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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #3761 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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"Europas Währungshüter stemmen sich mit allen Mitteln gegen die Konjunkturschwäche: Banken müssen künftig noch höhere Strafzinsen zahlen, wenn sie Geld bei der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB) parken. Zudem steckt die Notenbank frische Milliarden in Anleihen. Das beschloss der EZB-Rat am Donnerstag in Frankfurt.

Damit verschärft die Zentralbank zum Ende der Amtszeit von EZB-Präsident Mario Draghi ihre ultralockere Geldpolitik nochmals. Die achtjährige Amtszeit des Italieners endet am 31. Oktober 2019. Der Leitzins, der seit März 2016 auf dem Rekordtief von null Prozent liegt, bleibt unverändert auf diesem Niveau.

Dass die Notenbank erneut nachlegen würde, war erwartet worden. Angesichts der weltweiten Konjunkturabkühlung und der Schwäche des Welthandels seien "signifikante geldpolitische Impulse" notwendig, hatte Draghi nach der Sitzung des EZB-Rates vor sieben Wochen gesagt."

******** english ********

"Europe's currency watchdogs are using every means at their disposal to counter the economic downturn: banks will have to pay even higher penalty interest in future if they park money with the European Central Bank (ECB). In addition, the central bank is investing fresh billions in bonds. This was decided by the ECB Governing Council in Frankfurt on Thursday.

The central bank is thus further tightening its ultra-loose monetary policy at the end of the term of office of ECB President Mario Draghi. The Italian's eight-year term ends on 31 October 2019. The key interest rate, which has been at a record low of zero percent since March 2016, remains unchanged at this level.

It had been expected that the central bank would replenish its reserves again. In view of the global economic slowdown and the weakness of world trade, "significant monetary policy impulses" were necessary, Draghi said after the meeting of the Governing Council of the ECB seven weeks ago."

source finanzen.net (translated by deepl.com)

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  #3762 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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ECB behind...
New trade Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12430
exit @ 12483
result 53 points

GFIs1

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  #3763 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
ECB behind...

Might want to think about holding for longer than a day? 20billion a month should be able to push it up a bit ay?

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  #3764 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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Grantx View Post
Might want to think about holding for longer than a day? 20billion a month should be able to push it up a bit ay?

Well thanks @Grantx

In fact this is my GFIs1 "One trade per day" journal.
Of course swing trading is most interesting.
In this case the fine tuning is in the most probable moves *over time* within every weekday.

I think the results since 2012 shown here are speaking for themselves.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #3765 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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This week had 2 trades

one negative: -23 points
one positive: +53 points
Total points: 30

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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  #3766 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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This week some major pressure on the DAX might be seen

Short term:
1) Oil price jumped up over weekend more than 10% - after Saudi oil production was attacked by drones
2) The DAX future started with a down gap in the morning
3) Wednesday - FED decision ahead - means maybe a reversal from the reversal - we will see
4) Friday Triple Witch day: the most important in the year (3rd quarter end) - before Christmas business

Long term:
5) Recession discussions starting in different countries - and especially for the DAX
6) Rising prices during Climate Change (next 10 years)

Prices of the indices might have seen the top for a while.

GFIs1

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  #3767 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax closed the gap to Friday on first 30m of cash hours.

Dax long 10:00 to 13:00
entry @ 12392
exit @
result

GFIs1

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  #3768 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax closed the gap to Friday on first 30m of cash hours.

Dax long 10:00 to 13:00
entry @ 12392
exit @
result

GFIs1

Seems that the trade end results did not save here. Sorry.
Thus my results again:

Dax long 10:00 to 13:00
entry @ 12392
exit @ 12401
result +9 points

Happy trades
GFIs1

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  #3769 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12384
exit @ 12389
result -5 points

GFIs1

don't forget FED decision today

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  #3770 (permalink)
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @
exit @
result

GFIs1

don't forget FED decision today

I'm impressed with your strategy and like to follow it.
Your exit is 14:30. How do you deal with the volatility after 14:00? I mean, if I remember well, with the ECB last week the price first dropped let's say 100 points before jumping up again. I'm wondering, what kind of stoploss can cover this? Or do you rely on direction (today short) and put a very high stoploss?

Thanks
Dennis

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