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Price Forecasting with chaos


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Price Forecasting with chaos

  #81 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached are 3 charts for day trade, sold at 1.3408 and take profit at 1.3322.

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  #82 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached is the chart for EURUSD, the yellow circle is made up of prices from 23 Nov till 9 Dec 2011.

均衡的完成與破壞就是市場那隻看不見的手運作的方式a
The completion and destruction of equilibrium is how the invisible hand of the market works in the market.

大均衡由無數小均衡透過混沌過程累積而成
Big equilibrium are made up of smaller equilibrium through the process of chaos

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  #83 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


attached is a XAU/USD chart, gold rally from 1595 to 1802 and then the rally fizzle, as shown in the dotted white triangle, the equilibrium is nearly completed and near saturation, most likely gold will move down when price break the EQ 1762.8-1714.5-1666.4.

Edit: attached is another chart, look to sell at around 1740.5, for day trading, special attention must be paid to smaller newer eq and balance point. Pre-market analysis is only for reference before trading begins. For e.g. in day trade, it is possible to buy and exit at 1741 although we have a bearish pre-market analysis.

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  #84 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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attached is a chart which show the effect of resonance in J-Chart, when price reach 1755.8 on 8 Dec 2011, it has the same image point as the previous 2 equilibrium. usually when this happens, resonance occur and there is a high change of reversal which happen in this case. On that day, many traders are lull into a false sense of security when price move past 1747.5, it is a bullish sign and it generate bullish signals in many indicators like RSI. But it is a bull trap it fell almost 52 dollars from 1755.8 to 1703.3, if buy at 1747.5, almost loss of 42 dollars.

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  #85 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
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attached is the latest XAU/USD, as analyzed in previous posts, bearish bias on gold which is playing out now. looking to sell when price breaks around 1703.

Update: EQ1762.8 - 1712 -1661.2 was broken, low was 1660.5. With the breaking of this eq, price should move lower.

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  #86 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached is a chart for China Shanghai Index futures, the trend and the entry prices are easy seen from the chart and it is not impossible to earn a million with sufficient capital in this trade.

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  #87 (permalink)
 jta3 
Copenhagen, Denmark
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Fib Fib and Fib.!
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Can you do the same on other timeframe like weekly, Month.?

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  #88 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


jta3 View Post
Can you do the same on other timeframe like weekly, Month.?

Hello jta3,

thanks for asking and your interest.

J-Chart is not limited by time, it depends on your trading time frame and then we try to find the required equilibrium needed. Your trading time frame will dictate how big or small an equilibrium will be needed.
For e.g in in stock trading we do use larger equilibrium which may consist of 50 days or more.
It is much easier to trade stocks but i don't like to wait for the profit.
It is also easier to see the trend with bigger equilibrium

Hope this helps.

Update: attached is a chart for HTC, the chart shows about 200 days.
The bigger equilibrium shows clearly the trend and the forecast price. For stock, it usually take some time before forecast price is reached.

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  #89 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54

attached is a chart for EURUSD, a temporary low is formed as seen in the eq 1.3858 - 1.3458 - 1.3058 and if it break, price will go down. The lowest significant BP is at 1.3186 and this is a strong indication that the price will go down further.

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  #90 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks Given: 2
Thanks Received: 54


as posted in my last post, EUR/USD has indeed move down further and it has broken through 1.3000 as shown in the chart.

Update: Some thoughts on the fundamentals of euro, IMHO to solve the euro zone problem, the countries have to do the following : 1) devalue euro 2) sell their gold reserves. So it will not be a good idea now to buy both.

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