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Price Forecasting with chaos
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Price Forecasting with chaos

  #71 (permalink)
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EURUSD Trade on 7 Dec 2011

as noted in the previous chart, there are strong resistance from 1.3450 to 1.3480, after a rally up, a sell order (around 516 orders) was done at 1.3450, exited half at 1.3405, the rest trailing stop above 1.3444 . attached is the chart showing the price for today.

Edit: This is a day trade, the rest of positions looking to exit at 1.3370 (BP of the bigger EQ) if price reaches there or 1.3444 (Stop loss) if price retraces back (refer to 2nd chart to see the BP).

Edit 2: stop will be moved to 1.3430 if price break 1.3400

Edit 3: when price moves down near 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3418, looking to close 1/2 of the remaining positions at 1.3372 and looking to close the rest at 1.3330 if price does reaches there.

Edit 4: trailing stop now moved from 1.3418 to 1.3410, if closed 1/2 of remaining positions at 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3401 for the rest (refer to chart 3, showing EQ 13452---13412---13372 and how price is moving towards it to complete the equilibrium)

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1207a.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1207b.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1207c.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 7th, 2011 at 06:57 AM. Reason: added price for exiting rest of positions and 2nd chart
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  #72 (permalink)
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Fat Tails View Post
There is a choice of market profile indicators.

Market Profile by @Vitaliy

https://futures.io/download/ninjatrader-7/indicators/1047-download.html?view


This one is from hegh/hegh2000/ad2r, french developper. No russian blood in there

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  #73 (permalink)
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EURUSD Trade on 7 Dec 2011 Part 2



ecmf View Post
as noted in the previous chart, there are strong resistance from 1.3450 to 1.3480, after a rally up, a sell order (around 516 orders) was done at 1.3450, exited half at 1.3405, the rest trailing stop above 1.3444 . attached is the chart showing the price for today.

Edit: This is a day trade, the rest of positions looking to exit at 1.3370 (BP of the bigger EQ) if price reaches there or 1.3444 (Stop loss) if price retraces back (refer to 2nd chart to see the BP).

Edit 2: stop will be moved to 1.3430 if price break 1.3400

Edit 3: when price moves down near 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3418, looking to close 1/2 of the remaining positions at 1.3372 and looking to close the rest at 1.3330 if price does reaches there.

Edit 4: trailing stop now moved from 1.3418 to 1.3410, if closed 1/2 of remaining positions at 1.3372, trailing stop will be moved to 1.3401 for the rest (refer to chart 3, showing EQ 13452---13412---13372 and how price is moving towards it to complete the equilibrium)

Price reached 1.3372 and 1/2 of the remaining position are closed and the trailing stop was move to 1.3391 when was hit a while ago, therefore all positions are closed. attached is the chart. from the chart, all positions should be close at the 1.3358 due to the perfect EQ 1.3390 - 13374 - 13358.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1207-3.gif  
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  #74 (permalink)
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SARdynamite View Post
This one is from hegh/hegh2000/ad2r, french developper. No russian blood in there

hello SARdynamite,

the charts shown are not based on Market Profile, please read theSeeker's link in post 30 for more details and my uploaded notes.

Hope this help.

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  #75 (permalink)
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EURUSD 8 Dec 2011

attached are the charts for EURUSD during the ECB announcement, in chart 1 a price forecast was done before the ECB rate cut and price was 1.3404-1.3408.

Chart 2 was the chart after ECB rate was announced.

In chart 3 if price breaks 1.3310, it will go down to 1.3250

Edit: This shows that outside event does not affect the outcome of an equilibrium instead it contribute to the completion of an equilibrium. AN equilibrium is akin to the invisible hand of the market.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1208a.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1208b.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1208c.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 8th, 2011 at 11:04 AM.
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  #76 (permalink)
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EURUSD-2 8 Dec 2011

attach is the chart showing the perfect EQ 13466-13400-13333 which is now broken and price should move lower to complete the bigger equilibrium around 13250.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1208d.gif  
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  #77 (permalink)
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EURUSD-3 8 Dec 2011

attached is the updated chart for EURUSD, if price break 1.3256 and if ES break 124350 - 124200 (about 10-12 pts away currently), it may be the start of a new down trend.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1208e.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 8th, 2011 at 12:17 PM. Reason: corrected the ES value range
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  #78 (permalink)
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TX 9 Dec 2011

attached are 2 charts for Taiwan index futures, by finding the equilibrium on the day, trade can be done once the eq is broken. The break of eq offers the best entry compared to using other conventional indicators. Trade can even be done without any historical data, just need to find the equilibrium in real time and observe how price moves with the "invisible hand of the market".

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Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-tx1209a.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-tx1209b.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 9th, 2011 at 01:37 AM.
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  #79 (permalink)
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CSI 9 Dec 2011

attached is a chart of CSI 300 China Index futures, as shown on the chart, if an equilibrium can be clearly found, it is not hard to enter into a trade. just follow the eq especially when it break. Price has broken 2549 and it will go down further.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-csi1209a.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 9th, 2011 at 03:31 AM.
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  #80 (permalink)
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EURUSD Day Trade on 9 Dec 2011


attached is a chart for a day trade based on price forecasting, buy order was trigger around 1.3326 (price move about BP 1.3322) and take profit was at 1.3366 as forecast on the chart.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1209a.gif  
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