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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #4301 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Weekly results

This week had 3 trades

1 negative: -50 points
2 positive: +19 + 2 points

Weekly total - 29 points

Yearly result 3491 - 29 points = 3462 points

All week sideways with long candle wicks: not very predictable respective rule oriented.

GFIs1

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  #4302 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday trade

Asia red, DAX following..., no important numbers today
Battle around 13300 finished for the moment

DAX short 9:30 to 14:00 (lower than Friday low)
entry @ 13197
exit @ 13244
result -47 points

GFIs1

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  #4303 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday trade

DAX long 11:00 to 12:30

entry @ 13255
exit @ 13236
result -19 points

GFIs1

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  #4304 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Wednesday trade

DAX started with green Asia markets with a up gap. 13350 pre cash start.
Bull start with 30m and 131 points hi/lo...

DAX short 10:00 to 14:30
entry @ 13424
exit @ 13413
result + 11 points


GFIs1

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  #4305 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Thursday trade

Important: Last ECB decision 2020 - 13:45. Then 14:30 the press concerence!

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13358
exit @
result

GFIs1

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  #4306 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Friday trade

DAX ist out of yesterday range - tendency south.
Price south of Kumo 1h and 30m.
Goal soon 12912

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13221
exit @ 13144
result + 77 points

GFIs1

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  #4307 (permalink)
redgreen
zurich
 
 
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Thanks: 39 given, 24 received

congrats - seems to be a good trade today!

what do you think about the gap from February @ 13580?

thanks and cheers
Tony

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  #4308 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Weekly results

This week had 5 trades*

3 negative: - 47 - 19 - 29 points
2 positive: + 11 + 77 points

Weekly total - 7 points

Yearly result 3462 - 7 points = 3455 points

GFIs1

*Thursday result delivered -29 points...

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  #4309 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 13:00
entry @ 13205
exit @ 13245 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

...the sideways moves
are the killer of every power system

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  #4310 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received


redgreen View Post
congrats - seems to be a good trade today!

what do you think about the gap from February @ 13580?

thanks and cheers
Tony

Good morning redgreen - Cheers!
Very good question(s) which I will answer in detail here.
Short answer before the details from my side - I do not see that this one will close in 2021!


...more to come
GFIs1

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  #4311 (permalink)
redgreen
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OK - looking forward, will be for sure an intersing post from you!

have a great start into this new week

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  #4312 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Wednesday trade

DAX with strong up gap this morning.
Gap not closed (see above).

DAX short 10:00 to 14:30
entry @ 13564
exit @ 13550
result +14 points

GFIs1

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  #4313 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Friday trade

Triple witch day! And Friday: means a special rule

DAX short 10:30 to 16:00
entry @ 13729
exit @ 13686
result + 43 points

GFIs1

well - entry perfect, exit half an hour later had given... Forget It.

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Weekly results

This week had 3 trades

1 negative: - 40 points
2 positive: + 14 + 43 points

Weekly total +17 points

Yearly result 3455 + 17 points = 3472 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Short Christmas Week - Monday trade

DAX with gap down this morning - region 13512 - new Corona type in GB, flights canceled, roads and the Tunnel closed. A hard Brexit highly possible. Corona variant spreading alreday. Not sure if the vaccine helps on the new case as well.
Expected a down to 134xx until 15:00.
The year end rally has effectively ended here.

DAX short 10:00 to 16:30
entry @ 13341
exit @ 13171
result + 170 points

GFIs1

Trading days until Wednesday (incl.). Thursday and Friday EUREX closed.

edit 8:30 - 13420...
edit 11:35 - DAX near 13k battle line (actual price 13050) - we might see <13k very soon!

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  #4316 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Illustration during today's trade



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday review

During cash hours the DAX made a hi/lo in a very short time of 385 points down.
In the afternoon some recovery had been seen.

Open 9:00 13434
Close 17:30 13254
which made + 180 points
Seeing the result of my trade beginning not before 9:30 with 170 points is still good.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday

The DAX future started 07:30 today on the same level as 17:30 of Monday.
Just to mention that this is 140 points lower than the high of Monday evening after hour.
Asia around -1% this morning.

Trend today is still down as Brexit is still without any result, first vaccinations with a slow start,
lockdowns show low selling in the otherwise highest demand on last quarter of the year.
Then a larger uncertainty if the vaccines help on the mutant version COVID-19 Var2 doesn't
help for higher prices.

GFIs1

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  #4319 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13381
exit @ 13381 (SL)
result 0 points

GFIs1

erratic movements - no minus allowed

Good trades!

A last trade before Christmas is foreseen tomorrow Wednesday - hopefully on the path south

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Wednesday trade

DAX started pre cash 7:30 @ 13400.
Yesterday half of the day sideways.

IB with up gap

DAX short 9:30 to 16:00
entry @ 13500
exit @ 13530 (SL)
result - 30 points

good trades!

GFIs1

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 tr8er 
Europe
 
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Platform: TradeNavigator, BookMap
Trading: ES, CL, 6E, 6B
 
Posts: 481 since Jan 2017
Thanks: 35 given, 429 received

FYI: effect as of dec 21st 2020 the EUREX has changed the tick-size from 0.5 points to 1 point = € 25.-- for the FDAX

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  #4322 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Christmas Week results

This week had 3 trades

1 negative: - 30 points
1 positive: + 170 points
1 neutral: 0 points

Weekly total +140 points

Yearly result 3472 + 140 points = 3612 points

GFIs1

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  #4323 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received



Wishing all of the followers and the full fio team

HAPPY CHRISTMAS

which counts double in this difficult Corona year.

GFIs1

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  #4324 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday trade

DAX started with a upgap of more than 1,5% pre cash.
In the IB 9:00 to 9:30 a new All Time High occurred and erased the one of February this year.
Asia mixed.

DAX long 9:30 to 15:00
entry @ 13817
exit @ 13797
result - 20 points

Sideways after the pumping up in the morning - all with low volumes...

GFIs1

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 SBtrader82 
Rovigo (ITALY)
 
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Platform: SierraChart, MotiveWave
Broker: Rithmic, Dorman, Interactive Brokers
Trading: Emini, Nasdaq, DAX, Bund, IBEX
 
SBtrader82's Avatar
 
Posts: 442 since Feb 2018
Thanks: 170 given, 985 received

Hi @GFIs1,
I just discovered your trading journal, I gave a quick look at it looking at some old posts as well as your most recent ones.
I have a couple of questions:
1) does the journal represents all the trading you do during the day? or do you take other trades a part from the 1 dax trade of the journal?
2) if you take such a small number of trades, what do you do the rest of the day? do you have another job or something to keep you busy?
3) why do you only trade the DAX?

I hope you can answer some of these questions, thanks a lot and congrats for keeping up with a journal since 2012.

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday trade - SECOND to LAST of the YEAR 2020

DAX with new ATH for the start of cash hour ~ 13900
Asia all green, US new ATH...
Scenario - some further jump up to get tomorrow back again on a still high level to end the year - means sellers to close open positions.

DAX long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13870
exit @ 13840 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

at least the gap to yesterday is closed

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  #4327 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Wednesday trade - LAST trading day of 2020

DAX started lower - as expected. Low volumes expected - means more volatility.

DAX short 9:30 to 14:30 (end of this trading day)
entry @ 13786
exit @ 13739
result +47 points

Good trades!
GFIs1

edit 9:55 - on track, scenario works, a possible goal is 13609

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Final Week results

This week had 3 trades

2 negative: - 20 - 30 points
1 positive: + 47 points

Weekly total -3 points

Yearly result 3612 - 3 points = 3609 points

Which is the final result for 2020!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Happy New Year!!

GFIs1

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  #4330 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday trade

Asia mixed, more green. DAX running pre cash higher than last trading day 2020.
IB with up gap and new ATH.

DAX long 9:30 to 15:00
entry @ 13805
exit @ 13888
result + 83 points

GFIs1

edit 9:35 - gap closed

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

A new Walzer signal came up...

DAX short 17:00 to 18:00
entry @ 13699
exit @ 13641
result + 58 points

DAX long 18:00 to 19:00
pattern broken... no trade
result

Walzer result + 58 points
GFIs1

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  #4332 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday trade

Interesting start into 2021 of the DAX:
• high volatility
• high volume
• new ATH's
• more...

So after a Monday with a bunch of opportunities a Tuesday trade is at stake:

DAX short 9:30 to 13:00
entry @ 13743
exit @ 13664
result + 79 points

GFIs1

edit 13:20 - a further rule says short until 16:30 - a support in this down is @ 13546...

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Wednesday trade

DAX long 11:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13744
exit @ 13749
result + 5 points

GFIs1

edit 12:10 - on track - goal 13844 (R2)
not really worked...

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Thursday trade

US green - new ATHs
Asia higher
DAX pre cash new ATH of 14000 - will start with up gap

DAX short 9:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13978
exit @ 13961
result + 17 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Friday trade

DAX gaps up this morning:
07:50 killed pre cash first time 14100 - new ATH

Asia strong green - with new ATHs

DAX long 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 14103
exit @14065
result -38 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

First Week results

This week had 5 trades + a Walzer

4 positive: + 83 + 79 + 5 + 17 points
1 negative: - 38 points

Weekly total + 146 points


1 Walzer + 58 points (does not count in the total of this journal)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Monday trade

DAX shows for last Friday in the daily chart a perfect "Hanging Man". Which means a strong reversal in the long to short.

DAX started lower than 14k with a down gap: 13966 pre cash.
Asia very mixed: Sidney red, China equal, Japan +2,4%.

Scenario on start: closing the gap to Friday (cash hours) on IB and getting lower during the day.
GAP closed on IB!

DAX short 9:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13947
exit @ 13842
result + 105 points

GFIs1

well - not the best entry scenario - BUT - the plot given at entry played out very well!
AND - the exit perfectly touched within the pattern(s).
Happy for foreseeing the trade

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,461 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,449 received

Tuesday

• Asia mixed - more red
• DAX within upper range of yesterday
• not much awaited - looks like a sideways day
• a trade only when a Walzer signal comes up - little chance!

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

DAX starts in the range of Monday. Price is still under 14k.
No direction - but a long likely to see in the morning.

DAX short from 11:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13913
exit @ 13946
result -33 points

GFIs1

PS: DAX turned a bit too early...

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday trade

DAX started with up gap and closed the gap during IB. Price went up to 14k again. This number seems to be a a limit which will figure more in this scenario in the future...

DAX long 10:30 to 13:00
entry @ 14004
exit @ 14004 (SL)
result 0 points

GFIs1

..another sideways day. This can be repeated endlessly at 14k line...

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

Asia mostly red.
DAX started with a gap down. Gap closed during IB.

DAX short 9:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13939
exit @ 13819
result +120 points

GFIs1

Well watching the the 16:00/30 candle down with speed - I left some points on the table...

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 GFIs1 
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Second Week Results

This week had 4 trades

2 positive: + 105 + 120 points
1 neutral: 0 points
1 negative: - 33 points

Weekly total + 192 points

Yearly result: 146 + 192 = 338 points

GFIs1

not a bad start into 2021

Just to prepare you for this year: the first 3 months count!!

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 GFIs1 
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Monday

Asia mixed this morning.

DAX started lower on opening of cash hours @ 13720

TODAY US closed - Martin Luther King Day

No trade today

GFIs1


edit mostly sideways as expected

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

After US holiday the DAX jumped up above Kumo 30m and 60m.
Price around 13850 level 1h before opening.
Reason according to news: Janet Yellen (US) voted against restrictions in the economy.
Asia strong green with levels to yesterday above 1%.

DAX short 10:00 to 16:30
entry @ 13873
exit @13841
result + 32 points

GFIs1

...taking what the market gives

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Wednesday trade

Day of Inauguration of Biden (18:00) European Time
DAX IB inside Tuesday range. IB closed green.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

Day of Inauguration of Biden (18:00) European Time
DAX IB inside Tuesday range.

DAX short 10:30 to 14:30
(adjusted as IB candle turned green)
entry @ 13895
exit @ 13895 (SL on entry)
result 0 points

The price came down a bit just to jump up on US stock opening which was foreseen as the crucial point for today.
Things will settle a bit when the president change will be over.

GFIs1

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Thursday

Nasdaq on new ATH
Asia mostly green
DAX opened 7:30 with up gap @ 13960

Outlook good for a gap trade today.


GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday trade

Battle @ 14k line...

DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 13950
exit @ 13979
result -29 points

GFIs1

edit 10:00 - entry 30m too late
not a typical up gap movement

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 GFIs1 
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Friday

DAX started this morning @ 13912 (7:30)

Scenario:
Cash hour start getting back up to 13912
From there 9:30 down to max. 13766

This might happen - but things will be clearer from 9:30

9:30 - scenario already history - IB came down to 13778

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

DAX short 10:00 to 16:30
entry @ 13828
exit @ 13828 (SL on entry)
result 0 points

GFIs1

edit 12:27 - ON track
edit 15:55 - the reversal in the afternoon wasn't programmed
Any moves above the rules this week had to be anticipated.

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 GFIs1 
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Third Week Results

This week had 4 trades

1 positive: + 32 points
2 neutral: 0 + 0 points
1 negative: - 29 points

Weekly total + 3 points

Yearly result: 338 + 3 = 341 points


GFIs1

A week with so many big news - difficult to see normal patterns

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

Interesting constellation this morning in the DAX:
Started with up gap. IB made a wading thru 1h Kumo south and rests @ ~13900.
Lagarde speaking this morning and later in the afternoon...

Previewed trade: (watch entry time)

DAX short 12:30 to 15:00
entry @ 13847 (on track)
exit @ 13667
result + 180 points

GFIs1

edit 13:38 - a goal for 15:00 is a max of 13596 - we will see
edit 15:41 - a rarely used rule for this trade - but it worked well
and was announced before taking the trade

Finally - repeating myself: take what the market giveths to you

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perfect timing

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

DAX is forming a "W" form - strong long

DAX long 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13749
exit @ 13924 - closed manually 13:40 (goal more than reached)
result + 175 points

GFIs1

edit 11:40 - on track - goal for 14:30 13896

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday outlook

After 2 very positive days it is not sure if tomorrow Wednesday the volatility continues. Quite possible to not take a trade - depending on the start in the morning.
The pattern trading like used in this journal tells that when a Tuesday is very strong - the Thursday works like an echo to Tuesday.
So far a very good first month which might bring some extra points.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

Asia mixed. No volatility. US numbers 14:30.
"W" in the DAX finished. Wednesday's short.

Preparing a trade - depending on the development next 2 hours:

DAX short 11:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13803
exit @ 13651
result + 152 points

GFIs1

edit 13:00 - 3rd day in a row traders paradise
Left some points on entry exit -

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it looks like this week will become (or is already ) a monster-week

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday

Asia red - between -1.8 to 3% down this morning

Important Numbers today (stronger moves):
Germany harmonized consumer price index (Year) 14:00
US GDP (BIP) 14:30

DAX is nearing stronger support from Kumo in the daily chart

Looks not good for a normal trade today.
Checking for Walzer pattern(s) instead.

Good trades
GFIs1

edit 8:30 - pre cash lower lows than yesterday (down gap)
edit 9:30 - no down gap on IB
edit 10:05 - price now sitting on daily Kumo

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 GFIs1 
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Friday

Special end of month: Friday AND last of month...
Means special rule.

Asia all red this morning.
DAX higher yesterday. Might be a signal for a second attempt to dive into the daily Kumo.
We will see on the opening 9:00 plus IB 9 to 9:30.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13514
exit @ 13570
result -56 points

Goal 1: 13388
evt.
goal 2: 13146
goal 3: 12980

Good trades

GFIs1

edit 10:25 - some indecision in the market as price 30m is in Kumo. From entry 9:30 it went up to KijunSen @ 13563 just to turn down south.
edit 16:35 - scenario didn't work at all - Corona vaccines (EU) overruled everything today

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 GFIs1 
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Week 4 Results

This week had 4 trades

3 positive: + 180 + 175 + 152 points
1 negative: - 56 points

Weekly total + 451 points

Yearly result: 341 + 451 = 792 points

GFIs1

Not so bad for 1 month - this week is the best since a very long time

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

New Monday - new month.
Asia all green.
DAX above 30m Kumo - green too.

DAX long
9:30 to 16:00
entry @ 13558
exit @ 13591
result + 33 points

GFIs1

edit 10:15 - rule is fine - trade on track!

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 GFIs1 
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A total NEW venture

As everyone knows from my journal(s) I am trading exclusively the DAX. Until now.
Time has come to watch some high volatility instruments to test my rule sets.

This is leading me to the btc$

Parallel to the DAX I will try to see the normal rules as well as to find some Walzer eventually.
As the bitcoin has a strong volume and a 7 day trading base - this is a very interesting path to follow.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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Tuesday

Asia green - DAX with up gap today.
Looks good for a gap trade.
Price on IB already above 13700...
During IB 13800 killed - IB hi/lo 119 points

DAX long 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 13775
exit @ 13789
result + 14 points

GFIs1

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Wednesday trade

Asia mostly green.
DAX started with gap up this morning.
IB went in early minutes near 14k again.

DAX short 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13947
exit @ 13911
result + 36 points

GFIs1

edit: one hour after closing the trade here - price came down again - just to close the gap to yesterday and to jump up again. 1 little hour
But fine for me - as the rules still work!

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Thursday trade

Asia red (except one index).
DAX starts to near 14k again. IB green. Good numbers for German carmakers in China, a problem solved with Bayer (+4%) concerning Glyphosate problems.

DAX long 10:30 to 13:00
entry @ 13989
exit @ 13956
result - 33 points

GFIs1

edit 9:31 - IB killed the 14k line again. So battle around 14k given.
edit 13:15 - battle was not to win

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Friday trade

Asia most green...
DAX starts with gap up on IB - direction south.

DAX short 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 14048
exit @ 14078 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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Week 5 Results

This week had 5 trades

3 positive: + 33 + 14 + 36 points
2 negative: - 33 - 30 points

Weekly total + 20 points

Yearly result: 792 + 20 = 812 points

GFIs1

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BTC$ (the new theme here) was forming a "W" and seems right now to complete that one.
Price for 1 bitcoin got above 40k today again.

So we are still ready to see the rally this year to get above 100k.

The journal here is a time witness

Happy weekend

GFIs1

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Monday

Asia all green.
DAX pre cash on new high with a tremendous gap up. Price @ 14167.50 (highest)
Will be an interesting day.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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Monday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 17:00
entry @ 14122
exit @ 14092 (SL)
result - 30 points

GFIs1

Don't be fooled by high volume and especially high volatility.
If not sure to take a trade - stay at the sidelines.
edit 9:16 - gap to Friday closed - some getting back to Friday close is on the way
edit 10:10 - price climbing again from its Pivot Point which shows 14064 today.
Oil price again above $60/barrel - in hope of economy relief in USA

PS: at least the btc$ made it to new highs - already tipped 44777 - châpeau!

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday

Bitcoin rallied this morning up to $48269... Those who said at the beginning of the year with prices of $19500 btc might go up to 100k in 2021 were very rare. Interesting how quickly electronic coins are turning the markets... not finished yet!

DAX started this morning with a gap down. Looks good for a trade when the scenario lasts on IB.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 14049
exit @ 14014
result + 35 points

GFIs1

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GFIs1 View Post
Tuesday

Bitcoin rallied this morning up to $48269... Those who said at the beginning of the year with prices of $19500 btc might go up to 100k in 2021 were very rare. Interesting how quickly electronic coins are turning the markets... not finished yet!

DAX started this morning with a gap down. Looks good for a trade when the scenario lasts on IB.

GFIs1

The "Elon Musk" move in Bitcoin is still valid

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Wednesday trade

DAX long 10:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13998
exit @ 14030
result + 32 points

GFIs1

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Thursday trade

DAX short 11:30 to 17:30
entry @ 13988
exit @ 14018 (SL)
result -30 points

Thin signal - tendency horizontal with no clear direction.
Rule gives short for the afternoon.
Sideways - didn't work...

Good trades
GFIs1

edit 10:05 - battle @14k again in one move up - therefore new exit time.

a possible scenario:

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Friday trade

Asia mixed - low vola
USA zero movement
China closed for days (New Year)
Germany DAX battle @ 14k (again )
Not too much to expect

DAX long 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13969
exit @ 13994
result +25 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Week 6 Results

This week had 5 trades

3 positive: + 35 + 32 + 25 points
2 negative: - 30 - 30 points

Weekly total + 32 points

Yearly result: 812 + 32 = 844 points

GFIs1

Not a nice week as the index battle around 14k made most sideways moves. Unpredictable and without any direction. Hope to see more vola and at least a clear direction for next week(s).
We take what the market has to offer.
So far we are on track - nearing + 1k points within less than 2 months...

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 GFIs1 
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A glimpse on BTC$

We saw in the morning a new ATH @ 48945.
Possible to see 50k in the next weeks.

Younger coins are making big jumps up too at the moment - we need to watch where the beef is.

Have a great weekend!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday - US Presidents Day

Asia all green.
DAX pre cash with strong gap up - to 14150 area.
BTC$ with new ATH.

No trade today as US is closed. - Unpredictable moves and no patterns that work.

Good trades and / or happy holiday!
GFIs1

edit 9:30
except watching a upcoming Walzer

As no Walzer pattern formed I took a fun trade on the up gap rule
DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 14110
exit @ 14103
result + 7 points! Thanks for the fun

Well - the low volume is not pushing much...

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

Asia all green - some markets strong
BTC high this morning 49975 - battle for 50k! Watching from 10:00 CET...

DAX presumably opening near the high of yesterday - looks like the gap to Friday might be closing.
edit 16:00 - the gap has been closed on the 15:30 candle.
Better volumes in the market foreseen again.

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 14109
exit @ 14100
result + 9 points

GFIs1

What we have seen:
First the candles (in Kumo) had all very long wicks on the short side - price just closed the gap to Friday and did not get out of Kumo on the lower side...
what does it mean?
The push to higher prices is given and had been shown today with this behavior
Second the scenario is showing long as the gaps all had been vanished.
This means more money flowing into the markets means more higher pricing of stock, futures, coins etc. - so that will be a very interesting spring time to us as traders.

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 GFIs1 
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A Scenario - seen from 10:20 CET

A illustration here:



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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

Asia more green (Japan r& Australia ed)
Dax made after cash hours the path of the scenario above (not finished yet)
btc$ killed 51k...
Start this morning @ 14060 pre cash.
Looks like the typical Wednesday short might happen.

We will know on 9:30...
Woosh: first 5 minutes on cash start made a strong move down to 13959
which underwrites the scenario you got yesterday.

DAX short 11:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13975
exit @ 13958
result +17 points

GFIs1

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Friday trade

Asia with low volatility - mostly green.
Dax 30m sitting on lower Kumo line.
No "real" direction visible.
From the position of the price and attracting higher line in the Kumo
it looks like we might see the battle @ 14k again today and on Monday.
The 14k will be longer on the table though.

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13917
exit @ 13974
result + 57 points

GFIs1

edit 10:17 - on track. btc$ made new ATH in this hour - not stoppable
edit 14:30 - the 14k line was killed again... - scenario as discussed

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GFIs1 View Post
Friday trade

Asia with low volatility - mostly green.
Dax 30m sitting on lower Kumo line.
No "real" direction visible.
From the position of the price and attracting higher line in the Kumo
it looks like we might see the battle @ 14k again today and on Monday.
The 14k will be longer on the table though.

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13917
exit @
result

GFIs1


Hi GFIs1

Do you take news reports into consideration for your system?

For example - German Manufacturing numbers coming out this morning etc?

Cheers

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Market Sniper 88 View Post
Hi GFIs1

Do you take news reports into consideration for your system?

For example - German Manufacturing numbers coming out this morning etc?

Cheers

Hi @Market Sniper 88

Thanks for the question: I do take !!! important numbers into consideration - the rules are given for IFO day (next Monday!), ECB decisions and press conference as well as US numbers as those are making pressure in the markets before AND after the event. So German Manufactoring numbers are not in this list.
An example here: instead of IB 9:00 to 9:30 on a IFO day the candle of 10:30 to 11:00 gives the direction of the trade. So the "pattern on a announcing day" is more important than the normal rule for every day and skips the entry / exit times on such a day. This is due to the volatility that is to be seen around the event - and best to enter after the decision is out. That helps to keep stops nearer and thus minimizing the risk during a trade in a moving market.

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Week 7 Results

This week had 4 trades

4 positive: + 7 + 9 + 17 + 57 points

Weekly total + 90 points

Yearly result: 844 + 90 = 934 points

GFIs1

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btc$ Battle @ 50k

Tuesday I mentioned above that the bitcoin started to kill 50k - which hadn't being seen before. Now some days later on Saturday the battle is already strong behind.

The new high of today is $56444!


Interestingly the strong up moves are during the night in CET. That phenomenon has to be examined further.

Looks good that much higher prices will be seen in the next 2-3 months. This is of course no proposal for a buy. Bitcoin is for advanced traders or casino players that are ready also to take severe losses.

Happy weekend!

GFIs1

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Monday trade

New week begins with a IFO day in Germany. Numbers will be presented 10:00h. Slightly better numbers (around 91) expected.
Asia all thin green.
Bitcoin made a new high yesterday of $58321. This night a red candle of around -2,2% to prev day.

This week 8 of the year ends this month as well. The last trading day will be this Friday - means Friday and last! It is known that during numbers presenting the February and March have important last days of the month - March most important for end of first quarter. Means window dressing for quarter results are stronger than in other months.

DAX started lower than Friday's cash closing but still inside the day range - so no gap expected on the opening.
edit: 9:18 the open of IB was within Friday range - so no gap as mentioned.
IFO numbers were better than expected...

but:
DAX short 10:30 to 16:00
entry @ 13866
exit @ 13940 (SL Kumo)
result -74 points

GFIs1

edit 16:10 - political positive Corona outlook in the afternoon pushed the price into nirvana...

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The Bitcoin Rally


GFIs1 View Post
BTC$ (the new theme here) was forming a "W" and seems right now to complete that one.
Price for 1 bitcoin got above 40k today again.

So we are still ready to see the rally this year to get above 100k.

The journal here is a time witness

Happy weekend

GFIs1

This was my first post on first February to mention that the btc$ had formed a "W".
The low of this second "leg" was from January 27 with a price of 29283. Until yesterday (~4 weeks) it spiked up to 58321 which is doubling the initial price.

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DAX-Outlook for this week

Watching the ATH's of the rally the DAX made in the last weeks we can see that in the daily we see a reverse "W". Means a double top. On the second leg down we are right now.

So from the scenario inluding KUMO for this week I expect the DAX end of week 300 points down into a level of <13600. That might happen with quite some higher probability. We will see...
Of course every trade will start and end upon the given rule set. That said we now are just watching the "bigger picture".

Monday: From the high of last Friday to mid of 30m Kumo we have a range of 103 points down. This has been made pre cash already. So we can expect the same down again in today and / or tomorrow.
9:03 On IB we see a quick move down in the first minutes...

Good trades
GFIs1

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Hi @GFIs1,

I have been following and studying your thread for about 1,5 years. Continuous thanks for all your posts and insights. I’m a big fan!

I have been analysing DAX data and found some interesting historical results for many occasions. As today it was IFO day, I analysed the DAX data of IFO days.

Please have a look ( ). I would be happy to hear what you think of it.

Thanks again,
Deetee

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Tuesday - a Walzer

Today the DAX developed the scenario I was speaking of yesterday...
Price @ 11:00 today already down to 13759. Means the 136xx are not so far! ***

AND a Walzer signal came in this morning:

DAX short 10:00 to 11:00
LEG 1
entry @ 13881
exit @ 13760
result + 121 points (the unnecessary loss of yesterday already killed)

long - 11:00 to 12:00
LEG 2
entry @ 13759
exit @ 13729 (SL) Walzer up leg did not happen
result -30 points

Total Walzer result: + 91 points

GFIs1

*** the low of this leg down touched already 13664 - so the 135xxx is in reach

to make it clear: price in the lower part of 4h Kumo. Means the short move is not over now. We have to wait for the next 3 days to see the completion!

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Wednesday trade

Asia slightly green (no red), btc back up from 45k to 50k... battle there
No important numbers today
DAX IB 100 points up... normal trade though:

DAX short 10:30 to 13:00
entry @ 13942
exit @ 13972 (SL)
result -30 points

The test of the 14k again seems to have priority...

GFIs1

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Deetee View Post
Hi @GFIs1,

I have been following and studying your thread for about 1,5 years. Continuous thanks for all your posts and insights. I’m a big fan!

I have been analysing DAX data and found some interesting historical results for many occasions. As today it was IFO day, I analysed the DAX data of IFO days.

Please have a look ( ). I would be happy to hear what you think of it.

Thanks again,
Deetee

Hello @Deetee
Thanks for following and your interesting new thread which I have read.
IFO days were quite important in the past. Nowadays in corona times we do not see this as a market mover element. So I checked back my results on the last 12 months on it and had not a good result - but still slightly positive.
More impression in the German markets are the short time announcements from politics in Berlin and the states. And those are not very predictable
So my trading is still based on the "old" rules which showed even in high volatility good results - as we can see here in the journal.
My goal is to reduce trades on volatile markets - means first and last quarter of the year and take profit on normal rules plus the Walzer. That reduces the boring near zero gains which is time consuming without good results.
Wishing you good trades!
GFIs1

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Thursday trade

The battle @ 14k had been won overnight. Price this morning with gap up to 14060.
Asia green.
Some important numbers in USA in the afternoon (14:30).
A gap trade today looks possible.

9:00 to 9:30 - the gap has been closed - the price is now below 14k again.

DAX short 11:30 to 17:30
entry @ 13964
exit @ 13902
result + 62 points

GFIs1

edit 12:52 - on track...
edit 17:43 - price further down through Kumo (30m) to head for lower levels

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Friday

Tomorrow last day of the month AND Friday.
The 14k line is behind at the moment and some lower prices ahead.
The first 8 weeks were not so bad for trading.
So looking forward for a nice Friday trade: the <13600 for this week are still a task.
07:30 - Overnight pricing gave another gap down...

GFIs1

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Friday trade

Asia red - parts 4% down this morning.
No important numbers or announcements today.
US restarts war. Biden's 15$ min. wage with difficulty.
Vaccines still too little to see progress in COVID restrictions.

DAX down as well to 13700 already - will start with a gap down

DAX short from 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13826
exit @
result

GFIs1

8:05 - if the gap will be closed is not clear yet
9:26 - gap close not possible

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GFIs1 View Post
Friday trade

Asia red - parts 4% down this morning.
No important numbers or announcements today.
US restarts war. Biden's 15$ min. wage with difficulty.
Vaccines still too little to see progress in COVID restrictions.

DAX down as well to 13700 already - will start with a gap down

DAX short from 9:30 to 16:30
entry @
exit @
result

GFIs1

8:05 - if the gap will be closed is not clear yet
9:26 - gap close not possible


It has certainly given a big push higher in the last 30 min...

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Market Sniper 88 View Post
It has certainly given a big push higher in the last 30 min...

Exactly - hi @Market Sniper 88
The gap still hasn't closed and will not so soon...
It is great to see some higher price to entry for the short to gain a bit (coin) more.
Now I'm watching the development of this red day and end of month of February.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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