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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #3801 (permalink)
 kareem40 
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GFIs1 View Post
The points collected this year within this thread are killing the 1k points!
Means the total points are 1060 of today. Not so bad for such an "oldie system" lol

GFIs1

Nice work GFIs and I wish you continued success.

K

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  #3802 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Yesterday really no volume or movement.
DAX started within the range of Wednesday.
Today not much on the plate - but maybe some rebound to 12k again - we will see.

DAX long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 11946
exit @ 11922
result -24 points

GFIs1

..well was a lame duck today

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  #3803 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

Two positive: +58 + 197 points
One negative: -24 points
Weekly result +231 points

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #3804 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 10:30 to 13:30

entry @ 11987
exit @ 12051
result +64 points

GFIs1

lost some points in the last half hour - but well: the rules still are great

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  #3805 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:00

entry @ 12035
exit @ 12065 (SL)
result -30 points

Data feed with problems this morning.
Price rocketed up.
Not the perfect day

GFIs1

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  #3806 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Difficult week - so SL today as well.
Dax long 9:30 to 13:00

entry @ 12273
exit @ 12381
result +108 points

GFIs1 who doesn't like negative weekly results

PS: well thanks for the question "where the DAX will head to?"
The sky is the limit...
but I mentioned already many times in this forum that I see a recession for Germany until mid 2020.
So the prices are too high in comparison with the reality and the view into the future.
Of course this volatility is given by pre Christmas window dressing.
Best time just for the hardcore traders

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  #3807 (permalink)
 tr8er 
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It doesn't look like a negative weekly result . Great job!

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  #3808 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Thanks to @tr8er who was convinced of my trade
and @kareem40 who wished continuous success

here IT IS!



The chart has a fib fan as well as the Ichimoku Kumo.
Things are simply self explained. Watch which line of the fib fan the DAX touched around 12 today...

Good trades!
GFIs1

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  #3809 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This shaky week had 3 trades

one negative: -30 points (SL)
two positive: 64 + 108 points

Weekly result: 142 points

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #3810 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 12446
exit @ 12439
result +7 points - what a lame duck.

GFIs1

PS: Direction right - Kumo (Dax30) works still as a barrier support

We will see on Wednesday

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  #3811 (permalink)
 Deetee 
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@GFIs1 I would like to share some personal thoughts.

During my preparation to become a fulltime*trader, I have been struggling to find answers to a lot of questions. Online so many people are trying to sell something when it comes to (day) trading; it makes it hard to rely on them.*Since I joined fio a few months ago, I have been following your GFIs1 thread and the Walzer*journal as well. You are such an inspiration and you are where I wish to be in some years. You make it all look pretty easy

In the past weeks I have spend my time reading all the 3800 posts in this thread to get a better picture of your system and how you look at the bigger picture. This answered so many unanswered questions for me... I made lots of notes and am trying to understand your succesful system and to see how this can work for me. I'm very happy you continued posting your trades in 2019, as this is can be a confirmation of my point of view and a huge help for me and for many others. I hope you'll continue doing this

While reading your journal my admiration and respect for you only grew seeing how you deal with your system AND with your followers. You get ongoing the same questions from (new) followers (like me some months ago "What are the rules??"), and you keep on kindly answering these while the answers are mostly in the thread. And staying calm and correct, when others sometimes didn't or were questioning or criticising*YOUR*JOURNAL. I like that - Respect!

I makes me curious, who is the person behind GFIs1. One thing is for sure, you are a Legendary market wizard. Well earned title!

It's clear how much time and work you have put in. Thank you very much for all this

Cheers,
Dennis

PS. I will definitely start a journal once I think I found a working system
PS2. And will also look for other threads that might help me getting an early pension

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  #3812 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12624
exit @ @ 12654 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

PS: Dax made new high of the year yesterday...
Attention - many 3rd quarter results coming out these days!

PS II @ 11:00: here we go: down - was a first attempt
PS III the goal for short on Wednesday was not heard

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  #3813 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Some uncertainty caused by yesterday's hi/lo range.

Have chosen Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12650
exit @ 12680 (SL)
result -30 points

SL tight

GFIs1

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  #3814 (permalink)
 Deetee 
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GFIs1 View Post
Some uncertainty caused by yesterday's hi/lo range.

Ahh, I was actually wondering whether you were still using the prev day 150 points/250 points rule

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  #3815 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Deetee View Post
Ahh, I was actually wondering whether you were still using the prev day 150 points/250 points rule

Well read the journal - @Deetee - the rules were still part of my trading.
Yesterday oh wonder the hi/lo was exactly 150 points.
Today I had to decide to take a trade or not because in my last 8 years
that did never happen to the point.
So I decided for the risk (which could have given a positive result too).
Therefore I said a thing which I recently omitted at the beginning of a trade:
to stay strictly with the SL.
That was the good point.
As this is a security to my trading and has not a real impact for midterm gains.

Happy trading
GFIs1

PS: to be clear - the 150/250 points rule is very accurate. Even better here on the
DAX (CFD chart) with cash hours than as before when I applied the rule on the
future. (2012 to 2016).

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  #3816 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades:

one positive: +7 points
two negative: -60 points
Weekly result -53 points

GFIs1

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  #3817 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 10:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12708
exit @ 12721
result +13 points - well the surplus came 2h later

GFIs1

Brexit is influencing the Dax today... Quite a lot!

PS: Draghi's final decision on coming Thursday! After that he will retire.

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  #3818 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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...did not happen:
first the down gap before cash hour was not a good look
second - tomorrow's last Draghi ECB decision is ahead
third - was afk in the morning.

Happy trades
GFIs1

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  #3819 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Draghi said goodbye. He did not alter the previous path.
Means more money flows into markets and negative interests are a pain in the axx for the banks...

Today I was not online and could not take any trade.
It hadn't given the big price but some points. Markets still on the upside - despite some really ugly
messages from German industry all over the week.

We will see how the next week will develop.
Maybe some nice chart updates if I will find time.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #3820 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This week had only 1 trade:

Positive: +13 points

Weekly result 13 points

GFIs1

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  #3821 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax in rising mood... 13k again soon.

Dax long 9:30 to 14:00 (update!)

entry @ 12905
exit @ 12952
result +47 points

GFIs1

PS I: looks like the DAX has got my message
can be to take out 13k again in very short time - or let that goal for next weeks with new ECB Lagarde...

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  #3822 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax has wandered through the Kumo south (30m) and heads down today - after the high of the year starting this week.

Now a trade short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12929
exit @ 12874
result +55 points ----> not so bad

GFIs1

Reminder: Thursday tomorrow - because of the "last of month": for the connaisseur - a Friday Rule Trade (FRT)

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  #3823 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This Thursday 31st of October will be a trade with
FRIDAY rule: means 9:30 opposite of the 9 to 9:30 direction.

So a trade xyz (seeing tomorrow from 9:30 to 16:30 to fulfill a positive week)

entry @
exit @
result

as I am not at the keyboard in the morning - the system will stear the trade.
The result will be shown later.
Happy evening
GFIs1

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  #3824 (permalink)
 Deetee 
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The reversal in the first 30 min. painted the IB red, but if spotted, a great short trade today

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  #3825 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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That trade went bad: SL -30 points!

Unfortunately the direction of the initial balance from 9 to 9:30 was not good.
This time the Dax has not heard my intention
Never mind - the rule set is still well.

Looking forward to better end of month trades.

GFIs1

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  #3826 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This week was not so bad - even the Thursday trade went into stop loss.
We have seen 3 trades:

Two positive: 47 + 55 points
One negative: -30 points

Weekly result: 72 points

Happy weekend

GFIs1

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  #3827 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Very busy and many days away from keyboard. Means for me some exciting other work ahead.
Means some of the main days Monday, Wednesday and Friday can not be covered live here.
Eventual trades will not be part of the journal as I can't comment them live.
Trades will though be taken when possible.
This phase will end around 2nd week of December.

Happy weeks - thanks to my followers!
GFIs1


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  #3828 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Nice rally today - was quite a good day for those that smelled the burning fire to show new yearly highs.
Happy to see new high volatility. Means some good extra points before Christmas.

Hope some of you could make some cash.

GFIs1

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  #3829 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 13136
exit @ 13154
result -18 points

GFIs1

PS: on a morning @ the keyboard - might bring some points


PS II: quite some indecision in the markets

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 GFIs1 
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Not a good day for trading in my opinion:
• Thanksgiving day - US closed
• Last of month: with low volumes some sideways might occur which is not adequate with the rules

So even I am at the keyboard again I resist to take a trade.

Happy Thanksgiving - Black Friday et al and have a great weekend.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax nearing the all time high again - might give a new one for a peak day

Dax long 9:30 to 15:00

entry @ 13299
exit @ 13269 (SL)
result -30 points

Well the lift up decided to turn down with high impact...
Haven't found the reason yet.

GFIs1

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  #3832 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Was not foreseen - but the half day slip down until now made already -329 points in the DAX.
Still trading not finished within cash hours.
Not even a Walzer was on the plate ;-)
Maybe tomorrow we might see one.

To be clear - some stops are not bad for a day trade.

GFIs1

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  #3833 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 13143
exit @ 13129
result 14 points

GFIs1

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  #3834 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Yesterday had a range of 211 points...

As we have Wednesday there will be a trade DAX short as foreseen: 11:30 (if IB is short) to 15:30
IB was LONG - so DAX short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 13076
exit @ 13106 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

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  #3835 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax jumped up 1% after GB elections tonight going for the Brexit end of Jan 31 2020.

Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 13379
exit @ 13362
result -17 points

GFIs1

PS: the gap to yesterday will not be closed today
PS II: well - lame duck! Often seen in December: jumps over night and then sideways
but no trade no opportunity.

In this sense - have a great weekend

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  #3836 (permalink)
 Deetee 
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Indeed, no trade, no opportunity. Next week better
I hope you had a good November month (wine business?) and am happy to see you back here.
Enjoy the weekend too

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  #3837 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Deetee View Post
Indeed, no trade, no opportunity. Next week better
I hope you had a good November month (wine business?) and am happy to see you back here.
Enjoy the weekend too

Welcome @Deetee
Yes - the November wine degustations where I am part of the organisation were fruitful. We
had 4 different places (2 on the ship, 2 inhouse) at well known places in Switzerland.
Quite a good result for our unique Swiss wineries.
If you are interested you can get an insight to those very special events: https://futures.io/www.wyschiff.ch and https://futures.io/www.wymärit.ch

Thanks for your message (I must write down that the GAP had been indeed closed today)

Looking forward to next week as the last week 52 will be only crippled.

GFIs1

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  #3838 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 13353
exit @ 13380
result +27 points

GFIs1

PS: All Time High needs 250 points up...

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 13283
exit @ 13260
result +23 points

GFIs1

PS: Friday Triple Witch December!

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  #3840 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Friday before Christmas week. Triple witch @ 13:00h. For futures new March 20 contract.
US 3 indizes with new all time high. The Dax not far from own all time high.

Dax Short 10:30 to 14:30 **

entry @ 13227
exit @ 13257 (SL)
result -30 points -> nice Christmas present

GFIs1

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 Reettrader 
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What does triple witch mean, I am curious?


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  #3842 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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What does triple witch mean, I am curious?


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Means the end of trading the actual futures on a instrument. Today 13h the December futures are running out. Instead the March, June and September 2020 futures are traded. In a certain quarter the main volume is in the actual quarter. If a open future is not bought/sold until the end of this future - it will be bought/sold by the broker automatically. Normally not a good idea to hold futures until the last day. My change to a new future is normally on Monday or Wednesday in the witch week. For the DAX future the triple witch is always on 3rd Friday of the months March, June, September and December at 13:00 h.
There are other futures that can be traded with monthly contracts. Those are not so influencing the pricing of the instrument. So I am only concentrated on the Dax future itself. In a triple witch week one can often seen quite strong volatility - not recommended days to trade for beginners.

Hope this helps.
GFIs1

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 tr8er 
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What does triple witch mean, I am curious?


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Triple witching means, that stock index futures, stock options and stock index options expire (it happens four time a year, 3rd Friday of March, June, Sept and Dec

Quadruple witching (as it is today in USA) means: same as Triple Witching + single stock futures as well

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 13355
exit @ 12369
result -14 points

attn: low volumes these last days of the year... Means some little things may move the markets more than normal

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Today and tomorrow no trade foreseen.
Reason is the low volume and sideways markets.

Happy trades - and best wishes for New Year 2020.

GFIs1

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 Deetee 
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Thank you, and all the best for 2020

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 GFIs1 
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Happy 2020!!

Back after Happy New Year with a first trade 2020
Dax long 9:30 to 15:00

entry @ 13282
exit @ 13379
result +97 points

GFIs1

* well a good start


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 Deetee 
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Happy new year!!
Today it looks like a Waltzer going on as well

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  #3849 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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A Walzer needs a hi/lo range of previous day of min. 150+ points.
This was not reached as we had been in a sideways movement.
In fact a day like new year or after some holidays a certain move in (any) direction is of high possibility.
Today the new money of this year went again INTO the markets (buying stocks and moving the price) here to the upside and that movement is often to see.

SO: Trade better on a new day after the sideways movement in low volume field.

GFIs1


Deetee View Post
Happy new year!!
Today it looks like a Waltzer going on as well


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 GFIs1 
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A strong gap down of around 150 points in the DAX future this morning back to a level of 13300...
Just over night.
Looks not good for a new run up.

Good trades
GFIs1

Here the chart:

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 13270
exit @ 13240 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

..well the correction is here - might stay same direction next week.

Happy weekend

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 GFIs1 
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We have seen some special slide down from yesterday to today. Mainly caused by the US with killing key people in far away states (just to secure oil fields)...

So the direction seems clear - we will see a real correction in the main Indices.
First if the DAX made a double top (not shown here) then a longer down scenario might be on the plate. Until the "very good" numbers of the quickest companies showing results of 2019 will make some cushion.

Getting a look at my own glimpse of the current situation here:



Please know that the final red arrow leads more and more down...

Of course the ups will be in oil, gold (et al) and distortion of currency pairs as long as every oil bound company will lose more than other companies.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Another lower low for the DAX in the early Futures: price went lower than 13100...
With all the bad news from the East the scenario described in the chart above will be a hint for the week.
In the daily chart the price entered from top into the Kumo today. Might show a quick down the
next days. The situation from the bottom of the Kumo @ 12600 is underlining this effect.

We will see how this will develop. The bears act quicker than the bulls.
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 13025
exit @ 13045
result -20 points

IB 30m: -90 points (hi/lo)

note: the gap (lo Fr. 13:00) had not been closed during cash IB
note 10:00 - many stop losses and shiftings in the stocks are obvious. Gold up, oil up to 70$/barrel.

GFIs1

PS: today the direction was given but did not hold... The lower prices will be seen through the next days

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  #3855 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Watch the following chart - and compare it with the one 3 posts above...



The red arrow started exactly at the turning point.
So the scenario is not far from reality.

Happy evening
GFIs1

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 Deetee 
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GFIs1 View Post

The red arrow started exactly at the turning point.
So the scenario is not far from reality.

Thanks for showing me that I have still a lot to learn
Very impressive!!

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 GFIs1 
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This morning the Dax started with a down gap. Within 10m the gap to yesterday (15h candle) was closed. So no gap trade.
Price still is within 30m and 60m Kumo.

This will give a short trade Dax 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 13141
exit @ 13171 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

PS: Well this move within 2 Kumos was under uncertainty of markets. Rules didn't work. No problem so far.
Could have worked - but no risk no fun!

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 GFIs1 
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My described scenario for short didn't work - the fears of a war in Iran/Irak had been vanished.
For the moment...
Now today the Nikkei won 2% in a day...
plus the DAX is nearing its ATH.
This is a development which does not equal the problems around the globe -
like rising oil price, shivering exports, undefined war signs, large problems in the industry for cars, planes etc.
Looks like the stock prices are not reflecting the real pic of reality. Not even included the climate change costs (ccc)!
Stock holders are looking forward to tremendous wins 2019 - and they hope to get a big part of the cake
In fact the signs are all negative - even some gurus do not want to see them.
Well - it doesn't really affect my trades - as they are based from day to day.
Some risk with trading is always there.

GFIs1

tomorrow I will be back

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 13516
exit @ 13524
result 8 points

GFIs1

11:50 - DAX has to lift 70 points to a new ATH
well... lame duck

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 tr8er 
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Great job!

Just a 25 point NFP move, this really happens very seldom Lame duck, as you said

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 GFIs1 
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No trade today - price 30m in Kumo - sideways.
Not much vola seen ahead.

We will see on Friday.
Happy trades
GFIs1

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 veloxtrader 
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Wish I would have had this view when I sat down this morning lol

Velox

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 Deetee 
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veloxtrader View Post
Wish I would have had this view when I sat down this morning lol

Velox

Hahaha, yeah, me too

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 GFIs1 
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Up Gap this morning - nearing ATH again...
It is Friday - some money needs to be taken out of the markets again.

So Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 13525
exit @ 13512
result 13 points

GFIs1

...lame duck...

Happy weekend!

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 GFIs1 
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No trade today: US closed because of Martin Luther King day.
Not much to expect on the DAX.

Happy day
GFIs1

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 Deetee 
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I think you have a rule saying, no short trades when previous or current day makes ATH. How do you see that for this Wednesday (= short day)?

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 13629
exit @
result

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Deetee View Post
I think you have a rule saying, no short trades when previous or current day makes ATH. How do you see that for this Wednesday (= short day)?

well - the DAX openend with first candle above ATH - means some pressure up is here. Therefore the Wednesday short to close the gap as well as to get to previous day's range again.
Just my 2 cents.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 15:30

entry @ 13318
exit @ 13348 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

what a shame !! for a Wednesday

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 GFIs1 
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Today a special situation: Friday and the last of month.
Therefore a special rule for this occasion.
Will be a trade from 9:30 to 16:30.

Given the WHO warning from today for the worldwide crisis by the Corona virus it will be most likely a short.
Attention: Much volume awaited on all markets!

Good trades!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 16:30

entry @ 13195

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  #3872 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 16:30

entry @ 13188
exit @ 13006
result 182 points

GFIs1

PS I 12:05 - on its way down...
PS II 16:40 - as expected

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 tr8er 
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wow, take 150 points and run, great job

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 Deetee 
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What a monstertrade!!! Congrats, well done

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 GFIs1 
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Deetee View Post
What a monstertrade!!! Congrats, well done

yeah - thanks all for your input! - at least the unnecessary SL from Wednesday had been wiped out :-)

Be aware that Monday a serious reaction to this slip will be on the plate.
Of course I know a probable (counter?)move which will be to read here on Monday morning.

GFIs1

PS: just another proof that the rules still work - hehe...

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 GFIs1 
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New week - virus still influencing stocks around the world negative - today a longer trade in the DAX as the beginning of the month:

DAX short 9:30 to 17:00
entry @ 13014
exit @ 13054 (SL)
result -40 points

GFIs1

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alexk1968
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New week - virus still influencing stocks around the world negative - today a longer trade in the DAX as the beginning of the month:

DAX short 9:30 to 17:00
entry @ 13014
exit @
result

GFIs1

Hi again - long time...

Is your stop hit in the 9:30 30min bar? (hi - open = 37 pts > 30 pts.SL)

thanks

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 GFIs1 
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alexk1968 View Post
Hi again - long time...

Is your stop hit in the 9:30 30min bar? (hi - open = 37 pts > 30 pts.SL)

thanks

Welcome back @alexk1968
Thanks for looking by!
No - special situation Friday the last of month and Monday when the Friday rule came in: SL 40 points - was not hit.
As you see on a Monday letting the trade play out until 17:00 is sporty and rarely the case.
Have good trades - and special greetings to Greece which is still on my travel plan soon.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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A gap trade today:
DAX short 10:00 to 13:30

entry @ 13185
exit @ 13215 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

PS: seems the bulls still with extra steam

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ants222222
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not looking good, last gap didnt fill either

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ants222222 View Post
not looking good, last gap didnt fill either

Many open gaps are a good point to be closed very soon... that time will come!

GFIs1

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 Deetee 
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Many open gaps are a good point to be closed very soon... that time will come!

GFIs1

Yes, on Wednesday "short day"

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 13400
exit @ 13430 (SL)
result -30 points

GFIs1

attn: sporty trade - as the trend is quite strong long today...
exactly what was to expect... - next time with less volatility things will work again

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 13532
exit @ 13508
result 24 points

GFIs1

PS: will prolong the trade to 14.30
13:30 - if the slip is accelerating then 13412 might be a next bumping point
decision was not good - bulls still pressing

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 tr8er 
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because of your trade prolongation: don't forget today is NFP day

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tr8er View Post
because of your trade prolongation: don't forget today is NFP day

True - but those results are mostly presented @ 14:30 here.
Not a big deal as I do not consider NFP within the trading system here.
If ECB or FED decisions ahead this is quite important on the DAX to be aware about the official announcement time because it is normally in conflict with the time my trades are on.

GFIs1

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True - but those results are mostly presented @ 14:30 here.
Not a big deal as I do not consider NFP within the trading system here.
If ECB or FED decisions ahead this is quite important on the DAX to be aware about the official announcement time because it is normally in conflict with the time my trades are on.

GFIs1

Yep, I just posted it because of the classic up-move before the news

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 GFIs1 
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Sauf erreur I see the 2020 start as a bad entry into the year.
Results are from 3rd January to today showing weekly numbers up to now: -30 -42 +13 +152 -76 = 17 points.
Quite nothing for the time. Normally starting a year this system has shown much better performance.

Anyway - it is as it is - the future has more surprises on the plates.
Good trades and happy weekend
GFIs1

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Monday was a no go - sideways

Tuesday started with a strong up gap.
A trade to test the rules here

DAX short 10:00 to 13:30**

entry @ 13600
exit @ 13600 HAHA!
result 0 point

Good trades
GFIs1

** 11:30 - the goal is 13540 to reach

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Wednesday afak...

Today after a strange behavior on Wednesday: ATH

Dax short 10:30 to 12:00

entry @ 13668
exit @ 13613
result 55 points

GFIs1

edit 11:27 - looks like a correction over all is more probable than before

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No Friday trade - away from keyboard.

Friday rule was working - would have given some points until 13:30.

At least back to normal results - most of last year results of the better companies are out now. Just some lazy companies with normally bad results are at the end of the row: those will not affect the indices.

GFIs1

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Tomorrow Monday 17th US will have closed exchanges on Presidents Day.
Therefore no trade foreseen - weak volume in Germany - erratic movements possible.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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Of course it is not meant as the day for the actual day and night on Twitter present President - but even more about the first President of the USA, George Washington 1789, in memoriam.
Then about the four killed Presidents Abraham Lincoln, James A. Garfield, William McKinley and John F. Kennedy. It is quite a strong rate of 4 out of 45 elected Presidents that could not end their time as the President within election period.

Happy holiday today
GFIs1

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Day after US holiday - down gap which might be closed today

DAX long 9:30 to 15:00

entry @ 13684
exit @ 13688
result 4 points what a result

GFIs1

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The triangle had been finished 15:00 and the price is breaking out in north direction (as thought for the trade). Now the up might get to the point of closing the gap (13752) eventually.
That does no longer influence my trade of today
Just to note a real time thought...

Good trades
GFIs1

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Dax short 11:30 to 13:00
a down move already on IB first 30m

entry @ 13772
exit @ 13761
result 11 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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finally end of cash hours - the down move has begun.
Might give a slip to kill 13400 in the next trading days...
Watching from near.

Happy evening
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Was a week with not much standard flow. Only some peanuts points on the table.
Just on Friday while afk some better trade had been developing (not taken)
from 9:30 to 13:30 long (nearly high of the day before the drop to 13567 @ 17:30)
with entry 13602 to exit 13673 - theoretic 70 points.

No problem so far - the shorts are taking speed - which is good news here.
Happy and sunny weekend

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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The danger of a recession is not near - it is already reality!

Why? Because of indicators that are quite visible right now:

negative interests on money has now real effects in economy
• German car makers still on diesel motors and not having any real concept for a future of green mobility
• carmakers in general are building cars on the stock with old technology - just to sell it later with high rebates (eg. VW)
• much of the products in Germany are made in foreign countries like Poland, Hungary, China, USA etc.
• the threat of the Corona virus is striking back - after China now Europe affected which means supply chains are stopped
• visible much more new weapons in the fields and in production
travel by air is at its limits and very quickly stopped by a virus, volcano or by war (see Ukraine, Iran, Iceland etc.)
chemical overhead production - meets restrictions in every country now to be applied - means poisoning agriculture will be prohibited or restricted
plane production now really is in trouble as Boeing can not provide planes to cheap ticket airlines and those have no alternatives - means growing plans for more business in travel are postponed
climate change: I) getting out of fossil energy as well as of nuclear power and other. II) pushing towards Paris contract to reach CO2 goals given by 2030/50. III) rising sea levels (documented) are a threat for very large cities and harbours
• Money - or currencies - are in a real shift right now: eg USD in threat of importance as oil is no longer important for the world
real money versus digital money - the battle is on and the outcome for the big banks in the world is most uncertain
politics: many elections (US/Germany/GB etc.) now most influenced by media plus foreign countries means democracy is at war
• finally about the stock markets: I) too much printed money in the markets - without any winning projects or new goals. II) the numbers for 2019 are out - most good looking - with a now very bad outlook on 2020

To make it more visible: markets making quickly new all time highs are the real red signal for a big bang

This is what we can see in 2020. Political stability decreasing, millions of people on the escape to more stable ground for a living. Plus a new virile virus threatening every business on the world and space

What does it mean?
For us traders we will have some very interesting development ahead. Means to be very careful about where and when to put money at risk. Be there and not too late... Stay at the sidelines when markets make erratic moves that are sure to come (soon) with extreme volatility.

THINK ABOUT - and learn to read the signals

GIFs1

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 GFIs1 
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As described in my last post the markets in Europe are under pressure. Already 3 dead virus patients in Italy led to the closing of trains going to Austria. This is severe for every normality but still just the tip of the iceberg. We are starting the day 150 points lower in the DAX...

Dax short from 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 13160
exit @ 12995
result 165 points

GFIs1

@ 14:30 - US now mixing up the markets. Looks like we have ~100 points up to now.
Things are important: Investors around the globe are getting out of stocks which sends the prices down.
@ 15:00 - while in the trade - Italy has doubled corona victims from 3 to 6 today
@ 15:20 touched 13k...
@ 15:30 the counter move may begin

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