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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #2531 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,942 since Feb 2012
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Monday trade

Dax short 10:00 to 14:00

entry @ 9732
exit @ 9762
result - 30 p

IB vol high and volume on second candle very high
price at trade start within long Kumo (30min)

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; April 11th, 2016 at 07:13 AM.
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  #2532 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Broker/Data: IB / DTN
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Posts: 3,942 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,637 given, 7,267 received
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Wednesday trade

Dax short 9:30 to 14:00

after a steep up gap this morning some cash in should be seen
with lower prices (does not mean gap closing though).

entry @ 9965
exit @ 10005 (SL)
result -40 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

magnetic 10000 was strong today


Last edited by GFIs1; April 13th, 2016 at 05:04 AM.
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  #2533 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Friday trade


Today no useful signal: IB opened and closed on the same price.
Volume thin.
Market indecision.
From point of cloud (30m) the support is strong.
Some more up is indicated.
But not after given rules in this thread for today.
So no trade taken.

GFIs1

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  #2534 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Week 15 result

This week had 2 trades - both with stop loss

Weekly result: - 70 points
Points since week 1: - 67

Tough first four months: twice under water result
since January. The system was tested several
times now.

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; April 18th, 2016 at 03:29 AM.
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  #2535 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monday trade

Dax during IB between two clouds: south of 30min and north of 60min.
Strange start with the 100 points gap down in pre open session.
30min cloud now thin - 60min cloud still strong support.
Gap to Friday's low now closed (9:35h).
Expecting green this morning.

Dax long 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 10014
exit @ 10092
result 78 points

IB volume good

GFIs1

"At least again back to field one"


Last edited by GFIs1; April 18th, 2016 at 07:05 AM.
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  #2536 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Wednesday trade

Tomorrow ECB.
Yesterday a rally of nearly 220 points during cash hour.
Volumes quite high all day long.
Good company numbers as well as oil price not rising brings some support.

From the chart: 60min support still here. Weak phase only today. In the daily
chart the cloud is changing (support gone) from 21st to end of April.

Important: ECB decision tomorrow Thursday (13:45)!

Today - with new theme "higher high and lower low": the higher high has been seen - the lower
low is not for today ;-)

Dax short 10:30 to 15:30h

entry @ 10371
exit @ 10401 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

NEW: goal for today: 10266


Last edited by GFIs1; April 20th, 2016 at 07:08 AM.
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  #2537 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Discussion about Weekdays movements in the Dax

My longtime followers here know about the importance about every Weekday for the system
in this thread. Let's see some special reading after 4 years of using the rules:

Normal behavior per day in the Dax morning to early afternoon (before US opens):
Monday: money flowing in - after IB some up movement highly possible
Tuesday: low volume - indecision - eventually following the Monday trend
Wednesday: often a turn in of the two previous day's movement
Thursday: low volume - indecision
Friday: last decisions of the week - higher volume - trend following from Thursday

Abnormal behavior:
In some weeks we see very different volatility sometimes that are totally different to
above mentioned "normality".
Often on Monday nothing special happens. But - zoook! - on Tuesday the price is going
through the ceiling. High volatility with high volume.
And on Wednesday - sleeping day almost all time.
NOW: on Thursday - same thing as on Tuesday. Not speaking about direction. But the
show is going on there. And not on Friday.

Result: If there is a Tuesday with high volume and vola - Wednesday had nothing to bid.
But Thursday comes into play with reaction.

Of course there are special weeks with long holidays like Friday off or Monday off or both.
That affects of course the weekly plan.

Maybe we can learn something of this 4 year experience: to put some weight on special days in
the week that are not expected.

Outlook for the rest of this week from above:
Tomorrow (ECB) some more movement expected. Friday will be the slow day instead!

GFIs1

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  #2538 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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The Weekday results of this Thread

Here comes the update of the Weekday results from 2012 (January) until today.
In the first year 2012 the system was working every day. During 2013 I have seen
that Tuesday and Thursday did not earn real points. Both days were having costs
where the results did not show green.
Thus both days were omitted and on full weeks only Monday, Wednesday and Friday
took part in the game.
Of course there are short weeks or some holidays that influence this Weekday takings.
Here the rules are quite clear about. But on some Tuesdays (first after holiday for example)
or Thursday (last before a long holiday) are respected also. Those days get extra points
when circumstances allow it.

Concentrating first on Monday, Wednesday and Friday the results look like this:

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We can see that Wednesday is normally the best day with this system (short nearly always).
BUT: on those special weeks like mentioned above - we might concentrate on Thursday when
Tuesday is moving real strongly.

GFIs1

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  #2539 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Posts: 3,942 since Feb 2012
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Thursday trade

According to last 2 posts there is a short Thursday trade:

Dax short 9:30 to 11:30

entry @ 10474
exit @ 10459
result 15 points

IB vol good

Attention: ECB day

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; April 21st, 2016 at 05:30 AM.
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  #2540 (permalink)
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fyi:

0745AM/1345CET ECB Announcement
0830AM/1430CET Press Conference

Presser webcast: Webcasts: ECB monetary policy decisions

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