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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets


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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

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  #2401 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
Experience: None
Platform: shoes
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Posts: 6,462 since May 2011


researcher247 View Post
Here is my exact position as of now.

I am short from 102.63 {20%}/I am short from 99.74 {20%}/I am short from 97.70 {40%}/I am short from 95.41 {20%} all rolled to July as of now.

I am short 5 sets of bear credit spreads.

I am long 4 separate put options.

This is a highly compressed downtrend stair-stepping down coupled w/fundamentally 'bearish' sentiment adding wind to the bearish sails.

I am wrong with a breach of a long-term moving avg. on a particular volume chart I use.

Each push down I am covering a portion of my puts and @short-term cycle tops (within this downtrend) I am selling naked calls while putting back on my puts.

Anything above 95.73 in July CL means I am no longer anticipating 88.255-88.50 by end of May.

The main cycle work I am using for this May 'volatility' cycle in CL is both a set of

a) top-down indicators that work in an 'additive' and/or synergistic function (helps me confirm cycle highs and lows)

b) Planetary orb and spatial analysis along with non-linear geometrical forecasting {think brad cowan or myles wilson walker and you are correct}

If we hit 88.25-88.50 by next Friday I cover everything and take a portion of those shekels and take a 2 day trading holiday up north from here at a place called Mackinaw Island, MI {no cars allowed there} and I will be playing my craps method at the casino's just north of the island.
------------------------------

peace

hedvig


A post I enjoyed. Nothing to say back right now but thanks. I kick ass on Yahtzee dice.

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  #2402 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
Experience: None
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Posts: 6,462 since May 2011

You know what is most interesting to me though?

Wait for it....(This is my social time lol!)

That, depending on who you are and who I am, we could both be ridiculously succesful traders while at the same time being on opposite sides of the market.

As long as we were both in for the correct amount of time.



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 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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Posts: 6,462 since May 2011


@Big Mike ,what is the profanity policy here?

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  #2404 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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Deucalion View Post
I did not add the stop "where I was wrong" level, becuase it is not a level but the pinbars on CL and DX. So its action I am looking at. But a simple (and telling one is this)......Sellers showed up here. A solid close above that is telling.

Oh, come on! Just tell me where your stop is...


Seriously. That is where I like to trade. Let's see what happens where the real battle occurs.

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 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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PandaWarrior View Post
you have a list of music titles you listen to...i've been trying different things and so far not really satisfied with any of it.



PW, I was a music major, and so music is a big part of me. I focus on the musi itself far more than the words, probably could not tell you words to 50% of the songs I listen to. But for me, I want to just feel comfortable. This is a bad choice for probably some people, but I listen to blues, funk, rock, disco, but only songs that I would sort into a favorite list, and that have a positive vibe.

"Whipping Post" by the Allman Brothers, not in my trading song list. But I like the song. I also would not want "Too Hot" by Kool & the Gang. lol! I am being dead serious here. I like those songs, but not for trading.

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 Big Mike 
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GaryD View Post
@Big Mike ,what is the profanity policy here?

Nothing is censored in posts (profanity). Up to you, just keep it adult and not over the top.

Mike

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  #2407 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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I have one more, in my head as I was in the shower. I promise to quit after this one....



So what changes as I increase size, is my percentage slipps a little; 48% - 58%... and my win/loss ration slips a little; 1.2x,1.4x, and after commission I get nothing.

The answer, for me, is to relax the same way, allow my winners to be winners.

Many times I know the difference, but with size I don't listen the same way.

That is why I am pushing size coupled with believing myself... harder than indicators right now.

That is my optimization issue.

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 PandaWarrior 
In the heat
 
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GaryD View Post
PW, I was a music major, and so music is a big part of me. I focus on the musi itself far more than the words, probably could not tell you words to 50% of the songs I listen to. But for me, I want to just feel comfortable. This is a bad choice for probably some people, but I listen to blues, funk, rock, disco, but only songs that I would sort into a favorite list, and that have a positive vibe.

"Whipping Post" by the Allman Brothers, not in my trading song list. But I like the song. I also would not want "Too Hot" by Kool & the Gang. lol! I am being dead serious here. I like those songs, but not for trading.

i am a huge music guy....i spent many years on various instruments but most of it was big band, classical and jazz. Not interested in those genres for trading. Especially jazz. I hear the layers, the backbeats, the offbeats, the alternative melodies interwoven through the music and I lose all concentration on anything else.....classical is ok but its very structured and I think something less structured would be good for trading.....I am a child of the 80's hair band rock and roll and that makes me take crazy risks....so something that doesnt present any of those issues would be good.....

Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication, Leonardo da Vinci


Most people chose unhappiness over uncertainty, Tim Ferris
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 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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Posts: 6,462 since May 2011

BAM!

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  #2410 (permalink)
 GaryD 
Orlando, Florida
 
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Posts: 6,462 since May 2011



PandaWarrior View Post
i am a huge music guy....i spent many years on various instruments but most of it was big band, classical and jazz. Not interested in those genres for trading. Especially jazz. I hear the layers, the backbeats, the offbeats, the alternative melodies interwoven through the music and I lose all concentration on anything else.....classical is ok but its very structured and I think something less structured would be good for trading.....I am a child of the 80's hair band rock and roll and that makes me take crazy risks....so something that doesnt present any of those issues would be good.....


I wish I could send my playlist, it would be so much easier. I recently turned Big Mike onto some instrumental stuff, but it is not what I listen to.

Here are some from today, no particular order;


No Diggity - Oli Brown
Belief - John Mayer
Just Friends - Ernie Halter
Woodstock - Crosby, Stills and Nash
#41 (live with Victor Wooten bass solo) - Dave Matthews
Sweetest Goodbye - Marron 5
Money Makes the Monkey Dance - Nil Lara
Since I've Been Loving You - Led Zeppelin
Shakin Hands - Nickelback
Do It Again - Steely Dan
La Belle Dame Sans Regrets - Sting
Melancholoy Collar - Tony Lucca
Lost Without You - Robin Thicke
If You Laugh - Rob Blackledge
Spoiled - Joss Stone
You Cut Me to the Bone - Robben Ford
Blinded by the Light - Manfred Mann
Red House - Steve Lukather and Larry Carlton
Once in a While - Matt Schofield
For The Love of God - Steve Vai
Odds or Evens - Mike Stern

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