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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #3101 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Looks like Wednesday gives the first LONG trade for this week.
See you tomorrow.

GFIs1

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  #3102 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12448
exit @ 12433
result -15 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

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  #3103 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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As the biggest move was a down slip on Tuesday - the next bigger move might be seen
on Thursday - from experience.

Monday was sideways - Wednesday too. Nothing special on Friday to expect.

So a Thursday trade might give more than waiting for never time

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #3104 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12519
exit @ 12510
result -9 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

don't forget ECB decision today 13:45h and pressconference 14:30h

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  #3105 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Rocket* has started

Good trades!
GFIs1

* means negative interest of 0.4%

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  #3106 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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After Draghi's ECB decision the Dax reached quickly 12575 - upper cloud of 4h Dax cont.

Lets see what will be after the press conference.

GFIs1

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  #3107 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Illustration of the ECB move from 13:45 to 15:00
Price after press conference came down again - so Draghi's rocket was a very short range one




GFIs1

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  #3108 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12431
exit @ 12401 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol low

Simple witch day for some derivatives (13:00)

GFIs1
PS: This trade ended badly because of the bad news about the German cartel from
all car makers that stared this cartel 1990 that finally ended in the diesel scandal.
More black clouds at the horizon and probable large fines - if things are clear.
The news came out after 11:30 today that VW self-reported this fact to have had
secret meetings from top managers from VW, Audi, Porsche, BMW, Daimler. More
than 200 workers discussed together in 60 groups to define things to circumvent
competition rules.

edit II: already range of 250+ points

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  #3109 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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This week had 4 trades:

3 negative (-15 -9 -30) points
1 positive 15 points
Weekly result -39 points

Points since week 1: 1206

Special: All trades started with LOW volume - means higher risk.
This could have given positive results as well - just a hint for taking the risk or not.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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To those interested in German car makers - with a glimpse into the diesel scandal
might be finding valuable information (always updated) in the thread started by @rleplae back in September 2015 when the scandal came to surface.

Thread here:

Of course VW is not the only one in the spotlights - today we know of many details behind the scenes
that affect VW, AUDI, Porsche, BMW, Daimler - and some more car makers from abroad.
Things get real heavy now as EU is making interventions, people in Germany are not happy
about the development and finally the German elections are near: in September things will
be more clear - depending on the parties winning.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12206
exit @ 12192
result 14 points (left some points on the table)

IB vol good (9561 contr.)

GFIs1

PS:
• Many half year results coming this week from larger companies
• Diesel scandal in Germany is on the next higher level - all German car makers started in the red today
• Yellen speach this week (no interest moves foreseen though)
• possible goal <12k in the next days

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  #3112 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Numbers came out this morning - interestingly with new ATH
despite diesel scandal, car maker cartel etc.

DAX did not make a real progress from that though.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12312
exit @ 12301
result 11 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

FED decision 20:00!

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 16:30

entry @ 12132
exit @ 12162 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

One negative -30 points (SL)
Two positive +14 +11 points

Weekly result -5 points
Points since week 1: 1201

Happy weekend.
Looking forward to Monday - the last day in July.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 12185
exit @ 12198
result -13 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12230
exit @ 12260 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol low to ok

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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GFIs1

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 choke35 
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Diesel egg

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12141
exit @ 12171 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol LOW!

GFIs1

PS: 11:42 - watch for July US numbers 14:30 (smells like going up)

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades:

All red: -13 -30 -30 points
Weekly points -73

Points since week 1: 1128

GFIs1

No problem so far - see next post

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 GFIs1 
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at the Friday possibilities:

Morning: LOW volume - as announced in my trading journal
Means leave fingers away from hot buttons... or you are burned

That was it - exactly - lol - meaning my own sad trade

Then with some driving to the "higher, higher" votes (as said 2 posts back) I took
a very prosperous trade on the US numbers 14:30. This trade is not revealed here
and does not count in this journal either.

Have a great weekend!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Looks not good for a trade:
Friday range was 200 points...

Volumes still on the lower side this morning.
But the floor can be ready for a new Walzer - lets see.
Waiting for the signal(s)

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Instead of waiting for the invisible Walzer - watching the 1h chart - I decided
to squeeze out some points on a short in very little time: Result 34 points (€ 859)



Of course this trade will not count here - as it is NOT a GFIs1 trade announced in advance.
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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with decision to enter when price is lower than previous lows after the high.
Exit was on 1h Kijun Sen - which worked nicely:



GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Answer to your question:
Middle between red and green cycle of the spiral is normally a good point to get out
as price might reverse. Just a hint for some indicators (that of course do not have most
impact).

GFIs1

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  #3127 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Took a DAX short 10:30 @ 12252

As 10:30 normally is a turning point - there is some potential to sniff some points.
No regular rule trade though - just a try. With a tight stop.

Let's see where the travel goes - foreseen 14:30

edit: or Take profit @ 12196

result @ 13:37h: TP 12196, 56 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Chart for this 56 points voyage:



No more trades today

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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might reach 12050...
Trend is given. Especially for mid week.

GFIs1

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  #3130 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Opening pre cash hour - with a gap down. (7:50h)
Lower prices will be seen today - the 12k in sight!

Dax short 10:30 to NEW 14:30h
entry @ 12160
exit @ 12113
result 47 points

IB vol ok: 6710 contracts

GFIs1

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  #3131 (permalink)
 bmtrading9 
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GFIs1 View Post
Chart for this 56 points voyage:



No more trades today

GFIs1

What are those green and red circles? Some kind of a fib fan or something?

Sent from my ONEPLUS A3000 using Tapatalk

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  #3132 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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bmtrading9 View Post
What are those green and red circles? Some kind of a fib fan or something?

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Hi bmtrading9

These circles are FIB circles. If you check my journal here with "fib circle" then you will find
how to use them - and what they are good for. I mentioned them in different threads as well.

Happy trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This morning fio servers down - no proper preparing on time...
Second: Yesterday hi/lo range exceed 150 points.

This morning after new lows some up to see.
Volume good (IB >10k)

Anything can happen - system trades are not working.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had one trade
positive: 47 points
Weekly result 47 points

Points since week 1: 1175

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long after good up gap 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12127
exit @ 12138
result 11 points

IB vol good
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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A quick overview over the Dax until today:
We are at the turning point (see spiral) - and way down along it might cross cloud tomorrow
Wednesday with the foreseen short (as nearly always).



Good trades
GFIs1

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 Grantx 
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GFIs1 View Post
A quick overview over the Dax until today:
We are at the turning point (see spiral) - and way down along it might cross cloud tomorrow
Wednesday with the foreseen short (as nearly always).



Good trades
GFIs1

What do the red and green arrows mean?

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 GFIs1 
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Grantx View Post
What do the red and green arrows mean?

Those are signals (not really important in this thread and my trading):
red arrow is MSH means MS high signal
green arrow is MSL means MS low signal

Then at the bottom you see a red diamond when day session Initial Balance 9:00 to 9:30
was short and the green triangle means the opposite - long.

GFIs1

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  #3139 (permalink)
Hanneke
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@GFls1 I also have a short bias for tomorrow. Never used Fib Spiral, so it nice to see that it confirms the same view


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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12258
exit @ 12288 (SL)
result -30 Points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

bad trade - FED results 20:00 and insolvent AirBerlin are mixing up the markets - Lufthansa
had big profit this morning in thinking to get the best parts of AirBerlin without taking over
the negative effects of the Airline and letting the previous costs to Etihad.

Of course getting 150 mio from Merkel cabinet to survive the next days made AirBerlin not
need to ground but fly still - and the markets were reassured and shuffled up as well.

My personal opinion: 150 million - foreseen to help out until November this Year. ooops???
They are crazy - that is not enough for 3 weeks: AirBerlin has to pay now many creditors in
advance - means sending *immediately* when ordering - or prepaying everything. (Like the
nice clients were doing since ever... lol).
Geneva Airport Switzerland will now get the landing fees *before* a plane of the insolvent
company is trying to land. If this money had not been transferred before landing then a
special finance team will enter the pilot cabin to fetch the CASH onboard!

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Hanneke
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I hope that our short bias wasn't the cause of you loss....
It did affect my trades.... also -30pnt with 6 trades


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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12105
exit @ 12165
result 60 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Hanneke View Post
I hope that our short bias wasn't the cause of you loss....
It did affect my trades.... also -30pnt with 6 trades

The reason of the loss was simply in the Wednesday rule that I was using.
This is no problem - the rules especially for that day work very good.
Exceptions always possible - hence the stop.

Good trades
GFIs1

PS: Today much more tricky as I said at precision time the downswing will end - that
makes nervous

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

One negative (SL) - 30 points
Two positive 11 + 60 points
Weekly result 41 points

Points since week 1: 1216

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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During this journal of that thread I maintain a statistic of gains in points per Weekday:




As longtime follower you might remember that I skipped Tuesday and Thursday as normal
trading days from 2014 - some exceptions of course because of holidays etc.
Looking nearer one can see that the profitable days are Monday and Wednesday for all
five years plus (results until this week). Of course every Weekday was profitable over long time.
But as result I get two trade free days in the week - that makes it much more relaxed!

Take a look on your own trading days - this might reveal a lot - and you might win
by NOT TRADING on bad weekdays. Have in mind that announcing days like FED, ECB etc.
can have big impact to trade in negative results. So again - know when not to trade.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 10:00 o 13:30

entry @ 12106
exit @ 12134
result 28 points

IB vol low to ok
Thin signal!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Looking back on the Fib Spiral in the other thread - some down move was in the chart -
just not clear by when. Today the price went down near 12.0k and it looks like
that border less than 12 will be killed tonight.
At least some open gaps will be cleared.

But for the trader it means: LOWER MARGINS - yeah!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 12220
exit @ 12228
result -8 points

IB vol low to ok

GFIs1

PS: Down move came strong and one hour too early...
Then sticking at a Pivot point and nothing happened.
For those with nerves - stay until 15:30

well - would have given 12182 - means 48 points plus instead of -8
which was not foreseen by the rules today....

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 Rugosoft 
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Are you located in Switzerland?


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  #3150 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Rugosoft View Post
Are you located in Switzerland?


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Sure - as stated under my nick...
GFIs1

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 Rugosoft 
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I am living in Zug and have been following your trading approach for a while. That's why I was asking. :-)


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  #3152 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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If we see strong directional moves on a Tuesday then Wednesday normally is not moving
a lot: means THURSDAY might be the ONE :-)
So I will have a look at Thursday eventually to place a trade - mostly opposite to Tuesday's.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:30 *** see edit

entry @ 12195
exit @ 12235 (SL)
result -40 points

IB vol low!

Good trades
GFIs1

edit 13:18h: prolonging to 16:30h as the trade had not been on track...
attention - meeting in Jackson Hole begins today - discussion about currencies..

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 GFIs1 
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Some activity this morning IFO 10:00h

Dax long 10:30 to 16:30

entry @ 12214
exit @ 12224
result10 points

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 4 trades

Two positive (34 + 10 points)
Two negative (-8 - 40 points)
Weekly result -4 points

Points since week 1: 1212

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12091
exit @ 12131 (SL)
result -40 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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 bmtrading9 
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@GFIs1 I want to add mini DAX to my trading, I live in Central time zone would you please tell me some pointers...I am mainly swing trading person holding for multiple days. Thanks for all the help herein fio.

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 GFIs1 
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Quite a plunge this morning:

• Dax under 12000 (11942 actual low)
• EURUSD above 1.20

IB first 30 minutes over 16k futures contracts

That all triggered by fat Kim?
well done

GFIs1

need to annotate that a first Walzer signal showed up on my handy
Of course not approved as yesterday the range was not a base for a Walzer.

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 GFIs1 
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bmtrading9 View Post
@GFIs1 I want to add mini DAX to my trading, I live in Central time zone would you please tell me some pointers...I am mainly swing trading person holding for multiple days. Thanks for all the help herein fio.

Hi bmtrading9
For this case I recommend the longer sideways movements the DAX is doing (see last weeks):
Put a rectangle (box) over the last sideways prices.
Then trade the top to down and vice versa with limit orders.
That saves you time (online) and can be done with low risk.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 bmtrading9 
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At least weekly was looking like a short yesterday, Kim just accelerated it.




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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12007
exit @ 12017
result -10 points

IB vol good >8k

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Today Wednesday was dancing around 12000.
Then some numbers from Germany 14:15 and then US BIP 2nd quarter came out.
Only those numbers gave some movement besides the sideways move.

Tomorrow Thursday - the last day of the month will make for sure a larger move.
Lets see what will happen.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Last:
Dax long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 12051
exit @ 12077
result 26 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 17:30

entry @ 12100
exit @ 12169 (TP**)
result 69 points

IB vol low to ok

long weekend US Monday closed

GFIs1

** took today - as a rare case a take profit (here 12169) near high (body) of last high.
This ends this trade instead of waiting until 17:30. Anyway the trade was slow but
good for the day.

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 tr8er 
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Your're really holding your position during NFP?

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CPRICE76
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax long 9:30 to 17:30

entry @ 12100
exit @
result

IB vol low to ok

long weekend US Monday closed

GFIs1

Surely holding a position over US NFP, is purely gambling? Slippage could be massive etc..?

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 GFIs1 
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to my dear followers @tr8er and @CPRICE76

As you can read in my last update of the post *before* numbers
I closed it with a virtual TP.
This does not mean that a closing @17:30 (not yet reached)
could not go there too.
But as a benefit before ending this long weekend I am
happy to end this day quite positive.

Have a great weekend
GFIs1

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 tr8er 
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Cool GFIs1, I hope you took out 60, 70 points before NFP, very nice trade.

This trade was a perfect example not to trade thru important news like NFP

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 4 trades

Two negative -40 -10 points
Two positive 26 + 69 points

Weekly result 45 points
Points since week 1: 1257

With this we are back to the level of week 27.
Only week 26 was the high watermark.
Seeing all my efforts I can tell I could have been on holidays for a same result
from week 26 to week 34.
But anyway - that s part of the trading

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 LDog 
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GFIs1 View Post
Seeing all my efforts I can tell I could have been on holidays for a same result
from week 26 to week 34.
But anyway - that s part of the trading


Sounds like a new plan rule, to me :-)


Good job!

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 GFIs1 
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LDog View Post
Sounds like a new plan rule, to me :-)


Good job!

Thanks LDog

As you know I do have a list of weekday wins/and losses.
Now I can check from my 5+year journal here to see which
weeks were best and which weeks were most negative.
With this info I could eliminate those red weeks in a row:
THAT are my holidays

Happy Sunday
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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US labor day - closed
Eurex open - but low volumes expected.
Next trade tomorrow Tuesday.

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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After US holiday
Dax long 9:30 to 15:00

entry @ 12151
exit @ 12162
result 11 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

PS: left quite some points @ lunchtime...
hope you did better

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 15:30

entry @ 12092
exit @ 12032 (SL)
result -40 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

Tomorrow ECB day...

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 GFIs1 
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Attention:

Draghi will reveal ECB decision 13:45 and press conference 14:30

Some strong moves up and down and back expected today.

No trade here - yesterday it smelled like some ECB news were came out and pushed the markets.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This short week had 2 trades

One positive 11 points
One negatve -40 points (SL)
Weekly result -29 points

Points since week 1: 1228

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12396
exit @ 12430
result 34 points

IB vol ok

Long up gap this morning...
Attention Triple witch on Friday - rising Dax expected until Thursday

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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might be 12566...

From there everything is open.

As the price moved up during Monday to over 12,5k next goals are not far.
With triple witch on Friday we might see where the journey will go to.

In fact - Draghi's money fires still UP

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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GFIs1 View Post
might be 12566...

GFIs1

Today at least a high of 12561 - quite near

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 15:30 prolonging...

entry @ 12526
exit @ 12532
result -6 points

IB vol low to ok

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Triple Witch! 13h
NEW contract Dec.17

Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 12537
exit @
result

IB vol low to ok when seeing both contracts in total

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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ended with 0 points:
entry @ 12537
exit @ 12537
result 0 points **

GFIs1

** only trade where it does not matter if one is long or short

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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This week had 3 trades:

One positive +34 points
One negatve -6 points
One neutral 0 points

Weekly result 28 points
Points since week 1: 1256

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 12601
exit @ 12571 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good (8,367 k contracts)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Today FOMC meeting - shaky moments expected

Did not take a trade as I was not online.
Theoretical trade would have been:
Dax short 10:30 to 15:30 with a not taken result of 15points
(12564 to 12549)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Germany elections ahead this weekend:
Some up plus some taking profit for sure.

Trade Dax long 9:30 to 13:30
entry @ 12586
exit @ 12631
result 45 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 2 trades:

One negative -30points (SL)
One positive 45 points

Weekly result +15 points
Points since week 1: 1271

GFIs1

Waiting for the election results in Germany!

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 GFIs1 
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Elections are over... quite into the right corner...

Dax long 9:30 to 13:00

entry @ 12579
exit @ 12622
result 43 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Ooops.... 500 error on fio - so no realtime trade:

Dax short 10:30 to 15:30
entry @ 12666
exit @ 12669
result -3 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

PS: Looking forward to Friday: Friday and last of month - always a special day
Not to forget: Quarter results of 3rd quarter....

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 GFIs1 
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Last trading day of month - 3rd quarter ending...

Dax long 9:30 to 16:30
entry @ 12733
exit @ 12783
result 50 points

IB vol low

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades:

One negative -3 points
Two positive 43 + 50 points
Weekly result 90 points

Points since week 1: 1361

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Trade will be the second half of today's Friday trade:
Means Dax XY from 9:30 to 16:30

Direction will be given 9:30 on Monday.
Let' see and stay tuned!

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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...some points on the table:

Rule No ONE for every trade:
Never look back

Rule No TWO
Just take the gain the market leaves for you

GFIs1

PS: Still happy with the week ))

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Hanneke
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I will keep your rule number one in mind @GFls1.
That’s a good lesson for me from this trading week on the DAX since I only trade the DAX in the morning.


Sent from my iPhone using futures.io

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 GFIs1 
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After Friday quarter end a new Monday comes up with an up gap on Monday.
Asian markets with plus. Euro falling because of Catalan troubles in Spain last weekend.

Foreseen a trade Dax long 9:30 to 17:30.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 17:30

entry @ 12897
exit @ 12894
result -3 points

IB vol good (>9,1k)

GFIs1

• Euro heading down
• New ATH 13k in sight
• Tomorrow Tuesday German stock exchanges closed: "Tag der Deutschen Einheit"

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Monday shaky movements:
Part of down was US shooting while Dax was opening.
But with some nerves and patience the price moves
were to live about.

Tomorrow markets in Germany closed.

Wednesday we need to have a look at. In fact the
price might push up more - to reach 13k this week.

Happy German Holiday
GFIs1

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alexk1968
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax long 9:30 to 17:30

entry @ 12897
exit @ 12894
result -3 points

IB vol good (>9,1k)

GFIs1

• Euro heading down
• New ATH 13k in sight
• Tomorrow Tuesday German stock exchanges closed: "Tag der Deutschen Einheit"

Hi with all my respect and without wanting me to become annoying,

15:00 low minus 9:30 open = -49 pts > your big 40 pts SL

I really want a credible explanation how did you survive it. I mean, a SL > 40 pts means no SL set at all, according to your own rules (of course rules are made to be broken also).

In my humble opinion, SL has to be also mentioned before the trade for greater credibility. I would appreciate other forum's members opinions on the subject - maybe I am just the only one wrong here.

thanks,
alex

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 GFIs1 
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Dax started with new ATH as the 2 US indices made on Tuesday also...

Trade Dax short 9:30 to 14:30
entry @ 12931
exit @ 12919
result 12 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Hi Alex

"according to your own rules (of course rules are made to be broken also)."

Thanks for mentioning the stop loss rules.
Please refer to my post #3189 where I mentioned that this 3rd quarter of September is a special one - with large ups and downs even with the nearing of a German holiday on 3rd of October.
Of course there were SL rules for that very special trade which indeed passed my normal high SL with 40 pts.

But I will no longer discuss the SL settings as this is a journal and not a "follow me for free" thread. Some extra
rules are implemented in this system which are not revealed here as they are fitting for very special situations.

Easy
GFIs1

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