EUR/USD has been moving within a range for the last few days, an analysis using 90 days of data (9/21 - 12/19) is done and attached.
as can be seen from the chart, price has been moving within equilibrium 13083-13014-12945, the equilibrium is almost fully saturated in the lower part and there is a chance that price may move up to fill up the upper tip of the equilibrium before resume the down trend.
Once 12945 is broken, a new down trend will start and price will move to around 12850
At this point it is harder for price to move up to fill up previous equilibrium with BP13183 due to resistance at 13063 and 13083.
For now support can be found around BP12981 and resistance at BP13065-68.
attached are charts showing a day trade taken a while ago when EUR/USD made the move up, a buy order was executed when price is above BP 13006 due to expected resistances at 13063 and 13081, the order was close at around 13063.
This trade was done by just using the current day data and limited historical data, this is important as it demonstrate the effectiveness of J-Chart in following the invisible hand of the market.
with the strong upmove after posting my last chart, here is an update on EURUSD.
Earlier on when price hit 13083, there was an immediate reaction of price dropping. However that is not the signal to sell, this is because for equilibrium 13083 -13070 - 13057, price did not break 13057, it only retrace up till 13059. a sell should only be done when we see a lower BP and breaking 13056. indeed price move up strongly after hitting 13059.
as shown in the chart, when price move up and breaking 13083, that will be the signal for a buy. however it is unlikely that price will be able to move up to 13170 due to the daily range left.
after a strong push up, price reverse and there was a sell down, this is shown in the attached chart below, where if a sell was done when price drop below 1.3105, it is good for about a quick 40 pips profit, price drop to near S2 (around 1.3062).
Trading Time = Intra-day
Trend = Down
Entry = Break of 1.3105
Stop = above 1.3131
Target = 1.3076/1.3064
Attached is a chart for 22 Dec 2011, as shown in the chart, price are now filling up equilibrium as shown in the dotted rectangles.
Price will consolidate and pave the cave for a while because the EQ 12945-13114-13083 took quite few days to formed and the lower part of it is already fairly saturated.
Price will need to build up enough above 13020 to move down through the saturated lower part of the EQ.
Last edited by ecmf; December 22nd, 2011 at 07:33 AM.