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Price Forecasting with chaos


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Price Forecasting with chaos

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  #161 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

Here is another 2 more charts, from the first chart we have a trade

Time Frame = intraday
Trend = up
Entry = above 12776
Stop = below 12722
Target = 12847

The 2nd chart shows that it will have been a successful trade

Attached Thumbnails
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ID:	59513  
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  #162 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received


ecmf View Post
With reference to this post 158, if price break above 12719, it will pave the dotted yellow rectangle. The equilibrium 12665 - 12742 - 12819 is decisive.

Sorry for typing too fast, price should break above 12819 instead of 12719, it was correct in the original post 158.

As of now, price as indeed broke up through 12819 and it is now paving the dotted yellow rectangle.

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  #163 (permalink)
 kbit 
Aurora, Il USA
 
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ecmf View Post
Sorry for typing too fast, price should break above 12819 instead of 12719, it was correct in the original post 158.

As of now, price as indeed broke up through 12819 and it is now paving the dotted yellow rectangle.


I haven't read a lot of your thread here but it seems pretty good.
I just had a couple questions....do you have projections on where price will end up ?
I have 1.2844 as a resistance level...do you expect that to hold or get taken out or no opinion ?

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  #164 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received


kbit View Post
I haven't read a lot of your thread here but it seems pretty good.
I just had a couple questions....do you have projections on where price will end up ?
I have 1.2844 as a resistance level...do you expect that to hold or get taken out or no opinion ?

Hello kbit,

many thanks for your interest and your question.

Price is random but we will know what to expect when an equilibrium is broken and not before that. The current bigger equilibrium is 12660 - 12790 - 12920 and as shown in our previous posts that price will pave the dotted rectangle once it went above 12819 and it is now doing actually that.

The attached chart 2 show that the current BP 12818 is lower than the previous BP 12828. If price break below 12818 it will paved the lower green dotted rectangle but if it break above 12847, it will pave the upper yellow rectangle.

Hope this helps.

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  #165 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

For the retracement, euro continued it downtrend. Attached is the chart showing a potential trade.

Time frame = intraday
Trend = down
Entry = below 12818
Stop = above 12828
Target = 12687 (we can and should use trailing stop to max our profit taking)

Update:
new eq: 12672 - 12652 - 12632 so move stop to 12672

Update 1:
new eq: 12623 - 12652 -12681 since previous stop is 12672, keep it.

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  #166 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

with this continued downturn of eurusd, the pair should go down further as mentioned in this post 150

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  #167 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

after yesterday slow session due to US holiday, market activity picks up again and again we have a buy opportunity as shown in the chart.

Time Frame = Intra day
Trend = up
Entry = above 12713
Stop = below 12668
Target = around 12804

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  #168 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

After the buy opportunity, a chance to sell comes along below 12780. The last 2 BPs are at 12780.

Time = intra day
Trend = down
Entry = below 12780
Stop = above 12817
Target = trailing stop

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  #169 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received

The chart show what is the "invisible hand of the market doing" for EURUSD, the big trend is still bearish and it is now building up the upper part of the current equilibrium before continuing the down trend.

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  #170 (permalink)
ecmf
Singapore
 
 
Posts: 159 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 2 given, 49 received


Trade taken for today, refer to the chart. This is a scalping trade while price is paving as noted in the previous post.

Time frame = intra day
Trend = side way (paving)
Entry = sell below 12766
Stop = above 12786
Target = before 12734

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ID:	59886  
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