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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #4201 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly Results

This week had 3 trades:
three positive (+ 100 + 61 + 46 points)

Weekly result + 207 points

Yearly result 2882 + 207 points = 3089 points *

GFIs1

* jumped in 3rd quarter above 3k points - which means > 1000 points per quarter for this system
(Walzer not included)

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  #4202 (permalink)
 Deetee 
Amsterdam
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader / IB /Bookmap
Broker: EdgeClear / InteractiveBrokers / Rithmic / dxFeed
Trading: DAX / (M)NQ / (M)ES
 
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GFIs1 View Post
Weekly Results

* jumped in 3rd quarter above 3k points - which means > 1000 points per quarter for this system
(Walzer not included)

Very impressive! Well done, and congrats
Thanks for your valueable posts and have a good weekend

PS. Is the webinar still on your agenda?

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  #4203 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

Dax started with up gap

DAX short 9:30 to 14:00
entry @ 13296
exit @ 13196
result+ 100 points

GFIs1

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  #4204 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

A Walzer overview 2020 until now

This year had 7 Walzer (one or two legs which count as one Walzer)
with a total of 758 points. All Walzer had a positive result.
Gives an average of 108 points per Walzer.

The Walzer are listed in this journal and begin with the first one on February 25.

As mentioned above - these Walzer trades do not count in the GFIs1 journal total points.

Good trades in the high vola plus Corona times!

GFIs1

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  #4205 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Triple witch week

From the last days and the movements today it is obvious that the middle price for triple witch (futures expiry of September contracts) tend to reach a price of
13100.
Means that in the upcoming days until Thursday the price will swing up and down around mentioned level.
We will see on Friday the real intended goal where most of the derivatives are sitting.

GFIs1

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  #4206 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

New Walzer signal came this morning

Walzer 1
short 10:00 to 11:00
entry @ 13163
exit @ 13193 (SL)
result -30 points

no second leg - pattern broken

GFIs1

edit 10:20 - ZEW index numbers 11:00! Price seems already priced in before the numbers

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  #4207 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Thursday trade

After a lousy to foresee Wednesday sideways "moving day" I decided to not take a trade.
Today Thursday - the last day before triple witch tomorrow: futures have to be change to the December contract today or tomorrow...
This morning the DAX opened with a double down gap.
Taking a a trade:

DAX SHORT 10:30 to 17:30
entry @ 13162
exit @ 13202 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

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  #4208 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Friday trade

Triple witch 13:00!

DAX short 10:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13228
exit @ 13237
result -9 points

GFIs1

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  #4209 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly Results

This week had 3 trades:
one positive (+ 100 points)
two negative (- 40 - 9 points)

Weekly result + 51 points

Yearly result 3089 + 51 points = 3140 points

A very sideways week with quite much movements that were not substanced.

GFIs1

Finally to mention the first negative Walzer this year with a result of -30 points

Looking forward to a hot next week with some bold moves nearing the end of 3rd quarter!

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  #4210 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX started this morning pre cash on a lower level (13040) with a down gap. This is a correction and may lead to test the 13k level again from top.
This afternoon @ 16:00h Powell will have a speech: no news ahead though. Tomorrow the same Powell will have a hearing in the congress - this might give some new insights...

Some technical stuff from the charts (DAX):
Price is lower than the KUMO in the 30m, 60m and 4h. Just in the daily the price is above the cloud. But the form of the KUMO (d) is attracting price form the horizontal bottom line. That is a possibility to see lower prices in the next weeks.

IB gapped down. Plus rushed down to kill 13k line... IB first 30m hi/lo -183 pts
therefore the trade

DAX long 9:30 to 14:00
entry @ 12904
exit @ 12864 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

edit 10:50 - entry & setup was not good... but the price is now in daily Kumo which means some vola possible.

Good trades!

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  #4211 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday Walzer

The signal came - lost to trade the first leg...

Trying to catch the second leg

DAX long 11:00 to 12:00
entry @ 12746
exit @ 12716 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

...well the money laundering in Europe's big banks are getting much pressure right now. Not finished here - we will see lower prices as it on all banks - Market doesn't accept uncertainty!

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  #4212 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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Trading: Futures
 
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Wading through the KUMO

The movement was very quick - quicker than expected.
Here the wading through the KUMO in ONE DAY - watch this chart:



GFIs1

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  #4213 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Tuesday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 13:00
entry @ 12608
exit @ 12664
result + 56 points



GFIs1

This is an inside day. Pivot points PP (0) is @ 12738 and in reach.
Price still in daily Kumo.

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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What happened

a glimpse on the DAX development:



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Still on track

...amazing tool:



GFIs1

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 Reettrader 
Amsterdam
 
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Hi GFIs1 (What does this stand for?),

First of all: perseverance is your name. To keep on journaling for so long is very impressive.

I am a fan and follow your trades, sometimes even copying them.

I did wonder, are you still using your statistical rules from 2012? Or do you use the IB and kumo thing nowadays?

Curious.

Best of luck!


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  #4217 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Wednesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 12724
exit @ 12764 (SL)
result - 40 points

GFIs1

edit 10:48 ..looks like price is heading for 12923 area

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Thursday

Yesterday wasn't a normal Wednesday pattern day.

The daily KUMO has still not been killed - wading through should happen these days or today..
Lower Kumo line is @ 12451.

This morning started with a down gap.
Price is far lower than 13k.

Looking forward to the development today and tomorrow.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Thursday trade

DAX short 10:00 to 14:00
entry @ 12622
exit @ 12652 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

Not the best week
What did the specialist say? Attention when price is in daily KUMO - you see? lol

Last guess on this case for wading through the KUMO: there is time until Sep 30. By then the movement must have an end!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Friday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 14:30 (US numbers)

entry @ 12597
exit @ 12567 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This crazy week had 4 trades
one positive: + 56 points
three negative: -40 - 30 - 30 points

Weekly total -44 points

Yearly result 3140 - 44 points = 3096 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX on the rally up for Wednesday - the last of 3rd quarter?

DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 12766
exit @ 12797
result -31 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Wednesday trade

DAX in 1 day Kumo as well as in 30m Kumo.
Start will be lower than yesterday. Looks like a correction day.

Influenced of the nightly US Pres. battle with harsh words on both sides:
"you are the worst president ever!" or "Shut up - you are a clown!"

Sends most Asian indices south. Except of the Chinese Hang Seng.
As well as the DAX future. Price @ 8:00 - 12719

Goal must be today - the last day of 3rd quarter:
Wading thru kumo south...


DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 12805
exit @
result

Good trades

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

... the trade went into stop loss in the last phase of the time.
result: -30 points

Volatility was it - the direction today is on the level of yesterday.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Friday trade

Waiting the whole week to see price getting out of Kumo...
and then swooosh: DAX came out this morning south of 30m, 60m and 1 day Kumo.

Opening will be lower - around the 12622 level.

DAX short 10:00 to 14:30 (US numbers)
entry @ 12641
exit @ 12588
result +53 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This crazy week had 3 trades
one positive: + 53 points
two negative: - 30 - 31 points

Weekly total -8 points

Yearly result 3096 - 8 points = 3088 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12761
exit @ 12784
result -23 points

GFIs1

Side notes:
German stock exchange sends signals today to top up the DAX30 into a DAX40...
my thoughts about: what the h....? Will not be better than today.

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Tuesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 12835
exit @ 12865 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

Afternoon speeches
• ECB Lagarde and then
• FED Powell
no news expected

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Wednesday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 15:30
entry @ 12888
exit @ 12845
result + 43 Points

GFIs1

goal is to reach a clean double top on 12970 (high of yesterday) - to see some good short indication: which had NOT been reached.

Goal for the down is 12771 - maybe not within this trade

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Thursday trade

DAX pre open is scratching again at 13k - high @ 12995...
We will see today the battle at this line again.
Open 9:00: 13007 - then back to 13000 and up

Taking a trade after this up gap this morning:
DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 13001
exit @ 13012
result - 11 points (well the battle)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Friday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13066
exit @ 13045
result + 21 points

GFIs1

no important numbers today

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This week had 5 trades
two positive: +43 +21 points
three negative: -23 - 30 - 11 points

Weekly total 0 points

Yearly result 3096 + 0 points = 3096 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 14:00
entry @ 13083
exit @ 13113 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Strange moves in the DAX this morning - just for fishing the stops:



No clue what a 87 points move up in 30m and then right back made possible...

GFIs1

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  #4235 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Tuesday trade

IB very red - crossed 30m Kumo quickly.
Might get thru 60m Kumo in no time: **

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13082
exit @ 12999
result + 83 points

GFIs1

Numbers 11h:
EU - ZEW Konjunktur Index
D - ZEW Index: last month / expected 77,40 / 73,00

**edit 15:45 - DAX well on track!

edit 16:35 - DAX still stuck in the middle of 60m Kumo...
might get out within the next 2 days

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker: IB / DTN
Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Wednesday trade

DAX still @ a battle around 13k line...

DAX short 11:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13042
exit @ 13030
result + 12 points

GFIs1


edit 18:21
Goal for tomorrow: 12812

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  #4237 (permalink)
simpltrader88
south africa
 
 
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Hi,

Im new to this thread. is this a fixed DAX system or discretionery method?

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday

The goal set yesterday was reached in no time in the morning.
Did not take a trade as I was away from keyboard.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday Walzer

With the waterfall in the morning a nice automatic Walzer alarm came up and gave a very good pattern:

DAX short leg 1
entry 10:00 @ 12735
exit @ 11:00 @ 12633
result leg 1 + 102 points

DAX long leg 2
entry 11:00 @ 12633
exit @ 12:00 @ 12663
result leg 2 + 30 points

Walzer result + 132 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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simpltrader88 View Post
Hi,

Im new to this thread. is this a fixed DAX system or discretionary method?

Hi @simpltrader88
This is a fixed pattern system intraday with cascading rules for every week day different. The rules are adjusted on fixed patterns taken the weekday, the eventually gaps, the price in Kumo 30m 60m and 1d from Ichimoku and some other.
Normally the trades here shown are given in advance with entry time, exit time and direction.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Friday

Yesterday's high low during cash hours was 279 points.

Today the DAX future rests near today's Pivot Point @ 12761 with moves in direction south.
This intermediate relief might be holding not long - perhaps we can see some high vola today again:
As price waded south thru daily Kumo we see a heavy resistance to the up!

Therefore a further move down today is highly probable.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Illustration of daily DAX since September



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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 17:30
entry @ 12754
exit @ 12794
result - 40 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Weekly results

This week had 4 trades
two positive: +83 +12 points
two negative: -40 - 30 points

Weekly total +25 points

Yearly result 3096 + 25 points = 3121 points

GFIs1

One full Walzer: +132 points

Not that bad for that week

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 Deetee 
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GFIs1 View Post
Markets have seen troubled waters...
but some signs tend to see new highs coming very soon.
Things now seem cleared after US elections. So investors have more security to see
where to invest and where not.
This calms the markets and trends are now more clearly seen. This means some longer
phases now can happen.
Helps also for the systems.
Learned from all election year: stay at the sidelines.

GFIs1

Good evening GFIs1,
In your post from 14-11-2016 you suggested to stay on the sidelines during the elections. How do you see the DAX going in the next weeks?
Thanks
Dennis

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

DAX battle still @ 13k line
China showed very good economic numbers for 3 quarters...

DAX long 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13005
exit @ 12955 (SL)
result - 50 points **

GFIs1


** made a mistake by overlooking an important rule. Bad start in the battle but not end of the week

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 GFIs1 
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Deetee View Post
Good evening GFIs1,
In your post from 14-11-2016 you suggested to stay on the sidelines during the elections. How do you see the DAX going in the next weeks?
Thanks
Dennis

Thanks @ Dennis for the question.
This US election year is very different from that one in 2016. Speaking of the outcome of the election we see it more differentiated between the candidates. Uncertainty is mixing markets up - results can be very difficult to read which often give peaks in the markets up and down in a very short time. Such we had seen in this summer already.
More weight and the fear of uncertainty for the future was indeed the influence of worldwide Covid-19. Economies were threatened in many ways. Thanks to money for nothing from the states a threat of recession (the hard one) had been vanished. Very good numbers in 3rd quarter for large companies around the world - and a China that shines more than before economically - show more stability than expected. In such a field the US elections (unexpected moves from the 45th president were seen all 4 years anyways) seems to be no more difficult for the markets: to make it short - I don't see markets in trouble this time!
Good trades

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30

entry @ 12784
exit @ 12791
result -7 points

GFIs1

...some very unpleasant data stream missing here from 13:00 to 14:30...

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12684
exit @ 12654
result - 30 points

GFIs1

... but the WALZER started

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 GFIs1 
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Next Walzer signal

Leg 1 DAX short 10:00 to 11:00
entry @ 12659
exit @ 12561
result + 98 points

Leg 2 DAX long 11:00 to 12:00
entry @ 12563
exit @ 12655
result + 92 points

Walzer result: 190 points

GFIs1

hope you could profit from the indications here....

not a bad result for this week

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday trade

Down gap this morning with a IB hi/lo of 142 points within 30m! *

DAX short 10:30 to 13:30
entry @ 12504
exit @ 12504 (SL on entry)
result 0 points **

GFIs1

* even it looked like a new Walzer could develop on IB - we have seen that already on first leg the second candle turned green - therefore no Walzer pattern.
** no real patterns that work...

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12586
exit @ 12685
result + 99 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Illustration

DAX went up in the morning with good numbers.
The trade works well - the first resistance point (Pivot points) was reached after 10:00h.
Now the trend channel needs to be hit on the upper line soon



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Weekly results

This week had 5 trades
one positive: + 99 points
three negative: - 7 - 30 - 50 points
one neutral: 0 points

Weekly total +12 points

Yearly result 3121 + 12 points = 3133 points

GFIs1

One full Walzer: + 98 points

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

Last week before US elections: might give some bumpy moves!
This morning opening much lower - price came out south of Kumo 60m on a level of <12450 which is the starting candle of last Friday from where the price went up.
Start is far from Pivot Point for today - near the Support2 (S2) which is a bad sign for a long.

We will see what the week offers - Walzer inclusive

IB 9:00 to 9:30 120 points
Down gap
Price sitting @ Support 3 in PP

Taking no trade at the moment - but waiting for a Walzer

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday...

Very bad preparation in the morning led to a "no trade". Overlooking the IFO day with special rules that would have given a bunch of sweet points.
No problem - that is part of the game.

Good trades!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday II

After a IB 9:00 to 9:30 of 136 points minus (open/close) a special eye is now on the development. A Walzer is possible - a normal trade is not given.
We will see in the next 25 minutes: no Walzer so far... candle green.
Next attempt on this hour...

Good - let's waltz:

Leg 1
DAX short 11:00 to 12:00
entry @ 12087
exit @ 12117 (SL)
result -30 points

Pattern broken - no Walzer pattern

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

A hefty down this morning: Prize is pre cash sitting on Kijun Sen (WEEKLY) @11714.
If this support is crossed then a stronger down is ahead (next weeks).

A next support is S2 @ 11714 which could be reached after 12:30 today (trend channel).
That price had been reached already @ 9:14...!
IB 9:00 to 9:30 of 205 points: record

So a trade:

DAX short 9:30 to 15:30
entry @ 11682
exit @ 11547
result + 135 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Not finished yet...

The rush down - after the very long battle @ 13k line - has not finished. We will see the 11k being killed very soon too.

Here a illustration of today's trade and the trend:



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 13:00
entry @ 11658
exit @ 11497
result + 161 points

now out of risk due to numbers in the afternoon

Numbers came: ECB no change...
US BIP annualized +33% - haha - means 7% net to the quarter before.

GFIs1

Important numbers today (some moves expected):
US: 13:30!! not 14:30
EU: ECB 13:30 and conference afterwards

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 Deetee 
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GFIs1 View Post
Thursday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 13:00

Perfect timing, congrats!!

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 GFIs1 
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Friday - the last!

Starting with a gap down this morning which could be seen in the chart of yesterday. The monthly price is wading through the KUMO with speed. (Explanations to both themes to come on weekend).
Now price is right around 11400.
Today is Friday AND the last trading day of the month.

Trade
DAX long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 11548
exit @ 11518 (SL)
result -30 points

Good trades - the vola seems to be trader's paradise

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Weekly results

This week had 3 trades
two positive: + 135 + 161 points
one negative: - 30 points

Weekly total +266 points

Yearly result 3133 + 266 points = 3399 points

GFIs1

One partial Walzer: - 30 points

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 GFIs1 
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Learning about Ichimoku in my charts - No. I -

Getting some insights into a very helpful indicator - the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - or THE CLOUD - explained here on a one month chart. Means every candle shows one month of the DAX.

• Kumo is like a river which is normally sort of a "middle" pricing with different resistance depending on the distance to the next "beach". This Kumo is a support as long as the price is above the upper line. Same vice versa when price is south of lower line
• Price normally does not cross Kumo as long the OPPOSITE line is not horizontal - means a horizontal opposite line is always attracting price
• crossing Kumo normally happens very fast. That moment shows higher vola than normal and results in LONGER candles

We can see that the "wading through the Kumo (cloud) happened in March in ONE rush with high vola and of course with high volume. The "wading through" back after the turning point took a hefty reversal of 3 months.
Now we are stuck again in the middle of the Kumo (Oct) with direction south. At least in this month the wading through should finish in either direction but it will happen.

The prediction in the chart means to see prices soon of lower 10k in the DAX:

DAX monthly Nov 2020


GFIs1

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GFIs1 View Post
Learning about Ichimoku in my charts - No. I -

Getting some insights into a very helpful indicator - the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - or THE CLOUD - explained here on a one month chart. Means every candle shows one month of the DAX.

• Kumo is like a river which is normally sort of a "middle" pricing with different resistance depending on the distance to the next "beach". This Kumo is a support as long as the price is above the upper line. Same vice versa when price is south of lower line
• Price normally does not cross Kumo as long the OPPOSITE line is not horizontal - means a horizontal opposite line is always attracting price
• crossing Kumo normally happens very fast. That moment shows higher vola than normal and results in LONGER candles

We can see that the "wading through the Kumo (cloud) happened in March in ONE rush with high vola and of course with high volume. The "wading through" back after the turning point took a hefty reversal of 3 months.
Now we are stuck again in the middle of the Kumo (Oct) with direction south. At least in this month the wading through should finish in either direction but it will happen.

The prediction in the chart means to see prices soon of lower 10k in the DAX:

DAX monthly Nov 2020


GFIs1

Take a look at a stripped down version of Itchimoku used by this guy. Food for thought that might help you maybe?

( ignore references to other videos in the commentary)


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 GFIs1 
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neil View Post
Take a look at a stripped down version of Itchimoku used by this guy. Food for thought that might help you maybe?
( ignore references to other videos in the commentary)

Hi neil Welcome

Thanks for the link! I browsed through and can recommend the most important phrase: "Don't change the settings of Ichimoku!"
I am using this indicator since a very long time and know very well about to handle it. Especially on different time settings.
As THIS thread does treat patterns - Ichimoku is just a part of the charts I use every day.
The first chart with this indicator here in the thread dates back from 2012:

As the many readers of this thread often get some thoughts about the upcoming scenario which I derive from the different charts I want to show why I am tending to those markers and developments. Ichimoku is a wonderful tool exactly for this. Last 6 months brought some very interesting moves in the markets that brought troubles to many traders.
For those risk oriented with a clear trading plan it was a fortune. For others it meant to stay at the sidelines.

To sum up my experience with the mentioned "Kumo" or cloud in my last post then I have to point out that as long price is in monthly, daily or in 60m Kumo there will be erratic movements - means no real direction. Just as a warning and trading support.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

New month, new week - US elections right ahead - no special numbers today

DAX long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 11560
exit @ 11812
result 252 points

GFIs1

edit 10:53 • 11730... not a bad start!
This time the preparation for the Monday trade was good.
edit 11:40 • 11766... R2 in sight @ 11832
edit 15:10 • on track! 16:30 is a turning point - so let the trade play out
edit 16:01 • R2 reached
edit 16:33 • looks like 16:30 really is a turning point

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 tr8er 
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The preparation for the Monday-trade wasn't good, it was excellent

Great job

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 GFIs1 
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tr8er View Post
The preparation for the Monday-trade wasn't good, it was excellent

Great job


How could GFIs1 guess that outcome in the morning?


Well easy - he seems to have a "Fast Forward Button" (FFB) in his chart arsenal

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 GFIs1 
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The PLOT - DAX 02112020



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

DAX started with up gap @ 11900 (7:30)

Hi/Lo Monday was 279 points

DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 11980 *
exit @ 120'10 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

* high on previous candle was 11999...

well - it is US president election day once every 4 years

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

US still no final result in the elections...
Strong movements in the morning in the DAX.

DAX long 10:30 to 16:30
entry @ 12108
exit @ 12078 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

a) left some points on the table for the start
b) changed exit time

In between a Walzer signal started
Leg 1 long 10:00 to 11:00
entry @ 12007, exit 12154, result 147 points
Leg 2 short 11:00 to 12:00
entry @ 12155, exit @ 12108, result 47 points
Walzer result + 194 points

c) Nasty "press conference" of DT was shaking the German markets - and will at least for the rest of the week too.

Happy that at least the Walzer worked perfectly!

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday

Yesterday the trade had a late entry but the direction and timing was right. With the high volume and volatility in the market - the stop loss setting was the killer...
Of course when a Walzer signal comes up some reset is within the pattern - thus the SL could have been taken out at the same time.
During cash hours we had a hi/low of 569 points.

This morning the DAX starts again with a up gap - >12350.
US elections are still not finished. Bullish mood in the markets might still hold.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thursday trade

Nearing the 12500...

DAX short 10:00 to 13:00
entry @ 12451
exit @ 12481 (SL)
result - 30 points

GFIs1

The up gap rule was not useful this time - the first scenario 10:30 long was the real one..

edit 12:15 - 12500 had been reached...
edit 13:30 - the turning point @ 13:00 seems to be good

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 12559
exit @ 12429
result + 130 points

GFIs1

a Walzer develops parallel:
leg one short 10:30 to 11:30
entry @ 12447
exit @ 12447 (SL on 0)
result 0 points
b) no 2nd leg

Biden seems to win - markets in vola mood

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 GFIs1 
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Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This week had 5 trades
two positive: + 225 + 130 points
three negative: - 30 - 30 - 30 points

Weekly total + 265 points

Yearly result 3399 + 265 points = 3664 points

GFIs1

Two Walzer: + 194 + 0 points

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 GFIs1 
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Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX starts this morning with a up gap with price @ 12750 (8:15)

DAX short 9:30 to 14:00
entry @ 12691
exit @ 12741 (SL)
result - 50 points

GFIs1

and 12:30 - BOOOOOOM!!!!
DAX up to 13178
which is a gain of low of today by 506 points
Must be the announcement of Pfizer that the corona treatment has a positive result of 90%...

well - my prediction was 180° wrong

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13124
exit @ 13154 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13210
exit @ 13224
result -14 points

GFIs1

As Monday, Tuesday plus Wednesday were not working we need to have an eye on tomorrow

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Thursday trade

DAX short 10:00 to 13:30
entry @ 13081
exit @ 13121 (SL)
result - 40 points

GFIs1


Trend was ok - but entry to early

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

Dax short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13042
exit @ 13082 (SL)
result -40 points


GFIs1

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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This shaky week had 5 trades

all negative: - 50 - 30 - 14 - 40 - 40 points

Weekly total - 174 points

Yearly result 3664 - 174 points = 3490 points

GFIs1

Biggest draw down week this year

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

DAX started this morning with a up gap to get near the highs of last week (Nov 9) with price @ 13240.
This is due to the fact that US elections now have consistent results after the counting nearly has finished. The not yet available vaccines are no longer a pushing candidate...

9:06 a slump down - gap not closed
gap was closed with the 30m candle from 9:30

DAX short 10:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13141
exit @ 13181 (SL)
result -40 points

well - see the development below

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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DAX illustration during the trade



Guess what happened after :



the trade went into stop loss (SL)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Why such a jump up?

Markets are most volatile right now. Some unexpected news can shake up those markets in no time. This is always a trader's risk.

BREAKING: 12:30
A new vaccine from "MODERNA" shall come onto the market(s) soon with 94% positive effect - and britzzzzzzz... the price of the DAX is exploding for nearly 30 minutes... - aha!!

Result a jump of
136 points up in 30m...


No Walzer expected as this bladder is already over.

Shaky markets sometimes push small traders (like me) at the sidelines

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Tuesday trade

DAX started in previous day range - trend down

DAX short 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13136
exit @ 13101 (stopped man. after the reversal 16:00)
result + 35 points

GFIs1

edit 16:48h
Shaky movements still are ahead! Caution within this indecision period

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Wednesday trade

DAX short 10:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13140
exit @ 13170 (SL)
result -30 points

well - this time it did not work! The bullish strength at the moment is still 2/3 against 1/3.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Thursday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13124
exit @ 13094 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

Battle around 13k again...

DAX short 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 13109
exit @ 13139 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

Again a shaky week with 5 trades

negative: - 40 - 30 - 30 - 30 points
positive: +35 points

Weekly total - 95 points

Yearly result 3490 - 95 points = 3395 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday

Battle around 13k seems vanished as this morning the DAX started above 13200 and Friday just went sideways without a plan.
Looking forward to the official start @ 9:00

Important this week: Tuesday IFO 10h, black Friday - some countries black Friday week
not to forget US Thanksgiving Thursday!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Monday trade

DAX long 9:30 to 14:00
entry @ 13248
exit @13248 (SL on entry)
result 0 points

GFIs1

edit 9:36 - after 6 minutes + >60 points
edit 13:15 - the hype on the new vaccine(s) evaporated very quickly

Looking forward to some more stable ground: since 2 weeks nothing really works!

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 GFIs1 
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Tuesday trade

IFO day

DAX long 10:30 to 16:00

entry @ 13237
exit @ 13276
result + 39 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Wednesday trade

DAX started at the 13300 level. Many important numbers (US) 14:30 and FOMC protocol 20:00
Thanksgiving (US) tomorrow... on the fourth Thursday in November

DAX short 9:30 to 17:30

entry @ 12323
exit @ 12308
result +15 points

GFIs1

edit 13:14 - on track...

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 GFIs1 
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Happy Thanksgiving!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Friday trade

Last Friday before the last of month!

DAX long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 13313
exit @ 13355
result + 42 points

Good trades!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Trading: Futures
 
Posts: 5,467 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 5,339 given, 11,464 received

Weekly results

This week had 4 trades

1 neutral: 0 points
3 positive: +39 + 15 + 42 points

Weekly total + 96 points

Yearly result 3395 + 96 points = 3491 points

Not so bad for holiday start week!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Monday trade

Monday - last of month! Dax went up after cash hours last Friday.
Dax starts pre cash (7:30) @ 12250 - lower than 30m Kumo.

DAX short 9:30 to 17:30
entry @ 13312
exit @ 13362 (SL)
result -50 points

GFIs1

Today the Friday/Monday rule didn't work...

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Wednesday trade

DAX opened lower than yesterday close.
2 Vaccines ready - called for approval - will be allowed by end of year...

DAX short 9:30 to 15:30
entry @ 13321
exit @ 13302
result + 19 points

GFIs1

... Dollar shrinks to EUR and CHF today (to CHF fell to 0.89 this morning)

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 GFIs1 
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Friday trade

Some US numbers 14:30
$ on the path down

DAX short 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 13253
exit @ 13251
result + 2 points

GFIs1

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