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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
Started:February 18th, 2012 (07:46 AM) by GFIs1 Views / Replies:263,481 / 2,763
Last Reply:15 Hours Ago (02:49 PM) Attachments:173

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GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal

Old June 17th, 2014, 06:39 AM   #1461 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,087 given, 6,197 received


ijcarruthers View Post
Thanks for that yes need to use a trading platform with this facility otherwise need to be by the screen which isn't always possible. Sounds good.
How do you find IB? I completed the application process but read mixed reviews on costs?
cheers

IB is fine - costs are low - choice of products is tremendous.
The opening of an account is a hassle (too many forms) and some
are afraid of the high margins especially with futures.
Those higher margins are ok to prevent traders from gambling.
The platforms are a standalone trading environment (TWS) and
the browser based webtrader. The charting facilities are not
great but complicate.
For the scalpers the booktrader might be an ideal tool though.
If one has to relay on charting with many more than 2 indicators
a chart package is highly recommended.
Fortunately the charts can be linked to IB and trades out of the
charts are accepted for a wide range of charting programs.

GFIs1

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Old June 17th, 2014, 06:49 AM   #1462 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Investor/RT
Broker/Data: IB / DTN
Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,087 given, 6,197 received

Triple witch and the BIG players

This week we can see some strange patterns in the Dax pricing:
No normal orders and volumes but some bigger players coming in during the last days
before triple witch on friday. They are getting out of their June future positions and
push price in the desired direction.
This morning we could see a special action to push price near the 10K position.
Volume over 12K in the first 30 minutes is an extreme number...
The June contract does still have a lot of volume while the September contract is slowly
getting stronger now. My normal change of contract is normally on Thursday before triple witch.
It does not mean a lot as my wednesday trade with the "old" contract" is the last one
anyway.
So have a look at the chart here to understand the bull/bear actions with higher volume
to bring the price into a certain area of importance before half year numbers:

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GFIs1


Last edited by GFIs1; June 17th, 2014 at 06:55 AM.
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Old June 18th, 2014, 04:33 AM   #1463 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
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Wednesday trade


Dax short 09:30 to 15:30

entry @ 9937
exit @ 9952 (SL)
result -15 points

stop tight

GFIs1

looks like the bulls are still here to protect from a drop...
This was the last trade this week and the last June contract.
Next trade on coming Monday!


Last edited by GFIs1; June 18th, 2014 at 05:41 AM.
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Old June 18th, 2014, 05:04 AM   #1464 (permalink)
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Tight stop is 15? thanks

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Old June 18th, 2014, 05:11 AM   #1465 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 

ijcarruthers View Post
Tight stop is 15? thanks

YES

GFIs1

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Old June 18th, 2014, 05:46 AM   #1466 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Week 26 trades

This week had two trades

one positive +3 points
one negative -15 points
weekly result -12 points

points since week 2: 592

GFIs1

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Old June 20th, 2014, 08:19 AM   #1467 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Triple witch result


GFIs1 View Post
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GFIs1

Price for triple witch closed over 10K - at 10016.
Volatility high and volume very weak for the last day compared to previous days.
Most contracts were rolled over before the last day.

Last hour screenshot of June contract: result is only 20 points from above prediction.

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GFIs1

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Old June 20th, 2014, 08:35 AM   #1468 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,087 given, 6,197 received

Next two weeks

Some important movements on end June and first weeks could bring in
some good volatility and on the traded days good points.
Looking back to last year these weeks were very good: 350+ points in 2 weeks

Horizon here now: price rising up to 10333 and falling back again.
Would be nice to see last years results.
From second week in July the volume might go drastically back which prevents
from entering with the normal rules.

Have a great weekend
GFIs1

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Old June 23rd, 2014, 04:33 AM   #1469 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Favorite Futures: Futures
 
Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,087 given, 6,197 received

Explosive start

After the triple witch today the first day of the september contract alone started with
a big down during IB 30 minutes of 120 points.
The interesting moment was 09:15 when some big players dumped within 5 minutes
nearly 8000 contracts which is more in these 5 minutes than during the first 30 minutes
all contracts together.
So we will see for sure some interesting development during the next 2 weeks.
Planning the trade carefully as well as the stops is crucial.

GFIs1

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Old June 23rd, 2014, 04:40 AM   #1470 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Switzerland
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 3,554 since Feb 2012
Thanks: 3,087 given, 6,197 received

June 23 IB


Here a quick overview about the volumes and the according price change on IB:

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GFIs1

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