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Price Forecasting with chaos


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Price Forecasting with chaos

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  #1 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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Hello all,

i am starting a thread to show that price forecasting is indeed possible once we think out of the box. attached is the price forecasting for S&P500 emini for 21 Nov 2011. I will be recording my forecast for a few markets when possible.

Timeframe (T) = Day trade
Trend (T) = Down
Entry (E) = Sell once price breaks 120100
Stop (S) = 121500
Target (T) = 118925, 118950

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ecmf
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Hello all,

as forecast earlier today, S&P500 drop to the level as predicted. attached is the picture.

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Last edited by ecmf; Today at 10:11 PM.

I presume that wasn't to revise your forecast

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ecmf
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DionysusToast View Post
Last edited by ecmf; Today at 10:11 PM.

I presume that wasn't to revise your forecast

Hello DionysusToast,

no, didn't change my forecast. just added that it was for S&P500. you can see the attachment picture was not changed.

thanks for reading

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ecmf
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Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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Pattern recognition models based on linear function does not work well on financial markets. Trying to fit nonlinear markets into a linear model will not have satisfactory outcome.

attached is the price forecast for S&P500 using chaos.

currently it is at 118400

based on the picture, if it goes above 119500, it will range between between 119500 and 120850, but if price breaks below 118075, more down turn is expected.

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ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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attached is the longer view for S&P500, currently it is achieving price equilibrium before making a move downwards. what will come will come and price will move lower to complete the bigger equilibrium.

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ecmf
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Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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ecmf View Post
attached is the longer view for S&P500, currently it is achieving price equilibrium before making a move downwards. what will come will come and price will move lower to complete the bigger equilibrium.

Feel free to predict the price for the bottom of the picture attached in the previous post.












answer : 127075---121550--116025

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 jta3 
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ecmf View Post
Feel free to predict the price for the bottom of the picture attached in the previous post.












answer : 127075---121550--116025


Is there a indicator to download and test on for Ninja.?

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ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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jta3 View Post
Is there a indicator to download and test on for Ninja.?

Thank you for your interest, before we start on the route of indicators, it will be more fruitful to first understand this unconventional concept of price forecasting.

attached is another picture, price has move down below the 1st equilibrium, and we begin the march towards the expected forecast price.

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