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The PandaWarrior Chronicles

  #1091 (permalink)
 
Silver Dragon's Avatar
 Silver Dragon 
Cincinnati Ohio
Legendary Master Data Manipulator
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: TastyWorks / NT
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PandaWarrior View Post
A friend told me recently that trading no longer fascinated him. He's been trading for 20 years and has some really big wins under his belt. Instead, he intimated that the lifestyle that trading related activities provided him was his passion. In other words, trading was something that allowed him to do what he loved away from trading.

This is not the first time I have heard this. The guy that got me into trading said basically the same thing. He said the first couple of years trading would be an obsession then you would start making money with a defined edge and then over time trading would become boring while the lifestyle you dreamed of took the place of the passion you once felt for trading. This is assuming you have something to live for outside of work. Otherwise just work 24/7.

I admit I fall into this category. I like trading. I like many things about it. However, what I love about it is the ability over time to indulge and follow my other passions which require money but do not produce it.

So can you be successful doing it like this despite what the TED talk said? I think so. Passion is what counts. If you need to do something that produces income to pursue the passion that doesn't, then be really good at it so you can fully indulge yourself away from that income source.

I might be on the wrong track here but I do think this is possible. I know at least two people that do it.

Good luck on your journey and thanks for reading.

This hit home for me. I love trading and the markets more than any other work I have ever done. I could watch it full time and never be bored. My goal is to get to the point to do the other things I like to do and have the time to do it. I took your advice from another post and wrote down my goals. I read them every morning to remind myself why I am doing this and where I am going. Discipline and focus.

Thanks for posting!
Robert

nosce te ipsum

You make your own opportunities in life.
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  #1092 (permalink)
 
PandaWarrior's Avatar
 PandaWarrior 
In the heat
 
Experience: None
Posts: 3,165 since Mar 2010
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
Started this thread
  #1093 (permalink)
 
tderrick's Avatar
 tderrick 
Nashville, Tennessee
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninja / Jigsaw / 9G
Broker: AMP / CQG
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PandaWarrior View Post
Hey buddy, I love ya to death but that's classic Keynesian economics that's failed us for the most of the last century. Its an experiment that's failed.

Thomas Jefferson: “The central bank is an institution of the most deadly hostility existing against the Principles and form of our Constitution. I am an Enemy to all banks discounting bills or notes for anything but Coin. If the American People allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the People of all their Property until their Children will wake up homeless... ”

Anyway, I stuck the video here on my thread not to discuss its merits but to have a place where I can always find it.....I don't want to hijack my own trading journal with economics.....I posted the video in the off topic area as well. W can discuss it there.

I would love to meet me some Tom Jefferson This country would never have gotten off the ground without him
and Ben.

All their concepts are still viable.


AJ
Nashville, Tennessee


"Life On The Edge of SR"
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal
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  #1094 (permalink)
 syxforex 
British Columbia
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NINJA
Broker: ZEN
Trading: Crude
Posts: 1,091 since May 2010

Not hijacking here... but just wanted to say the dark/middle ages were also time of Austrian economics. Austrian economics does not negate the business cycle, that is nature. Austrian economists would call for doing nothing during times of depression. Keynes would call for investment in infrastructure, not as a model for a capitalist economy, but as a way of kick starting an economy that is failing. Monetarist would call for printing money. How can you say Keynesian economics has failed. The military is a perfect example of how it works. Ultimately that's what got the US out of the last depression. If you want free enterprise, you are going to have business cycles, Austrian economics doesn't have a way of managing the crises that come with it...

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  #1095 (permalink)
 
PandaWarrior's Avatar
 PandaWarrior 
In the heat
 
Experience: None
Posts: 3,165 since Mar 2010
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I was expecting a somewhat muted day today based on my perception the daily chart is showing upside exhaustion, however, still willing to trade long if the set ups were there.

Total range was less than 100 ticks top to bottom for the globex which means I get real aggressive with getting stops to break even.

The first series of trades all resulted in BE trades. Yes had I not went BE, then the first trade would have paid eventually and I would have been done much earlier. However, my trade plan calls for BE at 1XR so I honor that consistently.

After the open, we traded in a 20 tick range for quite a while with some resistance at the HOD level. There were two set ups I liked which I took with max size permitted under my money management plan and was able to take profit at the trading plan levels both times.

The size plus trade plan exits resulted in reaching daily goal x 2 and before my trading hours were up. Time to quit.

Had those two trades resulted in BE trades, I would have called it quits for the day and marked it as a scratch.

Trading multiple time frames puts the edge firmly in your favor and you can trade with confidence knowing there is an edge there. Of course each trade is a 50/50 coin flip but playing the odds means profitability over the long term.

Price may run one direction or the other later in the session but that's ok. Trade plan executed with near perfection today. That is what we are called to do as traders, execute a trade plan and let the results speak for themselves.

I watched a documentary about black jack players that were all card counters. They did well for themselves even through a long draw down period. They kept saying over and over again, play the odds long enough and you will win assuming you have a statistical edge. Each hand is a crap shoot but do something long enough and a pattern will emerge. They returned 35% annually to their investors doing nothing but playing the odds.

This means being comfortable with total uncertainty, being willing to pull the trigger every single time a trade presents itself with the right conditions and being willing to abandon the fate of that trade to the market.

Time to take my kid to school....cheers


Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
Started this thread
  #1096 (permalink)
 
PandaWarrior's Avatar
 PandaWarrior 
In the heat
 
Experience: None
Posts: 3,165 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 6,329
Thanks Received: 13,405

All daily intermediate support levels broken last few days. Looking for shorts only. Waiting for the charts to get in sync before shorting.

Once I started getting a red bar on the 10M chart, I knew it was time. 1M level was broken, 5M was screaming, time to short......

Went short first trade with max size looking for a conservative exit. +15 ticks. The reason for the conservative exit was I look for a retest of the break down area after the impulse leg and I wanted out of the trade if the retest turned into a break higher.

The impulse leg was tested, got a minor trend line break and I went short max allowable size. This time I knew we'd probably see a flush out down to some daily support but truthfully did not expect what happened. I moved my target down to +50 ticks expecting it to take some time to get there. Instead, I basically blinked and my target was filled. Nice when that happens of course but it does contribute to unrealistic expectations for other trades.

+65 ticks today and time to go be daddy at least for an hour before the princess heads off to violin practice.

Cheers...


Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
Started this thread
  #1097 (permalink)
 
tderrick's Avatar
 tderrick 
Nashville, Tennessee
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Ninja / Jigsaw / 9G
Broker: AMP / CQG
Trading: NQ, YM and ES
Posts: 1,588 since Sep 2010
Thanks Given: 4,260
Thanks Received: 2,532


PandaWarrior View Post
All daily intermediate support levels broken last few days. Looking for shorts only. Waiting for the charts to get in sync before shorting.

Once I started getting a red bar on the 10M chart, I knew it was time. 1M level was broken, 5M was screaming, time to short......

Went short first trade with max size looking for a conservative exit. +15 ticks. The reason for the conservative exit was I look for a retest of the break down area after the impulse leg and I wanted out of the trade if the retest turned into a break higher.

The impulse leg was tested, got a minor trend line break and I went short max allowable size. This time I knew we'd probably see a flush out down to some daily support but truthfully did not expect what happened. I moved my target down to +50 ticks expecting it to take some time to get there. Instead, I basically blinked and my target was filled. Nice when that happens of course but it does contribute to unrealistic expectations for other trades.

+65 ticks today and time to go be daddy at least for an hour before the princess heads off to violin practice.

Cheers...




tradin' like a Rock Star,
tradin' like a Rock Star.....

You sure sound like a pro when you speak now, Brian .... Good job


AJ
Nashville, Tennessee


"Life On The Edge of SR"
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal
  #1098 (permalink)
 
plethora's Avatar
 plethora 
Los Angeles, CA
 
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Broker: Rithmic
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monpere View Post
Man alive! Do you write romance novels when you're not trading?


tigertrader View Post
I've been writing like this ever since I left (or rather, was asked to leave) the yeshiva for reasons shrouded in great secrecy and mystery. I got an adjunct position at a community college to support my six children, various habits, and other predilections. I taught Kaballah and other religious studies, and since my medications no longer worked, the "visions" that I thought I was having turned out to be just the consequence of drug interactions. I've often thought about pursuing a doctorate in literature, but instead I've been deconstructing rap lyrics using a post-modern paradigm, but continue to have trouble understanding some of the deeper symbolism within these texts. Apparently, this is not au contraire to monpere, oui?

No romance writing here; more like a wonderful and riveting memoir.

  #1099 (permalink)
 
PandaWarrior's Avatar
 PandaWarrior 
In the heat
 
Experience: None
Posts: 3,165 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 6,329
Thanks Received: 13,405

As I mentioned a few days ago, I won a trading journal/spreadsheet from @mattz at Optimus Trading Group. I promptly forgot about it until today.

I've kept them in the past and like all good things, I have gotten lazy about keeping my stats. Matt at Optimus has been talking to me about making my trading more like a business and I realized today that I have neglected this aspect of my trading for a while.

So I decided to take my trades from last Monday through today and manually input them. I chose last Monday because that's when I really began looking for confluence between MTFs in a manner that reflects live trading. The two weeks prior to this were just experiments to see if I could see it all happening real time. I also made some minor modifications to my trading chart as well from a 2M to a 1M during this time as well.

The first few days were tough. I had some mental errors, some money management mistakes and a couple exit mistakes. That being said, as I began to get more comfortable with it, the performance began to improve and my winners started to overtake the losers in terms of profit.

The data in the pic is NOT what I expected to see. My win rate is quite a bit lower than what I thought I was running. Also, my profits were derived from fairly large winners in terms of dollars. This was accomplished with both size and distance. The larger winners were due to size and couple were due to runners. Seems like I need some of both.

The spreadsheet will track a bunch of other things that I have not put in but going forward, I can input the set up, trend vs counter trend, day of week and a few other things that may or not be important.

Since I'm doing far fewer trades than I used to, inputting them should be less of a chore than it was before.

I will try to post the summary every day if I have time.


Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
Started this thread
  #1100 (permalink)
 
Rad4633's Avatar
 Rad4633 
Greensboro NC
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS/ NT Dorman
Trading: ES TF CL
Posts: 1,357 since Sep 2011
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PandaWarrior View Post
As I mentioned a few days ago, I won a trading journal/spreadsheet from @mattz at Optimus Trading Group. I promptly forgot about it until today.

I've kept them in the past and like all good things, I have gotten lazy about keeping my stats. Matt at Optimus has been talking to me about making my trading more like a business and I realized today that I have neglected this aspect of my trading for a while.

So I decided to take my trades from last Monday through today and manually input them. I chose last Monday because that's when I really began looking for confluence between MTFs in a manner that reflects live trading. The two weeks prior to this were just experiments to see if I could see it all happening real time. I also made some minor modifications to my trading chart as well from a 2M to a 1M during this time as well.

The first few days were tough. I had some mental errors, some money management mistakes and a couple exit mistakes. That being said, as I began to get more comfortable with it, the performance began to improve and my winners started to overtake the losers in terms of profit.

The data in the pic is NOT what I expected to see. My win rate is quite a bit lower than what I thought I was running. Also, my profits were derived from fairly large winners in terms of dollars. This was accomplished with both size and distance. The larger winners were due to size and couple were due to runners. Seems like I need some of both.

The spreadsheet will track a bunch of other things that I have not put in but going forward, I can input the set up, trend vs counter trend, day of week and a few other things that may or not be important.

Since I'm doing far fewer trades than I used to, inputting them should be less of a chore than it was before.

I will try to post the summary every day if I have time.


Quick question does Mattz percent of winners differ from NT as I would assume they would be the same, I understand Mattz has alot more input for data etc. Just curious on % number as that is exactly what I was just posting in my journal that everyone needs to pay attention to % along with R2R

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