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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
Started:February 18th, 2012 (07:46 AM) by GFIs1 Views / Replies:262,592 / 2,756
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

Old June 27th, 2016, 05:09 AM   #2611 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Monday trade

This week outlook:
Shaky as many talks will be on the agenda - but NO results.

Higher volume in the futures for sure until end of month.

Good trades
GFIs1

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Old June 28th, 2016, 05:55 AM   #2612 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Last of half year and 4th July

This week watch for levels in the indices on 30th of June which is last day
and important for half year results for the companies.

Then important is 4th of July in USA - that means a long weekend (and not much
to see in Europe stock exchanges).

Good trades
GFIs1

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Old June 29th, 2016, 04:30 AM   #2613 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Wednesday trade


Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9570
exit @ 9600 (SL)
result -30

IB vol good

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; June 29th, 2016 at 08:01 AM.
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Old June 30th, 2016, 04:24 AM   #2614 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Thursday trade

Last of month - tomorrow no trade - Monday US closed

Dax long 9:30 to 16:30

entry @ 9537
exit @ 9577
result 40 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

edit 17:30 - haha! now things shot up LOL
9666 was the final point for end of 2nd quarter - now we know


Last edited by GFIs1; June 30th, 2016 at 12:38 PM.
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Old July 1st, 2016, 02:57 AM   #2615 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Friday

Futures Edge on FIO
No trade will be taken - as written above.
Same for Monday (US Independence).
Next standard trade will happen on Tuesday - then Wednesday and Friday.
Watching clearly the volumes on IB before taking any of them.

So the first half of the year is history.
This is the good moment to look back on the performance of both my systems.

Coming in next posts.
Good trades
GFIs1

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Old July 2nd, 2016, 06:14 AM   #2616 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
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Week 25 & 26 results

Week 25 had two negative trades (-30 -30 SL) with a weekly result of -60 points

Week 26 had one negative (-30 SL) and one positive +40 points with a weekly result of 10 points

Points since week one -14.

GFIs1

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Old July 2nd, 2016, 06:30 AM   #2617 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
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How was the DAX doing in 1st half year 2016?

Dax over all was 10% in minus from 1.1.2016 to 30.6.2016

The winners of the 30 Dax listed companies were:
Adidas: +42,9% - RWE: +21,2% - Vonovia: +14,7%

The losers were:
Deutsche Bank -45,2% - Commerzbank: -39,2% - BMW: -32,6%

Of course the losers are the heavy traded companies and led the index
fall sometimes under the low of January 2016.

It was clear that the 10k in the index was many times the hot spot to
dance around - now ending under that magic point again.

Source:
Die Tops und Flops am Aktienmarkt im ersten Halbjahr 2016 - News - 01.07.2016

GFIs1

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Old July 2nd, 2016, 07:05 AM   #2619 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
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Comment on the trading journalled on FIO

While I had decent positive results with both trading systems since inception of them
(watch journals of both from beginning) the systems were performing quite differently.

In the GFIs1 1 trade per day system the shaky market was influencing quite much the
result. There were good days and too many bad as well - the result in points was around
zero but the costs brought the account down a bit.
Comment: Even on risky days I took the trade - telling and knowing about a possible
bad outcome. Quite some trades with high risk (as announced at the beginning of a trade)
went into stop loss.
Hint for future time: Omit those trades when initial balance (IB) is not within normal range.
At least the result still was better than the index itself.

Looking at the Walzer - things were much better.
Even or despite shaky times - the Walzer is an instrument to take the points out when markets
move heavily. Therefore the result was nearly the same as in first half of 2015 which shows
the longtime stability of the idea behind.

Now looking at the trading time needed then the Walzer is still the best of all:
It is semi automated and does not need screen time.
For the 1 day system the screen time was not much - but did not pay out at least the last 6 months.
As this system is documented now for 4 years with quite still good results over this period we
can see that different markets can have strong impact on the final performance.

Even the 2 systems are doing differently - they show their strengths in very different markets.

GFIs1

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Old July 4th, 2016, 05:48 AM   #2620 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,548 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,081 given, 6,171 received

Volumes on Monday


We see very low volumes in the Dax future today:

IB to 9:30 4882 contracts
to 10:00 2560 contracts
to 10:30 2374 contracts

GFIs1

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