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Price Forecasting with chaos
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Price Forecasting with chaos

  #111 (permalink)
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EURUSD Day Trade on 23 Dec 2011

The main trend for EURUSD is still down but as shown in the chart there are opportunaties for counter trend trade as shown in the first chart.

EQ13042-13048-13054 was formed, also the BP is higher compared to the previous BP13042 and BP13020 which now act as support levels.
so when price went above 13054(breaking the eq), a buy was done which will be a high probability trade with 3 support levels and including BP13048
Target price will be around 13091 and stops will be trailed as price move in our favour.
Price should be filling up the dotted rectangle before making a move down. Also the 2nd chart show resonance due to eq12991-13042-13093, as there are 2 eqs showing the same point, it is highly probable that price may reach 13091-93.

Time frame = intra-day
Trend = up (once break 13054)
Entry = above 13054
Stop = below 13034
Target = around 13091

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1223a.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1223b.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 23rd, 2011 at 04:36 AM. Reason: wrong charts uploaded.
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  #112 (permalink)
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Resonance area

ecmf,

Congratulations for your very informative thread.
I have one question regarding potential targets for EURUSD.

Basically,from what I have understood,there could be a target at 1.2899 by symmetry of 1.3197(Wednesday´s High)---1.3048(yesterday´s Balance point mentioned by you)---1.2899(projected target low).

Additionally,by using your previous Balance point of 1.3042,and projecting from the same day High(Wednesday),we could find a target at 1.2887.

Could we consider 1.2887-1.2899 a valid resonance area target?

Thanks in advance and Regards
S

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  #113 (permalink)
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EURUSD Day Trade2 23 Dec 2011


After the counter trend trade in the previous post, price continue to the downside and again there is chance to sell.

As the attached chart shown, the high was 13070-78 which is a resistance level giving us a chance to sell,

Time frame = intra-day
Trend = down
Entry = about 13070-78
Stop = above 13093
Target = around 13044

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1223d.gif   Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1223e.gif  

Last edited by ecmf; December 23rd, 2011 at 06:09 AM.
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  #114 (permalink)
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Simba View Post
ecmf,

Congratulations for your very informative thread.
I have one question regarding potential targets for EURUSD.

Basically,from what I have understood,there could be a target at 1.2899 by symmetry of 1.3197(Wednesday´s High)---1.3048(yesterday´s Balance point mentioned by you)---1.2899(projected target low).

Additionally,by using your previous Balance point of 1.3042,and projecting from the same day High(Wednesday),we could find a target at 1.2887.

Could we consider 1.2887-1.2899 a valid resonance area target?

Thanks in advance and Regards
S

Hello Simba,

thank you for asking and your interests.

Currently the market is paving the area above 13020 and the balance point WILL CHANGE through this paving process, until we see market starting to move down then we can be sure that the NEW balance point is valid and can be used as the center for new equilibrium.
we obtained the large balance points (by combining) to get 12850 But 13042,or 13048 are temporary balance points which will be changed through the paving process.
Therefore we will have to wait for the paving process to complete and price start to come down before we can analyze further.

Hope this is helpful.

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  #115 (permalink)
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EURUSD Day Trade Target Hit


ecmf View Post
After the counter trend trade in the previous post, price continue to the downside and again there is chance to sell.

As the attached chart shown, the high was 13070-78 which is a resistance level giving us a chance to sell,

Time frame = intra-day
Trend = down
Entry = about 13070-78
Stop = above 13093
Target = around 13044

Trade was closed as price drop to target price.

Edit: Getting out of the trade when price hit forecast price is one of the way to exit a trade, we can also use a trailing stop. Using a trailing stop will maximize the profits.


Last edited by ecmf; December 23rd, 2011 at 11:23 AM.
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  #116 (permalink)
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EURUSD Chart 23 Dec 2011

attached is a chart done after the close of market on 23 Dec 2011. The eq 13195-13070-12945 will be important in the following days. The lower part is fairly saturated and price may pave the upper part before continuing the down trend.
If price do pave the upper part first, the drop will be delayed but it will be inevitable that price will drop lower. If price does not pave, it will fall first and it may take a while before going back up to fill up the upper part.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1224a.gif  
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  #117 (permalink)
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CL Chart 26 Dec 2011

attached is a chart for CL done yesterday 26 Dec 2011. As can be seen in the chart, price is currently paving the upper half of the eq 8917-9625-10337. Price will be moving within this eq and for now support can be found at 9271 and resistance at 10060 as shown by the dotted horizontal lines.
As the upper half of the EQ is fairly saturated, high chance for price moving to the downside.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-cl1226.gif  
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  #118 (permalink)
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CSI 27 Dec 2011

Today was a challenging day trading CSI as the market was in zigzag. Price went down at the open before turning around and then went down again back to near the opening.
The chart show how by following the intraday eq as they are being formed, we can follow the invisible hand and prevent getting suck into the fake rally.

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-csi1227a.gif  
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  #119 (permalink)
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CSI Day Trade 27 Dec 2011

Even though it is a tough day to trade CSI due to the zigzag behaviour today, a trade was done as shown in the attached chart.

Trading Time = intrda-day
Trend = down trend (price reverse from resistance at 2364 and not able to break above eq2364-2356-2348)
Entry1 = below 2364
Stop1 = above 2383

Entry2 = below 2348 (add positions)
Stop2 = above 2364

Target = around 2320 (actual low was 2319)

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-csi1227b.gif  
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  #120 (permalink)
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EURUSD Day Trade 27 Dec 2011


This is a trade that was done earlier, the chart show a eq13017-13048-13079, a trade was done when price move above 13048 which act as support, there are also support at BP13020, BP13042 and now BP13048 which shows a temporary uptrend.

Trading Time frame = intraday
Trend = uptrend
Entry = above 13048
Stop = below 13038 (stop move to BE when price move above 13070)
Target = 13079

Attached Thumbnails
Price Forecasting with chaos-eurusd1227a.gif  
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