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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets
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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

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And this is a fictitious version of the "Equity Moving Average" which will have a direct relationship the the "Risk Matrix". I just threw in random equity balances to see what it did. There is another view that colors each box red or green, and right now the rules may be geared more towards that version, but still working through things. I like this visual, but the other would give easier rules; "3 of 5 red, 50% risk reduction", for example.

 
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Overlapping H&S patterns, the lesser but more recent making a firm RSP during the overnight price action, seem to have crude in a choppy spot. I had a strong opinion about the overhead resistance red zone on Friday, but no real strong opinion about any zone yet today. Just lines noting various areas of interest.

Potential buy areas for me are 102.60 - 102.80 or 102.00 - 102.25, but plan to just watch volume to see what the market thinks today. Friday I was ready to stand my ground, today I am ready to step aside.


Last edited by GaryD; April 23rd, 2012 at 08:47 AM. Reason: cleaner chart
 
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What has me hesitant is the pending gap down in equities. CL is at 102.80, but nothing says "buy".

 
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The best buy signal in this zone s a 6-range divergence, but that is about it. That and some colored lines.


Last edited by GaryD; April 23rd, 2012 at 09:13 AM. Reason: 93 RSI
 
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I was a buyer earlier at around 102 on volume and significant divergence, but price can't seem to extend beyond the neckline. I am flat, net 51 on 2 contracts. Nearly every market across the world is down... Continuation of this H&S suggests 98.75ish.

 
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-24

 
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