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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #2401 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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xelaar View Post
Even more weird day today - good volume but likely even lower liquidity than yesterday - spread spikes all the time, little gaps all over the place. I had spoken with Baloo trader on Twitter y-day, he mentioned that cash index had like the lowest volume for the long time, while futures were good on volume. Same today, good volume in futures but likely very bad liquidity and probably very illiquid cash index too.

Hi Alex
Thanks for comments - it is very true that year end holds some surprises.
Coming weeks will be even with less volume.
For that the stop loss settings come in handy :-)

Good trades!
GFIs1

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  #2402 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 10591
exit @ 10426
result 165 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

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  #2403 (permalink)
alexk1968
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 10591
exit @ 10426
result 165 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

Congrats!!

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  #2404 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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alexk1968 View Post
Congrats!!

Thanks Alex

Was best trade 2015 in this thread :-)
Looks like we can't see a real year end rally this year.

GFIs1

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  #2405 (permalink)
 JohnS 
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 10591
exit @ 10426
result 165 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

Great trade!

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  #2406 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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This week had three trades

Two positive and one negative

Positive: 91 +165 points
Negative: -30 points
Weekly result 226 points

Points since week 2 now: 489

GFIs1

PS: Interestingly the normally short Wednesday was not working.
But Monday and Friday.

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  #2407 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax long 10:00 to 12:30

entry @ 10373
exit @ 10343 (SL)
result -30 points 4 minutes before being closed

IB vol high

GFIs1

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  #2408 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 10464
exit @ 10494 (in second attempt - first was not filled)
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

10500 resistance did not hold - looks like the year end rally has started...

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 choke35 
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fyi:

FOMC announcement at 2pm ET (2000CET)
Press conference starts at 2.30pm ET (2030CET)

Webcast of the press conference: Federal Reserve, Ustream.TV: Watch the press conference with FOMC Chair Janet L. Yellen live beginning at 2:30 p.m. on December 16, 2015. Captions: http:/...

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  #2410 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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We will see a final triple witch day tomorrow.
With not too much movement as that was already in the days before.

Good trades - or sit on hands :-)

GFIs1

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  #2411 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30 - ATTENTION: New contract!

entry @ 10687
exit @ 10657 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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  #2412 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Today no trade:

Friday was in 223 points range.
This morning a extreme start with 126 points on IB...
with volume over 10K.
Some excessive bullish pushing.

Looking for a Walzer instead.

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #2413 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Today Dax short 10:30 to 15:00

entry @ 10714
exit @ 10657
result 57 points

IB vol LOW (risky trade)

Important: Wednesday will be last trading day this year with closing @ 14:00h
Good trades

GFIs1

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  #2414 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Tomorrow some movements are highly probable.
As Wednesday will end 14:00h the main volume will be tomorrow (if we can speak of volume :-) ).
So a trade tomorrow might make sense. And Wednesday NO trade anymore.

See you tomorrow.
GFIs1

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  #2415 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax looks further bullish on Year's End.

Dax long 9:30 to 16:30

entry @ 10780
exit @ 10833
result 53 points

IB vol 4258 (higher than previous days) can help

GFIs1

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  #2416 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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There will be no wednesday trade:
The bigger move was today with very low volume.
Tomorrow not much to expect.
Not to forget - Dax future market will close 14:00 tomorrow.

So this was the last trade 2015 - Happy New Year all.
Thanks for following!

GFIs1


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  #2417 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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This week had two trades.
Both positive: 57 + 53 points

Weekly result 110 points

Points since week 2 2015:
Yearly result 509 points

Some more year to year comparison in a next post!

GFIs1

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 choke35 
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GFIs1 View Post
This week had two trades.
Both positive: 57 + 53 points

Weekly result 110 points

Points since week 2 2015:
Yearly result 509 points

Some more year to year comparison in a next post!

GFIs1

As always: Thanks for your openness, consistency, and discipline, @GFIs1 !
Plus my best wishes for the new year

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  #2419 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Looking back to 4 years journal

First year with a significant other result:

Year 2012: 1015 points
Year 2013: 1030 points
Year 2014: 1052 points
Year 2015: 509 points

Year 2015 had many trading days with a very high daily range.
Many ups and downs on many news were difficult to trade with the
daily trading system because it blocked trades when vola was too high.
That was the best moment to introduce the Walzer system for high
volatility days. In my other thread

we see the result 2015: 1868 points for one contract.

Points (1 contract) over both systems 2015 published here on futures.io:
GFIs1 Day trading system 2015: 509
GFIs1 Walzer system 2015: 1868
Total 2377 points

Even I had overlooked some Walzer possibilities this year (which now have been
made visible in backtests) I have to be very happy with the yearly total result.

Looking forward to 2016 - with two ways for every situation to see some decent gains.

Happy New Year!
And good trades 2016

GFIs1

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  #2420 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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to @Big Mike for the great platform futures.io here.
Professional and without many disturbing posts!
Keep up the great work.

Wishing you a great 2016 and that many projects may be finished by then

GFIs1

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  #2421 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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New Year beginning strong red...

Dax short 10:30 to 15:00

entry @ 10408
exit @ 10298
result +110 points

IB vol very high (>15K) risky trade

GFIs1

..good start

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 JohnS 
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GFIs1 View Post
New Year beginning strong red...

Dax short 10:30 to 15:00

entry @ 10408
exit @ 10298
result +110 points

IB vol very high (>15K) risky trade

GFIs1

..good start

now that is typical Swiss understatement "good start" Great Start & Good job! Thank you for sharing!

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 ratfink 
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GFIs1 View Post
New Year beginning strong red...

Dax short 10:30 to 15:00

entry @ 10408
exit @ 10298
result +110 points

IB vol very high (>15K) risky trade

GFIs1

..good start

A Very Happy New Year to you.

Travel Well
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  #2424 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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on the new Walzer pattern recognition software here:



Makes REAL screen time much shorter.
Exactly what @ratfink was digging for

GFIs1


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  #2425 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Today the Dax went south of daily Kumo.

Short trade today from 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 10155
exit @ 10125
result 30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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  #2426 (permalink)
ForcefielD
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Dear GFIs1,

It has been a while since I encountered your thread and read up on it, I actually made notes as well when reading through it! I got to page 187 to be precise! And yes, I have encountered lots of questions which already had been answered had they looked at your other previously written pages.

I want to congratulate you on your process of making this system consistently profitable.

As you said already, yes, the profit of 2015 is 50% of previous years.

But that's the thing with statistics, if it were a line of numbers you are missing the right (as in opposite to left) part of it! Namely the years of 2016/2017/2018/2019 to see if it was an exception over an equal time period or if maybe something could indeed be improved.

Luckily you always think about improving and came up with a method to do so.

You have my respect and hope you will continue to provide information in this journal to us!

Regards, ForcefielD

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 GFIs1 
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ForcefielD View Post

As you said already, yes, the profit of 2015 is 50% of previous years.

Luckily you always think about improving and came up with a method to do so.

You have my respect and hope you will continue to provide information in this journal to us!

Regards, ForcefielD

Thanks ForcefielD for the nice remarks.
Last year started not really bad - but in second half some trades did not work during rough markets
as foreseen like in previous times. I admit to have made some mistakes too in choosing
the right rule when things were not really clear in the morning. That produced some negative results too.
In hindsight things were crystal clear.
From my experience a system can perform well over some time and I know of many systems
that suddenly failed to further perform. This is why I was searching for alternatives too.
Happily the 2015 result with both systems together I have to look forward to see new
good times to come. And with it some sort of proof that the systems work under nearly every
condition.

GFIs1

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ForcefielD
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Yes, but this still means you use this system separately and the double V system as a whole 'new' system?
Or are you fusing them together to make one complete system? Or is that your ambition?
Because you have two different journals now, basically are you going to fuse the two or semi-fuse the two or leave them apart as 2 stand alone entities, like I said I have read till 187, maybe you could have answered this already!

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  #2429 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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ForcefielD View Post
Yes, but this still means you use this system separately and the double V system as a whole 'new' system?

Both systems work in their own world. This thread is about normal vola up to 150 points. And the Walzer is for days
that have a previous day range above the 150 points.
There are some special days where both systems may have one (or more) trade(s) on rare occasions.
The Walzer can be automated to work - the one trade per day system has to complicated rules and
programming seems tedious.

I will follow both systems separately - same for journals - especially for comparison reasons.
Hope this helps
GFIs1

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  #2430 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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First week - bad news:
This morning the Dax future came down to 9920 - quite a slump!
Looks like we see here a beginning of a longer correction.
High volume will push prices up and down - can be a danger for the
small traders.

On such days sit on hands (SOH) is not a bad strategy. Until the
new levels are accepted.

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #2431 (permalink)
alexk1968
athens, greece
 
 
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Good morning,

can you please explain me what are your criteria determining your time of entry (if it will be 9:30 or 10:00, or 10:30, or 11:00 for example)? Do you have some standard rules, or just feeling according to the course of the market?

thanks,
alex

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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alexk1968 View Post
Good morning,

can you please explain me what are your criteria determining your time of entry (if it will be 9:30 or 10:00, or 10:30, or 11:00 for example)? Do you have some standard rules, or just feeling according to the course of the market?

thanks,
alex

Hi Alex

It comes all from a written trading plan. For most of the weekday behaviour I wrote the patterns down that showed
up most often. It is out of a mix of previous day data, Ichimoku cloud, gaps, Last of month, IFO data, FED or ECB
decision and upcoming holidays.
The Initial Balance (IB) of the trading day is the base to decide in which direction the trade will go.
But don't get trapped: the IB does not show the direction itself: it depends on the weekday and much more.
SO:
In a certain situation as prescribed - ALWAYS the according entry/exit rule will be applied.
The rule plan is quite long...

GFIs1

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  #2433 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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After a crazy Thursday with second stop on both chinese stock exchanges we could see
some flexibility in the Dax. First a heavy down and suddenly a relief...

But for tomorrow friday I do not see any argument for the bulls.
Be prepared to see some more melting prices before weekend starts.

Good Night
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 10063
exit @ 10002
result 61 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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  #2435 (permalink)
 grausch 
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GFIs1 View Post
After a crazy Thursday with second stop on both chinese stock exchanges we could see
some flexibility in the Dax. First a heavy down and suddenly a relief...

But for tomorrow friday I do not see any argument for the bulls.
Be prepared to see some more melting prices before weekend starts.

Good Night
GFIs1

While I am bearish myself, I suddenly see a lot of bearishness in the markets ,i.e. high put-call ratio, Soros comparing this to 2008, lots of technical indicators hitting oversold levels, etc. It seems like everyone wants to be short right now, which means that short-term we may see some upside.

I have the benefit of posting this after seeing the European markets open today, but I was already hoping for a bounce yesterday. May give me the perfect opportunity to add to my shorts heading into the weekend.

Anyway, great result for 2015 and wish you the best for 2016.

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  #2436 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Trading: Futures
 
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grausch View Post
I have the benefit of posting this after seeing the European markets open today, but I was already hoping for a bounce yesterday. May give me the perfect opportunity to add to my shorts heading into the weekend.

Thanks @grausch

Even this morning started higher - I have to say that some "false moves" are part of the game.
Today I had first to wait for the first IB 9 to 9:30 move to take the best rule for my trade.
And it came out as thought: short.
As the trade has not arrived its final exit - we need to be patient.
Tenor seems short for the next period. NOT to forget about the
weaker numbers for 2015 from the bigger companies made public in
the next few weeks anyway.

Stay tuned
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 positive trades:

110 + 30 +61 points
Weekly result 201 points

Points since week 1: 201

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This morning lower lows but spike up with high volume.
First long Walzer already finished with 152 points in 1 hour.

Dax long 11:00 to 13:30

entry @ 9927
exit @ 9897 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

PS: perfect timing for both trades it seems :-)
Walzer post here:

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 mrblond89 
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Do you have any special rules regarding consecutive walzers?

Just noticed that the bar which invalidated this mornings first pattern very nearly completed another setup (~18 points and not 20). Had it been over 20 would you have flipped straight into another long?

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 GFIs1 
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mrblond89 View Post
Do you have any special rules regarding consecutive walzers?

Just noticed that the bar which invalidated this mornings first pattern very nearly completed another setup (~18 points and not 20). Had it been over 20 would you have flipped straight into another long?


Yes - thanks @mrblond89:

I invented now the "Babushka-Walzer" for such rare occasions.
Which means to follow the second Walzer too for another hour - and from then turn short for one hour.
Today that would have worked and of course given more points - all legs positive

Have posted it in the Walzer thread.

GFIs1

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 mrblond89 
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GFIs1 View Post
Yes - thanks @mrblond89:

I invented now the "Babushka-Walzer" for such rare occasions.
Which means to follow the second Walzer too for another hour - and from then turn short for one hour.
Today that would have worked and of course given more points - all legs positive

Have posted it in the Walzer thread.

GFIs1

Apologies thought I was in the Walzer thread.

Congratulations for the great results, been a pleasure to follow your hard work and success, keep up the good work!

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 GFIs1 
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After a rally last night and during IB - price is too far from reality.

Dax short 9:30 to 13:00
entry @ 10086
exit @ 10016 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high (risky trade)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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GFIs1 View Post
After a rally last night and during IB - price is too far from reality.

Dax short 9:30 to 13:00
entry @ 10086
exit @ 10016 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high (risky trade)

GFIs1

..now we know - THAT was a good sign. Just the timing needed some adjustments

Good trades with the Dax on a slope.
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9753
exit @ 9723 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high

Today mini witch day for Dax derivatives 13:00h

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 stopped out trades

Weekly result -90 points
Points since week 1: 111 (sic!)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Martin Luther King Day

Happy holiday

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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no trade - conflicting rules...

Volume good - volatility high after this overnight gap up.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Delicate situation after a huge drop overnight of 259 points..

Official rule short 11:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9373
exit @ 9378
result -5 points

IB vol high!

GFIs1

Attention: Friday Draghi... might stir up today and tomorrow
add: Speech (Interview) is at the World Economic Forum in Davos Switzerland
and starts Friday 08:45 CET

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 choke35 
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fyi:

0745AM/1345CET ECB Announcement
0830AM/1430CET Press Conference with M. Draghi

The webcast of the conference is
Webcasts: ECB monetary policy decisions

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 GFIs1 
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Thanks @choke35

Yes - of course the normal ECB decision today 13:45 and 14:30 explanations are taking place.

In addition Draghi will have an outlook on the WEF tomorrow which might give some transparency.
Therefore some sentences on difficult questions could tell more about what is going on behind the scenes.

See the special event (webcast live) tomorrow Friday which might influence marktes here :

"Board member:Mario Draghi Event: Participation by the President in a discussion with Lionel Barber at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Time:08:45 CET Venue: Davos-Klosters, Switzerland Contact: ECB Global Media Relations, Tel. +49 69 1344 7455 E-mail:media@ecb.europa.eu
Text:No text will be made available.
Notes: This session will be webcast live on: The Year Ahead: The Economic Outlook for the Eurozone - World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2016 | World Economic Forum
"

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9740
exit @ 9710 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

addendum: as mentioned in @ratfink thread - a SL of 40 points would have survived the tide.
Entry was not best but vola has eaten the stop loss... With a 40p SL - a positive result came out.
I am not looking back...

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 GFIs1 
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Watch here the short video of Draghi Interview on Davos World Economic Forum 2016
from today:

The Year Ahead: The Economic Outlook for the Eurozone - World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2016 | World Economic Forum

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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ratfink View Post
Unlucky timing this morning @GFIs1, they were after you, Friday nearly always a bugger.

No problem so far @ratfink
It depends on your system - to see on which day you make the points.
Maybe you are exhausted with your galloping charts when it finally comes to Friday

As for my statistics on the weekdays - yeah - that is how the rules work here - showing
the actual results for every weekday with the published results in this thread:



As I skipped Tuesday and Thursday since 2013 those weekday results are nearly zero...
But some Tuesdays or Thursdays are still traded, especially before or after holidays.

We can see that Friday is right after Wednesday in the weekday statistic.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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 ratfink 
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GFIs1 View Post
I am not looking back...

You are much better than me at this, all a big part of my FOBW.


GFIs1 View Post
It depends on your system - to see on which day you make the points.

Yes, for your system this works very well. For the wave structure and my system it is not a factor, Dax 'tends' to behave in certain ways on some weekdays, but it is no more than that.


GFIs1 View Post
Maybe you are exhausted with your galloping charts when it finally comes to Friday

Indeed! Although my charts only look galloping because I rarely show the intermediate ones.

My exhaustion is through too much screen time and coupled with a lack of conviction. For many month now my analysis of the Dax has been great, yet I have killed trades worth hundreds of points, simply through lack of self-belief. I am making significant changes this weekend to begin work on this.

Your approach and relaxed style remain an inspiration my friend.

Cheers

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 2 negative trades:

Minus 5 minus 30
Weekly result -35 points
Points since week 1: 76

GFIs1

Looking here at the four Walzer* in the first 3 weeks: Total of 261 points
This shows how volatile the markets were since beginning of the year.
* to see here:

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 GFIs1 
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Today IFO numbers 10:00

no trade taken
1) Volume low (<6k)
2) signal very thin

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9773
exit @ 9803 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

Tonight FED

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9740
exit @ 9710 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good, signal thin

Slight influence of QE of Japan Bank last night

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 2 negative trades - both in stop loss

Weekly result -60 points
Points since week one: 16

Difficult week with bigger announcements (FED, BOJ)
made some waves before and after.
Finally a January is done with not much left

Walzer result for January: 276 points

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 9752
exit @ 9731
result 21 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

PS: looks like movements are normalized again...
That sounds promising for the next weeks.

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9455
exit @ 9490
result -35 points

IB vol high!

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9360
exit @ 9390 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

Very much indecision in the markets

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

One positive +21 points
Two negative (-30 -35) points
Weekly points -44
Points since week 1: -28

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Had one week off - so no trades taken...

The trending down market found a halt - and turned up again.
Lost some Walzers which need to be analyzed though.
The not taken trades here do not hurt - at least there was no
risk

Looking forward what this week might bring.
In the daily chart the low of january @ 9314 as well as Kijun
@ 9428 might be tempting before lower prices may occur.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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After US holiday yesterday - a new trade is foreseen today.

Dax short 10:30 to 15:00

entry @ 9201
exit @ 9131
result 70 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 9247
exit @ 9277 SL
result -30 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

PS: foreseen turn down today did not happen - instead a new Walzer started...

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alexk1968
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 9247
exit @
result

IB vol good

GFIs1

Good morning,

just curious, stop hit at 10:50 (9277 30 pts SL), or SL set at 40 pts? (volume looks good to me..)

thanks,
alex

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 GFIs1 
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alexk1968 View Post
Good morning,

just curious, stop hit at 10:50 (9277 30 pts SL), or SL set at 40 pts? (volume looks good to me..)

thanks,
alex

Today stop @ 30points: Morning up move was strong with much volume. 30 min chart showed some
getting stronger support - so the short scenario was not so sure.
And last the start of a new Walzer was coming up.

Hope this helps
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9416
exit @ 9386 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

PS: looks like prices crosses now supporting Cloud in the 30min...
heading for the lower prices after the correction.

PS II: goal 9190 of this swing

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

One positve +70 points
two negative -30 -30 points
Weekly result +10 points

Points since week 1: -18

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:00

entry @ 9537
exit @ 9544
result shiny 7 points - after a non regular trading morning

IB vol high

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Very bad signal - Eurex halted right after 11:03 and all derivatives are down.
No futures, no CFDs, no Options. ALL down. And even more....
While EUR/USD is heading down.

Such markets are NOT tradeable: All indices have a lag and nothing seems normal.

There is even some discussion on some channels that this "IT problem" was made
to halt the explosive Dax on some level.

Anyway - be alerted by such strange behaviour - man made - from the markets!

Good Trades
GFIs1

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 ratfink 
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I think technical, Xetra is fine.

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 GFIs1 
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Announcement from EUREX

Changed trading times (Restart):
The trading starts after a new plan:
12:25 Pre-Trading BOOK
12:45 Trading Instrument Status OPENING AUCTION
12:50 Uhr Normal Trading

haha....

We only can hope that we get back on the feet!
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Seems like the trading has restarted now...

But be extremely cautious - things may be out of normal behaviour for the rest of the day!

GFIs1

PS: best to close the open trades and stay at the sidelines!
One does not not know what comes next:


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 GFIs1 
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First the not very happy charts during the Eurex dwon time this Monday:



And right after - the resuming trading - down as previewed here:




GFIs1

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 ratfink 
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Leo and Xetra just made normal waves the whole time.

Looks like a consol from which +/- 200 is likely.

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 Evdl 
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I hope you got some points out of it. You were 40+ points ahead when it happend. Or are you still in the position?

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 GFIs1 
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Evdl View Post
I hope you got some points out of it. You were 40+ points ahead when it happend. Or are you still in the position?

YES - I do not interfere with entry and exit times that are important part of the rules.
In fact - today I was online - while normally the trade is sort of "set & forget".
To get a normal longtime result (in this thread 4 years) I will not interfere - even during
exchange problems to have fair results.
My warnings were for some followers to get out when things are no longer normal.

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 GFIs1 
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ratfink View Post
Leo and Xetra just made normal waves the whole time.

Looks like a consol from which +/- 200 is likely.

You are right - the waves were "normal" - but the volume was not :-)
It broke down after EUREX was down.

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 GFIs1 
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Right now @ 13:40h we have less than 34000 futures contracts traded - even the price
is up in the Dax future of exactly 2%!

A normal trading day (like last week) has end of Day a total of around 140000 contracts.
This Monday is out of any normal trading day.

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 ratfink 
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GFIs1 View Post
You are right - the waves were "normal" - but the volume was not :-)
It broke down after EUREX was down.

GFIs1

Strange, I don't see that on Eurex or Xetra. Seems on par with last week, apart from the halt on Eurex.



Cheers

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 GFIs1 
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ratfink View Post
Strange, I don't see that on Eurex or Xetra. Seems on par with last week, apart from the halt on Eurex.

Cheers

Not really happy on the development during the morning:
1) There are missing half hours of trades...
2) The trades done were in volume like in after hours....

Watch missing volumes here:



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 bobwest 
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GFIs1 View Post
YES - I do not interfere with entry and exit times that are important part of the rules.
In fact - today I was online - while normally the trade is sort of "set & forget".
To get a normal longtime result (in this thread 4 years) I will not interfere - even during
exchange problems to have fair results.
My warnings were for some followers to get out when things are no longer normal.

GFIs2

This is both wise (in a long-term view) and impressively ballsy.

Bob.

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 ratfink 
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GFIs1 View Post
Not really happy on the development during the morning:
1) There are missing half hours of trades...
2) The trades done were in volume like in after hours....

Watch missing volumes here:

GFIs1

Yes, that's just the halt and then the recovery as expected, nothing else to see for me.

Xetra stocks and index was normal all the time including strong breadth, likely short covering after taking out last weeks highs, but of course can be anything. I certainly expect strong things in both directions in these areas and times but I think the halt was just a halt and looks like it should. There maybe other Eurex products that have put that exchange under more strain this morning, it will be interesting to see if anything useful gets reported.

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 GFIs1 
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Dax under pressure - south of 30min cloud yesterday and today south of 1h cloud...
January low @ 9314 also killed in first cash hour!

Trade short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9235
exit @ 9205
result 30 points

IB vol high (>10k)

GFIs1

edit 11:30 - left too many points on the table. Entry was much too late.
edit 15:30 - at least some points. To push the yearly result into the green
Finally a good week with only winners

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 GFIs1 
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There is no Friday trade today - once - gap up plus yesterday's hi/lo range.
And third a very high Initial Balance (IB)

It looks still like a bull/bear battle.
Lets see what next week brings:

Important: Monday is the last day of the month:
A trade is foreseen.

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had two positive trades:

+ 7 + 30 points
Weekly result 37 points.
Points since week 1: + 19
again positive for this year

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 GFIs1 
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Last Walzer trade taken was from 17th february

Points since week one: 344

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Walzer thread here:

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 GFIs1 
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Today last of month!
Dax short 09:30 to 16:30

entry @ 9408
exit @ 9438 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol good

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 GFIs1 
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Dax is moving up quite strong.
Today a short is higher risk.

Dax short 11:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9727
exit @ 9757 (SL)
result -30 points

IB vol high

GFIs1

edit: at least the Walzer gave in the same time +50 points:

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alexk1968
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Hi,

this is what I call 'noise is the biggest problem'... 13:00 high 9757, 30 pts SL hit...

bad luck...

thanks,
alex

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 9:30 to 14:30

entry @ 9752
exit @ 9815
result 63 points

IB vol low (higher risk)

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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This week had 3 trades

Two negative (SL) -60 points
One positive + 87 points **
Weekly points: + 27
Points since week 1: + 46

GFIs1

Walzer weekly result + 50 points (1 Walzer)
Points since week 1: + 394

**correction on post above (close 14:30 @ 9839, not 9815)

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 GFIs1 
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Dax undecided last Friday - 30min cloud tested - 60min cloud still supporting.
ECB Thursday,
Triple Witch next week.

Dax short 10:30 to 13:00

entry @ 9757
exit @ 9723
result 34 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

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 GFIs1 
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Dax long 10:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9766
exit @ 9831
result 65 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

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alexk1968
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax long 10:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9766
exit @ 9831
result 65 points

IB vol good

GFIs1

Sorry, but

was your stop not hit at 11:20 (low 9731,5 - 34 pts) or at 11:30 (low 9730,5 - 35 pts)?

thanks,
alex

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 GFIs1 
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alexk1968 View Post

was your stop not hit at 11:20 (low 9731,5 - 34 pts) or at 11:30 (low 9730,5 - 35 pts)?

Hi alex
Was not hit - 40 points stop today and tomorrow (ECB shaking)
and second price was in Kumo before taking the trade as well.
Today until triple witch the stop will be 40 points as the vola
is higher than during normal time.

Good trades
GFIs1

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 choke35 
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fyi:

0745ET/1345CET: Announcement
0830ET/1430CET: Press Conference

Live webcast for the presser:
Webcasts: ECB monetary policy decisions

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 podski 
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600 points range yesterday ... that was a funny one.

@GFIs1 ... I'm guessing you will sleep today ...

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