14:00

entry @ 7616

exit @ 7583

result minus 33 points

risk - medium

outlook - looking for a new high?

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:00 to 13:30

entry @ 7644

exit @ 7636

result plus 8 points

risk - medium

outlook - new highs finally today

some consolidation for some hours today

GFIs1

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Wednesday trade: Dax short 11:00 to 14:30

entry @ 7673

exit @ 7677

result minus 4 points

risk

outlook - IFO day - some short foreseen

GFIs1

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Dax long 10:30 to 13:30

entry @ 7663

exit @ 7673

result plus 10 points

risk - medium

outlook - DownGap to be closed - tomorrow Triple Witch Day.. some cash in expected

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

NEW march contract..

entry @ 7640

exit @ 7629

result plus 11 points

risk - medium

outlook - some vola expected - triple witch day

GFIs1

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This week had five trades.

Two negative results (-33 SL -2 points)
Three positive trades (8 + 10 + 11 points)

Weekly result minus 6 points.
Points since week one 996

GFIs1

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Dax long 09:30 to 15:00

entry @ 7653

exit @ 7677

result 24 points

risk - medium

outlook - bullish scenario for year end

GFIs1

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GFIs1

This week had five trades.

Two negative results (-33 SL -2 points)
Three positive trades (8 + 10 + 11 points)

Weekly result minus 6 points.
Points since week one 996

GFIs1

Inspiring work!

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Today we have the last trading day in the DAX with a shortened time before a long weekend:
Low volume and some erratic movements do not allow to see this a normal last trading day of
the month.
Therefore no GFIs1 trade today. Protecting capital.

GFIs1

uptdate 10:30 - very low volume - only 10'000 contracts total

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GFIs1

Today we have the last trading day in the DAX with a shortened time before a long weekend:
Low volume and some erratic movements do not allow to see this a normal last trading day of
the month.
Therefore no GFIs1 trade today. Protecting capital.

GFIs1

Hi GFIs1
You know what time close the march DAX on the eurex site I cannot find an early close.(but I remember that the last day of the year for trading normaly there is an early close but I am not sure)
Thanks

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Hi @rcabri

Found some information here:

Deutsche B�rse: Bekanntmachung zur Jahresschlussb�rse 2012

but not very clear to understand ;-)

Happy Trades
GFIs1

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some news came in now from Interactive Brokers concerning German Closure:

GFIs1

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We have seen a nice downmove to the last accepted areas.
Volume today til' now 25'000.
Closing of the Dax at 14:00 (90 minutes from here)
The brave made a nice gain...
The others enjoy a RELAXED day.

GFIs1

PS:
..where GFIs1 System said short - but times of exit were NOT defined
Happy to have nothing lost today

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Nice range extension indeed...love your work mate..

XS

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This week had only one trade.

One positive trade (+ 24 points)

Weekly result plus 24 points.
Points since week one 1015*

Yearly result + 1015 points

* corrected 2 minor typo's from last four weeks
thx to PM's

GFIs1

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Looking back to the trades commented on futures.io (formerly BMT) since February and twittered from January
I am underlining some points where time and investment optimized are making sense.

First a look at the overall result:

Then a look at the cumulated result per weekday:

Optimizing the GFIs1 system could include following major points:
a) no trades on Tuesday and Thursday's OR
b) optimize the rules for these two weekdays
c) putting most weight on Wednesdays as the rule says 90% short
d) Trade only January to August...

Comparing the above results with the other futures.io (formerly BMT)- thread here

GFIs1 Dax BIG MOVE Swing Trade Approach

Hello Dear Reader

This time like GFIs1's Dax trading journal - as already seen on futures.io (formerly BMT) - a very different trading approach will be on track for testing reasons.

*** IMPORTANT NOTE to ALL followers first:
This thread has …

There is one final obvious point to consider:

Running GFIs1 Daily System the first 8 months - stop that one and switch all weight into
the Big Wave would have brought more than to follow the daily system for all 12 months

After all this year brought consistent wins.

Have a Happy New Year
GFIs1

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Congrats to you for having such a consistent system generating these constant and profitable results !

Well, in hindsight it might have been the correct decision to switch over to your other trading system in September, but next year things may change and look quite different...

So, if you consider to make some adjustments to your trading days (we talked about that some time ago) for next year, you may improve even more.

But, bottom line you achieved some very good results, so just keep up your good work !

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Happy New Year

Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7748

exit @ 7735

result plus 13 points

risk - medium

outlook consolidation after the bullish move

GFIs1

Good start... Volume still low

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...back your morning gains in the afternoon. So often heard

Looking at our Dax movements of today in a very low volume session (<50K before US opened)
we see moves without a clear direction.
It is always tempting to jump right in - where no real signal can be seen.
Easy to lose a lot - instead of keeping the gains in hand and protecting capital.

GFIs1

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After the above described uncertainty of direction - suddenly the breakout came
and made everything clear - direction more south.
Difficult to see the trend clearly. Most obvious was that a breakout out of the rectangle
will happen:

In fact for our setup in this thread with only morning starts such a trade was out of discussion.

GFIs1

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Dax long 11:00 to 12:30

entry @ 7726

exit @ 7742

result plus 16 points

risk - medium

outlook - some erratic moves possible due to still very low volume in the Dax

GFIs1

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Question is often - how many consecutive days are to be seen if a trend is on its way.
Thanks to a chart by Chad from Linnsoft I was quenching out the data for the Dax.
Now - if you think back to the last 4 months - how many days in ONE direction were to be seen?
Four, Five, Six, Seven or more days?
Have a look here:

Answer is five on the short and six on the long side.

GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 12:00

entry @ 7729

exit @ 7701

result plus 28 points

risk - conflicting rules - tight stop

outlook - after good numbers of Alcoa price started higher - but further downmove expected

GFIs1

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I am following this thread, thanks for sharing your journal.

Could you please explain how you choose entry and exit times?

Todays trade is risk conflicting because there is green 30 minute candle at the open whereas the probability that the DAX goes down on Wednesday is high. Is that correct?

What is the stop loss today? is it 10? Thank you.

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Hi @bkk888

Thanks for your Input.
Stop I had set today to 10 - correct.
Entry time (as well exit) is earlier today - rule after two previous short days.

Good trades
GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7718

exit @ 7748 (SL)

result -30 points

risk - medium

outlook - ECB decision 13:45h - unfortunately still low volume

GFIs1

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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 7722

exit @ 7707 (SL)

result minus 15 points

risk - tight stop (15)

outlook some bullish move expected - which will not come ;-)

GFIs1

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This week had five trades

Three positive and two negative trades:

Positive (13+ 16 + 28 points)
Negative (-30SL - 15 tight SL)

Total weekly result plus 12 points

Left some points on the table - ECB decision day was bad.

Looking positively forward to the next weeks.

GFIs1

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Dax short 12:30 to 15:00

entry @ 7755

exit @ 7759

result - 4points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation phase

GFIs1

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** No trade today - conflicting rules **

protecting capital

GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 15:30

entry @ 7660

exit @ 7667

result minus 7 points

risk - medium

outlook - further trending down expected

GFIs1

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Dax long 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7676

exit @ 7684

result plus 8 points

risk - medium

outlook - thin signal - not much movement expected for the first half day

GFIs1

update 11:20 - still very low volume on the market (24K)

LOOKING for 7722 area now

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No trade today:
Looks long - but we have a conflicting rule situation.

Nice weekend!
GFIs1

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GFIs1

No trade today:
Looks long - but we have a conflicting rule situation.

Nice weekend!
GFIs1

Why does it look long?

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bkk888

Why does it look long?

Friday rule ;-)
this one works normally very well.
So today it is better to stay at the sideline.

GFIs1

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This week had three trades

One positive and two negative trades:

Positive (8 points)
Negative (-4 - 7 points)

Total weekly result minus 3 points

Two days without a trade to protect capital which was a good decision.

GFIs1

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Today US holiday:

**No trade**

Low volume expected - and undecision in direction move
Looking forward to the rest of the week!

GFIs1

update 19:00 - volume < 40'000 contracts IS very low

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Dax short 11:00 to 15:00

entry @ 7668

exit @ 7698 (SL)

result minus 30 points

risk - medium

outlook - first day after US holiday - normal volume expected - continuing down leg

GFIs1

update: even if the trade looks negative - the "test" of lower prices on the next down leg
were successful

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Dax short 09:30 to 12:00

entry @ 7699

exit @

result

risk - medium

GFIs1

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GFIs1

Dax short 09:30 to 12:00

entry @ 7699

exit @

result

risk - medium

GFIs1

hi, i see what you do but i don�t know why? are you not technical trader? are you fundamental trader?

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Hi Tudi

There are rules for every weekday to trade - just technical and based on the first 30 minutes of the opening.
More explanations to find within this thread.

Good Trades!
GFIs1

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GFIs1

Hi Tudi

There are rules for every weekday to trade - just technical and based on the first 30 minutes of the opening.
More explanations to find within this thread.

Good Trades!
GFIs1

ok. thank you

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GFIs1

Hi Tudi

There are rules for every weekday to trade - just technical and based on the first 30 minutes of the opening.
More explanations to find within this thread.

Good Trades!
GFIs1

Hi GFI,
can I ask how long you have been trading ? and how long do you trade DAX ? Its my interest, I am beginner starting in February life.

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HI lu2013

I am trading the Dax 5 years plus..
and around 3 years every day.
Dax is not for beginners - so please have a great
strategy or try your luck on SIM until profitability.

GFIs1

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GFIs1

HI lu2013

I am trading the Dax 5 years plus..
and around 3 years every day.
Dax is not for beginners - so please have a great
strategy or try your luck on SIM until profitability.

GFIs1

Thanks a lot for advice, I am working on sim everyday for past 3 months, and backtested all on more then 200 random days. How many contracts you trading ?

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Dax short 11:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7710

exit @ 7695

result plus 15 points

risk - medium

outlook consolidation - tomorrow IFO.. - so not much vola expected

GFIs1

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lu2013

Thanks a lot for advice, I am working on sim everyday for past 3 months, and backtested all on more then 200 random days. How many contracts you trading ?

This thread is about 1 Dax future

GFIs1

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GFIs1

Dax short 11:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7710

exit @

result

risk - medium

outlook consolidation - tomorrow IFO.. - so not much vola expected

GFIs1

IT was nice trade. your analysis with Investor r/t is very good.

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IFO day..

Dax LONG from 10:30 to 16:00

entry @ 7822

exit @ 7860

result plus 38 points

risk - medium

outlook - still on the long leg... IFO numbers came 10:00 - positive

GFIs1

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GFIs1

IFO day..

Dax LONG from 10:30 to 16:00

entry @ 7822

exit @

result

risk - medium

outlook - still on the long leg... IFO numbers came 10:00 - positive

GFIs1

Thanks for the wake up call, watched only derivatecheck.de page, they announced the ifo numbers for 10.30...nice weekend...

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Unfortunately the reliability of derivatecheck.de is not that accurate!

Seeing price go through the ceiling from 09:30 I checked other resources like bloomberg.com
and saw that the numbers were out @ 10:00!

Good trades and a nice weekend too
GFIs1

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This week had four trades

Two positive and two negative trades:

Positive (15 + 38 points)
Negative (-30SL - 15 points)

Total weekly result plus 8 points

Monday US holiday was influencing negative the two
trading days after.
IFO days are normally winners ;-)

GFIs1

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rw48gmx

Thanks for the wake up call, watched only derivatecheck.de page, they announced the ifo numbers for 10.30...nice weekend...

try forexfactory.com perfect for news

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lu2013

try forexfactory.com perfect for news

Thanks lu2013

The page is well done!
Need to shift the written times to local time though.
Will compare for the future more sources ;-)

GFIs1

PS: :-) One detail of this week showed on that page was the influcence of "WEF Annual Meetings"

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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 7863

exit @ 7851

result +12 points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation day after rally - looking for 7829 (VWAP Friday)

GFIs1

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Dax long 11:00 to 12:30

entry @ 7828

exit @ 7810

result minus 18 points

risk - medium

outlook - on the downleg - not much vola expected (no important numbers) - taking the retracing here - which did not happen

GFIs1

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.. looks very good for a nice short tomorrow Wednesday ..
.. which is nearly almost the case on Wednesdays
to come back on the daily support levels @ 7750 area in the next days.

GFIs1

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GFIs1

.. looks very good for a nice short tomorrow Wednesday ..
.. which is nearly almost the case on Wednesdays
to come back on the daily support levels @ 7750 area in the next days.

GFIs1

i want to see it first in the near of y-high for a better short entire.

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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 7843

exit @ 7814

result plus 29 points

risk - medium

outlook - further on leg down

GFIs1

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Dax short 09:30 to 13:30

entry @ 7801

exit @ 7786

result plus 15 points

risk - medium

outlook - further move down on that leg

GFIs1

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Dax long 09:30 to 16:30

entry @ 7799

exit @ 7834

result plus 35 points

risk - medium

outlook - consolidation - looking for 7850 area intraday (which happened)

GFIs1

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I like your approach, thanks for sharing this log.
I may have to find out what 'Twitter' is...

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ratfink

I like your approach, thanks for sharing this log.
I may have to find out what 'Twitter' is...

Hi @ratfink

Thx! Try this link here: https://twitter.com/GFIs1

Good Trades!
GFIs1

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I joined this site recently and found you postings interesting. It seems to me that you are doing a great job. I also trade the Dax. I use a auto system. Regards Outlander

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Outlander

.. I use a auto system...

In your introduction I think you said a 'Used Auto' system...

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GFIs1

Hi @ratfink

Thx! Try this link here: https://twitter.com/GFIs1

Good Trades!
GFIs1

Thanks!
Only joking to find out Twitter, but I was a sworn virgin... I have now fallen and am quietly https://twitter.com/RFKu1

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ratfink

In your introduction I think you said a 'Used Auto' system...

yes thats true. It is based on Flexrenko bars. Stop 12 t target 24 t with a trailing stop. Regards Outlander

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This week had five trades

Four positive and one negative trades:

Positive (12 + 29 + 17 + 35 points)
Negative (-18 points)

Total weekly result plus 75 points

Best weekly result 2013
Result week 1 to 5 2013: + 92 points

GFIs1

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GFIs1

This week had five trades

Four positive and one negative trades:

Positive (12 + 29 + 17 + 35 points)
Negative (-18 points)

Total weekly result plus 75 points

Best weekly result 2013
Result week 1 to 5 2013: + 92 points

GFIs1

Congratulation for the good result !

How did you evaluate friday`s econ news ?

Trading time was 9.30-16.30, longest time I have ever seen and trading into US- open.

At 14.30 some high impacting numbers were expected, as unemployment rate and non-farm employment change. Did you foresee the numbers ?

I started testing your trading, tried some finetuning, like trailing stops, but you are right, I didn`t get better results.

I must admit, I have no better ideas. (til now)

Keep on running your �GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal�

Thanks and good trades, rw48gmx...

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Thanks @rw48gmx

Friday numbers were not important for a changing in price.
Instead the trend movement was weighing more - this time.
This is what my rule set says - after the last of the month
which was Thursday - the friday is a trending day.
That easy.

Good trades
GFIs1

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Dax long 10:00 to 14:00

entry @ 7827

exit @ 7797 (SL)

result minus 30 points

risk - medium

outlook - some small bullish movement expected for today (was a bad signal)

GFIs1

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GFIs1

This week had five trades

Four positive and one negative trades:

Positive (12 + 29 + 17 + 35 points)
Negative (-18 points)

Total weekly result plus 75 points

Best weekly result 2013
Result week 1 to 5 2013: + 92 points

GFIs1

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Very long daily bar / candle of more than 200 points.

This means NO trade for Tuesday - as my rules are blocking intraday.
Some rebound today possible but dangerous.

The consolidation to 759x area (not yet touched) is the important point
before going to search for higher highs in this rally.

Looking forward to next high levels - support in the daily is still getting stronger
as discussed in earlier posts.

GFIs1

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Here a look back (chart on the left) and today's daily:
Looks very good to hangle down the red spiral as posted earlier.
The bottom is not yet reached in this downleg as you can see in the left chart.

GFIs1

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Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 7674

exit @ 7560

result plus 114 points

risk - medium

outlook - short on downleg

GFIs1

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Your exit must be at 7560...

Best trade intraday ever?

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AnasParis

Your exit must be at 7560...

Best trade intraday ever?

thanks - adjusted the typo ;-)

yes - the best twitter intraday result

Your analyses and my bigger picture were quite identical
speaking of the Dax...
and there we go!

GFIs1

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GFIs1

thanks - adjusted the typo ;-)

yes - the best twitter intraday result

Your analyses and my bigger picture were quite identical
speaking of the Dax...
and there we go!

GFIs1

Can I ask you what is your stop loss in FDAX do you use fix or in dependence on market volatily or else ? and how long you been trading DAX ? Nice result btw

GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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