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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets
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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

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Heavy volume around the breakout from this morning. This may get the return to retest.

 
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Switching to entry ready mode

 
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Already in and out too fast to post an image. I scalped an entry at 100.38 for 33 ticks


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I have not traded crude for awhile, not feeling 100% today. This may run, but I would be more likely to take a trade into the 2pm EST time window. I missed the entry I thought about earlier, when I posted something about an "area of interest", but hesitated and crude decided to be stingy about giving me something I was looking for.

 
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The entry occured at the 38% retracement of today's bounce. Volume came in slightly and showed there were other traders watching that area as well, so I took the scalp and was ready to bail at around 18 ticks south, but got zero heat that time.

Looking at the 15 minute chart, this market could still find some resistence and I am feeling a little disoriented, so I may keep my scalp in my pocket and see what happens.

 
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After the trade, would have been a great run.

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Caught 33 ticks of a 100 tick+ move... Oh well. My entry was beautiful, my exit was fear based. It happens. Being out of practice can really make me doubt myself sometimes.

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I may fade this. Not my favorite entry, but am seeing something different. Watching for a retest.

Here's the logic; The stops from this morning are mostly blown. There was a very impressive stopping volume bar at the high of this move, and the initial reaction this morning was down.

This is a tough trade, so I will likely pass, and the 2pm dash is about to occur, so that may mean a lot of conflicting motion headed into the cloe, which makes stops hard to place. But, I am keeping my eyes open for a fade anyway.





1:56pm addition:


I missed the fade. I was again waiting for a DC test and did not get it.

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Last edited by GaryD; December 7th, 2011 at 02:58 PM.
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Stopping volume

 
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This trade has two distinct purposes. The first, I was looking for a long trade in crude oil today, and just noticed the move down this morning hit a very tight confluence zone between 99.60 and 99.80 in the chart above. It makes sens as a reward to risk trade, as crude hit that zone this morning, then had a hard reversal back up above the prior hig, then pulled back to the minor LSP (yellow horizontal line at 100.20.


The second, it is night time in the US and I am working through some issues I have about trading over night. My entry is in the half-sized contract of crude, QM. Volume is nearly impossible for me to read at night, so I am going purely by the price action earlier today. It is not something I could say I believe is "higher rated", because these are not my normal trading conditions. But it is something I am working though in my trading, and the trade fit my view of what makes sense.


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