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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

  #1511 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Friday trade

No trade today. Yesterday the range was 184 points.
Could consolidate on this evel today a bit.
No strong moves expected though.

GFIs1

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  #1512 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Week 28 result

This week had 2 trades

one negative (SL) -30 points
one positive +85 points
weekly result +55 points

points since week 2: +590

GFIs1

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  #1513 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monday trade


Dax short 10:00 to 12:30

entry @ 9718
exit @ 9748
result minus 30 (was even too late to set a tight stop)

thin signal - tight stop

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; July 14th, 2014 at 04:05 AM.
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Market Wizard
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look out on Wednesday

After a shaky Monday with nearly no volume and a well volumed Tuesday
with a little down my expectations for Wednesday:
1) Sharp downmove possible
2) good to very good volume (maybe the last before summer holidays)
3) 9600 might be let alone ;-)
4) price might drop quite a lot if above scenario is seen... (9350 to 8600 in extremis)
5) from that point the markets will have little volume and will no longer be tradable until mid August

Only some thoughts - no recommendations

GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; July 15th, 2014 at 12:20 PM.
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  #1515 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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looking at volumes

Futures Edge on FIO
Only concentrating on volumes per hour of >15k contracts of the Dax future:

last positive peak was on July 3rd (15:00 to 16:00)
all consecutive - and there were several > 15k were drops!
Today we had from 16:00 to 17:00 a drop with a
volume >15k which can show some change of mind (cashing in).
So we are well positioned for the Wednesday trade:
short of course - depends on time intraday.
We will see details tomorrow.

GFIs1

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  #1516 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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some Ichimoku hints

The above posts say the 9600 is a crucial zone.
That can be seen of the Ichimoku cloud (daily price) at 9608.
If this line is broken some FIRST downmove to 9350 will be obvious.
A second drop to 8650 can happen - of course a reversal near 9600
should be made first.
In the low volume weeks coming - such price dictate may happen
and one should not be to risky to stay in a trade (or trades).
My goal is to skip the last July weeks and the first August weeks
as they normally tend to be flaky for the system.

Good trades
GFIs1

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  #1517 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Wednesday trade

Dax short 10:30 to 14:30

entry @ 9819
exit @ 9849 (SL)
result -30 points

IB >5k
Bottom of Ichimoku cloud is horizontal (daily) from today
means attracting price..
Price might go up in the next hour to 9788 area..

GFIs1

quite a heavy push for Wednesday - looking at the volume
Price still in Kumo - so erratic moves are normal there


Last edited by GFIs1; July 16th, 2014 at 05:56 AM.
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Market Wizard
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Week 29 results

This week had only two trades:

both negative with 30 points SL each
weekly result -60 points
Points since week 2: 530

Due to a technical problem there was no Friday trade. The theoretical result
would make it look not better (plus 3 points)

Price is still in daily Kumo - so some more strange moves are highly possible.

Last year results of the past 6 weeks were much better

Happy weekend
GFIs1

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Market Wizard
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Monday trade

Dax short 10:00 to 11:00

entry @ 9655
exit @ 9645
result 10 points

IB vol ok

GFIs1

left some points on the table
system indication was 30 min too late
a further rush down is highly possible - but timing is not easy to predict


Last edited by GFIs1; July 21st, 2014 at 05:02 AM.
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Market Wizard
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Wednesday trade


Dax short 09:30 to 12:00

entry @ 9790
exit @ 9788
result +2 points WHAT a lame DUCK...

IB good
SL tight

GFIs1

Price still in daily Kumo - cloud on bottom horizontal - Price came back to TenkanSen which sits at 9769


Last edited by GFIs1; July 23rd, 2014 at 06:01 AM.
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