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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
Started:February 18th, 2012 (07:46 AM) by GFIs1 Views / Replies:263,357 / 2,762
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

Old November 19th, 2014, 04:33 AM   #1731 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Wednesday trade

Dax short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9445
exit @ 9475 SL
result minus 30 points: oops what bulls are strong right now!

GFIs1

Looks like 9470 is some resistance. Could mean that price is coming down today - to take some gains
in the stocks. And from lower level to boost again.

PS: looking back - it was good to have a stop loss today! The up movements are not stopped yet.


Last edited by GFIs1; November 19th, 2014 at 08:23 AM.
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Old November 19th, 2014, 11:20 AM   #1732 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Some new..

..Homework to do:

I can see that around the daily Ichimoku cloud the results are very poor.
Looking back into the past will maybe give some optimizing hints
Could be to omit some trades before and after the cloud.

Needs some time to check that and integrate if necessary.

GFIs1

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Old November 19th, 2014, 02:16 PM   #1733 (permalink)
Mate
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GFIs1 View Post
..Homework to do:

I can see that around the daily Ichimoku cloud the results are very poor.
Looking back into the past will maybe give some optimizing hints
Could be to omit some trades before and after the cloud.

Needs some time to check that and integrate if necessary.

GFIs1

This is the silence before the Storm. Do you have analysis around FOMC meetings, how your result looks like? Maybe it is worth to check... These days could create funny waves, because of the rumors, as I see... So maybe this is not about your chart reading capability, more over the news which are coming.

Just guessing ofc. Never checked the DAX at all to give you better hint...

Cheers

Máté
Full time traderLive journal here
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Old November 20th, 2014, 08:16 AM   #1734 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Weekly overview cont.

As the cloud had been passed without any problem - things (short) have changed fundamentally.
After that upmove some consolidation could take place - still above the cloud.
That bottom to reach is @ 9123.
From form of the cloud this could been hit by next wednesday.
From there the next upmoves are very probable and the scenario mentioned earlier no
longer valid.
Time will tell if there is a year end rallye - if so: on sandy ground.
But we will make the most out of it.

GFIs1

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Old November 21st, 2014, 04:27 AM   #1735 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Friday trade

Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 
Dax short 09:30 to 13:30

entry @ 9557
exit @ 9587 SL
result minus 30 points

Looking for eventual turning point @ 9562 area

GFIs1

..no week with normal signals


Last edited by GFIs1; November 21st, 2014 at 04:57 AM.
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Old November 21st, 2014, 09:09 AM   #1736 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Week 47 result

This week had 3 trades

..all negative with stop loss - thanks to Draghi's preview..
(15 -30 -30 points)
Weekly result -75 points
Points since week 2: 1062

GFIs1

Motto: Don't look back and move on

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Old November 21st, 2014, 01:29 PM   #1737 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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no Monday trade

Due to a rally during a day with no company news but a rose glass put
on the noses of the folks by Mario Draghi and despite all the recent
bad news of recession signs rising we had 229 points in the Dax.
No trade on Monday.

Have a nice weekend
GFIs1

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Old November 21st, 2014, 01:36 PM   #1738 (permalink)
Mate
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Had you made any analysis on trailing? I mean I have statistic for YM. If it is trending hard never had a 50tick or more pullback. So if feel it is trend just move it to 200 tick and close the pc. Maybe it is worth to try to analyze your biggest winner to find the trailing number and set it up to protect chop. I know this is not related for today just asking

Máté
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Old November 21st, 2014, 02:44 PM   #1739 (permalink)
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matevisky View Post
Had you made any analysis on trailing? I mean I have statistic for YM. If it is trending hard never had a 50tick or more pullback. So if feel it is trend just move it to 200 tick and close the pc. Maybe it is worth to try to analyze your biggest winner to find the trailing number and set it up to protect chop. I know this is not related for today just asking

Hi Maté

Thanks for the thoughts!
All the trades taken here are predefined before taken - and have a stop to protect if direction was false.
As it was today...
If a trade is in the right direction and the exit is far away - then no trailing is necessary.
The exit points are the most high profitable moments to get out of a trade and to take the best moment of
higher gain.
Back to stops: Betting on the good outcome has different facettes. It may give a good result.
If not - the stop is there.
In my perception - a trailing stop is great as long you are online to see the movement of your instrument.
Here in the semi automated situation a fixed stop is more evident - I take them as well as the gains without emotions.

GFIs1
..but today moving with the crowd meant being long, staying long and resting long!

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Old November 21st, 2014, 04:59 PM   #1740 (permalink)
Mate
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GFIs1 View Post
Hi Maté

Thanks for the thoughts!
All the trades taken here are predefined before taken - and have a stop to protect if direction was false.
As it was today...
If a trade is in the right direction and the exit is far away - then no trailing is necessary.
The exit points are the most high profitable moments to get out of a trade and to take the best moment of
higher gain.
Back to stops: Betting on the good outcome has different facettes. It may give a good result.
If not - the stop is there.
In my perception - a trailing stop is great as long you are online to see the movement of your instrument.
Here in the semi automated situation a fixed stop is more evident - I take them as well as the gains without emotions.

GFIs1
..but today moving with the crowd meant being long, staying long and resting long!

I do know how you are doing it and how you are trading. My question was only about did you do any analysis to trail. Once again. Just for an example sake:
I have an excel sheet. And I have an analysis for YM if it is moving big (+200tick) than there is no bigger pullback than 50tick. Also I do what picture I should looking for to see this. It is only 3% of the time happening on the YM. Thus I know, if I see a tasty picture, I simply just put away the profit target, and let the price work. If it is fail, most probably fail because it was not a +200tick move. If it is working out, most probablly the trailing wont stop me out.

I am just asking, not pushing anything. I do know that the real issue around these days was not this, it was about the timing with the entry. The market was dilydonging before it has been started to move...

Máté
Full time traderLive journal here
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