NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Price Forecasting with chaos


Discussion in Trading Journals

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one John Chen with 325 posts (330 thanks)
    2. looks_two ecmf with 157 posts (54 thanks)
    3. looks_3 SpartanLTD with 24 posts (14 thanks)
    4. looks_4 Simba with 15 posts (2 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one TheSeeker with 6 thanks per post
    2. looks_two John Chen with 1 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 SpartanLTD with 0.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 ecmf with 0.3 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 129,716 views
    2. thumb_up 508 thanks given
    3. group 52 followers
    1. forum 641 posts
    2. attach_file 503 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Price Forecasting with chaos

  #541 (permalink)
 
chr1s's Avatar
 chr1s 
London, England
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NT, TOS, MT4
Broker: TOS, CQG (NT), FXCM
Trading: ES, 6E
Posts: 435 since Sep 2014
Thanks Given: 1,716
Thanks Received: 670


SpartanLTD View Post
This is a reading comprehension problem! Key words matter. John said "A CLOSE ABOVE" 1,1252...it did NOT close above the number. He said it WOULD REVERSE and go lower...and it did!

I think it is important to recognize that as scarry accurate as the JCharts are that even the "master" could error...but not in this case....better luck next time "Camel"

Hi SpartanLTD, what's your association with the method or John please? Your join date is today and this is your 1st post. I'm not attacking you or anything, just would like to know as you haven't posted in introduction thread nor you have your journal.

Disclaimer: I'm not for or against this method or the creator, I find it interesting enough to read the thread from the start

Thanks
Chris

Consistency over time
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
NexusFi Journal Challenge - April 2024
Feedback and Announcements
Request for MACD with option to use different MAs for fa …
NinjaTrader
My NT8 Volume Profile Split by Asian/Euro/Open
NinjaTrader
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Retail Trading As An Industry
67 thanks
Battlestations: Show us your trading desks!
48 thanks
NexusFi site changelog and issues/problem reporting
47 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
32 thanks
What percentage per day is possible? [Poll]
31 thanks

  #542 (permalink)
SpartanLTD
Quito, Ecuador
 
Posts: 24 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 14
Thanks Received: 14


chr1s View Post
Hi SpartanLTD, what's your association with the method or John please? Your join date is today and this is your 1st post. I'm not attacking you or anything, just would like to know as you haven't posted in introduction thread nor you have your journal.

Disclaimer: I'm not for or against this method or the creator, I find it interesting enough to read the thread from the start

Thanks
Chris

Hi Chris...Association with John? None... ATM...but 9 years ago I was a subscriber to the JCharts and studied John's theory. I had lengthy discussions with John as to the origins of how John produced his forecasts BEFORE Jacky programmed the charts which made the process less tedious for John. When John discontinued his offering of the JChart services/subscription I found it was necessary to ATTEMPT to duplicate it. The fact is ...it can not be duplicated due to several features. The random periods and the jengs which are 2 key features....however...I have learned to adapt without them....sorry John . I can and do analyze 15 currency pairs the DXY , precious metals and Oil in about 20 minutes accurately and I do give credit to John Chen, Jacky and the JChart theory as well as John Nash for his Equilibrium in Game theory for this.

I didn't know I was supposed to post in an intro sections...oh well

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to SpartanLTD for this post:
  #543 (permalink)
 dalebru 
Indianapolis/IN
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: SC, NT, ToS, my own
Broker: EdgeClear
Trading: ES
Posts: 67 since Jan 2013
Thanks Given: 1,035
Thanks Received: 110



SpartanLTD View Post
Hi Chris...Association with John? None... ATM...but 9 years ago I was a subscriber to the JCharts and studied John's theory. I had lengthy discussions with John as to the origins of how John produced his forecasts BEFORE Jacky programmed the charts which made the process less tedious for John. When John discontinued his offering of the JChart services/subscription I found it was necessary to ATTEMPT to duplicate it. The fact is ...it can not be duplicated due to several features. The random periods and the jengs which are 2 key features....however...I have learned to adapt without them....sorry John . I can and do analyze 15 currency pairs the DXY , precious metals and Oil in about 20 minutes accurately and I do give credit to John Chen, Jacky and the JChart theory as well as John Nash for his Equilibrium in Game theory for this.

I didn't know I was supposed to post in an intro sections...oh well

It would be great if you would come in and help explain what John is thinking. I don't agree that it is simply our "reading comprehension problem". I borrowed John's book and read it, but the many examples show seemingly arbitrary groupings to define equilibrium and various base points. Do you really see something here that is substantially different from market profile? And do you think the term" price forecasting"in the title of this thread is more than just hype?

Several of us seem to wonder what John's motivation is. If he wants to teach us, maybe you can help him. Maybe I have a comprehension problem, but thus far it just seems like a tease. I was going to walk away...

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to dalebru for this post:
  #544 (permalink)
 timefreedom 
Indianapolis, IN USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Ninjatrader TOS Custom
Broker: Several
Trading: ES CL ZB
Posts: 374 since Dec 2009
Thanks Given: 226
Thanks Received: 381


dalebru View Post
It would be great if you would come in and help explain what John is thinking. I don't agree that it is simply our "reading comprehension problem". I borrowed John's book and read it, but the many examples show seemingly arbitrary groupings to define equilibrium and various base points. Do you really see something here that is substantially different from market profile? And do you think the term" price forecasting"in the title of this thread is more than just hype?

Several of us seem to wonder what John's motivation is. If he wants to teach us, maybe you can help him. Maybe I have a comprehension problem, but thus far it just seems like a tease. I was going to walk away...

I have watched these posts for years and never have a clue what John is talking about. The charts are not available and the commentary seldom makes sense. It would be great if someone could help explain what John is talking about. Good luck.

Reply With Quote
The following 3 users say Thank You to timefreedom for this post:
  #545 (permalink)
SpartanLTD
Quito, Ecuador
 
Posts: 24 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 14
Thanks Received: 14


dalebru View Post
It would be great if you would come in and help explain what John is thinking. I don't agree that it is simply our "reading comprehension problem". I borrowed John's book and read it, but the many examples show seemingly arbitrary groupings to define equilibrium and various base points. Do you really see something here that is substantially different from market profile? And do you think the term" price forecasting"in the title of this thread is more than just hype?

Several of us seem to wonder what John's motivation is. If he wants to teach us, maybe you can help him. Maybe I have a comprehension problem, but thus far it just seems like a tease. I was going to walk away...

Hi dalebru....

Quoting 
Several of us seem to wonder what John's motivation is.

This is a good question. It can't be money...so I think it is ego.... he has something that is truly unique and it is not remotely "Market Profile" and we can NOT buy it nor subscribe to it....kind of like a little kid on a big playground with a cool toy.... John must be pushing 75 years of age. If he wanted to teach...he should provide the tool, not just after the fact images (as in "See I told you so"). I appreciate his efforts none the less...I do compare my charts with his images and come to the same conclusions . Price gaps (incomplete jengs) ...or Balance Point voids (caves to pave) which were clearly shown for the month of February (strong consolidation) are critical to observe and respect in relationship to retracement targets....nothing arbitrary about that.
I am no teacher, just a doer.


Quoting 
"reading comprehension problem"

I apologize if I offended anyone, I didn't mean to, but it was directed to Camel at that moment...it doesn't hurt to re-read a post THOROUGHLY before passing judgement.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to SpartanLTD for this post:
  #546 (permalink)
 dalebru 
Indianapolis/IN
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: SC, NT, ToS, my own
Broker: EdgeClear
Trading: ES
Posts: 67 since Jan 2013
Thanks Given: 1,035
Thanks Received: 110


timefreedom View Post
I have watched these posts for years and never have a clue what John is talking about. The charts are not available and the commentary seldom makes sense. It would be great if someone could help explain what John is talking about. Good luck.

Hmm! I notice we are both in Indianapolis. What are the odds of that? Maybe it's something in the water.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to dalebru for this post:
  #547 (permalink)
 
LukeGeniol's Avatar
 LukeGeniol 
Italy (IT) Italy
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: ATAS, R|Trader, NT8
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: CL, Brent, GC, TF
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 1,499 since Apr 2010
Thanks Given: 408
Thanks Received: 985

After reading the thread and read some reviews on the web John_Charting method, I have concluded that the only difference is the software. Imho there it is always TPO, but J-Chart can analyze different timeframes of TPO on the same chart in an easy way, plots triangle, support and resistence and POC (equilibrium) line etc. Things that become complicated to do with other platforms.
Anyway it is not true that this method is detached from time, because timeframes for plot the TPOs are at the discretion of the user.
And I do not even believe that behind this method there is chaos theory or energy systems like thermodynamic.
The fact that John has withdrawn it from the market because was too expensive to keep servers for the data to be distributed to potential customers says a lot ......
Anayway I must say that it intrigues me and I'd like to try it, to snatch the possible potential.

Take your Pips, go out and Live.
Luke.
Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to LukeGeniol for this post:
  #548 (permalink)
SpartanLTD
Quito, Ecuador
 
Posts: 24 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 14
Thanks Received: 14


LukeGeniol View Post
After reading the thread and read some reviews on the web John_Charting method, I have concluded that the only difference is the software. Imho there it is always TPO, but J-Chart can analyze different timeframes of TPO on the same chart in an easy way, plots triangle, support and resistence and POC (equilibrium) line etc. Things that become complicated to do with other platforms.
Anyway it is not true that this method is detached from time, because timeframes for plot the TPOs are at the discretion of the user.
And I do not even believe that behind this method there is chaos theory or energy systems like thermodynamic.
The fact that John has withdrawn it from the market because was too expensive to keep servers for the data to be distributed to potential customers says a lot ......
Anayway I must say that it intrigues me and I'd like to try it, to snatch the possible potential.

Hello Luke...

Quoting 
I have concluded that the only difference is the software.

Would you agree that differences in software is critical??


Quoting 
Anyway it is not true that this method is detached from time

When we use a conventional chart platform our period separators (time) are fixed periods...Johns software plots variable periods and I believe that is what he means by..."Random Time" frames...his images do not reflect these periods but he should show this to be clear. These periods are located at the bottom of the chart.


Quoting 
................because was too expensive to keep servers...........

If you look up the costs for a stable/reliable server feed you will see it is NOT cheap ....from 5,000 to as much as 50,000 dollars per MONTH....

Johns' marketing skills and customer service was sorely lacking and so I doubt if he was making enough money to continue to pay for the feed and servers

Reply With Quote
  #549 (permalink)
SpartanLTD
Quito, Ecuador
 
Posts: 24 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 14
Thanks Received: 14

If you want me to, I will try to upload my chart, but it may not make sense. It should look familiar to John...its how he had to do his forecasts before there was Jackie.
This chart indicates that the market will sell €$ from 1,1234 (give or take some points) down to 1,1071

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	€$ 5 mn. OPENING MAY 11.png
Views:	222
Size:	81.0 KB
ID:	182441  
Reply With Quote
  #550 (permalink)
SpartanLTD
Quito, Ecuador
 
Posts: 24 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 14
Thanks Received: 14


I'm going to go out on the limb here and forecast the bounce from 1,1151 back up to the sell level of 1,1234...closing the price gap at the open 1,1207 and trade the Balance Point for Friday at 1,1222.

Maybe John will step in here and confirm or reject my analysis

Reply With Quote





Last Updated on July 4, 2022


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts