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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets
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Catching Big Waves - a trader's journal of surfing the the markets

  #1951 (permalink)
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  #1952 (permalink)
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Someone wanted out of / short crude at 10pm.

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  #1953 (permalink)
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Yeah, China Q1 GDP just missed estimates...

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  #1954 (permalink)
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gain247 View Post
Yeah, China Q1 GDP just missed estimates...

I looked at CL several times tonight, thinking I should short it around the 618, 103.79, but kept saying no, wait until morning. Then as I was working on something else on another computer and I saw the flash of volume in my peripheral vision... Set a limit sell at 103.60 but missed it. I'm going to wait now. That was my chance until morning.

Plus, the minor trendline is intact, and it had a 6 crossover. I don't know anything about overnight volume or time patterns for movements and reversals.

 
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I just threw a 50 momentum on randomly last night. A variation on a TPD just worked 3x in a row. The indicator pattern is in blue, the trade is in yellow. If not a trade trigger , it could be a great exit plan.

Divergence is a dangerous tool though. It typically means countertrend trading, and trading on divergence alone will run you over, often. But, I have found the best use of it is at significant S/R areas and while I have made an effort to simplify my charts, I missed having it for trying to pinpoint a turn. I don't know if 50 is it yet, but it was a great first impression for something so random. 6-range is so quick, I felt the indicator needed to relax a little.


Last edited by GaryD; April 12th, 2012 at 11:54 PM.
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Just sitting here looking at the 6-range I have been fine tuning for about a year now, I am really loving that chart. It isn't something I believe could be programmed exactly, but it is an incredible amount of information in an uncluttered little package, and when combined with higher time and volume it feels like home to me. I still sometimes move the donchians +3, -3, mess with it for a few days. Or alter the colors to try to fit them to my subconscious better (could not explain if I had to). But overall have not tweaked more than 10% for over a year. And it may be back where it was at some point, I don't keep records of that stuff anymore.

I traded on a 9 range before futures.io (formerly BMT) for roughly 2 years;

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But, I saw Sharky on a 6 range, and thought, "similar market (6E), let's see what it does". I just took my Donchinans and tried to convert them as close as possible, and traded my EMAs for T3s, againd trying my best to find a like conversion. And the Background gradient was love at first sight, makes me not feel so trapped in a room.

I brought the 9-range back to see it again. I actually prefer the 9-range in lack of noise, but somehow have learned to enjoy the noise on a 6.


Last edited by GaryD; April 13th, 2012 at 12:23 AM. Reason: better explanation
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  #1957 (permalink)
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Today looks tough so far. I am expecting fasle breaks more than real ones for some reason. Maybe Friday?

ES has a LSP at 1372 that concerns me for continuation.

Significant S/R are the yellow and red zones, the minor trendline has broken to the downside, and stops are omst likely at the red and green dashed lines.


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Last edited by GaryD; April 13th, 2012 at 10:51 AM.
 
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  #1960 (permalink)
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If it will be a false break, that may be it. And ES's fasle break mat be hovering around the 1372 number as well. This has trap on it to me.


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