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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal


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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

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  #1581 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Market Sniper 88 View Post
Hi GFIs1

I'm sure I read on your journal that you do not take trades when US markets are having holidays? Is that correct?

Cheers

MS

Yes - exactly! Due to low volume on such a day the normal pattern is not there. So the rules can not
be applied.

Happy Labor Day
GFIs1

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  #1582 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Today no trade: US Labor Day

GFIs1

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  #1583 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
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Dax long 09:30 to 14:00

entry @ 9539
exit @ 9539 (SL)
result 0 points

IB vol good

looks like a last boost to 9596 before falling again tomorrow

GFIs1

edit: just back from a meeting: fortunately I moved SL on BE as price was already >30 points above
entry - which is rarely triggered here (and just because of not being around).
The turn on top came earlier than previewed. But this down movement should hold on
for tomorrow - so looking to take some profits then.
Today's high with 9580.5 was not far from above mentioned 9596. The plot is still valid.
Good trades!

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  #1584 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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After labor day we have seen some movements in the Dax:
1) up today as foreseen - but not reaching the peak
2) US came in and did not push higher but let prices drop on all fronts
3) Dax (future) closed @ 9503 (17:30) which is lower than 9512 as a very important marker

Looking at tomorrow:
Today the gap had been closed (good!)
Slip down is on its way - price there is already paved from previous days
Price drop under 9366 are in view within tomorrow's trading day.
So tomorrow's normal Wednesday short is highly probable.
A good starting point for tomorrow could be 9484 or 9455

GFIs1

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  #1585 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Dax short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9532
exit @ 9552 (SL)
result -20 points

IB vol. good

Tomorrow Draghi speech ECB... might shake a bit

GFIs1

edit 10:06 - strange upmove with 14'000 contracts in 6 minutes..
edit 10:56: strong upmove: >29'000 contracts in 30 minutes after news of seize fire for Donbass Ukraine

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  #1586 (permalink)
 Market Sniper 88 
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GFIs1 View Post
Dax short 9:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9532
exit @ 9552 (SL)
result -20 points

IB vol. good

Tomorrow Draghi speech ECB... might shake a bit

GFIs1

edit 10:06 - strange upmove with 14'000 contracts in 6 minutes..

That was a hell of a push higher - the talk of European stimulus seems to have traders excited.

Also noticed talk of Ukraine cease fire.

What ever the reasons, certainly wasn't what i thought was going to happen today!!

Cheers

MS

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  #1587 (permalink)
itradeit
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The question is, is smart money setting up for a move up to 10.000 or more towards 8500?

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  #1588 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
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Interestingly ONLY the Dax made that peak this morning.
As of the ECB Draghi speech which I mentioned - I have set SL quite tight - which helped in this case.

BUT: to see that the Ukrainian Griwna (UAH) versus the EUR or CHF has NOT made any move this
looks likely to be a short excursion to the north...

just my 2 cents

GFIs1

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  #1589 (permalink)
itradeit
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A rather large upthrust maybe in order to short DAX like there's no tomorrow on the way down? The first spike up was high volume but the rest rather low, so maybe it was a markup to fool everyone into that its's heading for 10k now?

If it drops to 9570 or so, then I suspect that's the case.

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  #1590 (permalink)
 GFIs1 
Legendary Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
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Posts: 5,681 since Feb 2012
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itradeit View Post
A rather large upthrust maybe in order to short DAX like there's no tomorrow on the way down? The first spike up was high volume but the rest rather low, so maybe it was a markup to fool everyone into that its's heading for 10k now?

If it drops to 9570 or so, then I suspect that's the case.

10K is not a realistic scenario - looking at the bad numbers around the world, the many military conflicts etc.
Having a look at the Ichimoku daily for the Dax - we see some heavy resistance to the upward.
Can not see this for the next 3 months..

GFIs1 who is now leaning far out of the window

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