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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #5571 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Thursday

Asia more red except 2: Nikkey and Taiwan green.

Gold down to @ 1958 - very rare to see gold moving in the same direction as the indexes

Numbers: USA gross domestic product annualized 14:30

Speeches: none of importance here

DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 15835 (near the low of yesterday)

After a steep slip yesterday the price ended after cash hours around 15900 - the battle @ 16k is still there

Green bias for today (return to battle line 16k expected - rebound)

GFIs1

edit 9:15 - German's economy has after 2 consecutive quarters with a negative development of the gross domestic product:
A RECESSION!

What news... they call it 'technical Recession'

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  #5572 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Thursday trade

DAX short 11:30 to 13:00
entry @ 15830
exit @ 15822
result - 9 points

GFIs1

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  #5573 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received


Friday

Asia all green. Thin vola. Hang Seng did not trade
Gold further down to @ 1948

A bunch of Numbers: USA 14:30
USA 16:00 Michigan Index for consumer confidence

Speeches: none

LONG WEEKEND! - Monday bank holiday
DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 15810

Battle @ 16k not easy in reach

Green bias for today by a thin vola

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  #5574 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Friday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:00
entry @ 15820
exit @ 15799 -> manual stop 12:45
result +21 points

GFIs1

Doesn't look like price goes down to 15700 today

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  #5575 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Week 21 result

More volatility = more chances to gain a lot.
So this happened this week with the hot Wednesday trade gaining 201 points in one day.

This week had 5 trades
4 positive: + 50 + 20 + 201 +21 points
1 negative: - 9 points

Weekly result + 283
Yearly result 2044 + 283 points = 2327 points

GFIs1

Very happy with the good result. More could have happen when more time provided @ the keyboard. But finally it is good as it is: 7,2% of the total weeks in one week!

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  #5576 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Monday with a correction

Even some calendars indicated that in Germany Monday will be closed as a bank holiday - the Frankfurt stock exchange is open. STRANGE

Main theme over this long weekend is still the result of the US debt ceiling result. This will push the DAX right up or right down - depending on the outcome.

I will follow the development tomorrow. But I will not trade because the volume is very low and some stronger traders can move the DAX in no time. So beware.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #5577 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Monday

US Party leaders Joe Biden and McCarthy found last night a compromise in the never ending story of the debt ceiling.
But the deal in the US debt dispute is far from certain. Now it depends on the Republicans and Democrats in Congress - both sides would have to make painful concessions.
A first voting will be held next Wednesday.

So for the DAX we haven't any proof of security in this threat for the markets. Not for today nor for tomorrow or Wednesday in the meaning of trading.

Asia all green except Hang Seng

Gold @ 1946 - slightly down

DAX opens 7:30 @ 16003 - battle @ the 16k. No jump up to Fridays after hours...

Very thin markets today in Germany!

a green bias is adequate

GFIs1

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  #5578 (permalink)
 d a x 
Maastricht, Netherlands
 
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@GFIs1

Thank you for your thread and sharing your thoughts on the markets.


I had a question relating to your initial analysis for the day. You state a bias, green or red.
I then notice at times when you post your trade, it is against your initial bias.

Is there a reason for this; and what generally changes your mind?

Thank you
d a x

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  #5579 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received

Tuesday - second to last of month

Asia mixed: 4 green, 2 red
Gold further down to @ 1934

Numbers: none

Speeches: none

DAX pre cash 7:30 @ 15964

Battle @ 16k still

No bias for the moment - waiting for USA tomorrow afternoon

GFIs1

PS: after Turkish elections the LIRA to Dollar dipped more and reached new low levels:
0.05 is the last price. 1$ gives 20.05 LIRA
Seen with the EURO: the 200 Lira note was some years back worth 110 - now just 6 !!!

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  #5580 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 6,475 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 6,010 given, 14,264 received


Tuesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 15974
exit @ 16014 (SL)
result - 40 points

GFIs1

we have seen on IB a preday cross south to Monday

edit 11:30 - USA did not influence the markets (closed), so the DAX is searching for a direction.

edit 18:15 - Price finally came down (as thought in the morning) and found its place @ 61% Fibo. Now the formed negative "W" is the basis for the normally red Wednesday.
Tomorrow is last of May and before USA has the first debt ceiling voting....
Will be red - for pretty sure!

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