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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets
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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

  #3511 (permalink)
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There are days when I just wait for the market to align with me, or me with it. Today was one of them. I took a couple trades, one short for a loss, the other long for a win, net -1 tick. And then I just sat and watched, did other things too besides trade, but I was aware of the movement the rest of the day.

CL made it back up to test the prior 60m high, and then could not hold it, falling off considerably, and then back towards it again. With the return of an ES buyer's frenzy, shorting CL was taken off my list of things to do today, but CL really fought it. Some moves feel like everyone agrees, and other like no one does but it still moves that direction. In my view, CL is still in resistance, and did nothing today (as of the time I shut down NT) to get out of it. If anything, it confirmed it.

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Last edited by GaryD; July 27th, 2012 at 08:16 PM.
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Leaving Boston one day early, back to Virginia for a meeting Sunday instead of Monday, hoping to be back to trading by Monday... Having multiple monitor withdrawal

 
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As I look at this again, this could be a minor 5WM to the 618

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New team on that break

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Last edited by GaryD; July 30th, 2012 at 12:48 AM.
 
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Happened to be talking to my wife and caught the explosion of stops, and caught 20 ticks, just because. Silly trade, but fun. My wife put her arm around me. Men pay more for less.

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Last edited by GaryD; July 30th, 2012 at 01:26 AM.
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  #3517 (permalink)
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I sat in the DCA airport for the 6th time in about 10 days. Tough trip, little sleep, lots of stress, and a lot happened since I left Orlando. I am finally home tonight, happy to see (in order); 1) my wife, 2) my dog, 3) my trading desk.

The wife and dog are irreplaceable, the desk a non-event in the whole scheme of life. But the latter has become a place of self-discovery more than anything, causing me to question things I thought I knew, believe in things I thought I shouldn't, understand the world in ways I was previously never concerned with, see myself in ways I might never have...

For a guy who is wired as a workoholic, trading teaches a tough lesson. Learning that making money is easier when I do not care is possibly the most foreign, and yet most beneficial, advance for me. Ironically, hard work is required to trade, but unlike other specialties, it does not provide anywhere near the key to success. Engineering a profit is a foolish quest. “Beating” the market is a misnomer. Observing, understanding, listening, waiting, thinking, believing... those sound like the words of a dreamer, an artist, a religious disciple. But not what comes to mind initially with the word “trader”.

Trading shares similarities with religious pursuits. The book of Matthew tells us that faith is what moves mountains. Well, it is also what allows winners to run. Perhaps a trading journey should start with a vow of silence. I picture a room of fresh wannabe traders, dressed in robes, spread out in a large room, as if they were in a Tibetan monastery. Some day hoping to be wise enough to trade. Move that stop and get whacked with a stick...


My meeting this Sunday morning finished early, and I had 3 hours in the DCA airport before boarding time. I went looking for something healthier to eat than I have had all week, and next to the whole wheat figs bars were the magazines. I don't subscribe to anything anymore, years ago received Architectural Digest, Wired, Florida Design, Playboy, Dwell, Inc., Money, Entrepreneur, Travel, etc. But I lost interest in all of them, and I know it is related to my career fall. Today I scan the front covers in groceries and airports, and pass.

But today the magazines seemed to bet arranged to speak directly to me. Reading left to right, the lineup was;

Fortune - “Hostess – Bankrupt...Again”
Money - “How to Reach $1 Million"
ID - “The Secret Files of My Personality – Who Am I?”

I bought #3. If I am going to trade full time, that is the most relevant.

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Trying to recreate a moment passed is a deadly sin in trading. I had the thought to go back in again, and then remembered.

5 full trading days should give more than enough information to make a better trade than what I can do tonight. Lucky to be home again. Daily goal of sorts.

 
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As I look at this again, this could be a minor 5WM to the 618



I expected to wake up bullish on CL, but sitting here for an hour so far and canot find a reason to commit to that. Last week I was anticipating a return to the downside, and thought that the move up was completing a minor 5 wave to the higher 618. Last night's volume burst was most likely stops blowing above wnat looked like an abc to start with, but the move away from that has been more than expected.

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Squeaked out another 12 ticks today, tough call...

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CL just hovers above frontline support. The Dallas MFG Survey was a big downside surprise, but the heavy calendar this week and the temperature of Iran may be what is keeping price in a holding pattern.

I am anticipating a blowout of the low at 89.40, but flat regardless.

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Last edited by GaryD; July 30th, 2012 at 02:07 PM.

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